Deutsche Lufthansa Ag · XETR:LHA

Deutsche Lufthansa — Q3 2023 Earnings Presentation

49 slides from Deutsche Lufthansa's earnings presentation, November 2023

  1. Slide 1: Investor Presentation November 2023

    Investor Presentation November 2023

  2. Slide 2: Disclaimer

    Disclaimer IMPORTANT: The following applies to this document and the oral presentation of the information in this document by Deutsche Lufthansa Aktiengesellschaft (the “Company”, and together with its consolidated subsidiaries, the “Group”) or any person on behalf of the Company, any question-and-a

  3. Slide 3: Disclaimer

    Disclaimer This Presentation does not constitute or form part of, and should not be construed as, an offer to sell or issue, or the solicitation of an offer to purchase, subscribe to or acquire, securities of the Company, its affiliates or an inducement to enter into investment activity in the Unite

  4. Slide 4: Third Quarter 2023 Results

    Third Quarter 2023 Results Strategy Update Investment in ITA Airways Operational and financial outlook Appendix Page 4

  5. Slide 5: All Q3 key figures exceed the previous year's level

    All Q3 key figures exceed the previous year's level (in EUR million) Q3 ’23 Q3 ’22 Change in % Revenues 10,275 9,537 +8 Operating expenses 9,561 9,114 +5 Of which fuel 2,266 2,475 -8 Of which staff 2,066 1,927 +7 Of which depreciation 558 554 +1 Adjusted EBITDA 2,026 1,678 +21 Adjusted EBIT 1,468 1,

  6. Slide 6: Passenger Airlines: Very strong performance over summer

    Passenger Airlines: Very strong performance over summer Operational KPIs Adjusted EBIT/(margin) Comments in EUR million ▪ All Group airlines report double-digit Q3 ’23 vs. 2022 vs. 2019 Adj. EBIT margins as demand remains robust, especially in (premium) leisure ASK 87,686 +12.9% -12.0% ▪ Performance

  7. Slide 7: SWISS, Austrian and Brussels Airlines achieve record results in Q3

    SWISS, Austrian Airlines and Brussels Airlines achieve record results in Q3 ASK Revenue Adj. EBIT Adj. EBIT Q3 Performance vs. 2019 [m EUR] [m EUR] margin Lufthansa German Airlines -17.4% 4,755 641 13.5% SWISS -8.5% 1.703 327 19.2% Austrian Airlines -7.1% 741 129 17.4% Brussels Airlines -17.5% 479 7

  8. Slide 8: Lufthansa Technik on course for record result – Cargo demand stabilizing

    Lufthansa Technik on course for record result – Cargo demand stabilizing Adjusted EBIT/(margin) in EUR million Comments 331 (29.0%) ▪ Cargo business impacted by weak 1 demand in the global air cargo market Q3 ’23 Q3 ’22 in a seasonally weak quarter ▪ Stabilization of Cargo yields (Q3: +39% vs. 2019)

  9. Slide 9: Free cash flow performance driven by strong operating result

    Free cash flow performance driven by strong operating result, booking increases and strict working capital management YTD Adjusted EBIT / Adjusted free cash flow in EUR million (345) 186 4,320 972 (430) Q3 FCF: 1,657 (2,415) EUR 592m 2,280 (242) 1,663 Adjusted D&A Liability from Receivables Remainin

  10. Slide 10: Net debt and pension deficit decline further in Q3

    Net debt and pension deficit decline further in Q3 Liquidity Net debt and net pension liabilities1 EUR billion EUR billion Comments Increase in 11.1 pension ▪ Strong free cash flow generation 10.4 2.1 8.9 discount rate reduces the Group’s leverage 2.1 Target liquidity: by 0.2%p. ratio (Adj. net debt

  11. Slide 11: Strategy Update

    Third Quarter 2023 Results Strategy Update Investment in ITA Airways Operational and financial outlook Appendix Page 11

  12. Slide 12: Lufthansa Group is delivering on its key strategic priorities

    Lufthansa Group is delivering on its key strategic priorities Customer New Product Multi-Airline Transformation into Experience Generation Multi-Hub an Airline Group Page 12

  13. Slide 13: New Cabins Allegris

    New Allegris Cabins Customer-focused Innovation Terminal 6 Digital at JFK Offers Page 13

  14. Slide 14: Product and service innovations in premium

    Customer Product Multi-Airline Airline Group Comprehensive product and service innovations underline our aspiration to define premium in the European airline industry New Premium Introduction of 27 Economy already in the air New First hirings in at SWISS ground Class suite 7 seat options in Business

  15. Slide 15: Lufthansa Group accelerates fleet modernization

    Customer Product Multi-Airline Airline Group Lufthansa Group accelerates fleet modernization Order book well filled with nearly 100 NewGen long-haul aircraft Today New Normal 380 748 748 744  789 34x 779 773 773 779 20x 772  6 older A/C 35K types to be 35K 10x phased out 359 359 completely in 789

  16. Slide 16: Technological and commercial innovation are key to decarbonization

    Customer Product Multi-Airline Airline Group Technological and commercial innovation are key to decarbonization Technology drives Rising contribution Among top-ranked emission reduction made by customers airlines in CDP Specific CO2 emissions: New Green fares launched Received top score (A-) in -11%

  17. Slide 17: Emission reduction targets validated by SBTi

    Customer Product Multi-Airline Airline Group Group’s emission reduction targets successfully validated by Science Based Targets initiative (SBTi) Index LHG CO2 Emissions (not to scale) Major levers for CO2 Reduction: 110 Growth Fleet (SBTi relevance) Reduction ▪ Fleet rollover 100 SBTi Sector Guidan

  18. Slide 18: Multi-Hub and Multi-Brand strategy is key for success

    Customer Product Multi-Airline Airline Group Multi-Hub and Multi-Brand strategy is key for the success of Lufthansa Group Customer centricity: • Strong national brands with unique identity • Customer offering tailored to market- specific needs • Connected networks offer maximum connectivity JOINT OP

  19. Slide 19: Significant progress in the transformation into an Airline group

    Customer Product Multi-Airline Airline Group Significant progress in the transformation into an Airline group Divesting non-core assets Consolidating the European Market LSG: 41% Investment in ITA Airways: Sale Ongoing dialogue with EU Commission, closed in expected closing in early 2024 October Air

  20. Slide 20: Investment in ITA Airways

    Third Quarter 2023 Results Strategy Update Investment in ITA Airways Operational and financial outlook Appendix Page 20

  21. Slide 21: ITA provides access to the attractive Italian market

    ITA provides the Group even better access to the very attractive Italian market and regional diversification Italy– aiskey market for Lufthansa Group Italy ITA & Lufthansa Group 3rd largest Economy in ▪ Attractive proposition to grow a profitable long- the EU (GDP) haul business in Rome Fiumicino ▪

  22. Slide 22: Transaction terms minimize the Group's financial risk

    Transaction terms minimize the Group’s financial risk and create optionality ▪ Acquisition of 41% of shares in ITA Airways through a capital increase ▪ Investment into the company’s equity, no payment to Italian Ministry of Economy and Finance (MEF) Key terms ▪ Capital increase of EUR 325 million fu

  23. Slide 23: ITA Airways fully restructured as a cost-competitive airline

    ITA Airways has been fully restructured and set up as a structurally cost- competitive airline with no legacy issues associated with the old Alitalia 2019 2020 / 2021 2022 Crew and cabin contracts renegotiated Passengers Italia Passengers: 10.1m Nov & no pension obligations from Alitalia Trasporto 2

  24. Slide 24: Sound plan to turn ITA into a profitable airline

    Lufthansa Group has a sound plan to turn ITA into a profitable airline Optimizing the network Driving profitable growth Maximizing synergies ▪ Ensure that ITA’s network is ▪ Capitalize on ITA’s favorable ▪ Unlock the significant potential complementary to the existing cost position for revenue and c

  25. Slide 25: Rome Fiumicino as Southern Hub and Milan Linate

    Network Profitable growth Synergies Rome Fiumicino as new Southern Hub and Milan Linate as premium point-to-point airport will interconnect the ITA and LHG networks Feeder network Rome Fiumicino Milan Linate ▪ Enhance the short-haul network for ▪ Focus the long-haul network on ▪ Expand the touristic

  26. Slide 26: Competitive cost base and modern fleet

    Network Profitable growth Synergies Competitive cost base and homogenous, modern fleet form a solid base for future growth Favorable cost position Modernized fleet 94 NewGen Highly competitive A330-900neo ▪ Homogeneous, all Airbus labour cost A350-900 fleet, allowing for 66 A320 efficiencies in oper

  27. Slide 27: ITA can realize its full potential with Lufthansa Group

    Network Profitable growth Synergies In combination with Lufthansa Group, ITA can realize its full potential by benefitting from the size and synergies of a global group COMMERCIAL & Global network management Access to global airline partner network (e.g. A++ JV with United and Air Canada) Global Int

  28. Slide 28: Investment in ITA Airways has significant value for shareholders

    Investment in ITA Airways has significant value for our shareholders Upgrade picture ITA Airways is a perfect addition to the quality portfolio of Lufthansa Group airlines Restructured and structurally cost-competitive airline: Sound plan in place to turn ITA profitable Investment approach minimizes

  29. Slide 29: Operational and financial outlook

    Third Quarter 2023 Results Strategy Update Investment in ITA Airways Operational and financial outlook Appendix Page 29

  30. Slide 30: Demand remains strong beyond summer

    Demand remains strong also beyond summer – with plenty of growth opportunities remaining Bookings Demand recovery by customer segment Pax in % vs. 2022 Jul & Aug 2023, Pax in % vs. 2019 Around 80% of total 100% VFR* bookings expected in 95% Q4 already received 95% Ind. Leisure 94% 113 115 114 118 10

  31. Slide 31: Planned 2024 capacity compares favorably to demand recovery

    Lufthansa Group’s planned capacity in 2024 compares favorably to the recovery in customer demand, supporting the unit revenue outlook North Atlantic China ~105% Europe ~80% ~100% ~110% ~65% ~105% APAC ex-China ~95% ~95% Estimated regional split of the RoW APAC Group’s 2024 10%p. capacity growth capa

  32. Slide 32: Building on competitive advantages in a capacity-constrained industry

    The Group is building on its competitive advantages in a capacity-constrained industry Industry-wide bottlenecks persist Lufthansa Group has better access to scarce resources Delays in new aircraft deliveries & Delivery of c.30 NewGen shortages in the supply of spare parts aircraft expected in 2024

  33. Slide 33: Lufthansa Cargo's unique market position

    Lufthansa Cargo’s unique market position expected to support performance also in the future Evaluation of At the Modern aircraft k retirement of all forefront of Pure 777F aircraft >25 years digitization long haul fleet Yields are normalizing in 2023 but eCommerce remain above pre-crisis level push

  34. Slide 34: Lufthansa Technik well positioned in an attractive market

    Lufthansa Technik well positioned to remain a leader in a very attractive market Leading position in highly Strongest portfolio of At the forefront of the attractive MRO market customers and OEM industry’s digital partnerships transformation ▪ >4,000 aircraft under exclusive ▪ Leading MRO portfolio

  35. Slide 35: Fuel cost forecast and hedging

    The forecast for fuel costs in 2023 has increased due to the rising oil price - a high hedge ratio offers good protection in 2024 Expected fuel cost sensitivity after hedging (FY 2023)1 Fuel unit costs expected to be stable in 2024 115 Ø Market price crude oil2 0 +50 +50 +100 +150 Fuel unit costs 10

  36. Slide 36: Financial outlook for 2023 reconfirmed

    Financial outlook for 2023 reconfirmed Full Year 2023 Around 85% of 2019 levels Capacity (ASK) (Q4 2023: c. 91%) Adjusted EBIT Above EUR 2.6bn Adjusted Free Cashflow Significantly positive Net CapEx EUR 2.5 - 3.0bn Page 36

  37. Slide 37: The Group is confident to further improve performance in 2024

    The Group is confident to further improve performance in 2024 Key assumptions for 2024 Mid-single digit %-rate cost inflation (before mitigation measures) Solid demand growth Adjusted EBIT margin At least 8% Increase of capacity to c. 95% of 2019 Adjusted ROCE Further system-wide operational At leas

  38. Slide 38: Appendix

    Third Quarter 2023 Results Strategy Update Investment in ITA Airways Operational and financial outlook Appendix Page 38

  39. Slide 39: Traffic Data

    Traffic Data Jul vs.2019 Aug vs.2019 Sep vs.2019 Q3 vs.2019 Passengers in 1,000 12,979 -11.2% 12,682 -10.5% 12,510 -10.5% 38,171 -10.7% Available seat-kilometers (m) 29,724 -12.1% 29,401 -12.4% 28,562 -11.4% 87,686 -12.0% Revenue seat-kilometers (m) 25,915 -11.8% 25,280 -13.7% 24,420 -10.7% 75,615 -

  40. Slide 40: Operating KPIs of Passenger Airlines by region

    Operating KPIs of Passenger Airlines by region vs. 2019 (unless stated otherwise) Total Q3’23 Europe Q3’23 Asia / Pacific Q3’23 Number of flights -16.0% ASK -2.2% ASK -37.4% ASK -12.0% RPK -0.5% RPK -38.4% RPK -12.1% SLF +1.5pts. SLF -1.5pts. SLF -0.1pts. RASK incl. currency1) +14.5% RASK incl. curr

  41. Slide 41: Calculation of operational airline KPIs

    Calculation of operational airline KPIs Passenger Airlines, Q3 2023 1) Traffic revenues (€m) 8,108 1) Total Revenues (€m) 8,522 2) Not assignable (€m) 723 2) Other operating income (€m) 288 Yield = 3) Basis for Yield (1)–(2) (€m) 7,385 3) Reversal of provisions (€m) 19 RASK 4) RPK (m) 1 75,615 4) FX

  42. Slide 42: Group P&L Q3

    Group P&L Lufthansa Group (in EUR m) Q3 ’23 vs. Q3 ’22 Revenues 10,275 +8% Total operating income 10,901 +7% Operating expenses 9,561 +5% Of which fees & charges 1,249 +16% Of which fuel 2,266 -8% Of which staff 2,066 +7% Of which depreciation 558 +1% Result from equity investments 128 +137% Adjuste

  43. Slide 43: Group P&L 9M

    Group P&L Lufthansa Group (in EUR m) 9M ’23 vs. 9M ’22 Revenues 26,681 +18% Total operating income 28,746 +19% Operating expenses 26,571 +14% Of which fees & charges 3,360 +22% Of which fuel 5,886 +5% Of which staff 6,047 +15% Of which depreciation 1,657 +1% Result from equity investments 105 +1400%

  44. Slide 44: EBIT / Adjusted EBIT bridge Jan - Sep 2023

    EBIT / Adjusted EBIT bridge Jan - Sep 2023 in EUR million 2,218 2,280 40 27 (2) (3) EBIT Impairment of non- M&A related expenses net Book gains Others Adjusted EBIT current assets / assets held for sale Page 44

  45. Slide 45: Adjusted EBIT / Net Income Jan - Sep 2023

    Adjusted EBIT / Net Income Jan - Sep 2023 in EUR million 2,280 (62) (248) 50 (366) 1,606 (36) (12) Adjusted EBIT Adjustments Interest result Others Tax result Profit/loss from Profit/loss Net EBIT discontinued attributable to Income operations minority interests Page 45

  46. Slide 46: Adjusted EBIT by Airline

    Adjusted EBIT by Airline Adjusted EBIT (in EUR m) Q3 ’23 Q3 ’22 Change in % 9M ’23 9M ’22 Change in % Lufthansa German Airlines 641 224 186 790 -574 n.m.f. SWISS 327 234 40 676 279 142 Austrian Airlines 129 110 17 144 4 3,500 Brussels Airlines 71 52 37 59 -37 n.m.f Eurowings 181 103 76 147 -136 n.m.

  47. Slide 47: Cash flow statement

    Cash flow statement Lufthansa Group (in m EUR) Q3 ’23 vs. Q3 ’221 EBT (earnings before income taxes) 1,536 +458 1 Depreciation & amortization (incl. repairable MRO materials) +563 +10 Net proceeds from disposal of non-current assets +9 +16 Significant improvement in the operating 1 result compared t

  48. Slide 48: Multi-year financial overview

    Multi-year financial overview Lufthansa Group (in EUR million, as reported) 2016 2017 2018 20191 2020 2021 20224 Operating KPIs RASK ex currency -5.9% +1.9% -0.5% -2.5% -26.7% -6.1% -6.1% CASK ex currency, ex fuel2 -2.5% -1.8% -1.7% -1.5% +84.6% -25.8% -25.8% Profit & Loss Revenues 31,660 35,579 35,

  49. Slide 49: Maturity profile of borrowings as of September 30, 2023

    Maturity profile of borrowings as of September 30, 2023 in EUR million 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 0 YTG 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 Straight Bond Hybrid Convertible Bond Schuldscheindarlehen Aircraft Finance (secured) Other* *Mainly bilateral loans – does not include operating lea

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