Slide 1: 中菲行國際物流股份有限公司法說會
中菲行國際物流 股份有限公司 法說會 April 23, 2025
Slide 2: Air Market Outlook
Air Market Outlook DIMERCO )
Slide 3: 1. 全球航空貨運市場概況
1. 全球航空貨運市場概況 (Y2024 市場需求增加11.4%) (Y2024 艙位供給增加7.4%) 3
Slide 4: 1. 全球航空貨運市場 - 2024年
1. 全球航空貨運市場 - 2024年 2024年(同比變化率) 全球市場 市場區域 貨運噸公里 可用貨運噸公里 份額占比 載貨率變化率 載貨率 (CTK,代表市場需求) (ACTK,代表艙位供給) 整體市場 100.0% 11.3% 7.4% 1.6% 45.9% 非洲 2.0% 8.5% 13.6% -2.0% 41.8% 亞太 34.2% 14.5% 11.3% 1.3% 47.2% 歐洲 21.5% 11.2% 7.8% 1.6% 53.7% 拉丁美洲 2.9% 12.6% 7.9% 1.5% 36.6% 中東 13.6% 13.0% 5.5% 3.1% 46.9% 北美 25.8%
Slide 5: 2. 台灣空運市場 - 2025年1-3月概況
2. 台灣空運市場 - 2025年1-3月概況 今年 1月至3 月台灣空運總噸數 38.3 萬噸較 2024年 35.0 萬噸增 加 3.3 萬噸(約 9.4%),其中出口較去年成長 23.4%,進口成長 32.5%。 年度比較 出口 進口 總貨量 (1月-3月) 2025 vs 2024 +23.4% +32.5% +9.4% 5
Slide 6: 2. 台灣空運市場 - 2025年4月概況
2. 台灣空運市場 - 2025年4月概況 今年 4/1至4/20 台灣空運總噸數 8.74 萬噸較 2024 年 7.81 萬噸 增加 0.93 萬噸(約 11.9%),其中出口較去年成長 17.2%,進 口成長 32.9%。 年份比較 出口 進口 總貨量 (4/1-4/20) 2025 vs 2024 +17.2% +32.9% +11.9% 6
Slide 7: 3. 航空燃油價格趨勢
3. 航空燃油價格趨勢 2013 – 2025 SIN Jet Fuel Price Unit: USD/BBL Year JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC AVG 2013 126.65 132.46 136.18 133.35 123.8 110.29 117.52 129.73 132.57 130.01 125.17 124.76 126.87 2014 128.09 134.05 123.43 116.20 115.28 116.75 121.18 124.51 123.87 123.13 122.63 126.70 12
Slide 8: 4. Dimerco air business statistics (garbled)
4. $3E71-3A SUT Mal: MOBS 1448 3A SA 16fa51F418 3 70 {hEA RE Se El SS Se BAM 64.7% RAT BM 1BM/>% 7187 FLIES IC 30.2% 16.1% 1fs3F01A B70 5.1% 7.5% 2518 51F 51K BIT 100.0% 1448 1-3AR SRR PRESB S RB RASH SN /w>% A(R 6(F O(a S7t 62.5% 33.8% 22(85(F 318 B70 32.2% 21.8% 3187731 B7C 5.3% 10.9% 6918 9fF 218
Slide 9: 5. 當前市場及中菲行空運未來營運概況
5. 當前市場及中菲行空運未來營運概況 a. 亞洲各點與中國主要樞紐港雙向貨量增加,運費提升。 b. 亞洲各國與歐洲各樞紐港貨量增加,四月份本航線並非旺季,但台灣及大 陸航司有加班機情形。 c. 大陸各區到美國各主要城市因為關稅影響,艙位需求驟減,三大航貨機班 次大幅減縮,主要電商紛紛宣布5月開始停止出貨到美國。 9
Slide 10: 5. 當前市場及中菲行空運未來營運概況
5. 當前市場及中菲行空運未來營運概況 d. 中菲行長期佈局全球實體通路達 150個以上,可以增加亞太地區各國間的 進、出、轉口業務量,加上透過數位行銷推動中菲行在客戶供應鏈管理的 價值服務,強化正確的業務擴展的能力,即便面對美國關稅政策,地緣政 治所造成混亂的市場,中菲行依然可以產品多元化的韌性及特點,達成良 好的營運績效。 10
Slide 11: Ocean Market Outlook
Ocean Market Outlook DIMERCO )
Slide 12: Summary
SUMMARY Global Economic Growth for 2025 More Uncertain Following Recent Tariff and Policy Announcements. Ocean Container Demand Remains Solid in Q1 Category Key Insights • Despite ongoing geopolitical turmoil, global GDP is expected to have exhibited robust growth in Q1. Tariffs remain a significant
Slide 13: Container
CONTAINER Growth in Container Volumes Outpaced Manufacturing Export Orders in the Early of 2025 Export Orders and Global Container Trade Global Investment, Consumption and Container Trade Growth (% y/y) Business Activity (50=Neutral) Growth (% y/y) Growth (% y/y) 40 75 Global Container Volumes JPM M
Slide 14: Container Demand
CONTAINER DEMAND Continued Solid Global Container Trade. Strong Imports Going into LAM, EUR and NAM. FEA Exports Remain High. 4.7 Global North Europe America 9.1 -2.9 6.2 -3.1 Far East 2.9 Intra West Central -7.4 8.3 3.0 Europe Asia -1.2 6.0 Intra America Intra Latin Africa 5.3 Asia America Oceania
Slide 15: Global Container Market
GLOBAL CONTAINER MARKET External Forecasters Anticipate Container Market Growth of 2.0-2.8% in 2025 Global Container Growth, y/y % growth 2024 2025 2026 14 9 7.2 6.3 5.5 4.5 3.5-5.5 4 2.5 2.8 2.5 2.0 2.5 -1 -6 A carrier Alphaliner Clarksons Drewry 15 Source: Alphaliner, Clarksons, Drewry
Slide 16: Supply
SUPPLY A Large Orderbook and High Deliveries Combined with Low Levels of Scrapping Continues to Push Up the Nominal Fleet New ordering, TEU 000’ Orderbook, TEU 000’ Deliveries, TEU 000’ 1,000 10,000 350 900 9,000 300 800 8,000 700 7,000 250 600 6,000 200 500 5,000 400 4,000 150 300 3,000 100 200 2,0
Slide 17: Freight Rates
FREIGHT RATES Charter Rates Remain Elevated as Spot Rates Declined Through Q1 2025 Bunker Price, Charter Rates and CTS Price Index, Index (2011=100) SCFI Composite, index Bunker Price Charter Rates CTS Global Price Index 2019 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 700 700 6,000 600 600 5,000 500 500 4,000 400 400
Slide 18: Strategic Solutions: Rising Tariffs & Supply Chain Realignment
STRATEGIC SOLUTIONS Rising Tariffs & Supply Chain Realignment US US India Tariff Impact Analysis Bonded & FTZ Warehousing Advisory Services • Financial impact assessment • Duty deferral Navigate customs regulations, • Mitigation strategies • Smoother operations legal requirements and trade complianc
Slide 19: Strategic Solutions: Supply Chain Realignment in Asia-Pacific
STRATEGIC SOLUTIONS Supply Chain Realignment in Asia-Pacific Customer Brokerage Service Factory Relocation Warehousing Site Selection • Fast clearance • Incentive optimization • Cost-effective, customer-centric • 100% compliance across borders • Local expertise distribution hub planning 19
Slide 20: Ocean Freight Market Situation
OCEAN FREIGHT MARKET SITUATION 1. *As of April 2025, 83 out of 713 scheduled sailings were canceled, resulting in a 12% cancellation rate for key East-West trade lanes. The Transpacific Eastbound route saw the highest cancellations at 53%, followed by Asia-North Europe & Med at 29%, and Transatlanti
Slide 21: Dimerco - Connecting Asia with the world
DIMERCO /) Connecting Asia with the world