Santos Limited · ASX:STO
Santos — Non-Deal Roadshow (October 2012)
54 slides from Santos's roadshow presentation, October 2012
Slide 1: Investor Presentation
Investor Presentation October 2012 1
Slide 2: Disclaimer & important notice
Disclaimer & important notice This presentation contains forward looking statements that are subject to risk factors associated with the oil and gas industry. It is believed that the expectations reflected in these statements are reasonable, but they may be affected by a range of variables which cou
Slide 3: Santos overview
Santos overview A leading energy company in Australia and Asia Australia’s largest domestic Fergana Basin gas producer Production of 0.6 bcf/day gas and 37,000 barrels/day liquids Bay of Bengal Top-20 ASX listed company Phu Khanh Basin Market capitalisation of Nam Con Son Basin US$11 billion
Slide 4: Santos vision and strategy
Santos vision and strategy LNG markets Dual channel strategy LNG channel Domestic channel Strong Focused Australian Asian A leading base growth energy company in Australia and Asia A leading gas producer in high-growth markets 4
Slide 5: Delivering 80-90 mmboe of production by 2020
Delivering 80-90 mmboe of production by 2020 11% production growth in the first-half of 2012 Upside potential Aust: Cooper shale, Amadeus, Zola, Production Winchester, Sole LNG: PNG LNG T3, Browse, Caldita/Barossa mmboe Asia: Chim Sáo upside, Bay of Bengal, 100 Fergana Basin, Indonesia CSG 90 Likely
Slide 6: Safety performance
Safety performance A balanced focus on personnel and process safety Personnel safety Process safety TRCFR performance Safety critical compliance long-term trend (employees and contractors) 99.8% 100% Total recordable case frequency rate 95% (per million hours worked) 7 90% 6 85% 5 4.0 4 80% 2007 200
Slide 7: 2012 First-half overview
2012 First-half overview Safety: TRCFR 4.0 Highest first-half production in three years: 25.4 mmboe Underlying profit up 20% to $283 million PNG LNG and GLNG on track for first LNG in 2014 and 2015 respectively The capital cost estimate for the GLNG project was increased to US$18.5 billion
Slide 8: Underlying half-year net profit up 20%
Underlying half-year net profit up 20% 2012 Half-year result Change on 2011 first-half Production 25.4 mmboe 11% Sales revenue $1,493 million 27% EBITDAX (excluding asset sales) $876 million 18% Net profit after tax $262 million 48% Underlying net profit $283 million 20% Operating cash flow $728 mil
Slide 9: $6.8 billion of funding capacity
$6.8 billion of funding capacity Balance sheet capacity to fund execution of business strategy and minimise financing risk Available liquidity Debt maturity profile A$ billion A$ million 8 1,800 7 1.2 1,500 6 0.8 5 1.9 1,200 4 900 3 2.9 600 2 300 1 0 0 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 Beyond Cash Undrawn Un
Slide 10: Capex & production guidance
Capex & production guidance 2012 capex $3.75 billion and production 51-55 mmboe Capex Production $billion mmboe 4 3.75 60 51-55 3.1 50 47.2 3 40 2 30 20 1 10 0 0 2011 Actual 2012 Forecast 2011 Actual 2012 Forecast Range GLNG PNG LNG EA WA&NT Asia Exploration 2012 capital expenditure guidance: 2012 p
Slide 11: Leading Australian domestic producer
Devil Creek gas plant, Western Australia Leading Australian domestic producer 11
Slide 12: Strong demand for Australian gas
Strong demand for Australian gas Demand set to quadruple by 2025; gas prices will trend towards oil-linked international parity PJ 9,000 8,000 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 - 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 LNG exports Domestic gas demand 12 Sou
Slide 13: Significant resource base in EA
Significant resource base in EA Santos has 10,900 PJ of gas reserves and resources in Eastern Australia, excluding GLNG, and the infrastructure required to accelerate production Sales gas 2P 2C reserves1 resources1 Existing pipeline Santos assets Cooper 1,130 3,598 NSW CSG 1,141 2,768 Otway/Gippslan
Slide 14: Focused execution of unconventional strategy
Focused execution of unconventional strategy Objective of Moomba-Big Lake REM shale appraisal: achieve gas flow to surface Core acquisition, logs, minifrac and analysis Dedicated vertical shale well (Moomba-191) Specialised shale-specific fracture stimulation with micro- seismic monitoring to
Slide 15: Australia's first commercial shale well
Australia’s first commercial shale well Moomba-191 flow at stabilised Moomba-191 Flowback gas rate of 2.6 mmscf/d Flow-back commenced 27th July Two-week flow-back completed with measured dry gas stabilised rate of 2.6 mmscf/d at line pressure Assessing all technical data to understand signific
Slide 16: Multiple targeted projects continuing in 2012 and 2013
Multiple targeted projects continuing in 2012 and 2013 Santos will continue to execute its unconventional strategy, whilst continuing to apply learning to optimise target selection and well design Targeted projects addressing unconventional play sweet spots and technology: − Horizontal well trial
Slide 17: NSW Coal seam gas
NSW Coal seam gas Gunnedah Basin coals are world-class, with appraisal program confirming confidence and known resources in excess of 12,000 PJ NSW CSG industry $1.5 billion already invested Over 1,000 potential new jobs Significant local gas production for the first time A low-carbon altern
Slide 18: WA: two domestic gas hubs
WA: two domestic gas hubs Record WA gas production in 1H 2012 Winchester Spar and Reindeer projects delivered in Hurricane 2011 on budget and schedule Strong Santos production into Spar Reindeer attractive domestic gas market Zola Appraisal drilling planned for 2012/13 Varanus Island Dampier H
Slide 19: Carnarvon Oil: Fletcher Finucane
Carnarvon Oil: Fletcher Finucane Sanctioned 8 months after discovery, an industry-leading transition Project Fletcher Finucane Location Carnarvon Basin Santos interest Operator with 44% interest Project $490 million gross oil project description 3-well sub-sea tie-back to Santos- Fletcher 9.5” pipe
Slide 20: Browse Basin gas
Browse Basin gas Prime real estate in a proven play Well positioned Argus Territory of Ashmore & Cartier Islands WA-274-P - Material prospects WA-410-P Crown - All Santos operated WA-274-P Poseidon Ichthys - Liquids rich WA-281-P - Materiality could provide stand- Torosa Echuca Shoals alone develo
Slide 21: Material Timor Bonaparte position
Material Timor Bonaparte position A critical region for Santos now and into the future Caldita Barossa Darwin LNG Evans Shoal Santos 25% Sold to Eni Continued strong production NT/P69 Joint Barossa 35-day planned shutdown completed in 2Q Petroleum NT/P61 Development 2012; high facility uptime si
Slide 22: Growth in LNG
GLNG plant site image, Curtis Island, Australia. First LNG is expected in 2015. Growth in LNG 22
Slide 23: Santos' unique LNG Portfolio
Santos’ unique LNG Portfolio Darwin (Santos 11.5%) PNG (Santos 13.5%) Production since 2006 First LNG expected in 2014 GLNG (Santos 30%) Bonaparte (Santos 40%) First LNG expected in 2015 FLNG – targeting 2014 FID 23
Slide 24: New sources of LNG supply will be required to meet robust Asian demand
New sources of LNG supply will be required to meet robust Asian demand 300 Demand 250 “Contestable Market” 200 Additional supply from existing projects1 mmtpa 150 Other2 Australia Contracted LNG 100 supply from Operational and Middle East Under 50 construction projects only SE Asia 0 2010 2015 2020
Slide 25: Asian LNG pricing
Asian LNG pricing Three distinct gas pricing structures for long-term LNG contracts; Asia to remain an oil-linked market Gas-on-gas market Oil-linked market Henry Hub NBP Oil Product JCC-linked Henry Hub 25
Slide 26: GLNG: On schedule for first LNG in 2015
GLNG: On schedule for first LNG in 2015 Upstream Pipeline LNG plant On-track for over 500 420-km pipeline Construction on wells drilled in the manufacture complete Curtis Island project areas by the 12 shipments received progressing on end of 2012 in Gladstone schedule Targeting 1,000 well
Slide 27: Creating value for Santos shareholders
Creating value for Santos shareholders Material value Sell-down of 70% interest in GLNG to PETRONAS, Total and KOGAS captured pre-FID generated $3.3 billion in proceeds pre-FID Binding 20-year off-take agreements with quality partners in Strong LNG PETRONAS and KOGAS off-take Flexible contract
Slide 28: Compression capacity and gas purchases
Compression capacity and gas purchases Investment in upstream facilities provides 890 TJ/day of compression capacity by end 2015; gas purchases to date provide a further 240 TJ/day GLNG net share compression capacity at the end of 2015 and gas purchases TJ/day Compression capacity Gas purchases 1,20
Slide 29: Fairview and Roma CSG fields
Fairview and Roma CSG fields Consistently strong flow rates from Fairview wells Roma pilots in line with expectations Fairview Roma GLNG ownership ~79% 100% Total CSG wells 345 comprising: 105 comprising: drilled to end June 70 appraisal 30 appraisal 2012 275 development 75 development (incl
Slide 30: Roma field geology well understood
Roma field geology well understood Santos has a long history operating in the Roma area Surat Basin Coal - Gas Content Fairway Conventional gas >50 years CSG pilots >8 years Geological trend well understood − gas content − thickness − permeability Roma Combabula On trend with APLNG and GLNG
Slide 31: Drilling rigs and wells
Drilling rigs and wells Drilling capacity secured to meet forecast well requirements Around 1,000 wells on-line by end-2015 out of a total well stock of 1,3001 450 wells drilled to end June 2012 Target of 70 wells in 2H 2012 250-300 wells per annum in 2013-15 Expect to maintain circa 300 w
Slide 32: GLNG plant site, Curtis Island
GLNG plant site, Curtis Island 9 August 2011 32 August 2012
Slide 33: PNG LNG
PNG LNG First LNG expected in 2014 on schedule Hides drilling commenced late July Piling, foundations and structural steel continue at Hides Earthworks at the Komo airfield continue and pavement is underway Offshore pipelay is complete Over half of the onshore pipeline has been welded Eq
Slide 34: Bonaparte LNG
Bonaparte LNG BLNG building momentum; >2Tcf resource Floating LNG with 2-3mtpa capacity Santos 40%, GDF SUEZ 60% and operator 150 people working on the project Preparing to enter Concept Definition stage of pre-FEED phase Project remains on schedule: - FEED 2013 Petrel-7 appraisal program,
Slide 35: Focused growth in Asia
Chim Sao FPSO, Vietnam. First oil was produced in October 2011, on schedule and under budget. Focused growth in Asia 35
Slide 36: Focused Asian portfolio
Focused Asian portfolio Asia will contribute ~20% of Santos’ production in 2012 Asia’s growing energy needs are driving higher domestic gas prices Established Indonesian business with strong track record of project delivery Chim Sáo project in Vietnam delivered on time and on budget and produc
Slide 37: Indonesia – established business
Indonesia – established business Strong base business in East Java with increased margins and incremental growth Increased margins from rising Wortel Oyong Maleo domestic gas prices − New gas volumes sold at US$6 per Madura Island mmbtu with escalation Surabaya − Maleo gross production capacity 11
Slide 38: Indonesia – South Sumatra CSG
Indonesia – South Sumatra CSG Santos farm-in to four CSG licences in South Sumatra Leverages Santos’ CSG experience in Australia and operating experience in Indonesia Farm-in agreement with Sugico gives Santos 60% equity and operatorship Up to 60 metres of coal thickness identified Licences
Slide 39: Vietnam
Vietnam New oil production with upside unfolding Dua oilfield Chim Sáo north-west oil discovery Dua Chim Sáo online in October 2011, development area production 30,000 bbl/day Chim Sáo oilfield − Potential for further upside Chim Sáo production Dua development approved platform − Tie-back to Chi
Slide 40: Reference slides
Reference slides October 2012 40
Slide 41: 2012 Guidance
2012 Guidance Item 2012 Guidance Production (mmboe) 51-55 Production costs ($m) 610-640 DD&A expense ($/boe) 15 Royalty related taxation expense1 80-100 ($m after tax) Capital expenditure (including $3.75 billion exploration & evaluation)2 1 Royalty related taxation expense guidance based on an aver
Slide 42: Production up 11% as new projects on-line
Production up 11% as new projects on-line Half-year production mmboe 30 27.6 26.7 25.4 25 24.2 22.9 20 15 10 5 0 1H 2008 1H 2009 1H 2010 1H 2011 1H 2012 2012 half-year production up 2.5 mmboe, primarily due to first production from Chim Sáo and record Carnarvon gas production following start-up of
Slide 43: Sales revenue increased by 27%
Sales revenue increased by 27% Half-year sales revenue $million 1,600 1,493 1,384 1,400 1,174 1,200 1,091 1,024 1,000 800 600 400 200 0 1H 2008 1H 2009 1H 2010 1H 2011* 1H 2012 Oil Sales gas, ethane and LNG Condensate and LPG Sales revenue up 27% driven by higher oil sales volumes and higher oil a
Slide 44: Production costs up as new assets on-line
Production costs up as new assets on-line Production costs $million 600 543 556 532 537 500 400 286 266 261 296 300 200 335 257 266 276 260 100 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 1H 2H Higher production costs due to new assets on-line, higher maintenance costs and Bayu-Undan/Darwin LNG planned shutdown
Slide 45: Eastern Australia
Eastern Australia Cooper Basin recovering from flood impacts; early success with shale gas program Steady production of Production EBITDAX 10.9 mmboe, with 26% oil (mmboe) ($million) and liquids 316 312 EBITDAX in line with first half 10.7 10.9 2011; higher production costs due to ongoing flood
Slide 46: Western Australia & Northern Territory
Western Australia & Northern Territory Growth driven by record Carnarvon gas production in the first half Production EBITDAX Production increased by 23%, (mmboe) ($million) driven by strong gas production 368 386 at John Brookes and Reindeer EBITDAX up, driven by strong 9.2 revenue from new Rein
Slide 47: Asia Pacific
Asia Pacific Chim Sáo drives higher oil production and EBITDAX Production higher due to Chim Production EBITDAX Sáo and Wortel on-line, offset by (mmboe) ($million) lower Maleo gas production due 174 to the favourable price review EBITDAX up 270%, with oil 4.4 comprising 32% sales volumes 3.9 (2
Slide 48: Underlying net profit up 20%
Underlying net profit up 20% Half-year NPAT and underlying NPAT $million 600 504 500 400 304 283 300 280 262 236 198 210 200 102 95 100 0 1H 2008 1H 2009 1H 2010 1H 2011 1H 2012 NPAT Underlying NPAT Half-year underlying profit up 20% due to higher liquids prices and volumes, offset by higher costs
Slide 49: Net profit reconciliation
Net profit reconciliation Half-year net profit after tax $million 700 84 (52) (27) 72 (31) 600 7 (271) 504 500 400 (24) 300 262 200 100 0 1H 2011 Prices and Sales Production DD&A E&E Net finance Gain on sale Other 1H 2012 foreign volume costs costs and exchange impairment 49
Slide 50: Operating cash flow remains strong
Operating cash flow remains strong Operating cash flow $million 1,600 1,385 1,273 1,253 1,155 1,200 759 572 736 800 656 400 728 626 681 499 537 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 1H 2H Half-year operating cash flows up 7% due to higher sales receipts, partially offset by higher operating costs 50
Slide 51: Capital expenditure
Capital expenditure Capital expenditure $million (includes capitalised interest) 4,000 3,088 3,000 1,679 2,000 1,882 1,629 1,509 1,023 923 745 1,000 1,409 1,509 706 764 859 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 1H 2H First-half capex higher as investment in growth projects continues 2012 guidance unchanged
Slide 52: 2012 full-year sensitivities
2012 full-year sensitivities Sensitivity Change NPAT impact A$m US dollar oil price +US$1/bbl +9 Gas price +10 cent/GJ +15 A$/US$ exchange rate +1 cent -8 52
Slide 53: 2012 exploration schedule
2012 exploration schedule Santos Well name Basin / area Target Timing Interest % C&S, successful Tardrum Bowen CSG 50 CSG Beam-1 Carnarvon Gas 45 P&A Chim Sáo NW-1 Nam Con Son Oil 31.875 P&A Hoss-1 Carnarvon Oil 37.3 P&A Crown-1 Browse Gas 30 Drilling Indonesia CSG South Sumatra CSG 60 Q4 Van Der Wa
Slide 54: Contact information
Contact information Head office Adelaide Andrew Nairn Ground Floor, Santos Centre Group Executive Investor Relations 60 Flinders Street Level 10, Santos Centre Adelaide, South Australia 5000 Direct: + 61 8 8116 5314 GPO Box 2455 Email: andrew.nairn@santos.com Adelaide, South Australia 5001 Telephone