Santos Limited · ASX:STO

Santos — FY2017 Earnings Presentation

42 slides from Santos's earnings presentation, Feb 21, 2018

  1. Slide 1: Santos 2017 Full-year results

    Santos 2017 Full-year results 21 February 2018

  2. Slide 2: Disclaimer and important notice

    Disclaimer and important notice This presentation contains forward looking statements that are subject to risk factors associated with the oil and gas industry. It is believed that the expectations reflected in these statements are reasonable, but they may be affected by a range of variables which c

  3. Slide 3: Turnaround delivered ahead of plan

    Turnaround delivered ahead of plan Santos now well-positioned to unlock significant shareholder value and capitalise on a clear strategy to Build and Grow the business Strengthened the balance sheet  Simplified the portfolio  Reduced costs and increased efficiencies  Advanced significant growth o

  4. Slide 4: 2017 Full-year highlights

    2017 Full-year highlights Significant turnaround in business performance Forecast free cash flow breakeven reduced Balance sheet strengthened Forecast free cash flow breakeven1 Net debt 36.50 + $618 million free cash flow 3.5 + Ample liquidity of 32 generated $3.2 billion in cash and 2.7 undrawn bil

  5. Slide 5: Strong free cash generation

    Strong free cash generation $1.4 billion turnaround in free cash generation in two years Free cash flow1 + 2018 forecast free cash flow breakeven ~$36/bbl2 US$ million + includes all 2018 forecast capex 618 + Every $10/bbl increment in oil price above free cash 206 flow breakeven increases free cash

  6. Slide 6: Build & Grow

    Build & Grow Execute and bring on-line growth opportunities across the core portfolio BUILD & GROW NORTHERN PNG QUEENSLAND AUSTRALIA + Further debottlenecking of + Commercialise uncontracted Eastern Qld gas + Barossa field existing PNG LNG plant + Roma East sanctioned identified as lead + PNG LNG ex

  7. Slide 7: Sustainability

    Sustainability SAFETY & ENVIRONMENT LOST TIME INJURY FREQUENCY RATE Three year rolling average (2012 – 2017) + Increased focus on process safety and incidents with rate per million hours worked potential for significant harm 1.2 1.0 + Continued focus on compliance to safety critical 0.8 maintenance

  8. Slide 8: LNG Marketing and Trading

    LNG Marketing and Trading Santos and ENN Ecological in discussions to establish an LNG trading joint venture Chinese gas demand + Builds on the existing strategic relationship between Santos mtpa and ENN 350 + The LNG trading joint venture will: 300 + focus on the increasing LNG demand across growin

  9. Slide 9: Driving sustainable shareholder value

    Driving sustainable shareholder value Being a low-cost, reliable and high performance business underpins the significant organic growth options across the core portfolio DISCIPLINED CORE LONG-LIFE GAS MAXIMISE FREE OPERATING MODEL ASSET PORTFOLIO CASH FLOW + Core long-life gas assets positioned to p

  10. Slide 10: Finance & capital management

    Finance & capital management Anthony Neilson CFO

  11. Slide 11: Financial priorities

    Financial priorities Significant progress in 2017 on our financial priorities REDUCING INCREASING REDUCING DEBT CAPITAL COSTS FREE CASH FLOW MANAGEMENT + EURO 1 billion Subordinated + Free cash flow Notes redeemed + Net debt $618 million and replaced by + Unit upstream $2.7 billion + $412 million $8

  12. Slide 12: 2017 Full-year financial snapshot

    2017 Full-year financial snapshot Underlying profit up 433% to $336 million. Net loss of $360 million incorporates $703 million after tax net impairment ($689 million taken at half-year results) US$ million 2017 2016 Change Product sales 3,107 2,594 20% EBITDAX 1,428 1,199 19% Underlying profit1 336

  13. Slide 13: Strong free cash flow generation

    Strong free cash flow generation Free cash flow up 200% to $618 million continues trend of improving free cash generation Operating cash flow Investing cash flow1 Free cash flow1 US$ million US$ million US$ million 618 1,248 2015 2016 2017 206 840 2016 2017 811 (634) (630) 2015 (1,550) 2015 2016 201

  14. Slide 14: Production and sales volumes

    Production and sales volumes Core asset production 4% higher. Core asset sales volumes 5% higher Production volume Sales volume mmboe mmboe 61.6 59.5 84.1 57.7 83.4 64.3 2015 2016 2017 2015 2016 2017 Core assets Other assets Own product Third party + Core asset production increased 4% to 51.8 mmboe,

  15. Slide 15: Sales revenue

    Sales revenue Sales revenue higher due to higher oil and LNG prices, and higher LNG sales volumes US$ million 2017 2016 Var + Sales revenue up 20% to $3.1 billion Sales Revenue (incl. third party) + Average realised LNG price up 21% to $7.31/mmbtu Gas, ethane and liquefied gas 2,205 1,784 24% + High

  16. Slide 16: Production costs

    Production costs Production costs down 8% primarily due to cost saving initiatives + Unit upstream production costs down 4% to $8.07/boe US$ million 2017 2016 Var + Cooper Basin down 13% to $9.32/boe Production costs 481 520 (8)% + Queensland down 8% to $5.92/boe Production cost (US$/boe) 8.07 8.45

  17. Slide 17: Financial performance

    Financial performance EBITDAX up 19% to $1.4 billion. Underlying NPAT up 433% to $336 million US$ million 2017 2016 Var Total revenue/income 3,264 2,747 19% + Revenue up 19% to $3.3 billion due to higher oil and LNG Production costs (481) (520) (8)% prices, and higher LNG sales volumes Other operati

  18. Slide 18: Capital expenditure

    Capital expenditure Full-year capex $682 million. 2018 capex guidance maintained at $825-875 million + Capital expenditure of $682 million Capital expenditure1 US$ million + includes Muruk acquisition and exploration drilling costs 1,288 (Exploration) + Barossa appraisal drilling (Northern Australia

  19. Slide 19: Net debt reduced to $2.7 billion

    Net debt reduced to $2.7 billion Target $2 billion in net debt by the end of 2019 + Net debt reduced to $2.7 billion1 through a Movement in net debt to 31 December 2017 combination of free cash flow, previously announced $ million asset sales and proceeds from the Share Purchase Plan 3,492 (96) + Fo

  20. Slide 20: Drawn debt maturity profile

    Drawn debt maturity profile Euro hybrid redeemed and replaced with more efficient long-term debt funding. Early repayment of $600 million 2019 ECA supported loan facility occurred in 2017 Drawn debt maturity profile as at Breakdown of drawn debt Drawn debt maturity profile excluding 31 December 2017

  21. Slide 21: Summary

    Summary In 2018 the focus remains on reducing costs, increasing free cash flow, reducing debt and disciplined capital management REDUCING INCREASING REDUCING DEBT CAPITAL COSTS FREE CASH FLOW MANAGEMENT + Forecast 2018 group + Cost out continuing free cash flow + Capital management + Target $2 billi

  22. Slide 22: Operations review

    Operations review Kevin Gallagher Managing Director & CEO

  23. Slide 23: Northern Australia

    Northern Australia Three significant multi-Tcf resource hubs well positioned for backfill or expansion of existing infrastructure + Bonaparte Basin Barossa Caldita + Two-well appraisal campaign strengthened Barossa (Santos 25%) as lead candidate for Darwin LNG backfill Bayu-Undan + Significant incre

  24. Slide 24: Northern Australia

    Northern Australia Strong Darwin LNG performance and successful Barossa appraisal campaign + Darwin LNG continues to achieve excellent reliability and Asset KPIs 2017 2016 availability (Santos 11.5%) Production (mmboe) 4.0 4.2 + 51 LNG cargoes shipped in 2017 Sales volume (mmboe) 4.0 4.2 + 3.3 milli

  25. Slide 25: PNG

    PNG Well-positioned to participate in PNG LNG expansion + Muruk appraisal, 21 kilometres from Hides Western area farm-in + Multi-Tcf contingent resource potential; excellent reservoir quality P’nyang and flow rates Muruk & Karoma Juha Hides + Seismic acquisition over Muruk and adjacent Karoma prospe

  26. Slide 26: PNG

    PNG Record PNG LNG performance + EBITDAX 23% higher due to higher LNG prices, strong Asset KPIs 2017 2016 operating performance and lower unit costs Production (mmboe) 12.6 12.2 + 110 LNG cargoes shipped in 2017 Sales volume (mmboe) 12.0 11.8 + PNG LNG maximum day rate of 8.9 mtpa achieved, 30% abov

  27. Slide 27: Onshore East Coast Australia

    Onshore East Coast Australia Australia’s lowest-cost onshore operations set to benefit from supplying domestic and export markets + Sustainable structural cost reductions now embedded + Lower Cooper Basin costs and increased Queensland exploration expected to deliver reserves + GLNG additions over t

  28. Slide 28: Queensland

    Queensland1 Stronger asset performance due to ramp-up of GLNG and lower costs + EBITDAX 72% higher due to increased upstream production, higher Asset KPIs 2017 2016 third-party volumes, lower cost operations and higher LNG prices Production (mmboe) 11.5 9.5 + Unit production costs down 8% to $5.92/b

  29. Slide 29: Cooper Basin

    Cooper Basin Transformed to low-cost, efficient drill-complete-connect operations + EBITDAX 27% higher due to lower cost operations, improved Asset KPIs 2017 2016 productivity and higher oil prices Production (mmboe) 14.4 15.1 + Improved drilling cycle times have led to embedded and Sales volume (mm

  30. Slide 30: Cooper Basin Growth – Moomba South

    Cooper Basin Growth – Moomba South Renewed exploration and appraisal focus in underexplored areas beneath a mature field. Significant resource potential adjacent to Moomba Plant LOWER PATCHAWARRA VC50 DEPTH STRUCTURE A A’ + Thick gas-saturated Patchawarra sequence intersected but not developed in hi

  31. Slide 31: Western Australia Gas

    Western Australia Gas Low cost operations with capacity and reserves to meet short and long-term demand + Higher production, sales volumes and revenues Asset KPIs 2017 2016 + Low-cost, high margin conventional domestic gas assets Production (mmboe) 9.2 8.9 generating strong free cash flow Sales volu

  32. Slide 32: Other assets

    Other assets Packaged and run separately for value as a standalone business. Portfolio to be continually optimised to realise value Asset KPIs 2017 2016 + Strong performance from Asian assets Production (mmboe) 7.7 11.8 + EBITDAX $177 million Sales volume (mmboe) 7.7 11.7 + Continued strong free cas

  33. Slide 33: 2018 strategic priorities

    2018 strategic priorities Business focus aligned with the core strategy Focus on business improvement and operational efficiencies to further reduce costs and maximise operating cash flow Disciplined allocation of free cash to repay debt and build production levels across core assets Disciplined exp

  34. Slide 34: Appendix

    Appendix Santos

  35. Slide 35: Reserves

    Reserves 1P reserves increased by 44 mmboe before production (90% organic RRR) 2P reserves increased by 19 mmboe before production (62% organic RRR) 2P organic reserve replacement ratio (RRR) 2P reserves % mmboe + Improving trend of 2P organic 100 848 reserve replacement Other WA Gas + Developed 2P

  36. Slide 36: Significant items

    Significant items Reconciliation of full-year net loss to underlying profit US$million 2017 2016 Net profit/(loss) after tax (360) (1,047) Add/(deduct) significant items after tax Impairment losses 703 1,101 Net gains on asset sales (59) (17) Other items 52 26 Underlying profit 336 63 Santos 2017 Fu

  37. Slide 37: Liquidity and net debt as at December 2017

    Liquidity and net debt as at 31 December 2017 $3.2 billion in cash and committed undrawn debt facilities Liquidity (US$million) 31 Dec 2017 31 Dec 2016 Cash 1,231 2,026 Undrawn bilateral bank debt facilities 2,020 2,313 Total liquidity 3,251 4,339 Debt (US$million) Export credit agency supported loa

  38. Slide 38: 2017 Full-year segment results summary

    2017 Full-year segment results summary Corporate Cooper Northern Other 2017 US$million QLD PNG WA Gas explor’n & Total Basin Australia Assets elimins Revenue 833 764 532 153 262 346 282 3,172 Production costs (134) (68) (55) (75) (54) (123) 28 (481) Other operating (88) (73) (46) - (20) (13) (70) (3

  39. Slide 39: 2016 Full-year segment results summary

    2016 Full-year segment results summary Corporate Northern 2016 US$million Cooper Basin QLD PNG WA Gas Other Assets explor’n & Total Australia elimins Revenue 768 540 444 145 184 411 135 2,627 Production costs (160) (61) (56) (73) (46) (166) 42 (520) Other operating (77) (74) (38) - (5) (16) (116) (3

  40. Slide 40: 2018 Guidance

    2018 Guidance 2018 guidance maintained 2018 Guidance + Production and sales guidance maintained + Upstream unit cost guidance maintained at Sales volumes 72-78 mmboe $8.2-8.8/boe Production 55-60 mmboe + Higher costs due to planned DLNG/Bayu-Undan shutdown + Lower production from PNG LNG and Moomba

  41. Slide 41: Impairment

    Impairment Net impairment of $703 million after tax taken in 2017, primarily due to lower oil prices + In determining the carrying value of its assets, Previously announced impairments taken at 2017 half- Santos considers a range of asset and macro year: assumptions, including oil price, exchange ra

  42. Slide 42: Oil price hedging

    Oil price hedging Oil price hedging provides protection to oil price downside 2018 Zero-cost three-way collar hedge Open oil price positions 2018 2019 Zero-cost three-way collars (barrels) 11,439,500 - $70 Short call Realised Price (US$/bbl) US$60.30 Brent short call price ($/bbl) US$60.30 - $60 Lon

Santos — FY2017 Earnings Presentation on 6ix