Cno Financial Group, Inc. · NYSE:CNO

Cno Financial — Q1 2012 Earnings Presentation

66 slides from Cno Financial's earnings presentation, May 1, 2012

  1. Slide 1: 1Q12 Financial and operating results

    1Q12 Financial and operating results for the period ended March 31, 2012 May 1, 2012 Unless otherwise specified, comparisons in this presentation are between 1Q12 and 1Q11. Exhibit 99.1

  2. Slide 2: Forward-Looking Statements

    CNO Financial Group 2 Forward-Looking Statements Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Statements. Our statements, trend analyses and other information contained in these materials relative to markets for CNO Financial’s products and trends in CNO Financial’s operations or financial results

  3. Slide 3: Non-GAAP Measures

    CNO Financial Group 3 Non-GAAP Measures This presentation contains the following financial measures that differ from the comparable measures under Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP): operating earnings measures; book value, excluding accumulated other comprehensive income (loss) per sha

  4. Slide 4: Adoption of New Accounting Standard

    CNO Financial Group 4 Adoption of New Accounting Standard Effective January 1, 2012, we adopted ASU 2010-26 which modified the definition of the types of acquisition costs that can be deferred by insurance companies. We elected to adopt the new guidance on a retrospective basis. Accordingly, all pri

  5. Slide 5: CNO Financial Group

    E 3 CNO FINANCIAL GROUP CNO Financial Group

  6. Slide 6: Summary

    CNO Financial Group 6 Summary  Our businesses continue to perform well – Solid earnings continued – Sales growth of 12% over 1Q2011  Financial strength and credit profile continue to improve – Generating significant amounts of excess capital – Continued share buybacks and related debt prepayments

  7. Slide 7: Operating EPS Excluding Significant Items

    CNO Financial Group 7 Operating EPS Excluding Significant Items* (Diluted) CNO Weighted average diluted shares (in millions): 307.5 297.3 Earnings Drivers:  Business growth and retention  In-force margin improvement  Favorable claim experience  Proactive capital deployment * A non-GAAP measure.

  8. Slide 8: Operating ROE

    CNO Financial Group 8 Operating ROE CNO Operating ROE*, Trailing 4 Quarters Average common shareholders’ equity, excluding AOCI and net operating loss carryforwards, trailing 4 quarters: $2,610.1 $2,688.1 $2,761.5 $2,828.0 $2,895.6 ($ millions) 1Q11 6.0% 2Q11 6.3% 3Q11 6.0% 4Q11 6.1% 1Q12 5.8%  Tra

  9. Slide 9: Growth in the CNO Franchise

    CNO Financial Group 9 $12,106.9 $12,765.2 $13,145.0 $2,676.8 $2,637.6 $2,630.0 $704.0 $710.7 $698.0 Growth in the CNO Franchise ($ millions) $16,485.7 Average liabilities on core business segments are increasing, while OCB is shrinking CNO $15,481.7 $16,106.8 2010 2011 1Q2012 $5,511.5 $5,286.1 $5,10

  10. Slide 10: Financial Strength

    CNO Financial Group 10 Financial Strength CNO * Risk-Based Capital (“RBC”) requirements provide a tool for insurance regulators to determine the levels of statutory capital and surplus an insurer must maintain in relation to its insurance and investment risks. The RBC ratio is the ratio of the statu

  11. Slide 11: 1Q2012 Recap

    CNO Financial Group 11 1Q2012 Recap CNO Continuing to generate significant excess capital Investing in our growth Profitability, financial strength and credit profile further improving

  12. Slide 12: 1Q2012 Core Business Review

    CNO Financial Group 12 1Q2012 Core Business Review Continued to improve performance across all core segments  Gains in recruiting and retention lead to increased agent force  Continued stability in LTC line  Manager Trainee Program fully operational; continue to hire and recruit 2012 class of tra

  13. Slide 13: 1Q2012 Sales and Distribution Results (Bankers Life)

    CNO Financial Group 13 1Q2012 Sales and Distribution Results  Sales results – Up 6.4% • Med supp sales up 6.7% • Life sales up 22.3% – Introduced 2 new products • STC sales up 27% • Annuity sales down 17% – Reflects low interest rate environment Bankers Life Quarterly NAP* *MA/PDP sales are exclude

  14. Slide 14: LTC and STC Sales Mix

    CNO Financial Group 14 LTC (LTC and HHC) and STC Sales Mix 19% 29% 33% 36% 41% 48% 81% 71% 67% 64% 59% 52% 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 STC (Short Term Care) LTC (Long Term Care and Home Health Care) Long Term Care Bankers Life  Bankers utilizes exclusive distribution with a focus on middle income

  15. Slide 15: Washington National 1Q2012 Sales and Distribution Results

    CNO Financial Group 15 Washington National 1Q2012 Sales and Distribution Results ($ millions)  Investment in life sales continues to gain traction PMA new producing agents up 11%; and added 26 IMO’s in WNIC Independent 1Q11 $16.5 2Q11 $18.7 3Q11 $19.5 4Q11 $20.7 1Q12 $19.6 Quarterly Core NAP* Cor

  16. Slide 16: Colonial Penn 1Q2012 Sales and Distribution Results

    CNO Financial Group 16  Sales growth continues, NAP up 28%  1Q results reflect continued robust lead generation activity  Increased investments in marketing and advertising driving sales growth 1Q2012 Sales and Distribution Results Colonial Penn 1Q11 $13.6 2Q11 $12.8 3Q11 $12.7 4Q11 $12.3 1Q12 $1

  17. Slide 17: 2012 Outlook

    CNO Financial Group 17 2012 Outlook Strong start with Sales Up In All 3 Core Segments and Positioned Well To Serve Our Target Market  Continued investment in branch expansion and management development  Introduction of new critical illness product  Expect strong sales of life insurance to continu

  18. Slide 18: 1Q2012 Consolidated Summary

    CNO Financial Group 18 1Q2012 Consolidated Summary CNO *Management believes that an analysis of net income applicable to common stock before: (1) loss on extinguishment of debt, net of income taxes; (2) net realized investment gains or losses, net of related amortization and income taxes; (3) increa

  19. Slide 19: CNO's Earnings Engine

    CNO Financial Group 19 $50.2 $59.5 $24.3 $24.7 $12.7 $(5.7) $(9.8) $(6.5) $(6.8) $7.4 1Q2011 1Q2012 BLC WN OCB CP Corporate Segment EBIT Excluding Significant Items* CNO ($ millions) * A non-GAAP measure. See the Appendix for a reconciliation to the corresponding GAAP measure. $80.3 $69.7 CNO’s Earn

  20. Slide 20: ASU 2010-26 Impact by Segment

    CNO Financial Group 20 ASU 2010-26 Impact by Segment Quarter Ended March 31, 2012 ($ in millions) CNO Before DAC Change Total In-force New Business Bankers Life 74.3$ 70.5$ 97.1$ (26.6)$ Washington National 25.5 24.7 27.4 (2.7) Colonial Penn 4.4 (9.8) 6.7 (16.5) Other CNO Business (2.4) (2.3) (2.3)

  21. Slide 21: Impact of ASU 2010-26 on Colonial Penn

    CNO Financial Group 21 Impact of ASU 2010-26 on Colonial Penn ($ in millions) Colonial Penn 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 NAP $13.6 $12.8 $12.7 $12.3 $17.5 EBIT from in-force business $8.0 $10.1 $11.6 $9.8 $6.7 EBIT from new business (13.7) (9.6) (12.9) (8.0) (16.5) EBIT ($5.7) $0.5 ($1.3) $1.8 ($9.8) Ot

  22. Slide 22: Statutory Earnings Power and Cash Generation

    CNO Financial Group 22 $15.4 $43.2 $41.6 $37.5 $19.4 $78.0 $27.4 $43.6 $45.0 $41.4 $0.7 $38.1 $73.9 $41.6 $15.4 $43.2 $41.6 $37.5 $19.4 $78.0 $27.4 $43.6 $45.0$60.0 $60.0 $64.4 $75.4 $121.2 $69.0 $81.1 Statutory Earnings Pow er Inflow s to Holding Co Statutory Earnings Pow er Inflow s to Holding Co

  23. Slide 23: Stable Excess Capital Position

    CNO Financial Group 23 1Q11 341% 1Q12 360% 1Q11 $169.0 1Q12 $171.9 Stable Excess Capital Position Consolidated RBC Ratio Liquidity ($ millions) Approximately $50 million in excess of management target $72.0 million in excess of management target 350%* Management Target = $100 Approximately $122 mill

  24. Slide 24: Net Investment Income

    CNO Financial Group 24 Net Investment Income CNO  Relatively stable new money rate and earned yield progression despite low interest rate environment  Year over year increase in investment income primarily due to growth in assets 4Q11 $344.21Q11 $336.1 2Q11 $342.2 3Q11 $338.2 1Q12 $345.2 General A

  25. Slide 25: Realized Gains/Losses Recognized through Net Income

    CNO Financial Group 25 Realized Gains/Losses Recognized through Net Income CNO 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 Gross Gains $43.5 $29.7 $74.5 $41.9 $33.3 Gross Losses (25.1) (16.7) (41.0) (10.4) (2.5) Losses due to recognition of other-than-temporary impairments recognized in earnings (13.3) (10.1) (2.9) (8

  26. Slide 26: Impairments and Holdings

    CNO Financial Group 26 Holdings Investors Guaranty Assurance Berkshire Hathaway Comcast Cable Communications Prudential Securities Kraft Time Warner Cable Home Depot, Inc. Ahold Lease USA, Inc. Heinz (H.J.) Company Cox Enterprises $0 $2 $4 $6 $8 $10 $12 $14 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 IGA Corporates Co

  27. Slide 27: Unrealized Gain/Loss

    CNO Financial Group 27 Unrealized Gain/Loss* CNO ($ millions) *Includes debt and equity securities classified as available for sale. Excludes investments from variable interest entities which we consolidate under GAAP. $0 $200 $400 $600 $800 $1,000 $1,200 $1,400 $1,600 $1,800 $2,000 1Q 2011 2Q 2011

  28. Slide 28: Asset Allocation and Quality at 3/31/12

    CNO Financial Group 28 Asset Allocation and Quality at 3/31/12* Govts/Agency 1.3% Cash & Other 5.0% ABS 5.7% Municipals 7.3% CMBS 5.8% HY Corporates 4.9% Mortgage Loans 6.3% CMOs 9.1% IG Corporates 54.6% *Excludes investments from variable interest entities which we consolidate under GAAP (the relat

  29. Slide 29: Holding Company Investments at 3/31/12

    CNO Financial Group 29 Holding Company Investments at 3/31/12 CNO ($ millions) Alternatives & Equities (Balance) Fixed Income (net) $75 Cash & Money Market $25 Cash and Money Market $39.3 Fixed Income (net) 84.5 Equities 20.1 Alternatives 28.0 TOTAL $171.9 Long Term Model Allocation Current Investme

  30. Slide 30: 1Q2012 Investment Summary and Outlook

    CNO Financial Group 30 1Q2012 Investment Summary and Outlook CNO Market Observations  During 1Q, corporate spreads tightened on rate back- up, continued strong demand for spread product, apparent reduction of tail risk driven by stabilization of U.S. economy and various European initiatives  Most

  31. Slide 31: CNO: Well Positioned in Growing & Underserved Markets

    CNO Financial Group 31 CNO: Well Positioned in Growing & Underserved Markets  The middle-income, pre-retiree, and retirement markets are growing as the Baby Boomers age  These markets need simple, straightforward products that help address payment of healthcare expenditures, adequacy of retirement

  32. Slide 32: Questions and Answers

    CNO Financial Group 32 Questions and Answers

  33. Slide 33: Appendix

    CNO Financial Group 33 Appendix

  34. Slide 34: CNO Value Proposition

    CNO Financial Group 34 CNO Value Proposition Competitive Advantage  Exclusive, growing distribution  Target market focus, with growth as Baby Boomers turn 65  Sustainable with barriers to entry Products  Diversified product suite focused on protection needs  Actively managed inforce block  Foc

  35. Slide 35: 1Q2012 Significant Items

    CNO Financial Group 35 1Q2012 Significant Items CNO ($ millions) The table below summarizes the financial impact of several significant items on our 1Q12 net operating income. Such items are summarized on the following slide. Management believes that identifying the impact of these items enhances th

  36. Slide 36: 1Q2012 Significant Items (detail)

    CNO Financial Group 36 1Q2012 Significant Items CNO ($ millions) The following summarizes items that management believes are significant in understanding our 1Q2012 results: (1) Pre-tax earnings in the Bankers Life segment included the following items: Favorable reserve developments in the Medicare

  37. Slide 37: 1Q2011 Significant Items

    CNO Financial Group 37 1Q2011 Significant Items CNO ($ millions) The table below summarizes the financial impact of several significant items on our 1Q11 net operating income. Such items are summarized on the following slide. Management believes that identifying the impact of these items enhances th

  38. Slide 38: 1Q2011 Significant Items (detail)

    CNO Financial Group 38 1Q2011 Significant Items CNO ($ millions) The following summarizes items that management believes are significant in understanding our 1Q2011 results: (1) Pre-tax earnings in the Bankers Life segment included the following items: Favorable reserve developments in the Medicare

  39. Slide 39: Quarterly Earnings

    CNO Financial Group 39 Quarterly Earnings CNO *Management believes that an analysis of earnings before net realized investment gains (losses), corporate interest, loss on extinguishment of debt, fair value changes due to fluctuations in the interest rates used to discount embedded derivative liabili

  40. Slide 40: Quarterly Earnings (Bankers Life)

    CNO Financial Group 40 Quarterly Earnings 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 Insurance policy income $400.0 $409.6 $404.6 $398.2 $406.5 Net investment income: General account assets 191.3 196.5 194.3 198.2 200.3 Other portfolios 18.3 0.4 (36.3) 3.6 34.6 Fee revenue and other income 2.3 3.3 3.6 4.6 2.9 Total r

  41. Slide 41: Quarterly Earnings Washington National

    CNO Financial Group 41 Quarterly Earnings Washington National 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 Insurance policy income $145.4 $146.6 $145.9 $147.2 $147.4 Net investment income: General account assets 46.3 46.7 47.3 49.1 50.0 Other portfolios - - - 0.1 - Fee revenue and other income 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.2 Total

  42. Slide 42: Quarterly Earnings Colonial Penn

    CNO Financial Group 42 Quarterly Earnings Colonial Penn 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 Insurance policy income $50.3 $50.9 $50.8 $51.0 $53.4 Net investment income 10.3 10.5 10.1 10.2 10.0 Fee revenue and other income 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 Total revenues 60.8 61.6 61.1 61.5 63.6 Insurance policy benefits 38.

  43. Slide 43: Quarterly Earnings Other CNO Business

    CNO Financial Group 43 Quarterly Earnings Other CNO Business 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 Insurance policy income $71.5 $72.5 $72.2 $73.8 $79.0 Net investment income: General account assets 88.2 87.6 85.4 85.7 84.0 Other portfolios 6.5 (0.9) (10.8) 2.4 8.7 Total revenues 166.2 159.2 146.8 161.9 171.7 In

  44. Slide 44: Premiums Collected

    CNO Financial Group 44 Premiums Collected CNO  Trailing 4 quarters down 1.3% – Stable results at Bankers Life, Washington National, and Colonial Penn – OCB declining primarily due to continued run-off of inforce blocks, as expected CP Washington National Collected Premiums -Trailing 4 Quarters BLC

  45. Slide 45: Premiums Collected – Med Supp

    CNO Financial Group 45 Premiums Collected – Med Supp  First-year premiums down 5%; reflects consumer preferences for lower priced products  Policies issued up 9% Med Supp – First-Year Premiums 1Q11 $25.1 2Q11 $24.7 3Q11 $24.5 4Q11 $27.0 1Q12 $23.8 Bankers Life ($ millions) Policies issued and not

  46. Slide 46: Premiums Collected – LTC

    CNO Financial Group 46 Premiums Collected – LTC Net first-year premiums down 10%, due to product mix shift to STC (Net) $6.1 (Net) $6.0 (Net) $5.9 (Net) $5.5 (Net) $5.5Long-Term Care – First-Year Premiums* *Includes $1.5 million in 1Q11, $1.4 million in 2Q11, $1.4 million in 3Q11, $1.6 million in 4

  47. Slide 47: Premiums Collected – Life

    CNO Financial Group 47 Premiums Collected – Life  First-year premiums up 33% due to higher SPWL sales Life – First-Year Premiums SPWL Non- SPWL 1Q11 $24.7 $11.0 $15.1 Bankers Life ($ millions) 2Q11 $29.4 $13.7 $14.3 First-Year Prems – Tr. 4 Qtrs: $102.2 $106.8 $111.9 $115.8 $123.9 Total Premiums -

  48. Slide 48: Premiums Collected – Annuity

    CNO Financial Group 48 Premiums Collected – Annuity  First-year premiums down 17% reflecting management actions to achieve target returns in low interest rate environment 1Q11 $221.3 2Q11 $258.0 3Q11 $263.1 4Q11 $238.9 1Q12 $182.7 Annuity – First-Year Premiums Bankers Life ($ millions) First-Year P

  49. Slide 49: Premiums Collected – Supplemental Health

    CNO Financial Group 49 Premiums Collected – Supplemental Health Washington National  First-year premiums up 7% due to continued higher sales 1Q11 $13.2 2Q11 $13.7 3Q11 $13.2 4Q11 $14.0 1Q12 $14.1 Supplemental Health – First-Year Premiums ($ millions) First-Year Prems – Tr. 4 Qtrs: $52.7 $53.3 $53.5

  50. Slide 50: Premiums Collected – Life Colonial Penn

    CNO Financial Group 50 Premiums Collected – Life Colonial Penn  First-year premiums up 20% due to continued robust lead generation activity and sales 1Q11 $8.7 2Q11 $8.6 3Q11 $8.9 4Q11 $9.2 1Q12 $10.4 Life – First-Year Premiums ($ millions) First-Year Prems – Tr. 4 Qtrs: $33.1 $33.6 $34.4 $35.4 $37

  51. Slide 51: 1Q12 Holding Company Liquidity

    CNO Financial Group 51 1Q12 Holding Company Liquidity CNO ($ millions) 1Q 2012 Cash and Investments Balance - Beginning $202.8 Sources Dividends from Insurance Subsidiaries 45.0 Dividends from Non-Life Affiliates - Surplus Debenture Interest 12.1 Service and Investment Fees, Net 7.3 Interest/Earning

  52. Slide 52: Valuation Allowance

    CNO Financial Group 52 Valuation Allowance $558.2 Valuation Allowance $331.1 Net $545.1 Net $305.4 $0.0 $200.0 $400.0 $600.0 $800.0 $1,000.0 Life Non- Life Capital Valuation Allow ance for Loss Carryforw ards Net Loss Carryforw ards in Deferred Tax Asset Gross $545.1 Gross $331.1 Gross $863.6 GAAP B

  53. Slide 53: Commercial Mortgage Loans at 3/31/12

    CNO Financial Group 53 Commercial Mortgage Loans at 3/31/12 By Vintage CNO By Property Type  6.3% of invested assets based on market value  Current LTV of approximately 64.8%  Average trailing DSCR stable at approximately 1.49  0.01% delinquency rate  Limited 2012 loan maturities ($18mm) 2008 1

  54. Slide 54: Commercial Mortgage Loans Portfolio at 03/31/12

    CNO Financial Group 54 Commercial Mortgage Loans Portfolio at 03/31/12 CNO ($ millions) $- $200 $400 $600 $800 $1,000 $1,200 $1,400 $1,600 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026+ Run-off of Principal of Current CML Portfolio Principal Maturities by Year

  55. Slide 55: European Debt by Select Countries

    CNO Financial Group 55 European Debt by Select Countries CNO Sovereigns Corporates Banks Total Market Market / BV Total Issuers Italy -$ 26.1$ -$ 26.1$ 23.9$ 91% 1 Spain - 64.6 34.3 98.9 91.8 93% 3 Total -$ 90.7$ 34.3$ 125.0$ 115.7$ 93% 4 ($ millions)

  56. Slide 56: CMBS at 3/31/12

    CNO Financial Group 56 CMBS at 3/31/12 CNO  5.7% of invested assets  98.8% NAIC 1 classification  Collateral performing materially better than overall CMBS collateral universe in terms of delinquency and cumulative loss  All securities evaluated using market-consistent estimates of collateral pe

  57. Slide 57: Information Related to Certain Non-GAAP Financial Measures

    CNO Financial Group 57 Information Related to Certain Non-GAAP Financial Measures The following provides additional information regarding certain non-GAAP measures used in this presentation. A non-GAAP measure is a numerical measure of a company’s performance, financial position, or cash flows that

  58. Slide 58: Information Related to Certain Non-GAAP Financial Measures

    CNO Financial Group 58 Information Related to Certain Non-GAAP Financial Measures A reconciliation of net income applicable to common stock to net operating income (and related per-share amounts) is as follows (dollars in millions, except per-share amounts): 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 Net income appli

  59. Slide 59: 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 Operating income 43.2$ 44.5$ 2.8$ 51.0$ 40.6$ Add: interest

    CNO Financial Group 59 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 Operating income 43.2$ 44.5$ 32.8$ 51.0$ 40.6$ Add: interest expense on 7.0% Convertible Senior Debentures due 2016, net of income taxes 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.7 Total adjusted operating income 46.9$ 48.2$ 36.5$ 54.7$ 44.3$ Weighted average shares outstandi

  60. Slide 60: Information Related to Certain Non-GAAP Financial Measures

    CNO Financial Group 60 Information Related to Certain Non-GAAP Financial Measures Book value, excluding accumulated other comprehensive income (loss), per share This non-GAAP financial measure differs from book value per share because accumulated other comprehensive income (loss) has been excluded f

  61. Slide 61: Information Related to Certain Non-GAAP Financial Measures

    CNO Financial Group 61 Information Related to Certain Non-GAAP Financial Measures Operating return measures Management believes that an analysis of return before loss on extinguishment of debt, net realized gains or losses, fair value changes due to fluctuations in the interest rates used to discoun

  62. Slide 62: Information Related to Certain Non-GAAP Financial Measures

    CNO Financial Group 62 Information Related to Certain Non-GAAP Financial Measures The calculations of: (i) operating return on allocated capital, excluding accumulated other comprehensive income (loss) and net operating loss carryforwards (a non-GAAP financial measure); and (ii) return on equity, fo

  63. Slide 63: Information Related to Certain Non-GAAP Financial Measures

    CNO Financial Group 63 Information Related to Certain Non-GAAP Financial Measures A reconciliation of pretax operating earnings (a non-GAAP financial measure) to segment operating return (loss) and consolidated net income (loss) for the twelve months March 31, 2012, is as follows (dollars in million

  64. Slide 64: Information Related to Certain Non-GAAP Financial Measures

    CNO Financial Group 64 Information Related to Certain Non-GAAP Financial Measures A reconciliation of average allocated capital (for the purpose of determining return on allocated capital), excluding accumulated other comprehensive income (loss) and net operating loss carryforwards (a non-GAAP finan

  65. Slide 65: Information Related to Certain Non-GAAP Financial Measures

    CNO Financial Group 65 Information Related to Certain Non-GAAP Financial Measures A reconciliation of consolidated capital, excluding accumulated other comprehensive income (loss) and net operating loss carryforwards (a non- GAAP financial measure) to common shareholders’ equity, is as follows (doll

  66. Slide 66: Information Related to Certain Non-GAAP Financial Measures

    CNO Financial Group 66 Information Related to Certain Non-GAAP Financial Measures A reconciliation of the debt to capital ratio to debt to capital, excluding AOCI is as follows (dollars in millions) 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 Corporate notes payable 949.8$ 934.5$ 871.2$ 857.9$ 799.3$ Total shareholder

CNO Financial Group — Q1 2012 Earnings Presentation on 6ix