Fortescue Ltd · ASX:FMG
Fortescue — Boao Forum for Asia Perth 2023
124 slides from Fortescue's conference presentation, Aug 30, 2023
Slide 1: Presentation – Boao Forum for Asia Perth 2023
30 AUGUST 2023 PRESENTATION – BOAO FORUM FOR ASIA PERTH 2023 Fortescue Metals Group Ltd (Fortescue, ASX: FMG) advises that Executive Chairman, Dr Andrew Forrest AO, is presenting at the Boao Forum for Asia Perth on Wednesday, 30 August 2023. A copy of the presentation is attached and a recording of
Slide 2: For personal use only
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Slide 3: Forward Looking Statements Disclaimer
Forward For personal use only Important Notice Looking The purpose of this presentation is to provide general information about Fortescue Metals Group Ltd and its subsidiaries (“Fortescue”). It is not recommended that any person makes any investment decision in relation to Fortescue based on this pr
Slide 4: What's the chance of 1.5˚C holding?
For personal use only What’s the chance of 1.5˚C holding? 1 in 50 Liu and Rafferty (2021)
Slide 5: We have better odds in roulette (1 in 36)
For personal use only We have better odds in roulette (1 in 36)
Slide 6: But this misses the point
For personal use only But this misses the point There is now an immediate threat It is much more lethal than COVID
Slide 7: The fossil fuel industry admits global temperatures are rising
For personal use only The fossil fuel industry admits global temperatures are rising Supran et al (2023)
Slide 8: But there's something they're not telling you…
For personal use only But there’s something they’re not telling you…
Slide 9: Something else is rising
For personal use only Something else is rising NASA
Slide 10: Much faster
For personal use only Much faster
Slide 11: And it's already killing people
For personal use only And it’s already killing people
Slide 12: Could your health already be at risk?
For personal use only Could your health already be at risk? Yes Raymond et al (2020)
Slide 13: Humanity is at risk
For personal use only Humanity is at risk Now Buzan and Huber (2020) & Kang and Eltahir (2018) & Zhang et al (2021) & Saeed et al (2021) & Wang et al (2021) & Vecellio et al (2022) & Freychet et al (2020)
Slide 14: Can you escape if you live in a city?
Can you escape if you live For personal use only in a city?
Slide 15: Sure, until the air conditioning fails
For personal use only Sure, until the air conditioning fails Sherwood and Huber (2010)
Slide 16: You're young and work outdoors
For personal use only You’re young and work outdoors Are you safe?
Slide 17: You're at extreme risk
For personal use only You’re at extreme risk Im et al. (2017) & Abokhashabah (2020) & Vecellio et al (2022) & de Lima et al (2019) & Foster et al (2020) & Morris et al (2021)
Slide 18: So are children, grandparents and people who are already ill
For personal use only So are children, grandparents and people who are already ill Rylander et al (2015) & Coffel et al (2018)
Slide 19: For personal use only
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Slide 20: Lethal humidity
For personal use only Lethal humidity Im et al (2017) & Saeed et al (2021) & Wang et al (2021) & Vecellio et al (2022) & Buzan and Huber (2020) & Kang and Eltahir (2018) & Zhang et al (2021) & Raymond et al (2020) & Freychet et al (2020) & Wang et al (2020)
Slide 21: Normally your sweat cools you down
For personal use only Normally your sweat cools you down Osilla et al (2023) & Kovac (2010) & Raymond et al (2020)
Slide 22: But if it's too humid…
For personal use only But if it’s too humid…
Slide 23: Your sweat can't evaporate
For personal use only Your sweat can't evaporate Your body heat can't escape Zhang et al (2021) & Saeed et al (2021) & Wang et al (2021)
Slide 24: Your core temperature starts to rise
For personal use only Your core temperature starts to rise Raymond et al (2020) & Vecellio et al (2022)
Slide 25: At just 35˚C, with high humidity, you can die in six hours
For personal use only At just 35˚C, with high humidity, you can die in six hours Sherwood and Huber (2010) & Im et al (2017)
Slide 26: But even temperatures as low as 31˚C can kill
For personal use only But even temperatures as low as 31˚C can kill Vecellio et al (2022) & Kang and Eltahir (2018) & Sherwood and Huber (2010)
Slide 27: Lethal Humidity is already here
For personal use only Lethal Humidity is already here Columbia University & Saeed et al (2021) & Raymond et al (2020)
Slide 28: But it's rising
For personal use only But it's rising For every degree our planet warms, humidity rises 7% NASA
Slide 29: Lethal Humidity will be the next global pandemic
For personal use only Lethal Humidity will be the next global pandemic
Slide 30: Health care systems are straining
For personal use only Health care systems are straining They will fail Filip et al (2022)
Slide 31: This time, there's no cure
For personal use only This time, there’s no cure
Slide 32: Your heart rate accelerates
For personal use only Your heart rate accelerates Harvard Medical School
Slide 33: Pounding headache, vomiting
For personal use only Pounding headache Vomiting Harvard Medical School
Slide 34: Your heart pumps up to 400% more blood than normal
For personal use only Your heart pumps up to 400% more blood than normal Harvard Medical School
Slide 35: Within minutes to hours…
For personal use only Within minutes to hours… Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
Slide 36: Your body temperature will rise to a very dangerous 41˚C
For personal use only Your body temperature will rise to a very dangerous 41˚C Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
Slide 37: This is the beginning of the end
For personal use only This is the beginning of the end
Slide 38: The tiny structures that enable you to be alive unravel
For personal use only The tiny structures that enable you to be alive unravel Harvard Medical School
Slide 39: Like an egg, they can't be uncooked
For personal use only Like an egg, they can't be uncooked
Slide 40: You bleed internally
For personal use only You bleed internally Harvard Medical School
Slide 41: Your blood thickens
For personal use only Your blood thickens Harvard Medical School & Kenny et al (2010)
Slide 42: Your organs start to fail
For personal use only Your organs start to fail Harvard Medical School
Slide 43: Hallucinations, seizures, coma
For personal use only Hallucinations Seizures Coma Harvard Medical School
Slide 44: Heart attack can happen at any time
For personal use only Heart attack can happen at any time Harvard Medical School
Slide 45: You struggle to breathe
For personal use only You struggle to breathe Harvard Medical School
Slide 46: If you've made it to hospital...
For personal use only If you've made it to hospital...
Slide 47: You can have a cardiopulmonary bypass
For personal use only You can have a “cardiopulmonary bypass” Harvard Medical School
Slide 48: Your blood is drained, cooled then put back in your body
For personal use only Your blood is drained, cooled then put back in your body Harvard Medical School
Slide 49: Even if you get to a hospital… you're more likely to die
For personal use only Even if you get to a hospital… You’re more likely to die than survive Bouchama et al (2022)
Slide 50: If you don't make it to hospital
For personal use only If you don't make it to hospital
Slide 51: You die
For personal use only You die Ebi et al (2021) & Sherwood and Huber (2010) & Im et al (2017)
Slide 52: All mammals have a new, real and current danger
For personal use only All mammals (including you) have a new, real and current danger Sherwood and Huber (2010) & Coffel et al (2018)
Slide 53: The most affected countries are the biggest: China, India and the USA
For personal use only The most affected countries are the biggest: China, India and the USA Coffel et al (2018) & Pew Research Center & Wang et al (2019) & Freychet et al (2020)
Slide 54: Where much of the world's food comes from
For personal use only Where much of the world’s food comes from Saeed et al (2021) & Mishra et al (2020) & World Population Review
Slide 55: But also
For personal use only But also
Slide 56: West Africa, South America, All of Asia, Australia, Central Europe, Middle East
For personal use only West Africa South America All of Asia Australia Central Europe Middle East Coffel et al (2018) & Freychet et al (2020) & Buzan and Huber (2020) & Kang and Eltahir (2018) & Zhang et al (2021) & Saeed et al (2021) & Wang et al (2021)
Slide 57: What happens next?
For personal use only What happens next?
Slide 58: Stampede migration, survival behaviours and border collapse
For personal use only Stampede migration, survival behaviours and border collapse Horton et al (2021) & Xu et al (2020) & Carril et al (2022)
Slide 59: Think Central to North America
For personal use only Think Central to North America
Slide 60: Border walls fail
For personal use only Border walls fail Wall between California and Tijuana Baja California
Slide 61: Mexico Heatwave June 2023
For personal use only Mexico Heatwave June 2023
Slide 62: Think Africa to Europe
For personal use only Think Africa to Europe
Slide 63: Ethiopia Droughts January 2023
For personal use only Ethiopia Droughts January 2023
Slide 64: Think across Asia
For personal use only Think across Asia
Slide 65: Ballia India Deadly Heat June 2023
For personal use only Ballia India Deadly Heat June 2023
Slide 66: Xinjiang China 52.2°C Heat July 2023
For personal use only Xinjiang China 52.2°C Heat July 2023
Slide 67: Zhouzhou China Flooding August 2023
For personal use only Zhouzhou China Flooding August 2023
Slide 68: Buan, South Korea Dangerous Humidity August 2023
For personal use only Buan, South Korea Dangerous Humidity August 2023
Slide 69: The world has Stockholm Syndrome
For personal use only The world has Stockholm Syndrome Oxford University
Slide 70: We are tied to fossil fuels
For personal use only We are tied to fossil fuels Oxford University
Slide 71: We think we can't survive without them
For personal use only We think we can’t survive without them
Slide 72: But we can…
For personal use only But we can…
Slide 73: And we must
For personal use only And we must
Slide 74: The origination of global warming is the industrial world
For personal use only The origination of global warming is the industrial world
Slide 75: One major company must go first
For personal use only One major company must go first
Slide 76: We are Fortescue
For personal use only We are Fortescue
Slide 77: We are completely decarbonising
For personal use only We are completely decarbonising
Slide 78: Real Zero by 2030
Real Zero by 2030 For personal use only Decarbonisation underway US$10 billion EBITDA (FY23)
Slide 79: Iron Ore & Critical Minerals, Green Energy, Technologies
For personal use only Green steel, battery metals, proof of delivery Iron Ore & Critical Minerals Green Energy Technologies, electrons, innovation, social license
Slide 80: Creating green energy to replace fossil fuels
For personal use only Creating green energy to replace fossil fuels
Slide 81: Designing green tech to enable Real Zero
For personal use only Designing green tech to enable Real Zero
Slide 82: We are asking China, the USA and India to do no more than this
For personal use only We are asking China, the USA and India to do no more than this
Slide 83: Large parts of China, the USA and India are warming faster
For personal use only Large parts of China, the USA and India are warming faster than the global average US Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) & Kang and Eltahir (2018)
Slide 84: Lethal Humidity conditions already occurring in East China
For personal use only Lethal Humidity conditions are already occurring in parts of East China Freychet et al (2020)
Slide 85: Red marks where Lethal Humidity will happen
For personal use only Red marks where Lethal Humidity will happen, as it gets worse Kang and Eltahir (2018) & Li et al (2020) & Dawei Li et al (2020)
Slide 86: North China Plains (400 million)
For personal use only North China Plains (400 million) China’s “food bowl” Freychet et al (2020) & Kang and Eltahir (2018)
Slide 87: One of the most densely populated regions in the world
For personal use only One of the most densely populated regions in the world Kang and Eltahir (2018)
Slide 88: Yangtze River Valley
For personal use only Yangtze River Valley Kang and Eltahir (2018) & Freychet et al (2020)
Slide 89: Southeastern China
For personal use only Southeastern China Wang et al (2019)
Slide 90: Shanghai, Weifang, Jining, Qingdao, Rizhao, Yantai and Hangzhou
For personal use only Shanghai, Weifang, Jining, Qingdao, Rizhao, Yantai and Hangzhou Freychet et al (2020) & Kang and Eltahir (2018)
Slide 91: In the USA, Lethal Humidity occurs at 1.5˚C warming
For personal use only In the USA, Lethal Humidity occurs at 1.5˚C warming Buzan and Huber (2020) & Freychet et al (2022) & Dawei Li et al (2020)
Slide 92: Southeast USA is most at risk
For personal use only Southeast USA is most at risk Spangler et al (2022) Raymond and Horton (2017)
Slide 93: Chicago is vulnerable
For personal use only Chicago is vulnerable Dawei Li et al (2020)
Slide 94: India? Lethal Humidity conditions already exist...
For personal use only India? Lethal Humidity conditions already exist...
Slide 95: Already recorded on India's east coast, southwest coast, northwest
For personal use only They have already been recorded on India’s: East coast Southwest coast Northwest Raymond et al (2020) & Saeed et al (2021)
Slide 96: Lethal Humidity becomes commonplace in India at 1.5˚C
For personal use only But Lethal Humidity becomes commonplace in India at 1.5˚C (black) Saeed et al (2021) & Raymond et al (2020)
Slide 97: Mumbai (17 million)
For personal use only Mumbai (17 million)
Slide 98: New Delhi (33 million)
For personal use only New Delhi (33 million)
Slide 99: India's food bowl, the Indo-Gangetic Plains
For personal use only India’s food bowl, the Indo-Gangetic Plains Freychet et al (2022)
Slide 100: In Australia: Lethal Humidity occurs at 1.5˚C warming
For personal use only In Australia: Lethal Humidity occurs at 1.5˚C warming Freychet et al (2022)
Slide 101: The more the planet warms, the worse Lethal Humidity gets
For personal use only The more the planet warms, the worse Lethal Humidity gets Freychet et al (2022)
Slide 102: Some countries will experience days a year of mortality risk
Some countries will For personal use only experience 365 days a year of mortality risk (IPCC, 2023) IPCC Synthesis Report 2023
Slide 103: We can duck this no longer
For personal use only We can duck this no longer
Slide 104: The actions we need to take are clear
For personal use only The actions we need to take are clear
Slide 105: Take down all barriers to green energy manufacturing
For personal use only Take down all barriers to green energy manufacturing
Slide 106: Including fossil fuel subsidies
For personal use only Including fossil fuel subsidies
Slide 107: Match policy settings to risk
For personal use only Match policy settings to risk
Slide 108: Immediately
For personal use only Immediately
Slide 109: Support a Green Armistice
For personal use only Support a Green Armistice China, the USA and India
Slide 110: When? APEC, November 2023
For personal use only When? APEC, November 2023 California
Slide 111: What?
For personal use only What? Announce law intention to render illegal any action which that would prevent mitigation of global warming
Slide 112: Who?
For personal use only Who? President Xi President Biden Prime Minister Modi
Slide 113: Green Armistice
Green Armistice For personal use only MEMBERS DISCUSSIONS LAW INTENTION IMPLIMENTATION BY RESOLUTION PROCEED ANNOUNCED GLOBAL BUSINESS G20 APEC BOAO Initiative BOAO Forum New Delhi, San Francisco, Hainan, March Perth, today September November 2024 1 2 3 4 CHINA, USA AND INDIA – LEAD THE WORLD SIMPLE
Slide 114: We are the ones responsible for the deaths caused by climate change
For personal use only We are the ones responsible for the deaths caused by climate change
Slide 115: You can hold business leaders to account
For personal use only You can hold business leaders to account
Slide 116: You can hold your local government leaders to account
For personal use only You can hold your local government leaders to account
Slide 117: Make us change
For personal use only Make us change
Slide 118: References
For personal use only References
Slide 119: References
Raymond et al (2020). The emergence of heat and humidity too severe for human tolerance. Science Advances DOI: 10.1126/sciadv.aaw1838. https://www.science.org/doi/full/10.1126/sciadv.aaw1838 For personal use only Vecellio et al (2022). Evaluating the 35C wet-bulb temperature adaptability for young h
Slide 120: References
Zhang et al (2021) Projections of tropical heat stress constrained by atmospheric dynamics. Nature Geoscience, 14:3 https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-021-00695-3 For personal use only Saeed et al (2021) Deadly heat stress to become commonplace across South Asia already at 1.5C global warming. Geophysic
Slide 121: References
Abokhashabah et al (2020) A review of occupational exposure to heat stress, its health effects and controls among construction industry workers, A case of Jeddah, KSA. Int. J. Biosci. 17:1, 35-45 DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.12692/ijb/17.1.35-45 Seng et al (2018). Heat stress in rice vermicelli manufac
Slide 122: References
Mora et al (2017) Global risk of deadly heat. Nature Climate Change, 7:7 p501-506. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate3322 Filip et al. (2022). Global Challenges to Public Health Care Systems during the COVID-19 Pandemic: A Review of Pandemic For personal use only Measures and Problems. J Pers Med
Slide 123: References
NASA: How Climate Change May Make Some Places Too Hot to Live: https://climate.nasa.gov/explore/ask-nasa- climate/3151/too-hot-to-handle-how-climate-change-may-make-some-places-too-hot-to- live/#:~:text=Raymond%20says%20the%20highest%20wet,begun%20to%20exceed%20this%20limit. For personal use only Ce
Slide 124: References
Yu et al (2022). Assessment of land degradation in the North China Plain driven by food security goals. Ecological Engineering. For personal use only 183: 106766. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecoleng.2022.106766 Carril et al 2022 Forced migration and food crises https://cepr.org/voxeu/columns/forc