Bhp Group Ltd · ASX:BHP

Bhp — BHP Billiton — FY2004 Earnings Presentation

56 slides from Bhp's earnings presentation, Aug 18, 2004

  1. Slide 1: Preliminary Results – 30 June 2004

    Preliminary Results – 30 June 2004 18 August 2004 Chip Goodyear Chief Executive Officer Chris Lynch Chief Financial Officer

  2. Slide 2: Disclaimer

    Disclaimer The views expressed here contain information derived from publicly available sources that have not been independently verified. No representation or warranty is made as to the accuracy, completeness or reliability of the information. Any forward looking information in this presentation ha

  3. Slide 3: Preliminary Results – 30 June 2004

    Preliminary Results – 30 June 2004 Chip Goodyear Chief Executive Officer

  4. Slide 4: Highlights – year ended 30 June 2004

    Highlights – year ended 30 June 2004 • Record EBITDA, up 40% to US$7.5 billion and record EBIT, up 58% to US$5.5 billion. • EBIT up across all CSGs. • Record attributable profit of US$3.5 billion and earnings per share of 56.4 US cents. • Including other efficiency gains, the total merger benefits a

  5. Slide 5: Preliminary Results – 30 June 2004

    Preliminary Results – 30 June 2004 Chris Lynch Chief Financial Officer

  6. Slide 6: Results highlights – year ended 30 June

    Results highlights –year ended 30 June (US$M) 2004 2003 % Change Turnover(1) 24,943 17,506 +43 EBITDA(1)(2)(3) 7,506 5,363 +40 EBIT(1)(2) 5,488 3,481 +58 Attrib profit (1)(2) 3,510 1,920 +83 Exceptional items (131) (19) Attrib profit (incl exceptionals) 3,379 1,901 +78 Available cash flow (1) 5,235

  7. Slide 7: EBIT by Customer Sector Group

    EBIT by Customer Sector Group Year ended 30 June (US$M) 2004 2003 % Change Petroleum 1,391 1,178 +18 Aluminium 776 581 +34 Base Metals 1,156 286 +304 Carbon Steel Materials 1,137 1,045 +9 Diamonds & Spec Products 446 370 +21 Energy Coal 234 198 +18 Stainless Steel Materials 571 150 +281 Exploration

  8. Slide 8: EBIT by Customer Sector Group

    EBIT by Customer Sector Group Year ended 30 June 2003 - EBIT US$3,481 million 2004 – EBIT US$5,488 million 10% 4% 4% 25% 5% 8% 31% 7% ` 28% 16% 20% 14% 8% Petroleum 20% Aluminium Base Metals Carbon Steel Material s Diamonds & Spec. Prod. Energy Coal Preliminary Results Stainless Steel Materials Page

  9. Slide 9: EBIT analysis

    EBIT analysis Year ended 30 June 04 vs year ended 30 June 03 US$M 7000 3145 (775) 6500 6000 (325) 60 55 (93) (85) (300) 70 75 5488 5500 180 5000 Net price impact Net other impacts 4500 US$1,745 million US$262 million 4000 3481 3500 3000 Year Prices Exchange Price Inflation Volumes Costs Ceased & Ass

  10. Slide 10: Impact of major commodity price changes on EBIT

    Impact of major commodity price changes on EBIT Year ended 30 June 04 vs year ended 30 June 03 US$M Copper 800 785 Total price variance + US$3,145 million 700 600 500 Nickel 400 360 Pet Energy 285 Ali coal Chrome 300 260 250 240 Iron ore Silver 220 Lead 200 Zinc Diamonds M ang Others 135 HBI Alumina

  11. Slide 11: Impact of major volume changes on EBIT

    Impact of major volume changes on EBIT Year ended 30 June 04 vs year ended 30 June 03 US$M 150 Total volume variance + US$180 million Copper 110 100 Aluminium Iron Ore 65 60 Silver/Lead 50 Mang Zinc/Gold 30 25 Diamonds 15 Coking Coal 10 0 -50 Others (40) -100 Petroleum * (95) Preliminary Results * T

  12. Slide 12: Net interest, taxation & attributable profit

    Net interest, taxation & attributable profit Continuing operations, excluding exceptionals Year ended 30 June (US$M) 2004 2003 EBIT 5,488 3,481 Net interest expense (355) (403) Exchange impact on debt (133) (140) Discounting of provisions/Capitalised interest (14) 6 Profit before tax 4,986 2,944 Tax

  13. Slide 13: Impact of restatements of net monetary liabilities

    Impact of restatements of net monetary liabilities - Year ended June Impact of Impact of (US$M) June 04 Restatement(1) June 03 Restatement(1) EBIT 5,488 (60) 3,481 (80) Net interest (502) (133) (537) (140) Taxation expense (1,379) (85) (984) (160) Attributable profit 3,510 (278) 1,920 (380) US$3,788

  14. Slide 14: Exceptional items (after tax)

    Exceptional items (after tax) – year ended 30 June (US$M) 2004 Closure plans (512) Petroleum litigation settlement 48 Australian tax consolidation regime 95 US and Canadian tax deductions recognised 238 Total exceptional items (131) Preliminary Results Page 14 18 August 2004

  15. Slide 15: Exceptional items (after tax) – Closure plans

    Exceptional items (after tax) – Closure plans (US$M) 2004 Southwest Copper Capital works (eg. earthworks & demolition) (160) Other adjustments 130 Ongoing costs (eg. water management & site maintenance) (255) Risked costs (140) Total Southwest Copper (425) Other closed sites (87) Total closure plans

  16. Slide 16: Cash flow – from continuing operations

    Cash flow – from continuing operations Year ended 30 June (US$M) 2004 2003 Operating cash flow and JV dividends 6,904 4,996 Net interest paid (332) (398) Tax paid (1,337) (1,002) Available cash flow 5,235 3,596 Capital expenditure (2,624) (2,666) Exploration expenditure (454) (348) Sale of fixed ass

  17. Slide 17: Cost savings – progress to June 2004

    Cost savings – progress to 30 June 2004 (US$M) FY 02 FY 03 FY 04 Total Cost related merger benefits 160 40 - 200 Non cost related merger benefits 60 25 - 85 Total merger benefits 220 65 - 285 Cost savings and efficiency gains Operating Excellence 200 165 365 Strategic sourcing 40 26 66 Portfolio mix

  18. Slide 18: Preliminary Results – 30 June 2004

    Preliminary Results – 30 June 2004 Chip Goodyear Chief Executive Officer

  19. Slide 19: The strategic framework value drivers

    The strategic framework value drivers I. Outstanding Assets II. Growth From Deep Inventory of Projects III. Customer-Centric Marketing IV. The Portfolio Effect V. The Petroleum CSG VI. Innovation VII. People Preliminary Results Page 19 18 August 2004

  20. Slide 20: Outstanding assets

    Outstanding assets Higher EBIT contribution from all CSG’s Iron Ore Manganese Ore Aluminium Alumina Diamonds Silver Nickel Natural Gas Preliminary Results Page 20 18 August 2004

  21. Slide 21: Outstanding assets: increasing margins and return on capital

    Outstanding assets Increasing margins and return on capital Return on Capital EBIT margin 35% 29.8% 30% 24.3% 25% 21.4% 20.3% 20% 15% 13.4% 10.9% 10% 5% 0% 2002 2003 2004 Preliminary Results EBIT margins exclude exceptional items and third party products, refer to slide 54 for more details. Page 21

  22. Slide 22: EBIT margin growth by Customer Sector Group

    Outstanding assets EBIT margin growth by Customer Sector Group 2003 2004 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% Petroleum Aluminium Base Carbon Diamonds Energy Stainless Metals Steel & Specialty Coal Steel Materials Products Materials Preliminary Results Page 22 18 August 2004 EBIT margins exclude ex

  23. Slide 23: Growth projects delivered since July 2001

    Growth projects delivered since July 2001 Ekati * Zamzama Mt PACE Arthur Ohanet North Typhoon Aluminium San Juan Base M etals Cerrejon * Carbon Steel Energy Coal Mozal II Diamonds Antamina Area C Petroleum Tintaya Oxide Hillside III Escondida IV Bream Gas Accelerated Pipeline expansion 17 projects O

  24. Slide 24: Volume growth

    Volume growth Year ended 30 June 2001 to year ended 30 June 2004 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% Natural Gas Aluminium Alumina Copper Silver Iron Ore Manganese Nickel Ferrochrome Ore Preliminary Results Page 24 18 August 2004

  25. Slide 25: EBIT growth since the merger

    EBIT growth since the merger US$bn 3.5 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 H1 H2 H1 H2 H1 H2 FY2002 FY2003 FY2004 Preliminary Results Page 25 18 August 2004

  26. Slide 26: Deep inventory of growth projects

    Deep inventory of growth projects BROW NFIELD Broadmeadow Yabulu Yabulu Klipspruit GoM Infrastr. Panda UG Escondida Alumar Blackw ater CPR Dendrobium CPP WAIO RGP Esc’da Esc’da Sulphide Sulphide WA WA Iron Iron Ore Ore Worsley Long Long Term Term Expansion Expansion NWS NWS Esc’da Esc’da Paranam Nor

  27. Slide 27: Customer centric marketing - a competitive advantage

    Customer centric marketing - a competitive advantage • Better meet the needs of our customers – Technical and product expertise – Cross selling product • Improve market share and customer base – Utilize asset capacity – Build broader relationships • Understand and reduce risk – Freight risk – Operat

  28. Slide 28: Petroleum – continued success through FY2004

    Petroleum – continued success through FY2004 • Gulf of Mexico • Mad Dog, Atlantis (and infrastructure) developments on track • Appraisal success at Shenzi and Neptune • Puma discovery • Strengthened acreage position • Western Australia drilling success • Exmouth Sub Basin (Stybarrow, Ravensworth, Cr

  29. Slide 29: The strategic framework value drivers

    The strategic framework value drivers I. Outstanding Assets II. Growth From Deep Inventory of Projects III. Customer-Centric Marketing IV. The Portfolio Effect V. The Petroleum CSG VI. Innovation VII. People Preliminary Results Page 29 18 August 2004

  30. Slide 30: China – driving global raw materials growth

    China – driving global raw materials growth • Chinese growth is not a short-term phenomenon • Growth has strong long-term structural underpinnings • Chinese government is clearly committed to reform, infrastructure provisions and economic growth • “Over-heating” has been confined to certain parts of

  31. Slide 31: China – growth translates to opportunity for BHP Billiton

    China – growth translates to opportunity for BHP Billiton • Sales into China increasing but diversification remains • Currently 9.8% of total company revenues, up from 6.9% in FY03 US$M ROW Nth Am 1,357 12 1400 Europe 1200 Aust ` * * 10 1,075 1000 Oth Asia * 8 % of total sales China Japan 785 800 6

  32. Slide 32: Outlook

    Outlook • China – Growth rates expected to ease modestly – Will remain a large and sustainable consumer of raw materials and resources in coming years – But will be subject to ‘ups and downs’ • Asia – Benefiting from China • Japan – Strongest momentum in a decade • USA – Recovery continuing • Europe

  33. Slide 33: Summary

    Summary • HSEC improvement critical to long term success • Record production and profit performance • Continued strong demand from China • Fundamental strategy remains unchanged – Maximising performance of operating assets – Pursuit of cost savings and efficiency gains – Establish systems and proces

  34. Slide 34: Ohpobilliton

    Pf Ohpobilliton

  35. Slide 35: Strategic focus

    Strategic focus M&A Bolt-on Acq. Growth Pipeline Savings and Efficiencies Low Cost, High Quality Assets Preliminary Results Page 35 18 August 2004

  36. Slide 36: Strategic framework scorecard

    Strategic framework scorecard Value Driver Strategic imperatives Performance measures FY04 performance I. Outstanding assets Zero harm Improve HSEC statistics Classified Injury Frequency Rate improved by 8% Work related illness down by 13% Generation of hazardous waste down by 12% Community – 1% of

  37. Slide 37: Strategic framework scorecard

    Strategic framework scorecard Value Driver Strategic imperatives Performance measures FY04 performance V. The Petroleum Value adding growth Low discovery costs Puma discovery and appraisal of Shenzi and CSG Growing reserves and Neptune in the Gulf of M exico production Stybarrow and Pyrenees explora

  38. Slide 38: Sanctioned development projects – Minerals

    Sanctioned development projects – update Minerals (US$2.9 billion) Project Commodity Share of Initial Share of production capacity Progress Capex production US$M target date Paranam refinery expansion Increase capacity to 2.2 Alumina 29 Q3 CY05 Ahead of schedule (Suriname) – 45% million tpa (100%) W

  39. Slide 39: Sanctioned development projects – Petroleum

    Sanctioned development projects - update Petroleum (US$2.4 billion) Project Commodity Share of Initial Share of production Progress Capex production capacity US$M target date Behind original ROD (Algeria) – 36% Oil/gas 192 Q4 CY04 28,800 boe/day schedule of Q1 CY04 M ad Dog (US) – 23.9% Oil/gas 335

  40. Slide 40: Development projects in feasibility – Minerals

    Development projects in feasibility Minerals (US$3.2 billion) Project Commodity Estimated Forecast initial Project description Share of production* Capex* US$M Spence (Chile) – 100% Copper 967 Late 2006 200,000 tonnes per annum Escondida Course Particle Copper 100 Q3 2006 54,000 tpa (100%) Recovery

  41. Slide 41: Development projects commissioned since merger

    Development projects commissioned since merger Project Our share of capex Initial production date Budget Actual Budget Actual M ozal 2 (M ozambique) – 47.1% 405 311 Q4 2003 Q2 2003 Zamzama (Pakistan) – 38.5% 40 40 Q3 2003 Q2 2003 Bream Gas Pipeline (Australia) – 50% 50 34 Q2 2003 Q4 2002 Escondida P

  42. Slide 42: Development projects commissioned since merger cont.

    Development projects commissioned since merger cont. Project Our share of capex Initial production date Budget Actual Budget Actual Products & Capacity Expansion (Australia) – 299 270 (1) Q2 2004 Q1 2004 85% Area C (Australia) – 85% 181 171 Q4 2003 Q3 2003 M t Arthur North (Australia) – 100% 411 411

  43. Slide 43: The portfolio effect - steady increases in EBITDA

    The portfolio effect - steady increases in EBITDA(1) US$ bn September 11 Enron SA Rand A$ BEE Charter Iraq war SARS Recovering World Trade Bankruptcy strengthen leak global Centre Attack economy 4.4 4.0 3.6 3.2 2.8 2.4 2.0 1.6 1.2 0.8 0.4 0.0 H1 H2 H1 H2 H1 H2 FY2002 FY2003 FY2004 Preliminary Result

  44. Slide 44: The portfolio effect - financial strength

    The portfolio effect - financial strength 8.0 22 EBITDA Interest Coverage Ratio (times) 20 7.0 18 16 US$ billion debt 6.0 14 Average borrowing cost (%) 12 5.0 10 4.0 8 6 3.0 4 2001 2002 2003 2004 Moody’s Positive Investment A3 A2 Watch Services Standard & A- Poor’s A+ Average borrowing cost = gross

  45. Slide 45: Capital expenditure

    Capital expenditure 2004 2005 (US$M) Actual Forecast Project expenditure 1,698 2,350 Sustaining capital 926 1,200 Exploration expenditure (1) 454 450 Total 3,078 4,000 Preliminary Results (1) 2005 forecast made up of US$300 million Petroleum exploration and Page 45 18 August 2004 US$150 million M in

  46. Slide 46: Petroleum - reserves trends

    Petroleum - reserves trends (1) 2500 30 2000 25 Proved R/P Ratio 20 Million boe 1500 15 1000 10 500 5 0 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 Proved Probable Proved R/P* (1) Preliminary Results Net revenue interest * Proved R/P ratio refers to Production over Reserves Page 46 18 August 2004

  47. Slide 47: Petroleum: Gulf of Mexico - Leaseholding

    Petroleum Gulf of Mexico - Leaseholding West WestCameron Cameron Green GreenCanyon Canyon 1860 1860 Licence Vortex Vortex Producing Genesis Genesis Discovery Neptune Neptune Development Shenzi Shenzi Typhoon Typhoon//Boris Boris Atlantis Atlantis Puma Puma Mad MadDog Dog >90 Blocks acquired Cascade

  48. Slide 48: Petroleum: Exmouth sub-basin exploration/appraisal wells

    Petroleum Exmouth sub-basin exploration/appraisal wells (Apr–Aug 04) WA-255-P(1) STYBARROW-3/-4 KNOTT-1 ESKDALE-2 WA-255-P(2) RAVENSWORTH-2 CROSBY-2 STICKLE-2/-3 Stybarrow Enfield HARRISON-1 WA-155-P(1) Gas STICKLE-1 WA-155-P(1) Oil Ravensworth Crosby Onslow Retentio n Lease WA-12-R 25km Exploratio

  49. Slide 49: Strategic framework US$500M cost reduction target

    Strategic framework US$500M cost reduction target Methodology principles • Commodity based – unit costs • FY01 base year – consistent with merger synergies • Adjusted for price linked costs, exchange rates, inflation and exceptionals Cost savings and efficiency gains result from: – Operating excelle

  50. Slide 50: USD functional currency policy - general level of exposure

    USD functional currency policy - general level of exposure (US$M) AUD Rand Impact Net payables, receivables & (500) (150) EBIT employee provisions Resource Rent Tax provision (300) - EBIT Tax provisions (400) (400) Tax Debt - (400) Interest Total (1,200) (950) P&L Restoration & Rehab (1,000) (300) B

  51. Slide 51: Key net profit sensitivities

    Key net profit sensitivities Approximate im pact on FY05 net profit after tax of changes of: (US$M) US$1/t on iron ore price 60 US$1/bbl on oil price 40 US$1/t on metallurgical coal price 25 USc1/lb on aluminium price 20 USc1/lb on copper price 15 US$1/t on energy coal price 20 USc1/lb on nickel pri

  52. Slide 52: Key net profit sensitivities

    Key net profit sensitivities Approximate im pact on FY05 net profit after tax of changes of: (US$M) Australian dollar (USc1/A$) Operations(1) 35 Net monetary liabilities(2) 15 South African Rand (0.2 Rand/US$) Operations(1) 35 Net monetary liabilities(2) 15 Rand debt(2) 10 (1) Impact based on averag

  53. Slide 53: Preliminary results under Australian GAAP

    Preliminary results under Australian GAAP Year ended 30 June (US$M) 2004 2003 Sales revenue 22,887 15,608 Profit before tax 4,369 2,783 Profit after tax attributable to members 3,403 1,860 EPS (US cents) 54.7 30.0 Preliminary Results Page 53 18 August 2004

  54. Slide 54: Non GAAP measures used within this presentation

    Non GAAP measures used within this presentation EBITD A EBITD A is earnings before in terest and tax, from contin uin g operatio ns (except 2001 which includes Steel), before deprecia tion, amortisation and impairments of Group companies and jo int ventures and associa tes, as detaile d belo w. We b

  55. Slide 55: Non GAAP measures used within this presentation

    Non GAAP measures used within this presentation EBIT margin by Customer Sector Group exclu din g third party product activities Slide 22 refers to Customer Sector Group EBIT margins, excluding third party product activities, as detaile d belo w. We believe that this provides useful information but s

  56. Slide 56: Ohpobilliton

    Pf Ohpobilliton

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