Supremex Inc. · TSX:SXP

Supremex — Q2 2024 Earnings Presentation

60 slides from Supremex's earnings presentation, Aug 8, 2024

  1. Slide 1: Investor Presentation August 2024

    SupremeX (TSX: SXP.TO) INVESTOR PRESENTATION AUGUST 2024 1

  2. Slide 2: Forward Looking Information

    Forward Looking Information • This presentation contains “forward-looking information” within the meaning of applicable Canadian securities laws, including (but not limited to) statements about the EBITDA, Adjusted EBITDA, Adjusted EBITDA margin, Adjusted net earnings, Adjusted net earnings per shar

  3. Slide 3: Agenda

    Agenda • INVESTMENT THESIS • SUPREMEX OVERVIEW • DETAILED SEGMENT OVERVIEW • Envelope • Packaging & Specialty Products • THE MARKET • Envelope • Packaging & Specialty Products • GROWTH STRATEGY • FINANCIAL TRACK RECORD • Q2 2024 RESULTS • APPENDIX • Q2 Supplemental Information • Reconciliation of No

  4. Slide 4: Investment Thesis

    Investment Thesis • Building packaging platform in growing market niches • Leading Canadian envelope manufacturer and 2nd largest in North America • Strong customer relationships • Solid cash flow generation • Experienced leadership team • Attractive valuation 4

  5. Slide 5: Supremex Overview

    TSX: SXP.TO SUPREMEX OVERVIEW INVESTOR PRESENTATION August 2024 5

  6. Slide 6: Supremex at a Glance

    SupremeX at a Glance Envelope #1 in Canada Packaging #1 Independent folding carton #2 in North America(1) provider in Quebec(1) PACKAGING: LTM REVENUE June 30, 2024 ~29% ENVELOPE: $285M ~71% (1) Based on Management estimates SupremeX is a leading North American manufacturer and marketer of envelopes

  7. Slide 7: A 45-year History Of Growing By Acquisitions

    A 45-year History Of Growing By Acquisitions • Founded in 1977 by four envelope industry executives • Acquired by private equity in 1990; sold to Cenveo in 1995 Focused on envelope manufacturing in Canada Diversifying by geography & product 1991 1994 1996 1998 2000 2001 2006 2007 2008 2010 2011 2014

  8. Slide 8: Vast North American Network

    Vast North American Network Location Type 1 Richmond, BC Envelope Canada ● 2 Winnipeg, MB Envelope Canada ● 3 Etobicoke, ON* Envelope Canada & Packaging ● 4 Mississauga, ON Envelope Canada ● 5 Concord, ON Envelope Canada ● 6 Moncton, NB Envelope Distribution Center ● 7 LaSalle, QC* Envelope Canada &

  9. Slide 9: Experienced Leadership Team

    Experienced Leadership Team 33 years of industry experience STEWART EMERSON Started at predecessor to Supremex in 1990. Previously VP and GM Central Region and Buffalo Envelope. President & CEO Responsible for leading many successful M&A integrations. Holds a Bachelor’s Degree in Business (Director

  10. Slide 10: Recent Financial Performance

    Recent Financial Performance Revenue (M$) Adjusted EBITDA (M$)(1) Net Earnings (M$) 28 302 57 272 285 49 39 40 17 226 16 33 205 11 7 2020 2021 2022 2023 LTM Q2-24 2020 2021 2022 2023 LTM Q2-24 2020 2021 2022 2023 LTM Q2-24 (1) This is a non-IFRS financial measure. Non-IFRS financial measures do not

  11. Slide 11: Historical Price Chart

    Historical Price Chart (as of July 31, 2024) Shares outstanding 24.9M 2,000 Float 15.8M $8 Average daily volume 33,699 (52 weeks on TSX) 1,500 52 week (high-low) $6.38-$3.58 $6 Market capitalization $105M (in ‘000s of shares) 1,000 $4 $4.18 Volume TSX Price 500 $2 0 $0 Jul/19 Jan/20 Jul/20 Jan/21 Ju

  12. Slide 12: Sustainability in Action

    Sustainability in Action We take a leadership role in our industry by implementing several “green initiatives”. CARBON REDUCTION PROGRAM “PLEASE RECYCLE” PROGRAM WASTE RETROFIT • Manufacture as close to the end • Offer our customers the option to MANAGEMENT LIGHTING customer as feasible to limit fre

  13. Slide 13: Detailed Segment Overview

    TSX: SXP.TO DETAILED SEGMENT OVERVIEW INVESTOR PRESENTATION August 2024 13

  14. Slide 14: The Envelope Segment - Overview

    The Envelope Segment - Overview The company utilizes an industry leading equipment base and platform to manufacture a broad range of stock and custom envelopes. “Everything in the letter carrier’s bag.” Q2-24 Revenue 2020-2024 Revenue Key Points 213 • Optimal geographical network 203 200 • Leading p

  15. Slide 15: The Envelope Segment – Broad Products Offering

    The Envelope Segment – Broad Products Offering Stock Envelopes Custom Envelopes Complementary Services Product A generic product that can be used by Custom envelopes are manufactured • Graphic arts services (basic design and creative Description customers for a variety of applications. according to

  16. Slide 16: The Envelope Segment – Strong Customer Base

    The Envelope Segment – Strong Customer Base Supplier to essential businesses and services Regional Envelope Revenue Contracts Supremex Edge Distribution(1) • The industry does not typically National footprint & local distribution: 11% enter into long-term agreements. • Local market intimacy Informal

  17. Slide 17: The Packaging Segment - Overview

    The Packaging Segment - Overview The company manufactures and distributes a diverse range of packaging and specialty products including high-end folding carton packaging, e-Commerce fulfillment packaging solutions and labels. Q2-24 Revenue 2020-2024 Revenue Key Points 89 82 • #1 independent folding

  18. Slide 18: The Packaging Segment – Diversified Offering

    The Packaging Segment – Diversified Offering Folding Carton E-commerce Specialty Products Product • Made of paperboard that is • Innovative products to optimize • Pressure sensitive labels, Description printed, laminated, cut, then shipping and reduce over booklets & other inserts folded and glued p

  19. Slide 19: The Packaging Segment – Diversified Customer Base

    The Packaging Segment– Diversified Customer Base Supplier to varied consumer staples and discretionary consumer end-markets. End-market Approximate Contracts Supremex Edge Packaging Revenue Distribution(1) 8% • Agreements vary according to the Proximity to customer base: type of packaging and custom

  20. Slide 20: The Market

    TSX: SXP.TO THE MARKET INVESTOR PRESENTATION August 2024 20

  21. Slide 21: The North American Envelope Market is in Secular Decline

    The North American Envelope Market is in Secular Decline Through internal growth and acquisitions, Supremex is now the second largest manufacturer in North America Canadian Envelope Market U.S. Envelope Market Market Size –Sales $140M(1) US$2.0B(2) Competitive Landscape • Supremex is a leading playe

  22. Slide 22: Transaction Mail Volume Trends in North America

    Transaction Mail Volume Trends in North America Transaction mail volume in Canada has First-class mail volume in the U.S. also steadily declined since 2019 decreased, but at a lesser rate 5-YR CAGR: 2,826 5-YR CAGR: 54,936 (4.3%) 2,540 (5.9%) 52,628 50,664 2,478 2,313 48,960 2,196 2,180 45,979 45,04

  23. Slide 23: Marketing Mail Volume Trends in North America

    Marketing Mail Volume Trends in North America Marketing mail volume in Canada Marketing mail volume in the U.S. historically contracted sharply due to COVID, but more stable, but affected by COVID, then by has been growing since economic uncertainty in 2023 5-YR CAGR: 75,653 4,578 (2.1%) 5-YR CAGR:

  24. Slide 24: The Packaging Market is Growing

    The Packaging Market is Growing Growing e-commerce activity and sustainability trends support the expansion of paper packaging Paper Packaging Folding Carton Boxes Market Size Largest subsector with approx. 34%(1) of the global consumer packaging market. Global folding carton packaging market valued

  25. Slide 25: Package and Parcel Volume Trends in North America

    Package and Parcel Volume Trends in North America Parcel volume handled by Canada Post has Even after the 2020-21 COVID-related spike, U.S. Package dropped below the 2020-21 COVID-related spike & Parcel volume remains higher than 5 years ago 389 5-YR CAGR: 5-YR CAGR: (2%) 3.4% 361 7,585 7,325 7,232

  26. Slide 26: Growth Strategy

    TSX: SXP.TO GROWTH STRATEGY INVESTOR PRESENTATION August 2024 26

  27. Slide 27: Executing on a Three-Pronged Growth Strategy

    Executing on a Three-Pronged Growth Strategy Leverage our Envelope capacity, knowhow and cash flow to fund the pivot to packaging 1 2 3 Maintaining its leading Pursuing growth opportunities Building Supremex’ packaging position in the Canadian in the U.S. envelope market capabilities organically and

  28. Slide 28: Maintaining Market-Leading Position in Canada and Diversifying in the U.S.

    Maintaining Market-Leading Position in Canada and Diversifying in the U.S. Manage the secular decline in the Envelope segment by maintaining EBITDA and strong cash flow generation 1. Maintain Leading Position in Canada 2. Diversify into the U.S. Market • Have a disciplined approach to pricing • Take

  29. Slide 29: Acquisition of Forest Envelope Group

    Acquisition of Forest Envelope Group Synergistic tuck-in acquisition in the U.S. Mid-West Quick Facts Rationale Objectives • Concluded on May 1, 2024 • Excellent fit with current Midwest • Integrate operations within existing • Leading regional envelope operations facilities in the Greater Chicago a

  30. Slide 30: Diversifying into Paper-Based Packaging in Canada & the U.S.

    Diversifying into Paper-Based Packaging in Canada & the U.S. Accelerate diversification into high-value growth markets and execute pivot to Packaging 3. Diversify into Paper-Based Packaging Focus on 3 Pillars of Growth MAKE ACQUISITIONS TO DEVELOP SCALE FOLDING CARTON • Build capacity closer to the

  31. Slide 31: 2023 Acquisitions Enhance Folding Carton Offering to Niche Markets

    2023 Acquisitions Enhance Folding Carton Offering to Niche Markets Quick Facts Rationale Quick Facts Rationale • Concluded on January 16, 2023 • Brings critical mass to folding carton • Concluded on May 8, 2023 • Perfect fit with existing • Integrated provider of paper-based operations in Québec • P

  32. Slide 32: Financial Track Record

    TSX: SXP.TO FINANCIAL TRACK RECORD INVESTOR PRESENTATION August 2024 32

  33. Slide 33: Growing Revenues

    Growing Revenues Successfully managing secular decline of Envelope Segment and diversification into Packaging Segment 302 272 285 CAGR: 89 205 226 72 82 9.5% 192 69 58 (in millions of $) 55 CAGR: 157 200 213 203 9.1% 137 147 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 LTM Q2-24 Envelope Packaging Note: Totals may not

  34. Slide 34: Adjusted EBITDA and Margin

    Adjusted EBITDA and Margin Focusing on operational leverage and extracting cost efficiencies 56.8 49.1 20.9% 40.2 39.0 17.2% 16.3% 32.5 15.9% 28.4 (in millions of $) 13.2% 25.2 14.1% 17.3 15.8 10.4% 3.7% 11.2 7.1 7.5 7.0% 3.9% 5.7% 3.7% 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 LTM Q2-24 (1) (1) Adjusted EBITDA Net

  35. Slide 35: Generating Solid Cash Flows

    Generating Solid Cash Flows Tight working capital management and enhanced profitability have significantly improved cash flow 43.9 40.0 41.7 42.4 37.0 34.4 30.0 26.1 26.9 (in millions of $) 24.4 20.2 14.1 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 LTM Q2-24 Cash Flows Related to Operating Activities Free Cash Flow (1

  36. Slide 36: Optimizing Capital Allocation

    Optimizing Capital Allocation Returning short term value to shareholders while investing in future growth 40.2 36.4 33.6 (in millions of $) 13.2 9.4 7.3 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 YTD Q2-24 Capex (1) Acquisitions Dividends Share repurchases Growth investments $109.6M Return to shareholders $30.4M 2019

  37. Slide 37: Dividend Payments

    Dividend Payments Quarterly dividend reinstated in Q1-22; increased three times since then; 2023 payout was 9.1% of annual free cash flow; Current payment is 4 cents per share ($0.16 annually) Reinstated Q1-22 (5 payments in Suspended the 2022) dividend in Q1-20 due to COVID-related $0.160 uncertain

  38. Slide 38: Healthy Balance Sheet And Leverage Position

    Healthy Balance Sheet And Leverage Position Historically, debt has been reduced through a Targeting a leverage ratio below 2.0x strong cash flow generation Total Debt Net Debt to Adj. EBITDA Ratio (1) 2.5x 56.8 2.0x 56.7 53.7 54.7 51.8 2.0x 55.4 1.6x (in millions of $) 51.2 50.4 53.4 44.6 52.5 1.5x

  39. Slide 39: Q2-2024 Results

    TSX: SXP.TO Q2-2024 RESULTS INVESTOR PRESENTATION August 2024 39

  40. Slide 40: Q2-2024 Highlights & Recent Events

    Q2-2024 Highlights & • Revenue of $69.3M, down from $71.7M last year. Recent Events • Adjusted EBITDA(1) of $9.0M (13.0% of revenue), vs. $9.6M (13.3% of revenue) last year. • Net earnings of $2.0M ($0.08 per share), vs. $2.1M ($0.08 per share) last year. • Adjusted net earnings(1) of $2.1M ($0.08 p

  41. Slide 41: Revenue Overview

    Revenue Overview Revenue (M$) Y/Y Variance Analysis Highlights $71.7 $69.3 Envelope: 22.4 (M$, except %) Envelope Packaging TOTAL (+) Higher volume reflecting efforts to 19.9 penetrate the U.S. market and the Q2-23 49.2 22.4 $71.7 acquisition of Forest Envelope Revenue Volume 8.4% - - (-) Lower aver

  42. Slide 42: Adjusted EBITDA and Net Earnings

    Adjusted EBITDA(1) and Net Earnings Adjusted EBITDA (M$)(1) & margin (%)(1) Net earnings (M$) & margin 15.0 24.0% $9.6 22.0% $9.0 20.0% 10.0 1.7 2.7 18.0% $2.1 $2.0 16.0% 13.3% 14.0% 13.0% 5.0 12.0% 2.9% 2.9% 9.7 10.0% 8.0 8.0% 0.0 6.0% -1.8 -1.7 Q2-23 Q2-24 4.0% Q2-23 Q2-24 2.0% -5.0 0.0% Envelope

  43. Slide 43: Net Earnings and Adjusted Net Earnings

    Net Earnings and Adjusted Net Earnings(1) Net earnings (M$) & EPS Adjusted net earnings(1) (M$) & per share(1) Q2-24 Elements $4.0 - Acquisition costs $2.1 $2.3 $2.1 - Asset impairment $2.0 $2.0 - Restructuring expenses $0.09 - Value adjustment on $0.08 $0.08 $0.08 acquired inventory through a busin

  44. Slide 44: Cash Flow from Operating Activities and Free Cash Flow

    Cash Flow from Operating Activities and Free Cash Flow Net Cash flow related to operating activities (M$) Free cash flow(1) (M$) Highlights $10.9 $10.0 $10.2 $9.8 (+) Lower working capital requirements (+) Lower capital expenditures (FCF) (-) Lower net earnings Q2-23 Q2-24 Q2-23 Q2-24 (1) This is a

  45. Slide 45: Financial Position Remains Solid

    Financial Position Remains Solid Total Debt (M$) Net Debt to Adj. EBITDA Ratio (1) Highlights 78.2 Graf-Pak Forest Envelope 69.2 • Q2 debt decrease reflects 56.8 76.9 54.9 free cash flow generation 68.1 51.8 1.3x 1.3x 1.3x 1.2x 1.1x 55.4 53.7 50.4 • Ample liquidity available • Ratio well below targe

  46. Slide 46: Outlook

    Outlook Positive factors • Financial position and cash flow are strong • Strong team, broad product offering, geographical diversification, solid supplier relationships Short-term concerns • Pace of recovery is slower than expected in industries served • Market recovery remains adversely impacted by

  47. Slide 47: Appendix

    TSX: SXP.TO APPENDIX INVESTOR PRESENTATION August 2024 47

  48. Slide 48: Q2 Supplemental Information - Summary

    Q2 Supplemental Information - Summary Selected Consolidated Financial Information Three-month periods Six-month periods (In thousands of dollars, except for margins) ended June 30 ended June 30 2024 2023 2024 2023 Revenue 69,337 71,666 142,605 160,088 Operating expenses 50,057 52,164 102,517 110,225

  49. Slide 49: Q2 Supplemental Information - Segmentation

    Q2 Supplemental Information - Segmentation Selected Consolidated Financial Information Three-month periods Six-month periods (In thousands of dollars, except for margins) ended June 30 ended June 30 2024 2023 2024 2023 Segmented Revenue Envelope 49,466 49,247 102,892 113,702 Packaging & specialty pr

  50. Slide 50: Non-IFRS Financial Measures

    Non-IFRS Financial Measures Measure Definition EBITDA EBITDA represents earnings before net financing charges, income tax expense, depreciation of property, plant and equipment and right-of-use assets and amortization of intangible assets. The Company uses EBITDA to assess its performance. Managemen

  51. Slide 51: Reconciliation of Non-IFRS Financial Measures

    Reconciliation of Non-IFRS Financial Measures Reconciliation of Net Earnings to Adjusted EBITDA Three-month periods Six-month periods (In thousands of dollars, except for margins) ended June 30 ended June 30 2024 2023 2024 2023 Net Earnings 1,980 2,113 5,476 11,609 Income tax expense 631 850 1,784 4

  52. Slide 52: Reconciliation of Non-IFRS Financial Measures

    Reconciliation of Non-IFRS Financial Measures Reconciliation of Net earnings to Adjusted net earnings and of Three-month periods Six-month periods Net earnings per share to Adjusted net earnings per share ended June 30 ended June 30 (In thousands of dollars, except for per share amounts) 2024 2023 2

  53. Slide 53: Reconciliation of Non-IFRS Financial Measures

    Reconciliation of Non-IFRS Financial Measures Reconciliation of Net Earnings to Adjusted EBITDA LTM Q2-24 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 (In thousands of dollars, except for margins) Revenue 284,704 302,187 272,467 226,430 204,604 191,669 Net earnings 11,201 17,334 28,436 15,752 7,495 7,088 Income tax exp

  54. Slide 54: Reconciliation of Non-IFRS Financial Measures

    Reconciliation of Non-IFRS Financial Measures Reconciliation of Net earnings to Adjusted net earnings and of Net earnings per share to Adjusted net earnings per share (In LTM Q2-24 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 thousands of dollars, except for per share amounts) Net earnings 11,201 17,334 28,436 15,752 7

  55. Slide 55: Reconciliation of Non-IFRS Financial Measures

    Reconciliation of Non-IFRS Financial Measures Reconciliation of Cash flows related to operating activities to Free Cash Flow LTM Q2-24 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 (In thousands of dollars) Net cash flows related to operating activities 41,670 43,899 26,914 29,996 37,025 20,181 Acquisitions (net of disp

  56. Slide 56: Reconciliation of Non-IFRS Financial Measures

    Reconciliation of Non-IFRS Financial Measures Reconciliation of Cash flows related to operating activities Q2-24 Q1-24 2023 Q4-23 Q3-23 Q2-23 Q1-23 2022 Q4-22 Q3-22 Q2-22 Q1-22 to Free Cash Flow (In thousands of dollars) Net cash flows related to operating 10,222 5,096 43,899 14,814 11,538 10,006 7,

  57. Slide 57: Reconciliation of Non-IFRS Financial Measures

    Reconciliation of Non-IFRS Financial Measures Net Debt to Adjusted EBITDA ratio (in thousands of dollars) Q2-24 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 Total debt 51,833 56,766 54,748 44,529 56,750 53,815 Deferred financing costs (186) (256) (334) (178) (307) (343) Cash (1,279) (1,066) (1,929) (6,365) (3,036) (2,2

  58. Slide 58: Reconciliation of Non-IFRS Financial Measures

    Reconciliation of Non-IFRS Financial Measures Net Debt to Adjusted Q2- Q1- Q4- Q3- Q2- Q1- Q4- Q3- Q2- Q1- EBITDA ratio (in thousands of dollars) 2024 2024 2023 2023 2023 2023 2022 2022 2022 2022 Total debt 51,833 54,877 56,766 69,163 78,624 81,352 54,748 33,053 36,673 44,878 Deferred financing (186

  59. Slide 59: Acquisition Details

    Acquisition Details Date Acquired Company Location Description May 1, 2024 Forest Envelope Group Bolingbrook, Illinois Specialty envelope manufacturer May 8, 2023 Graf-Pak Inc. Quebec Provider of folding carton packaging solutions January 16, 2023 Impression Paragraph Inc. Quebec Integrated provider

  60. Slide 60: www.supremex.com

    www.supremex.com Head Office investors@supremex.com 7213 Cordner Street Tel: (514)-731-0000 extension 229 LaSalle, Quebec H8N 2J7

Supremex — Q2 2024 Earnings Presentation on 6ix