Ardmore Shipping Corporation · NYSE:ASC

Ardmore Shipping — Q3 2023 Earnings Presentation

26 slides from Ardmore Shipping's earnings presentation, Nov 7, 2023

  1. Slide 1: Ardmore Shipping Third Quarter 2023

    Ardmore Shipping Third Quarter 2023

  2. Slide 2: Disclaimer

    Disclaimer This presentation contains certain statements that may be deemed to be “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of applicable U.S. federal securities laws. All statements, other than statements of historical facts, that address activities, events or developments that Ardmore Shippi

  3. Slide 3: Contents

    Contents 3 I. Highlights II. Product and Chemical Tanker Fundamentals III. Operating and Financial Performance IV. Summary V. Appendices 3

  4. Slide 4: Highlights

    Highlights 4 ▪ Ardmore is reporting adjusted earnings (1) of $20.3 million or $0.49 Strong MR TCE Rates Well Above Cash Breakeven (2) per share for 3Q23, with continued strength into the fourth quarter $30,100 o MRs earned $28,500 / day for 3Q23, with 50% of the fourth quarter $28,500 booked at $30,

  5. Slide 5: Near-Term Product and Chemical Tanker Outlook

    Near-Term Product and Chemical Tanker Outlook 5 Robust near-term demand drivers approaching seasonally stronger winter months OECD Global Product Inventory Levels Below 5-Year Avg. (1) ▪ The EU Refined Products Embargo (commenced February 5, 2023) continuing to impact the market 1,550 ▪ Mi l lion Ba

  6. Slide 6: EU Refined Product Embargo

    EU Refined Product Embargo 6 First full winter season since commencement of EU Embargo in February 2023 Consistent Diesel Demand and Declining Imports(1) ▪ EU diesel demand has remained consistent while imports have shown a significant decline Diesel imports -15% since Embargo 55.0 8.0 ▪ EU diesel i

  7. Slide 7: Capital Allocation Policy

    Capital Allocation Policy 7 Investing in fleet efficiency improvements while continuing our variable dividend payments Continue to invest in fleet to improve performance and reduce Maintain fleet over time carbon emissions, generating strong financial returns Focus on maintaining low leverage throug

  8. Slide 8: Contents

    Contents 8 I. Highlights II. Product and Chemical Tanker Fundamentals III. Operating and Financial Performance IV. Summary V. Appendices 8

  9. Slide 9: Significant Supply-Demand Gap

    Significant Supply-Demand Gap 9 Robust market fundamentals as net fleet growth remains at low levels Product and Chemical Tanker Demand vs. Net Fleet Growth(1)(2)(3)(4) 15.0% 12.1% 2024 demand assumes full year of enhanced tonne- miles due to EU Embargo 10.0% 8.8% 6.8% 4.9% 5.0% 3.9% 3.1% 3.5% 2.6%

  10. Slide 10: Aging Fleet & Low Orderbook

    Aging Fleet & Low Orderbook 10 Aging fleet greatly exceeds vessel orderbook Orderbook for Product Tankers at Historical Lows (1)(2) Global Product Tanker Fleet Aging Rapidly(1) 200 MR Orderbook: 6.5% of fleet 70% 16 37% of fleet > 20 Product Tanker Orderbook: 10.0% of fleet years old in 5 years 180

  11. Slide 11: Robust Long-Term Demand Drivers

    Robust Long-Term Demand Drivers 11 Strong underlying demand growth in product and chemical tanker markets ▪ Heightened energy security concerns following Russia-Ukraine IEA Forecasting Continued Growth in Oil Demand(3) conflict has led to a persistent re-ordering of global product trades 110 104.8 1

  12. Slide 12: Contents

    Contents 12 I. Highlights II. Product and Chemical Tanker Fundamentals III. Operating and Financial Performance IV. Summary V. Appendices 12

  13. Slide 13: Continued Focus on Financial Strength

    Continued Focus on Financial Strength 13 Maintaining conservative capital structure ▪ Managing cash breakeven level at approximately $14,000 per Continuing to Build Financial Strength day through effective cost control, reduced debt levels, and US$ millions, unless otherwise stated Sep 30, 2023 Sep

  14. Slide 14: Financial Highlights

    Financial Highlights Resilient TCE performance and effective cost control Fleet TCE(2) ▪ Adjusted earnings of $20.3 million, or $0.49 per share, for 3Q 2023 3Q 2023 3Q 2022 MR(3) $28,493 $44,228 ▪ Adjusted EBITDAR(1) (i.e., EBITDA plus bareboat equivalent Chemical Tankers $20,023 $31,536 lease expen

  15. Slide 15: Fleet and Operational Highlights

    Fleet and Operational Highlights Continuing investments to improve fleet performance and reduce emissions Majority of Scheduled Drydockings to be Completed by Early ‘24 ▪ Significant investment in the fleet beyond routine drydockings 7 o Seven drydockings in 2023 at an estimated cost of $12mln o Inc

  16. Slide 16: Significant Operating Leverage

    Significant Operating Leverage For every $10,000 / day increase in TCE rates, EPS expected to increase by ~$2.30 / share annually (1) Additional $10,000 / day in TCE equates to annual free cash flow of $95mln (1)(2) $9.87 Current Market Level $7.60 $5.33 $3.06 $30,000 $40,000 $50,000 $60,000 Fleet A

  17. Slide 17: Contents

    Contents 17 I. Highlights II. Product and Chemical Tanker Fundamentals III. Operating and Financial Performance IV. Summary V. Appendices 17

  18. Slide 18: Summary

    Summary 18 Market: ✓ TCE rates are at an inflection point heading into the seasonally strong winter market ✓ Anticipating a substantial increase in European import tonne-miles due to low inventory levels and longer voyage distances ✓ Wide supply-demand gap supports strong product and chemical tanker

  19. Slide 19: Contents

    Contents 19 I. Highlights II. Product and Chemical Tanker Fundamentals III. Operating and Financial Performance IV. Summary V. Appendices 19

  20. Slide 20: Dividend Payment

    Dividend Payment 20 ▪ In line with our consistent Dividend Policy, Ardmore is pleased to declare Dividend Calculation a quarterly cash dividend for 3Q 2023 of $0.16 per share Three Months Ended Sep 30, o Quarterly dividend calculated as one-third of adjusted earnings(1) 2023 Adjusted Earnings before

  21. Slide 21: Refinery Summary and Seaborne Product Trade

    Refinery Summary and Seaborne Product Trade 21 Regional Refinery Shift(1)(2) Region Closures 2020 - 2026 Openings 2023 - 2026 Europe 1.2 0.1 Australia 0.4 - Middle East - 0.5 Africa 0.2 1.0 America 1.8 0.6 China 1.0 1.0 Asia (excl. China) 1.7 6.0 Total (mbd) 6.3 9.2 Seaborne Product Trade Balances(3

  22. Slide 22: Refinery Dislocation Boosting Tonne-Mile Demand

    Refinery Dislocation Boosting Tonne-Mile Demand(1) 22 (1) 1. Closures based on announcement periods 22

  23. Slide 23: Ardmore Product and Chemical Tanker Rates

    Ardmore Product and Chemical Tanker Rates (1) 23 FLEET AVERAGE TCE MR COMBINED(2) CHEMICAL(3) $35,685 $33,958 $31,982 $30,100 $28,493 $27,900 $27,508 $27,180 $26,541 $26,347 $25,800 $27,984 $24,555 $22,103 $23,000 $20,023 1Q23 2Q23 3Q23 4Q23 TD 1Q23 2Q23 3Q23 4Q23 TD 1Q23 2Q23 3Q23 4Q23 TD 1. Ardmor

  24. Slide 24: Fleet Profile

    Fleet Profile High Quality Vessels Vessel Name Ownership Type Dwt Tonnes IMO Built Country Flag Specification Ardmore Seahawk Leased Product/Chemical 49,999 2/3 Nov-15 Korea MI Eco-design ✓ Modern, highly fuel-efficient Ardmore Seawolf Leased Product/Chemical 49,999 2/3 Aug-15 Korea MI Eco-design fl

  25. Slide 25: EBITDA + vessel lease expense component (i.e. EBITDAR)

    EBITDA + vessel lease expense component (i.e. EBITDAR) 25 Three months ended Twelve months ended Reconciliation of net income / (loss) to EBITDAR(1) September 30, 2023 September 30, 2023 In thousands of U.S. Dollars Net income 21,203 143,734 Interest income (418) (1,513) Interest expense and finance

  26. Slide 26: Ardmore Indicative Guidance 4Q 2023

    Ardmore Indicative Guidance 4Q 2023(1) 26 MR Combined TCE: $30,100 (50% fixed) Chemical Tanker Fleet TCE: $25,800 (60% fixed) Revenue Days: 2,287 Operating Expenses: $14.5 million Charter-In Expenses: $5.5 million Depreciation and Amortization: $8.5 million Overhead (Commercial and Corporate): $6.0

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