Shell Plc · LSE:SHEL
Shell — Royal Dutch Shell — Q3 2019 Earnings Presentation
24 slides from Shell's earnings presentation, Oct 31, 2019
Slide 1: Third Quarter 2019 Results
THIRD QUARTER ; a > ae Z + cae AUULYLENLUULVLLAT 2019 RESULTS { 7 t | i tt <i ie Delivering a world-class investment case Royal Dutch Shell ple October 31, 2019 #MakeTheFuture
Slide 2: Jessica Uhl, Chief Financial Officer
Jessica Uhl Chief Financial Officer @Q Foyat Dutch shell | October 31, 2019
Slide 3: Definitions & cautionary note
Definitions & cautionary note Gearing is defined as net debt (current and non-current debt less cash and cash equivalents, adjusted for the fair value of derivative financial instruments used to hedge foreign exchange and interest rate risks relating to debt, and associated collateral balances) asa
Slide 4: Key messages
Key messages Thrive in = Q3 2019 the energy Continued strong cash flow generation transition Strong earnings driven by Integrated Gas and Oil Products Macro environment continues to be challenging = Business delivery World-class Resilient value creation from leading LNG portfolio investment case Mar
Slide 5: Progressing delivery for 2019-20
Q3 2019 Progressing delivery for 2019-20 WJ) Royal Dutch Shell | er 31, 2019 Project delivery 2 4 FIDs Startups = Final investment decisions taken: = Pierce Depressurisation, 8h UK Continental Shelf FID since 2018, peak production >30 thousand boe/d = PowerNap tie-back in the US Gulf of Mexico, unlo
Slide 6: Financial highlights: summary
Q3 2019 average Brent Q3 2019 9 price: $62/bbl Financial highlights: summary Cash flow fi ti Seen ation excluding working capital --$12-Tbillion —_—_» Positive working capital movements of $0. billion Free cash flow $10.1 billion = Of which $6.6 billion organic free cash flow Returns Earnings $4.8 b
Slide 7: Earnings bridge Q2 2019 to Q3 2019
6 0.5 0.5 (0.1) (1.0) (0.1) 4 (0.4) (0.2) 5.6 4.8 2 0
Slide 8: Cash flow from operations bridge
16 14 ~1 0.1 0.2 12 (2.3) (0.4) (0.5) (0.4) 10 8 14.7 6 12.1 4 2 0
Slide 9: Returns, gearing and cash capital expenditure trends
25 10 60 100 30 20 8 75 40 20 15 6 50 10 4 20 10 5 2 25 0 0 0 0 0 -5 -2 2015 2016 2017 2018 19Q3 2015 2016 2017 2018 19Q3 -20 2015 2016 2017 2018 19Q3 4QR 4QR ◼ ◼ ◼ ◼ ◼ ◼ ◼ ◼
Slide 10: Outlook: organic free cash flow
Outlook Organic free cash flow progressing towards 2020 outlook Organic free cash flow $ billion = 2020 outlook at $60 per barrel real terms 2016, mid-cycle 35 Downstream 30 = Progressing towards 2020 outlook of $28-33 billion organic os free cash flow ~21 20 5 = Normalised organic free cash flow ex
Slide 11: Integrated Gas
Integrated Gas Resilient value creation from leading LNG portfolio LNG spot vs. contract pricing Portfolio composition LNG sales in 2018 (mtpa) $ per MMBtu $ per barrel 75 pee eee He ee ee eee eee 7 -_-c- --an 80 f discreti ! ~ ° vaa----e eS sto” ae 4 @ ~-7 60 50 8 40 25 4 20 0) 0 0) Sources Deliver
Slide 12: Marketing: new revenues
New revenues Retail Delivering on > 1,500 new convenience stores Shell Select offer available across China Added 400 new Shell lubricant service bays growth 10% higher global nonfuels margin strategy in 2019 vs. 2017 Resilient sectors > 8 million active cards in the past 12 months Leading role in th
Slide 13: Key messages: world-class investment case
Royal Dutch Shell | Thrive in the energy transition World-class investment case Strong licence to operate = Q3 2019 Continued strong cash flow generation Strong earnings driven by Integrated Gas and Oil Products Macro environment continues to be challenging = Business delivery Resilient value creati
Slide 14: Jessica Uhl, Chief Financial Officer
Jessica Uhl Chief Financial Officer @Q Foyat Dutch shell | October 31, 2019
Slide 15: Slide 15
Slide 16: Outlook
Outlook Q4 2019 outlook Integrated Gas = Production is expected to be 920-970 thousand boe/d = LNG liquefaction volumes are expected to be 8.8-9.4 million tonnes Upstream = Production is expected to be 2,650-2,800 thousand boe/d Downstream = Refinery availability is expected to be 87%-92% = Oil Prod
Slide 17: Refining margins by region
US West Coast US Gulf Coast coking Western Europe naphtha Rotterdam complex NE/SE Asia naphtha Singapore
Slide 18: Choice Environment
Environment Choice 0.1 0.2 ~ (0.1) (0.1)
Slide 19: Choice Environment
Environment Choice ~ 0.5 (0.2) (0.2) (0.3)
Slide 20: Downstream results
Q3 2019 Downstream results W Royal Dutch Shell | Earnings Q3 2018 to Q3 2019 Earnings mix $ billion $ billion 3 10 2016 2017 2018 @3 2019 4Q rolling Marketing Refining & Trading i Chemicals Individual categories presented excluding IFRS 16 impact; IFRS 16 impact on individual categories: Refining &
Slide 21: Financial highlights: IFRS impact
Q3 2019 Financial highlights: IFRS 16 impact Cash generation Returns Disciplined cash allocation Post-IFRS 16 Cash flow from operations amp excluding working capital $12.1 billion Free cash flow $10.1 billion Earnings $4.8 billion ROACE 8.1% Gearing 27.9% Cash capital expenditure $6.1 billion Share
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