Aeci Ltd · JSE:AFE

Aeci — H1 2014 Earnings Presentation

51 slides from Aeci's earnings presentation, Jul 29, 2014

  1. Slide 1: Financial Results for the Half-Year Ended 30 June 2014

    FINANCIAL RESULTS FOR THE HALF-YEAR ENDED 30 JUNE 2014 PRESENTATION 29 and 30 July 2014

  2. Slide 2: Presentation Outline

    PRESENTATION OUTLINE 1 › Performance summary › Performance drivers analysed ◦ External ◦ Internal: strategic delivery › Results analysed › Segmental performance ◦ Property ◦ Explosives ◦ Specialty chemicals › Outlook and progress on deliverables

  3. Slide 3: Performance Summary

    L PERFORMANCE SUMMARY OA=SCI good chemistr.

  4. Slide 4: Performance Summary

    PERFORMANCE SUMMARY 3 › Safety performance improvement trend maintained – rolling 12-month TRIR of 0,48 › Revenue +11% to R8bn ◦ Growth as result of property transaction and specialty chemicals cluster in SA ◦ Foreign revenue of R2 502m = 31% of total › Profit from operations +33% to R814m › R1 061m

  5. Slide 5: Performance Summary: TRIR

    PERFORMANCE SUMMARY 4 12-month rolling average TRIR of 0,48 ALL WORKERS TRIR Maximum tolerable level 1,0 0,8 0,6 0,4 0,2 0,0 10 11 12 13 14

  6. Slide 6: Performance Summary: Positive Impacts and Offsets

    PERFORMANCE SUMMARY 5 Positive impacts › Receipt of cash proceeds for property sale › Robust results from the specialty chemicals segment in a difficult environment ◦ Benefits of acquisitions and strategic portfolio management evident › Internationalisation strategy being realised › Weaker rand vs 1

  7. Slide 7: Performance Drivers Analysed

    6 2 PERFORMANCE DRIVERS ANALYSED

  8. Slide 8: Business Environment: SA Mining Volumes

    BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT 7 SA mining volumes Jan ’09 – May ’14 Base: 2010 = 100 Source: StatsSA y-o-y = -6,5%

  9. Slide 9: External Performance Drivers: Mining Environment

    EXTERNAL PERFORMANCE DRIVERS 8 Mining environment › In SA ◦ Strikes ◦ Timing and shape of recovery of SA platinum mining sector uncertain › Mining activity in the rest of Africa remained robust overall, from existing customers and new mining projects › Lower commodity prices driving mining houses’ p

  10. Slide 10: Business Environment: SA Manufacturing Volumes

    BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT 9 SA manufacturing volumes Jan ’06 – May ’14 Base: 2010 = 100 Source: StatsSA y-o-y = -3,7%

  11. Slide 11: External Performance Drivers: SA Manufacturing

    EXTERNAL PERFORMANCE DRIVERS 10 SA manufacturing › Sector growth not tracking GDP growth › Energy constraints › Weak demand impacts margin and volume growth › No significant improvement in exports by customers › Customers rationalising and reducing production capacity due to cost competitiveness fac

  12. Slide 12: Business Environment: ZAR/US$ Exchange Rate

    BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT 11 ZAR/US$ exchange rate Source: INet Bridge Peak = R11,30 Open ’14 = R10,50 Average 1H14 = R10,70 Average 1H13 = R9,20 Average 2H13 = R10,06 Open ’13 = R8,49

  13. Slide 13: External Performance Drivers: Exchange Rate Effects

    EXTERNAL PERFORMANCE DRIVERS 12 Effects of the exchange rate on performance › ZAR/US$ depreciated by 16% on average yt-June ’14 vs yt-June ’13 › 31% of Group revenue predominantly US$ denominated in 1H14 ◦ Forex benefits as the Group steps out of SA › Rand weakness boosted revenue but rand margins r

  14. Slide 14: Internal Performance Drivers: Strategic Delivery

    INTERNAL PERFORMANCE DRIVERS: STRATEGIC DELIVERY 13 SA-based explosives and specialty chemicals company with regional and international businesses in Africa and SE Asia. Other markets of interest are Australia and Latam Strategy › Focus on: ◦ International mining solutions (explosives and chemicals)

  15. Slide 15: Mining Solutions

    INTERNAL PERFORMANCE DRIVERS: STRATEGIC DELIVERY 14 Mining solutions

  16. Slide 16: Strategic Delivery: Mining Solutions

    INTERNAL PERFORMANCE DRIVERS: STRATEGIC DELIVERY 15 › Mining solutions ◦ AEL and Senmin negatively affected by platinum industry strikes (R250m impact on profit from operations) ◦ Expansion outside SA, across minerals and mining methods has de-risked AEL ◦ New explosives plants in Burkina Faso, DRC

  17. Slide 17: Internal Performance Drivers: Strategic Delivery

    INTERNAL PERFORMANCE DRIVERS: STRATEGIC DELIVERY 16 SA-based explosives and specialty chemicals company with regional and international businesses in Africa and SE Asia. Other markets of interest are Australia and Latam Strategy › Focus on: ◦ International mining solutions (explosives and chemicals)

  18. Slide 18: Specialty Chemicals

    INTERNAL PERFORMANCE DRIVERS: STRATEGIC DELIVERY 17 Specialty chemicals

  19. Slide 19: Strategic Delivery: Water, Agriculture, Food Additives

    INTERNAL PERFORMANCE DRIVERS: STRATEGIC DELIVERY 18 › Water solutions ◦ Excellent 1H14 from ImproChem ◦ GE acquisition delivering ◦ Clariant water treatment acquisition finalised ◦ African footprint enhanced ◦ Leading industrial, effluent and municipal water treatment chemical company in Africa › Ag

  20. Slide 20: Internal Performance Drivers: Strategic Delivery

    INTERNAL PERFORMANCE DRIVERS: STRATEGIC DELIVERY 19 SA-based explosives and specialty chemicals company with regional and international businesses in Africa and SE Asia. Other markets of interest are Australia and Latam Strategy › Focus on: ◦ International mining solutions (explosives and chemicals)

  21. Slide 21: Specialty Chemicals Cluster

    SPECIALTY CHEMICALS CLUSTER 20 14 businesses, including 3 JVs Akulu Marchon Lake Foods Chemfit Lake Specialties Chemical Initiatives Nulandis Resinkem ChemSystems Senmin Crest Chemicals SANS Technical Fibers ImproChem Specialty Minerals SA Industrial Oleochemical Products

  22. Slide 22: Internal Performance Drivers: Strategic Delivery

    INTERNAL PERFORMANCE DRIVERS: STRATEGIC DELIVERY 21 SA-based explosives and specialty chemicals company with regional and international businesses in Africa and SE Asia. Other markets of interest are Australia and Latam Strategy › Focus on: ◦ International mining solutions (explosives and chemicals)

  23. Slide 23: Acquisitions

    ACQUISITIONS 22 Summary › R400m acquisition of Clariant’s water treatment business in Africa ◦ Includes 50% of Blendtech (B-BBEE partner in SA) ◦ Revenue about R600m/year; EBITDA about R65m/year ◦ Integrated 1 July ’14 ◦ Will benefit ImproChem in 2H14 › Outlook good for M&A activities

  24. Slide 24: 1H14 Revenue Split

    1H14 REVENUE SPLIT IN THIS CONTEXT 23 ▃▃▃ 43% Explosives ▃▃▃ 14% Mining chemicals ▃▃▃ 11% Agriculture ▃▃▃ 24% Manufacturing ▃▃▃ 8% Property

  25. Slide 25: Group Mining Revenue

    GROUP MINING REVENUE 24 Revenue by mineral mined 1H14 ▃▃▃ 20% Coal ▃▃▃ 17% Copper, cobalt, chrome, nickel ▃▃▃ 16% Gold ▃▃▃ 15% Platinum ▃▃▃ 8% Quarry, construction, civil ▃▃▃ 6% Diamond ▃▃▃ 5% Iron ore ▃▃▃ 2% Uranium ▃▃▃ 1% Phosphate ▃▃▃ 10% Other

  26. Slide 26: Specialty Chemicals Revenue by Market Sector

    SPECIALTY CHEMICALS 25 Revenue by market sector 1H14 ▃▃▃ 29% Mining ▃▃▃ 21% Agriculture 1 2 ▃▃▃ 8% Food and beverage 1 ▃▃▃ 6% Oil and refining ▃▃▃ 6% Chemical industry 1 1 1 ▃▃▃ 5% Textiles and leather ▃▃▃ 5% Detergents ▃▃▃ 4% Toiletries, cosmetics 1% Steel and metals and pharmaceuticals 1% Construc

  27. Slide 27: Results Analysed

    RESULTS ANALYSED OA=SCI good chemistr

  28. Slide 28: HEPS

    HEPS 27 › Profit from operations +33% to R814m HALF-YEAR HEPS › HEPS +10% to 390c 400 › Normalised HEPS +12% 399c 350 › Tax rate: 19,4% (1H13: 27,2%) 300 › Return on net assets: 17% 250 ◦ Target = 20%+ cps › Economic value added remains positive 200 150 100 50 0 09 10 11 12 13 1H14

  29. Slide 29: HEPS Analysed

    HEPS ANALYSED 28 Financial impacts of property sale and platinum strikes Cents June June % 2014 2013 change Reported EPS 537 356 51 Property transaction – net capital profit (145) – Other (2) – Reported HEPS 390 356 10 Property transaction – net revenue profit (192) – Platinum strikes 161 – Restruct

  30. Slide 30: Cash Utilisation

    CASH UTILISATION 29 ▃▃▃ Borrowings › Capex: R343m – incl. R142m ▃▃▃ Gearing for expansion projects › Acquisitions & investments: R400m + R79m 3 000 80 › NWC to revenue: 19% 70 2 500 (21,8% in June ’13) 60 › Net borrowings: R1 591m 2 000 50 › Gearing at 22% vs 35% in June ’13 Rm % 1 500 40 (25% in De

  31. Slide 31: EBITDA and Volumes

    EBITDA AND VOLUMES 30 › EBITDA +23% to R1,1bn HALF-YEAR EBITDA › Chemicals volumes +5% 1200 ◦ Manufactured +0,2% ◦ Traded +11,4% 1000 › Explosives volumes +1% 800 ◦ SA +1% ◦ Rest of Africa +5% 600 ◦ International -7% 400 › Initiating systems -39% 200 0 09 10 11 12 13 14

  32. Slide 32: Segmental Performance

    4 SEGMENTAL PERFORMANCE OA=SCI good chemistr

  33. Slide 33: Profit from Operations by Segment

    PROFIT FROM OPERATIONS BY SEGMENT (RM) 32 500 ▃▃▃ 13 ▃▃▃ 14 400 300 200 100 Corporate 0 Explosives Specialty chemicals Property (100) (200)

  34. Slide 34: Property: Modderfontein Bulk Sale Proceeds

    PROPERTY 33 Cash proceeds of Modderfontein bulk property sale › R1 061m cash proceeds received in full › R421m recognised in profit from operations › R240m revenue profit from sale – included in headline earnings (HEPS: 192c) › Property assets of R207m still to be transferred ◦ Anticipate transfers

  35. Slide 35: Property: 1H14 Performance

    PROPERTY 34 1H14 performance Revenue R652m +135% Profit from operations R447m +794% Revenue (excluding property transactions) R190m -10% Profit from operations R26m +53% (excluding property transactions) Trading margin (excluding property transactions) 13,7% (1H13: 8,1%) › No land sales other than t

  36. Slide 36: Property: Modderfontein Remaining Land

    PROPERTY 35 › AECI-owned property at Modderfontein post the bulk sale transaction › 216 hectares of surplus land remain ◦ Excluding Modderfontein Reserve

  37. Slide 37: Property: Somerset West Site

    PROPERTY 36 Somerset West site › PaardeVlei Properties › 450 hectares available for redevelopment

  38. Slide 38: Explosives: Business Environment

    EXPLOSIVES 37 Business environment › Global mining sector remains attractive, although some commodity prices softening › Mining houses seeking productivity and efficiency gains › Volumes in SA surface mining promising on the back of iron ore and coal mining sectors › Growth prospects remain for AEL

  39. Slide 39: Explosives: 1H14 Performance

    EXPLOSIVES 38 1H14 performance Revenue R3 553m – Profit from operations R120m -62% Trading margin 3,4% (1H13: 8,8%) Average WC 16,6% (1H13: 17,1%) › SA narrow reef business severely compromised by strikes ◦ R150m impact on profit from operations ◦ Affected ISAP production and increased inventory lev

  40. Slide 40: Explosives: Initiating Systems Rationalisation

    EXPLOSIVES 39 Initiating systems rationalisation project SF2 Assembly › Operational footprint will reduce in 3Q14 as closure of old plants is completed › Relocation of remaining shock tube and electronic detonator assembly plants into SF2 in 3Q14, with an investment of R65m › 391 employees exited en

  41. Slide 41: Explosives: AEL Head Office Restructuring

    EXPLOSIVES 40 AEL’S head office restructuring project › Project commenced mid-’13: review and redesign back office structures to support front-end businesses › New capabilities being introduced › s189 notices issued early May ’14 › R62m net severance charge recognised June ’14 ◦ Planned annualised s

  42. Slide 42: Explosives: Major Capital Projects

    EXPLOSIVES 41 Major capital projects › Nitrates Plant: extended shutdown, while maintaining supply › Improved reliability and production efficiency of No. 11 Nitric Acid Plant ◦ Replacement of key boiler ◦ Statutory shutdown ◦ Replacement of digital control systems in progress, including ANS Plant ›

  43. Slide 43: BBRI Investment

    BBRI INVESTMENT 42 › US$23m investment for 42,6% equity share in BBRI complete › Plant commissioned successfully and production commenced Feb. ’14 › Run-rate of 87% of capacity achieved › ANS successfully converted to explosives

  44. Slide 44: Australia Entry

    AUSTRALIA ENTRY 43 › AECI office established in Brisbane › AEL invited by existing customers › Operating site secured at Bajool, Queensland › Bulk emulsion explosives plant being shipped from SA › Anticipate trial blasts by year-end

  45. Slide 45: Specialty Chemicals: Business Environment

    SPECIALTY CHEMICALS 44 Business environment › Agricultural sector in SA and the rest of Africa remained strong › Good growth also in water treatment market on the continent › Overall, SA manufacturing sector remained unexciting › Strike effects › Volume constraints in SA put margins under pressure ›

  46. Slide 46: Specialty Chemicals: Performance 1H14

    SPECIALTY CHEMICALS 45 Performance 1H14 Revenue R4 062m +11% Profit from operations R397m +2% Trading margin 9,8% (1H13: 10,6%) Average WC 19,5% (1H13: 18,9%) › 17% of revenue US$-denominated › Senmin’s results adversely impacted › Volumes +5% ◦ Volumes -20,5% and WC higher ◦ Manufactured +0,2% ◦ Bu

  47. Slide 47: Outlook and Progress on Deliverables

    46 5 OUTLOOK AND PROGRESS ON DELIVERABLES

  48. Slide 48: Outlook

    OUTLOOK 47 › Outlook in Africa for the Group’s strategic growth areas of mining solutions, agriculture and water solutions is positive › Promising growth prospects for mining solutions in SA’s iron ore and coal sectors › AECI will continue to diversify geographically and build on progress in Austral

  49. Slide 49: Progress Report: Deliverables (per February '14)

    PROGRESS REPORT: DELIVERABLES (PER FEBRUARY ’14) 48 Good Achieved progress Expand AECI’s geographical footprint in Africa and in Australia and Latam Drive the Group’s holistic approach to its mining solutions strategy Ramp up BBRI AN plant to capacity Maintain focus on improving AEL’s performance to

  50. Slide 50: Investors' Calendar

    INVESTORS’ CALENDAR 49 Investor day: AECI’s strategy unpacked (Woodmead) 28 October ’14 Financial year-end 31 December ’14 2014 results released and JHB presentation TBC CT presentation TBC

  51. Slide 51: Thank You

    THANK YOU No si OA=CI’ YEARS good chemistry of goad chemistry

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