Northwestern Energy Group, Inc. · NASDAQ:NWE

Northwestern Energy — FY2021 Earnings Presentation

39 slides from Northwestern Energy's earnings presentation, Feb 14, 2022

  1. Slide 1: 2021 - Full Year Earnings Webcast

    Helena, Montana 2021 - Full Year Earnings Webcast February 14, 2022

  2. Slide 2: Presenting Today / Forward Looking Statements

    Presenting Today Bob Rowe Brian Bird Crystal Lail CEO President & COO Vice President & CFO Forward Looking Statements During the course of this presentation, there will be forward-looking statements within the meaning of the “safe harbor” provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of

  3. Slide 3: 2021 and Recent Highlights

    2021 and Recent Highlights Solid Financial Results… • Net income of $186.8 million or $3.60 diluted earnings per share. o Non-GAAP EPS of $3.51 is within guidance range and a 4.8% increase over non-GAAP results in 2020. • Expected long-term EPS growth rate of 3% - 6% Record Capital Investment… • 202

  4. Slide 4: Summary Financial Results

    Summary Financial Results (Full Year) (1) 4 (1) Utility Margin is a non-GAAP Measure See appendix slide titled “Explaining Utility Margin” for additional disclosure.

  5. Slide 5: Utility Margin

    Utility Margin (Full Year) (dollars in millions) Twelve Months Ended December 31, 2021 2020 Variance Electric $ 757.4 $ 704.2 $ 53.2 7.6% Natural Gas 189.4 188.3 1.1 0.6% (1) Total Utility Margin $ 946.8 $ 892.5 $ 54.3 6.1% Increase in utility margin due to the following factors: $ 25.1 Electric tra

  6. Slide 6: Weather

    Weather (Full Year) We estimate overall unfavorable weather in 2021 resulted in a $1.1 million pretax detriment as compared to normal and a $8.7 million benefit as compared to 2020. 6 Degrees Fahrenheit from Average

  7. Slide 7: Operating Expenses

    Operating Expenses (Full Year) (dollars in millions) Twelve Months Ended December 31, 2021 2020 Variance Operating & maintenance $ 208.3 $ 203.0 $ 5.3 2.6% $13.1 Administrative & general 101.9 94.1 7.8 8.3% Property and other taxes 173.4 179.5 (6.1) (3.4%) Depreciation and depletion 187.5 179.7 7.8

  8. Slide 8: Operating to Net Income

    Operating to Net Income (Full Year) (dollars in millions) Twelve Months Ended December 31, 2021 2020 Variance Operating Income $ 275.7 $ 236.2 $ 39.5 16.7% Interest expense (93.7) (96.8) 3.1 3.2% Other income, net 8.2 4.8 3.4 70.8% Income Before Taxes 190.2 144.2 46.0 31.9% Income tax (expense) / be

  9. Slide 9: Cash Flow

    Cash(Full FlowYear) Cash from Operating Activities decreased by $132 million primarily due to: • $122M net increase in under collection of energy supply costs, which includes costs related to the February 2021 prolonged cold weather event ($80M electric and $42M natural gas); • A refund of approxima

  10. Slide 10: Non-GAAP Earnings

    Non-GAAP Earnings (Full Year) The adjusted non-GAAP measures presented in the table are being shown to reflect significant items that are non-recurring or variance from normal weather, however they should not be considered a substitute for financial results and measures determined or calculated in a

  11. Slide 11: 2022 Earnings Bridge

    2022 Earnings Bridge Guiding down to $3.20 to $3.40 primarily due to equity needed to support increased capital investment. • An increased, yet more sustainable, level of operating expenses, along with dilution from equity financing of capital investment, is expected to be partially offset by organi

  12. Slide 12: Capital Investment Forecast and Funding

    Capital Investment Forecast and Funding $2.4 billion of low-risk capital investment forecasted over the next five years to address grid modernization and renewable energy integration. This sustainable level of capex is expected to drive annualized rate base growth of approximately 4%-5%. We expect t

  13. Slide 13: De-risking the Montana Capacity Deficit

    De-risking the Montana Capacity Deficit NorthWestern has made significant progress to de-risk the capacity deficit between now and 2025. These near term capacity solutions allow time for clarity on Colstrip arbitration, further development in the western markets, and ongoing technological advances.

  14. Slide 14: Conclusion

    Conclusion Best Attractive Pure Strong Solid Utility Practices Future Electric & Earnings & Foundation Corporate Growth Gas Utility Cash Flows Governance Prospects 14

  15. Slide 15: Appendix

    CT Appendix 15

  16. Slide 16: Detailed 2022 Earnings Bridge

    Appendix Detailed 2022 Earnings Bridge NorthWestern affirms its 2022 earnings guidance range of $3.20 - $3.40 per diluted share. Cash Tax Outlook We anticipate production tax and other credits to largely offset federal cash tax obligations into 2023. Effective Tax Rate Outlook Assuming no significan

  17. Slide 17: Rate Base & Authorized Return Summary

    Appendix Rate Base & Authorized Return Summary (1) The revenue requirement associated with the FERC regulated portion of Montana electric transmission and ancillary services are included as revenue credits to our MPSC jurisdictional customers. Therefore, we do not separately reflect FERC authorized

  18. Slide 18: Quarterly PCCAM Impacts

    Appendix Quarterly PCCAM Impacts In 2017, the Montana legislature revised the statute regarding our recovery of electric supply costs. In response, the MPSC approved a new design for our electric tracker in 2018, effective July 1, 2017. The revised electric tracker, or PCCAM established a baseline o

  19. Slide 19: Qualified Facility Earnings Adjustment

    Appendix Qualified Facility Earnings Adjustment Our electric QF liability consists of unrecoverable costs associated with contracts covered under PURPA that are part of a 2002 stipulation with the MPSC and other parties. Risks / losses associated with these contracts are born by shareholders, not cu

  20. Slide 20: Additional materials for twelve month results

    Appendix Additional materials for twelve month results 20

  21. Slide 21: Income Tax Reconciliation

    Appendix Income Tax Reconciliation (Full Year) 21

  22. Slide 22: Balance Sheet

    Appendix Balance Sheet Debt to Total Capitalization down from last year and remains within our targeted 50% - 55% range. 22

  23. Slide 23: Segment Results

    Appendix Segment Results (Full Year) (1) (1) 23 (1) Utility Margin is a non-GAAP Measure See appendix slide titled “Explaining Utility Margin” for additional disclosure.

  24. Slide 24: Electric Segment

    Appendix Electric Segment (Full Year) (1) 24 (1) Utility Margin is a non-GAAP Measure See appendix slide titled “Explaining Utility Margin” for additional disclosure.

  25. Slide 25: Natural Gas Segment

    Appendix Natural Gas Segment (Full Year) (1) 25 (1) Utility Margin is a non-GAAP Measure See appendix slide titled “Explaining Utility Margin” for additional disclosure.

  26. Slide 26: Additional materials for three month results

    Appendix Additional materials for three month results 26

  27. Slide 27: Summary Financial Results

    Appendix Summary Financial Results (Three Months Ended December 31) (1) 27 (1) Utility Margin is a non-GAAP Measure See appendix slide titled “Explaining Utility Margin” for additional disclosure.

  28. Slide 28: Utility Margin

    Appendix Utility Margin (Three Months Ended December 31) (dollars in millions) Three Months Ended December 31, 2021 2020 Variance(1) Electric $ 177.2 $ 170.8 $ 6.4 3.7% Natural Gas 55.7 56.8 (1.1) (1.9)% Total Utility Margin $ 232.9 $ 227.6 $ 5.3 2.3% Increase in utility margin due to the following

  29. Slide 29: Weather

    Appendix Weather (Three Months Ended December 31) We estimate unfavorable weather for the 4th quarter 2021 has contributed approximately $5.2M pretax detriment as compared to normal and $0.5M pretax benefit as compared to the same period in 2020. 29 Degrees Fahrenheit from Average

  30. Slide 30: Operating Expenses

    Appendix Operating Expenses (Three Months Ended December 31) (dollars in millions) Three Months Ended December 31, 2021 2020 Variance Operating & maintenance $ 49.0 $ 55.6 $ (6.6) (11.9%) Administrative & general 22.3 17.5 $(1.8) 4.8 27.4% Property and other taxes 35.1 42.7 (7.6) (17.8%) Depreciatio

  31. Slide 31: Operating to Net Income

    Appendix Operating to Net Income (Three Months Ended December 31) (dollars in millions) Three Months Ended December 31, 2021 2020 Variance Operating Income $ 80.0 $ 66.6 $ 13.5 20.3% Interest Expense (23.4) (24.5) 1.1 4.5% Other (Expense) Income, net (5.7) 5.8 (11.5) (198.3%) Income Before Taxes 50.

  32. Slide 32: Income Tax Reconciliation

    Appendix Income Tax Reconciliation (Three Months Ended December 31) 32

  33. Slide 33: Adjusted Non-GAAP Earnings

    Appendix Adjusted Non-GAAP Earnings (Three Months Ended December 31) The adjusted non-GAAP measures presented in the table are being shown to reflect significant items that are non-recurring or variance from normal weather, however they should not be considered a substitute for financial results and

  34. Slide 34: Electric Segment

    Appendix Electric Segment (Three Months Ended December 31) (1) 34 (1) Utility Margin is a non-GAAP Measure See appendix slide titled “Explaining Utility Margin” for additional disclosure.

  35. Slide 35: Natural Gas Segment

    Appendix Natural Gas Segment (Three Months Ended December 31) (1) 35 (1) Utility Margin is a non-GAAP Measure See appendix slide titled “Explaining Utility Margin” for additional disclosure.

  36. Slide 36: Explaining Utility Margin

    Appendix Explaining Utility Margin Management believes that Utility Margin provides a useful measure for investors and other financial statement users to analyze our financial performance in that it excludes the effect on total revenues caused by volatility in energy costs and associated regulatory

  37. Slide 37: Non-GAAP Financial Measures

    Appendix Non-GAAP Financial Measures 37

  38. Slide 38: Non-GAAP Financial Measures

    Appendix Non-GAAP Financial Measures This presentation includes financial information prepared in accordance with GAAP, as well as other financial measures, such as Utility Margin, Adjusted Non-GAAP pretax income, Adjusted Non-GAAP net income and Adjusted Non-GAAP Diluted EPS that are considered “no

  39. Slide 39: Upetivering a bright future

    Upetivering a bright future

NorthWestern Energy Group — FY2021 Earnings Presentation on 6ix