Lodha Developers Ltd. · NSE:LODHA

Lodha Developers — Investor Presentation (September 2024)

60 slides from Lodha Developers's investor presentation, September 2024

  1. Slide 1: Corporate Presentation Sep 2024

    Corporate PRESENTATION Sep 2024

  2. Slide 2: Disclaimer

    Disclaimer Certain statements in this document may be forward-looking statements. Such forward-looking statements are subject to certain risks and uncertainties like regulatory changes, local political or economic developments, technological risks, and many other factors that could cause our actual

  3. Slide 3: Leading Indian housing platform with robust growth opportunities

    Lodha: Leading Indian housing platform with robust growth opportunities The Platform Growth Opportunities – Low investment annuity income streams Property Mgmt. & Residential Digital Infra. Rental Portfolio Digital Services ▪ Amongst India’s ▪ Developing ▪ Growing facilities ▪ Developing premium lar

  4. Slide 4: Continued strong performance

    Continued strong performance ▪ Q2FY25 pre-sales at lNR 42.9bn (21% YoY), best ever quarter Sales Momentum ▪ 1HFY25 pre-sales at INR 83.0bn (21% YoY), on track to achieve full year guidance ▪ Added 7 projects with GDV of INR ~166bn, having development potential of 8.5 msf saleable area Micro-market f

  5. Slide 5: Industry tailwinds

    O1 Industry tailwinds =LODHA = = = = £ = ee = MMAMMALAA

  6. Slide 6: Transition to middle income: Real Estate to grow ~2x faster than economy

    Transition to middle income: Real Estate to grow ~2x faster than the Indian economy GDP Growth USD ~3tn USD ~7-8tn ~2.5x FY22 FY31 FY22-31 Doubling of Real Estate Contribution 6-7% 13-15% to GDP FY22 FY31 contribution FY22-31 ~5x Real Estate Industry Size USD 200bn USD ~1tn FY22 FY31 (20% CAGR) FY22

  7. Slide 7: 75-100 mn new households to become home ownership capable

    75-100 mn new households to become ‘home ownership capable’ this decade Annual 2021 2030 Per capital income seen rising HH HH GDP: USD 3tn GDP: USD 7-8tn Income Category ~2.5x over FY20-32 HH: 296mn HH: 386mn (INR mn) >2.8 High Per Capital Income (USD) 9mn 23mn (6%) (3%) 6,000 68mn 5,000 4,819 0.5-2

  8. Slide 8: Strong affordability drives conversion of housing need to demand

    Strong affordability drives conversion of housing need to demand Rapid urbanization to create need for quality urban housing Family nuclearization India – Urbanization (%) Urban Household size 5.6 60 50 5.2 40 4.8 30 20 4.4 10 0 4.0 2011 1981 1991 2001 2021E 2026E 1990 2000 1950 1960 1970 1980 2010

  9. Slide 9: Robust job creation to sustain housing demand

    Robust job creation to sustain housing demand …has led to robust job creation, more than offsetting Increasing presence of GCC1 in India…. slowdown in hiring by IT services companies Jobs supported by GCC (in mn) 2.80 2,200 30% 50% 1,700 1,580 1.90 1,300 1.66 1,050 1.30 760 0.80 0.46 FY12 FY16 FY20

  10. Slide 10: Supply side consolidating - unlikely to keep pace with demand

    Supply side consolidating - unlikely to keep pace with accelerating demand …has led to market share gains for listed and leading Consolidation wave due to policy reforms and liquidity crisis… non-listed developers 60% >50% 34% Incremental supply from Developers count branded developers 2x 17% Remain

  11. Slide 11: Housing increasingly becoming a branded consumer product

    ‘Housing’ increasingly becoming a branded ‘Consumer Product’ Brand matters the most Consumed over decades Highest Investment value in lifestyle purchase upgrade of life Branded home Provides Tool for aspirational wealth address creation Provides quality assurance over long period 11

  12. Slide 12: Steady as it goes: Mortgage an enabler, not inducer of demand

    Steady as it goes: Mortgage an enabler, not inducer of demand ✓ Conservative Central Bank, low risk mortgage market: LTV < 85%, no teaser rates Mortgage as % of GDP 89% ✓ Rate cycle seem to have peaked, 68% pivot likely in 2HFY25 52% ✓ Strong performance of mortgages 44% 45% 39% through all parts of

  13. Slide 13: Low risk to margins from construction cost inflation

    Low risk to margins from construction cost inflation ✓ Construction costs typically forms 25% to 45% of the sales price o Of which, one-third is related to low skilled and semi-skilled labor: plentiful supply through migration from rural areas (250+ mn people estimated to be ‘underemployed’ in agric

  14. Slide 14: Moderate construction cost inflation

    Moderate construction cost inflation Mar’21 to Sep’24 Commodity/Component % Share in total cost % Change Weighed Impact Steel 11.7% -10.5% -1.2% Flooring materials 5.2% 16.5% 0.9% Electrical 3.9% 11.8% 0.5% Plumbing 2.2% -8.8% -0.2% Labour 34.0% 14.2% 4.8% External Windows 3.3% 10.1% 0.3% RMC 12.3%

  15. Slide 15: Lodha's Right-to-win

    O2 Lodha’s Right-to-win LODHA

  16. Slide 16: Differentiated business model to deliver superior returns (1/2)

    Differentiated business model to deliver superior returns (1/2) Predictable and consistent Pre-sales growth from diversified presence ▪ Not dependent on any single segment, location or project Pre-sales • Presence across all segments - luxury, premium, mid-income & affordable • ~40 operating project

  17. Slide 17: Differentiated business model to deliver superior returns (2/2)

    Differentiated business model to deliver superior returns (2/2) Superior Returns & Robust Cashflows ▪ Bring to market expeditiously- launch within 9-12 months of land acquisition Fastest land to cash ▪ Accelerated monetization of land through product innovations – Apartments, plots & cycle villas, b

  18. Slide 18: '20:20' Action Plan

    ‘20:20’ Action Plan INR bn Focus to deliver ~20% Pre-sales CAGR & 20% RoE with net debt ceiling of 0.5x D/E 210 ~20% ~20 % CAGR 17% ~300bps 145 FY24 FY26 FY24 FY26 Pre-Sales RoE (Proforma) 18

  19. Slide 19: ~20% ROE through mix of owned & JDA projects

    ~20% ROE through mix of ‘owned’ & ‘JDA’ projects Share of pre-sales in steady PBT Margin Profile ROE Profile state Owned land projects ~60% 27-30% 15% to 20% JDA ~40% 17-19% 30+% Overall ~20% 19

  20. Slide 20: Significant headroom for growth in our existing markets

    Significant headroom for growth in our existing markets INR bn MMR Pune Bangalore FY24 market share ~10% ~5% ~2% ~2,350 ~850 ~950 ~10 % ~10 % ~10 % CAGR CAGR CAGR ~1,000 ~350 ~400 Market Size FY22 FY31 FY22 FY31 FY22 FY31 Likely market share ~20% ~15% ~12% by decade end FY31 Pre-sales ~470 ~130 ~120

  21. Slide 21: Business Strategy

    Business Strategy ✓ Micro-market focused growth strategy in MMR, Pune & Bangalore through capital light JDA model ✓ MMR: Largest developer with dominant presence in just three of the seven micro-markets o Holding market share in the three micro-markets o Growing significantly in micro-markets with l

  22. Slide 22: Establishing presence across MMR through 'Supermarket' strategy

    Establishing presence across MMR through ‘Supermarket’ strategy 4. Thane 1. Extended Western Suburbs Vasai Naigaon Added 2 projects with GDV of INR 15bn Potential growth market for Lodha 1 Bhayander Absorption: INR 135bn Absorption: INR 85bn Mira Road Ghodbunder 4 5. Extended Eastern Suburbs Kalyan

  23. Slide 23: Pune – Will contribute to growth in a sustainable manner

    Pune – Will contribute to growth in a sustainable manner Accelerating growth in INR 550bn market by establishing presence across multiple locations 1. Pimpri-Chinchwad 4. Central Pre-IPO, had 1 project Pre-IPO, had no presence With annual sales potential of INR >2bn Added 1 project with GDV of INR ~

  24. Slide 24: Bengaluru – Entering growth phase, aiming ~15% market share

    Bengaluru – Entering growth phase, aiming ~15% market share in medium term ✓ Launched two projects in last 12 months to strong consumers response - achieved INR 14bn of sales ✓ Lodha – received as premium brand, reflected in price premium ✓ Construction in full swing ✓ Local empowered team in place

  25. Slide 25: Bengaluru – Good start to two pilot projects

    Bengaluru – Good start to two pilot projects Market size: INR ~550bn Micro-market Market Size (INR bn) 1 South 210 2 East 170 3 North 125 4 West 40 5 Central 5 Total 550 Tied up INR ~58bn of GDV with development potential of ~6.1 msf across four projects Source: Anarock 25

  26. Slide 26: Exponential growth in presales – Supermarket strategy paying dividend

    Exponential growth in presales – Supermarket strategy paying good dividend in targeted micro-markets INR bn Pune MMR – Eastern Suburbs 18.0 19.7 Exponential!! 11.3 12.3 ~9x 5.5 2.0 1.4 0.0 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24 26

  27. Slide 27: Ongoing infra projects to supercharge Palava's growth

    Ongoing infra projects (Airport, Metro, Bullet Train, Multi-modal Corridor etc.) to supercharge Palava’s growth Mumbai – Ahmedabad Virar Extended Eastern Virar – Alibaug Multimodal High-Speed Rail (CY28/CY29) Suburbs Corridor (CY30) 1st station after BKC at Palava, Extended Western Puts Palava at ce

  28. Slide 28: Palava & Upper Thane set to deliver US$175-200 bn of sales

    Palava & Upper Thane set to deliver US$175-200 bn of sales over next 3 decades with ~50% EBITDA margins 3 mega trends shaping Palava & Upper Thane to become sought after suburbs 1. Mumbai – World’s densest metropolis, sea restricts expansion in West and South 2. India going through once in a country

  29. Slide 29: Palava is at the epicenter of MMR's infrastructure upgrades

    Palava is at the epicenter of Mumbai Metropolitan Region (MMR)’s infrastructure upgrades Towards Ahmedabad Palava Palava Katai Naka Bullet Train Station ~40 min Drive Airoli Katai Naka Corridor Palava to Airoli ~10-15 mins ~5 mins Palava ~20 mins Tunnel Through Parsik Hills Airoli – To BKC Navi Mumb

  30. Slide 30: Value unlock at Palava

    Value unlock at Palava INR mn/acre ✓ Palava to undergo paradigm shift in value unlocking with: o Introduction of planned premium housing development – “Waterfront” and “Golf View” o Ongoing significant traction from high-value add economic activities ✓ Signed up a leading global hyperscale data cent

  31. Slide 31: Palava: Large pricing arbitrage compared to competing markets

    Palava: Large pricing arbitrage compared to competing markets: Opportunity to increase price + volume Palava 10k Thane 16k-21k BKC Airoli 50k- 18k- 65k 22k Goregaon 32k -40k Mulund 22k -26k Palava & Upper Thane set to deliver US$175-200 bn of sales over next 3 decades with ~50% EBITDA margins Nos in

  32. Slide 32: Data centres a huge opportunity for value creation in Palava

    Data centres a huge opportunity for value creation in Palava ✓ Large userbase, affordable data packs, 3rd largest startup ecosystem makes India capable of becoming a major Data Centre market ✓ MMR, with nine cable landings, is preferred location for establishing large scale data centres; accounts fo

  33. Slide 33: Club Lakeshore @ Palava – Opened 2017

    Actual Photograph Club Lakeshore @ Palava – Opened 2017

  34. Slide 34: Lodha Villa Royale @ Upper Thane – Opened 2022

    Actual Photograph Lodha Villa Royale @ Upper Thane – Opened 2022

  35. Slide 35: Pro-forma P&L (basis operating performance)

    Pro-forma P&L (basis operating performance) FY24 FY25E 1HFY25 Particulars INR Bn % INR Bn % INR Bn % Pre-sales 145.2 175.0 83.2 Embedded EBITDA 44.0 30% 54.3 31% 27.9 34% D&A 2.0 2.0 1.3 Finance Cost 7.7 5.0 2.5 PBT 34.3 24% 47.3 27% 24.1 29% Taxes (assumed rate: 25.2%) 8.6 11.7 6.1 PAT 25.7 18% 35.

  36. Slide 36: Guidance for FY25

    Guidance for FY25 INR bn FY24 Actuals FY25 Guidance 1HFY25 Pre-Sales 145 175 83 Q2 OCF ~75% higher than Q1; Significant growth planned in H2 as construction picks Operating Cashflow 57 65 18 up post monsoon, and aids collections New Project Additions 203 210 166 Pre-QIP: 0.34x Net Debt/Equity <= 0.5

  37. Slide 37: Strong management team

    Strong management team Shaishav Dharia Deepak Chitnis Sushil Kumar Modi CEO – Extended Eastern Suburbs, Chief Designer Thane, Annuity Assets Chief Financial Officer ◼ Previously served as senior architect ◼ Formerly worked with McKinsey & ◼ Formerly worked at GMR, Aditya 27+ Excellent at Oberoi doma

  38. Slide 38: Building annuity streams with low investments

    03 Building annuity streams with low investments 38

  39. Slide 39: Gradually building annuity income pool

    Gradually building annuity income pool ◼ Focus on developing premium high street retail as adjunct to residential developments Office & ◼ Select high quality offices Retail ◼ 2.9 msf area with rental potential of INR 5.6bn by FY31 ◼ Growing facilities management business ◼ Have a captive base of 65,

  40. Slide 40: Strong visibility of rental income from already acquired assets

    Strong visibility of rental income from already acquired assets Potential Annual Rental Already Balance Total Area Annuity Asset Type Area leased (msf) income (FY31) invested investment (msf) (INR bn) (INR bn) (INR bn) Highstreet Retail 1.64 0.11 3.31 3.15 9.88 RTMI 0.20 0.11 0.45 1.24 0.00 UC 1.05

  41. Slide 41: Retail – Annuity stream adjunct to our core resi. business

    Retail – Annuity stream adjunct to our core resi. business ✓ Creating portfolio of High Street retail across our developments o Significant contributor to our annuity stream o Enhance quality of our developments ✓ Additionally, have a mall at Palava with 0.4 msf gross leasable area ✓ Potential to ge

  42. Slide 42: Digital Infra.: Steady growth potential

    Digital Infra.: Steady growth potential ✓ Acquired ~45 acres of land in Chennai, first outside MMR ✓ In advance discussion for acquiring land in other cities ✓ Increased our stake in the rental income (PropCo) from our Digital Infrastructure platform to 66.7% (from earlier ~33%). ✓ Strong demand fro

  43. Slide 43: Growing facilities management business with a digital services layer

    Growing facilities management business with a digital services layer ✓ Growing facilities management business on the back of rising number households staying in Lodha developments o Captive base of 65,000 households o Strong understanding of consumers and their spending patterns ✓ Added digital laye

  44. Slide 44: Growing in sustainable manner

    04 Growing in sustainable manner 44

  45. Slide 45: We are best in class when it comes to measured ESG performance

    We are best in class when it comes to measured ESG performance S&P Global Corporate GRESB Development Benchmark MSCI ESG Rating Sustainability Assessment 2024 2024 Third highest CSA score out of ~500 Ranked 1st in Asia with a 5-star rating Received relative of rating ‘A’ (from AAA- companies globall

  46. Slide 46: Eminent Board of Directors

    Eminent Board of Directors Mukund Chitale, Independent Director and Chairman ◼ Formerly Director on the Board of L&T ◼ Former President of ICAI and Chairman of Ethics Committee of BSE Rajinder Pal Singh, Non-Executive Director ◼ Director on the Board of Maruti Suzuki ◼ Former Chairman and Managing D

  47. Slide 47: Our Sustainability Strategy: Do Good, Do Well

    Our Sustainability Strategy: Do Good, Do Well We recognize ESG issues as long-term risks that also present opportunities for value creation when strategically addressed. Our strategy enables us to identify initiatives that amplify our impact and foster collaboration with our diverse stakeholders on

  48. Slide 48: Strategy to achieve the overarching ESG Goals

    Strategy to achieve the overarching ESG Goals • Near-term targets: • Reduce absolute scope 1 and 2 GHG emissions 97.9% by FY2028 from a FY2022 base year • Reduce scope 3 GHG emissions 51.6% per square meter of area developed by FY2030 from a FY2022 base year • Long-term target: • Maintain at least 9

  49. Slide 49: Progress made in Environmental Sustainability

    Progress made in Environmental Sustainability Overarching Achieve 97.9% reduction in Scope1, 2 emission in operations by the year 2028 Goals Align Scope 3 emissions reduction roadmap with 1.5 ℃ ambition Be resilient to climate change while not contributing to global warming Through “Lodha Net Zero U

  50. Slide 50: Progress made in Social and Governance dimensions

    Progress made in Social and Governance dimensions Governance Social Board Our People Communities Diversity & Inclusion Enabling Livelihood for Women Women represent 26%* of employee strength as Project Unnati - Aimed at empowering and Board led by an Independent of Mar-24 enabling women to participa

  51. Slide 51: Financial Highlights

    05 Financial Highlights LODHA

  52. Slide 52: Strong execution track record

    Strong execution track record Collections (INR bn) Sales (INR bn) 113 106 145 86 91 86 82 121 58 90 51 81 83 72 66 60 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24 1HFY25 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23^ FY24^ 1HFY25 Summary financials (INR bn) FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24 1HFY25 Revenue from operations 54.5 92.3 94.7 10

  53. Slide 53: Generating significant operational cashflow for growth

    Generating significant operational cashflow for growth INR bn Net debt well below guidance of 0.5x of net D/E; cost Operating cashflow at INR 57bn of debt on declining trajectory Steady cashflow on lower contribution of RTMI sales 12.3% 57 57 40 10.5% 9.8% 9.4% 8.9% 161 93 71 30 49 FY22 FY23 FY24 Ma

  54. Slide 54: Business Development 1HFY25

    Business Development 1HFY25 Micro-market Period Added Saleable Area (msf) Est. GDV MMR – Western Suburbs Q1-25 1.1 77 MMR – Western Suburbs Q1-25 0.2 16 Pune - West Q1-25 1.4 18 Bangalore – North Q2-25 2.1 24 Bangalore – South Q2-25 1.7 14 Pune – South West Q2-25 0.3 0.4 Pune – Pimpri Chinchwad Q2-2

  55. Slide 55: Micro-market wise supply

    Micro-market wise supply Planned Inventory Launches Residual Collections Ready Ongoing In next 12 months1 12 to 60 months Land Micro-markets from Sold unsold unsold Bank Own JDA Own JDA units Land Projects Land Projects INR bn Mn. Sq. ft. Largest land bank amongst South & Central 46.8 1.0 1.6 0.3 1.

  56. Slide 56: Revenue recognition for a financial year

    Revenue recognition for a financial year Illustration for revenue recognition in FY26 Contracts entered before Contracts entered after Mar- Mar-23 (under PCM (100%)) 23 (under POCM (Progressive)) ‘FY26 Pre-sales’ basis cost incurred as percentage of total cost Under PCM (100%) for Sales done from un

  57. Slide 57: Market wise completion plan for ongoing 'for sale' projects (1/2)

    Market wise completion plan for ongoing ‘for sale’ projects (1/2) Mn. Sq. ft. 2HFY25 FY26 FY27 >= FY28 Sold/ Micro-market Total area Unsold1 Own JDA Own JDA Own JDA Own JDA Sold-PCM 0.08 - 0.02 - 0.11 0.06 - - South & Central 2.85 Sold-POCM 0.11 - 0.31 - 0.05 0.42 0.12 - Mumbai Unsold 0.19 - 0.14 -

  58. Slide 58: Market wise completion plan for ongoing 'for sale' projects (2/2)

    Market wise completion plan for ongoing ‘for sale’ projects (2/2) Mn. Sq. ft. Sold/ 2HFY25 FY26 FY27 >= FY28 Micro-market Total area Unsold1 Own JDA Own JDA Own JDA Own JDA Sold-PCM - 0.17 - 0.31 - 0.20 - - Eastern Suburbs 4.49 Sold-POCM - 0.08 - 0.11 - 1.16 0.07 0.09 Unsold - 0.10 - 0.17 - 1.27 0.6

  59. Slide 59: Lodha – India's leading real estate developer

    Lodha – India’s leading real estate developer Leading Residential Platform Strong Financial Profile Multiple Growth Drivers Amongst India’s Largest Real Estate Strong operating cash flow generation giving ability to grow with low leverage Planned consistent growth of ~20% p.a. Developers in housing

  60. Slide 60: Thank You!

    Thank You! For any further information, please write to investor.relations@lodhagroup.com 60

Lodha Developers — Investor Presentation (September 2024) on 6ix