Kinder Morgan, Inc. · NYSE:KMI
Kinder Morgan — Wells Fargo Midstream, Utility & Renewables Symposium 2021
50 slides from Kinder Morgan's conference presentation, Dec 8, 2021
Slide 1: Investor Presentation December 2021
INVESTOR PRESENTATION December 2021
Slide 2: Disclosure
Disclosure Forward-looking statements / non-GAAP financial measures / industry & market data General – The information contained in this presentation does not purport to be all‐inclusive or to contain all information that prospective investors may require. Prospective investors are encouraged to con
Slide 3: Leader in North American Energy Infrastructure
Leader in North American Energy Infrastructure Unparalleled & irreplaceable asset footprint built over decades Connecting major U.S. natural gas resource plays to key demand centers Largest natural gas transmission network Move ~40% of U.S. natural gas consumption & exports — ~70,000 miles of natura
Slide 4: Core Holding in Any Portfolio
Core Holding in Any Portfolio Generating significant cash flow & returning significant value to shareholders >$35 billion market capitalization One of the 10 largest energy companies in the S&P500 ~13% owned by management Highly-aligned management with significant equity interests $7.9 billion 2021
Slide 5: Strategy
Strategy Maximize the value of our assets on behalf of shareholders Stable, fee- Invest in a low Financial Disciplined Enhance based assets carbon future flexibility capital shareholder allocation value Core energy Newly formed 4.0x 2021 expected Conservative Maintain strong infrastructure Energy Tr
Slide 6: 2022 Guidance
2022 Guidance Committed to maintaining a strong balance sheet & returning value to shareholders Variance to Key metrics 2022 Budget 2021 Forecast Net income $2.5 billion +$0.7 billion Increase due primarily to impairments taken during 2021 ~$400mm year over year growth in Adjusted EBITDA and DCF aft
Slide 7: Highly-Contracted Cash Flows
Highly-Contracted Cash Flows Stable cash flows with ~72% take-or-pay or hedged earnings CONTRACT MIX OF 2021B ADJUSTED SEGMENT EBDA Entitled to payment regardless of throughput Fixed fee collected regardless of commodity price Reservation fee for capacity Volumetric-based revenues Commodity-price ba
Slide 8: Customers Are Primarily End-Users of the Products We Handle
Customers Are Primarily End-Users of the Products We Handle Net revenues underpinned by investment grade counterparties & credit support | Ratings as of October 11, 2021 CUSTOMER TYPE CREDIT RATING End-user IG or substantial credit support Producer - IG or substantial credit support BB+ to B Produce
Slide 9: Our Business is Resilient throughout an Energy Transition
Our Business is Resilient throughout an Energy Transition what we do today… is valuable & will be needed for a long time helps meet environmental goals “energy transitions take decades” infrastructure supporting the - Vaclav Smil, Distinguished Professor Emeritus displacement of higher emissions ene
Slide 10: All Available Sources Required to Meet Demand Outlook
All Available Sources Required to Meet Demand Outlook Total energy demand expected to grow nearly 20% GLOBAL PRIMARY ENERGY DEMAND BY FUEL billions tons oil equivalent (btoe) | 2019, 2030, 2040 total demand & % mix 5 3% 5% 8% 3% 5% 11% 4 2% 9% 19% 3 26% 2 25% 23% 1 31% 28% - Oil Natural gas Coal Bio
Slide 11: Substantial Growth Projected for U.S. Natural Gas
Substantial Growth Projected for U.S. Natural Gas KEY BASINS DRIVING U.S. GROWTH 2020 to 2030 growth in bcfd Additional 23 bcfd 11 expected from three areas 7 5 Permian Haynesville Northeast DEMAND in bcfd Exports & industrial driving majority of growth 2020 32 0 21 5 31 6 96 >80% of forecast demand
Slide 12: Supporting the Buildout of U.S. LNG Exports
Supporting the Buildout of U.S. LNG Exports Serving significant liquefaction capacity & well-positioned to capture more Kinder Morgan network advantages Natural gas transportation leader ~70,000 miles of natural gas pipelines Move ~40% of U.S. natural gas consumption & exports Supply diversity Conne
Slide 13: Valuable Texas Natural Gas Systems
Valuable Texas Natural Gas Systems Winter Storm Uri emphasized the importance of our Texas Natural Gas network — Texas Intrastates system represents ~10% of total Adjusted Segment EBDA(a) – Highly contracted with >80% take-or-pay(a) – Average transportation contract tenor >5 years — 7,000 mile pipel
Slide 14: $1,225 million Acquisition of Northeast Transport & Storage Assets
$1,225 million Acquisition of Northeast Transport & Storage Assets Enhancing our service to Northeast customers with complementary assets connected to TGP KMI acquired Stagecoach Gas Services — ~10x 2020 EBITDA before synergies — Immediately accretive, primarily paid with cash on hand — Transaction
Slide 15: Volume Recovery Still Playing Out
Volume Recovery Still Playing Out REFINED PRODUCTS VOLUMES mbbld NATURAL GAS G&P VOLUMES mmcfd Gasoline Diesel Jet fuel 1,200 4,000 1,000 3,000 800 600 2,000 400 1,000 200 - - 1Q19 2Q19 3Q19 4Q19 1Q20 2Q20 3Q20 4Q20 1Q21 2Q21 3Q21 1Q19 2Q19 3Q19 4Q19 1Q20 2Q20 3Q20 4Q20 1Q21 2Q21 3Q21 — Total volume
Slide 16: West Coast Renewable Fuels Projects
West Coast Renewable Fuels Projects Subsidies & state goals for emissions reductions are driving increased RD volumes — Particularly in California where stacked subsidies currently average >$4.00/gal (RIN+LCFS+BTC) Added Bradshaw RD rail hub project to backlog — Expect 1Q23 in-service — Accommodates
Slide 17: Our Integrated Terminal Network on Houston Ship Channel
Our Integrated Terminal Network on Houston Ship Channel Refined products focused with an irreplaceable collection of assets, capabilities & market-making connectivity Our unmatched scale & flexibility: KM terminals & assets refined products terminals Colonial local refineries & processing Explorer 4
Slide 18: Partnered with NESTE on Renewable Fuels Logistics
Partnered with NESTE on Renewable Fuels Logistics Leading position in fast growing market Modifying 30 tanks & enhancing rail, truck, and marine HARVEY TERMINAL UTILIZATION capabilities at Harvey for renewable feedstock movements 99% 90% 1Q 2023 657 mbbl capacity $65 million capex operational can ex
Slide 19: Newly-Formed Energy Transition Ventures (ETV) Group
Newly-Formed Energy Transition Ventures (ETV) Group The group will evaluate commercial opportunities Opportunities for ETV group are outside emerging from the low-carbon energy transition of our existing asset base Business segments will continue to pursue their own energy transition opportunities o
Slide 20: U.S. CO2 Emissions Declined Since 2007 while GDP grew ~50%
U.S. CO2 Emissions Declined Since 2007 while GDP grew ~50% Primarily due to converting coal power generation to natural gas generation U.S. ELECTRICITY GENERATION MIX U.S. CO2 EMISSIONS % of total generation billion metric tons U.S. emissions declined ~14% or ~860 million metric tons 6.0 6.0 6.0 5.9
Slide 21: RNG Provides an Immediate Low-Carbon Solution
RNG Provides an Immediate Low-Carbon Solution Proven & cost-effective means of decarbonization Leverages existing natural gas infrastructure AVERAGE CARBON INTENSITY gCO2e/MJ Utilizes reliable, low-cost feedstock 100 Provides dispatchable and sustainable power 80 Reduces fugitive emissions
Slide 22: $310 million Acquisition of Kinetrex Energy
$310 million Acquisition of Kinetrex Energy Platform acquisition provides multi-year head start to participate in emerging RNG market ASSETS & VALUATION NORTH AMERICA RNG DEMAND bcfd — 2 small-scale LNG facilities Stated Policies Scenario Sustainable Development Scenario — 1 operational landfill-RNG
Slide 23: Attractive Potential for Renewable Fuels
Attractive Potential for Renewable Fuels U.S. RNG & HYDROGEN SUPPLY OUTLOOK 2020 & 2050 potential GLOBAL BIOFUELS DEMAND OUTLOOK mmbbld volumetric basis – bcfd 16.7 ~40% of growth through 2030 driven by policies in US (RFS) & China (E10) 5.1 0.2 2.0 2.1 RNG Hydrogen 3.6 2.8 energy basis – mmDthd 5.3
Slide 24: ESG Strategy
ESG Strategy Provide energy services in a safe, efficient, and environmentally responsible manner for the benefit of people, communities, and businesses environmental social governance Invest in low carbon future Build & maintain relationships with Risks & opportunities are continually ‒ Grow natura
Slide 25: Recognized as an ESG Leader
Recognized as an ESG Leader Highly rated by multiple agencies Sustainalytics#1 FTSE #2 Refinitiv #7 MSCI BBB SSGA top 10% of 187 Refiners & Pipelines tied for #2 in of 202 Oil & Gas Related Oil & Gas Refining, Marketing, R-Factor in of 101 Oil & Gas Storage & Oil & Gas Pipelines subsector Equipment
Slide 26: Compelling Investment Opportunity
Compelling Investment Opportunity Strategically-positioned assets generating substantial cash flow with attractive investment opportunities Stable cash flows with ~72% take-or-pay or hedged earnings(a) ~6% current yield & healthy dividend coverage Top 10 dividend yield in S&P500 Dividends & capex fu
Slide 27: Appendix
APPENDIX
Slide 28: Energy Toll Road
Energy Toll Road Cash flow security with >90% from take-or-pay & other fee-based contracts Natural Gas Products Terminals CO2 2021B EBDA %(a) 62% 16% 15% 7% Refined Liquids Jones Act CO2 & Interstate / LNG Intrastate G&P products Crude terminals tankers Bulk terminals EOR Oil & Gas Transport 4% & 1%
Slide 29: $1.6 Billion Project Backlog as of 9/30/2021
$1.6 Billion Project Backlog as of 9/30/2021 Expect ~20% of backlog capital in service in 2021, ~40% in 2022, and ~30% in 2023 DEMAND SUPPLY CAPITAL PIPELINE PULL PUSH ($ billion) CAPACITY Supply for U.S. power & LDC demand (TGP, FGT, SNG, TX intra) $ 0.5 1.1 bcfd Supply for LNG export (KMLP & EPN
Slide 30: 2021 Forecast as of December 2021
2021 Forecast as of December 2021 Key metrics 2021 Forecast Variance to 2021 Budget Due primarily to 2Q $1.6 billion S Texas G&P impairment, Net income $1.7 billion -$0.4 billion partially offset by 1Q $1.1 billion Uri benefit Adjusted EBITDA $7.9 billion +$1.1 billion Due primarily to one-time bene
Slide 31: Our Infrastructure is Important to Fueling the Future
Our Infrastructure is Important to Fueling the Future Leveraging our long-term investment in the substantial assets & expertise required to responsibly deliver energy BENEFITS OF NATURAL GAS LOW EMISSIONS ABUNDANT & LOW COST Natural gas is the cleanest burning fossil fuel with Cost-effective generat
Slide 32: Responsibly Sourced Natural Gas
Responsibly Sourced Natural Gas Conventional natural gas produced by companies whose operations meet certain ESG standards methane water community Standards typically focus on management practices for emissions usage relations their production these producers produce ~35 bcfd 25 producers have commi
Slide 33: Reducing Methane Emissions for >25 Years
Reducing Methane Emissions for >25 Years Natural gas is ~95% methane so we are economically incentivized to minimize methane emissions Primary reduction strategies — Conduct annual methane leak surveys and perform monitor maintenance & repairs as needed & repair — Monitor performance of compressor c
Slide 34: ONE Future Proven Results
ONE Future Proven Results Beat goal 7 years early ONE FUTURE METHANE EMISSION INTENSITY Transmission & storage Remaining natural gas supply chain — ONE Future uses science-based 1.44% technology and methods to reduce In 2014 ONE Future set a goal for its members to emissions across the natural gas c
Slide 35: Long History of Methane Reduction Efforts
Long History of Methane Reduction Efforts METHANE EMISSIONS REDUCTIONS bcf CUMULATIVE METHANE EMISSIONS REDUCTIONS bcf Goal Actual across our operations reported to EPA Natural Gas STAR & Methane Challenge 2018 2019 2020 - (2.0) (2.3) (20) >126 bcf (40) of emissions prevented while KM natural gas (4
Slide 36: Manageable Natural Gas Re-Contracting Exposure
Manageable Natural Gas Re-Contracting Exposure Analysis of existing contracts that renew during next two years KMI ADJUSTED EBITDA $ billions Expiring contracts are assessed for volumetric & Adjusted EBITDA Natural Gas re-contracting rate risk based on November 2020 market $8 assumptions (time of bu
Slide 37: Gathering & Processing Assets Across Multiple Key Basins
Gathering & Processing Assets Across Multiple Key Basins Represents ~7% of KMI EBDA with ~6% in Natural Gas & ~1% in Products (primarily Bakken) SHORT-TERM DRY GAS PRODUCTION OUTLOOK bcfd, 2020 – 2023 ~17% Other 16 Multiple systems in Uinta, Oklahoma, San Juan & other areas +36% 14 Our primary areas
Slide 38: Products Segment Overview
Products Segment Overview Supplying a diverse mix of feedstock & finished products critical to refining & transportation sectors 2021B volumes Volume by 2021B DELIVERY VOLUMES(a) mbbld region(b) West 74% — Budget averages 2% below 2019 gasoline Gasoline 1,054 volumes & reaches 2019 level by Q4 2021
Slide 39: Demand Markets Provide Diversification
Demand Markets Provide Diversification Plan to mitigate exposure to RIN volatility through fixed price contracts in the voluntary market REVENUE EXAMPLE $ per mmbtu D3 RINs can also satisfy D5 & D6 obligations RIN value $37.06 (a) revenues must meet or exceed traditional hurdle rates $13 – $17 2021
Slide 40: KMI is a natural fit for facilitating CCUS
Captured Carbon may be Sequestered or used in EOR Production Point source emitters are geographically diverse Within 30 miles of our existing CO2 pipe, we estimate carbon capture opportunities of: from natural gas ~200-300 mmcfd processing/treating ~500 mmcfd from natural gas power ~700 mmcfd from c
Slide 41: Opportunity to Capture Carbon from Stationary Sources
Opportunity to Capture Carbon from Stationary Sources US GHG EMISSIONS US GHG EMISSIONS FROM POINT SOURCES mmtpa mmtpa Ethanol Nat Gas Processing Ammonia Manufacturing ~70% of point source emissions from point Hydrogen Production are higher sources potential 2,622 Cement Production other 3,936 candi
Slide 42: CCUS Economics are Improving but Remain Challenged
CCUS Economics are Improving but Remain Challenged CURRENT ESTIMATED U.S. CARBON CAPTURE COST $/tonne 45Q TAX CREDITS $140 ‒ Capturer controls the tax credit Additional technological advancements ‒ Industry still contemplating economics across the value $120 & government policy could advance chain C
Slide 43: CO2 Segment Consistently Generates Free Cash Flow
CO2 Segment Consistently Generates Free Cash Flow Low cash cost structure yields healthy margins through multiple commodity price cycles OIL & GAS CASH OPERATING COSTS & AVG. PRICE CO2 SEGMENT FREE CASH FLOW $ millions $ per net barrel Cash costs Avg. realized oil price FCF Capex Acquisitions Adj. S
Slide 44: Joint Venture Treatment in Key Metrics
Joint Venture Treatment in Key Metrics KM does not control nor consolidate KM controls & fully consolidates KM portion referred to as equity investments in third party portion referred to as noncontrolling interests in financial statements financial statements SNG (50%), NGPL (37.5%), GCX (26.7%) Ex
Slide 45: Non-GAAP Financial Measures & Reconciliations
Non-GAAP Financial Measures & Reconciliations Defined Terms Reconciliations for the historical periods 45
Slide 46: Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures
Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures We use the non-GAAP financial measures of Adjusted Earnings and Distributable Cash Flow (or DCF), both in the aggregate and per share for each; Adjusted Segment EBDA; Adjusted EBITDA; Net Debt; Net Debt to Adjusted EBITDA; Project EBITDA; Free Cash Flow; and CO2 Se
Slide 47: Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures (Continued)
Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures (Continued) Adjusted Segment EBDA is calculated by adjusting segment earnings before DD&A and amortization of excess cost of equity investments (Segment EBDA) for Certain Items attributable to the segment. Adjusted Segment EBDA is used by management in its analysis
Slide 48: GAAP Reconciliations
GAAP Reconciliations $ in millions 2022 2021 2022 2021 Projected Projected 2020 Projected Projected 2020 Guidance Guidance Actual Guidance Guidance Actual Net income attributable to Kinder Morgan, Inc. (GAAP) $ 2,500 $ 1,700 $ 119 Net income attributable to Kinder Morgan, Inc. (GAAP) $ 2,500 $ 1,700
Slide 49: GAAP Reconciliations
GAAP Reconciliations $ in millions 2020 Certain Items in Segment Adjusted Adjusted EBDA Segment Segment Reconciliation of Adjusted Segment EBDA (GAAP) EBDA EBDA Certain Items 2020 Natural Gas Pipelines $3,483 $983 $4,466 Fair value amortization $ (21) Products Pipelines 977 50 1,027 Legal, environme
Slide 50: Reconciliations of KMI FCF & CO2 Segment FCF
Reconciliations of KMI FCF & CO2 Segment FCF $ in millions a) Includes dividends paid for the preferred shares for the years ended 2016, 2017, and 2018. b) Includes sustaining and expansion capital expenditures. 50
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