Eni S.p.a. · MIL:ENI
Eni — Investor Day (March 2012)
44 slides from Eni's investor day presentation, Mar 15, 2012
Slide 1: 2012-2015 Strategy
2012-2015 Strategy 15 March 2012 eni.com
Slide 2: eni: well-positioned to deliver a decade of sustainable growth
eni: well-positioned to deliver a decade of sustainable growth 2011 2012-2015 2021 Confirmed growth profile Libya restart A decade of E&P Strengthened Start-up of giants with long plateau sustainable resource base growth Increased investment in exploration Improved Recover profitabil
Slide 3: E&P: consistent exploration success ...
E&P: consistent exploration success ... Sangos-Ngoma Sankofa (Ghana) Perla (Venezuela) Mamba South Perla (Venezuela) Jangkrik (Indonesia) (Mozambique) (Angola) Cabaca Norte (Angola) Sankofa (Ghana) Skrugard (Norway) Kitan (JPDA) Hadrian Nord (US-GOM) Area D (Libya) Cabaca S
Slide 4: ... drives organic growth, in the plan period...
... drives organic growth, in the plan period... Production growth kboe/d >3% adj >3% CAGR 2011-15 Russia and Caspian in a higher oil price scenario Sub-Saharan Africa Strong contribution from exploration successes Far East Latin America Confirmed focus on giant, conventional projects Europe and
Slide 5: ... and beyond
... and beyond Production growth kboe/d ~3% Yamal giants, Kashagan ramp up, further potential from Kashagan development Russia and Caspian Major contribution from Angola Block 15/06 Sub-Saharan Africa and Mozambique, additional exploration potential Far East Latin America Junin 5 & Perla FF developm
Slide 6: G&P: positioned to tackle difficult short term scenario...
G&P: positioned to tackle difficult short term scenario... 2011 EBITDA pro-forma adjusted* (€ mln) TAG/TENP/Transitgas Marketing: facing difficult scenario Slower than expected demand growth Spot/LT differential remains significant in 2012 Marketing Other Snam G&P eni 2012-2015 strategy Levera
Slide 7: … and capture medium-term recovery opportunities
… and capture medium-term recovery opportunities Long-term scenario European demand recovery: Strong European market position EU 27 (bcm) ~18% Consolidated brand -8% Expertise in innovative offering structure Diversified and flexible supply portfolio Competitive cost position in tightened
Slide 8: R&M: increasing efficiency and complexity
R&M: increasing efficiency and complexity Refining: a cyclical business in a difficult short term scenario Increased focus on complexity and efficiency Optimisation to benefit from potential scenario recovery & efficiency EST completion by 2012 + €400m Increased system integration Exploit
Slide 9: Chemicals: a new turnaround strategy
Chemicals: a new turnaround strategy Enhanced Increase revenues from added value products differentation from <30% to >40% Regaining competitiveness within chemicals business > 10% of revenues from International outside Europe by 2015 expansion Licensing, production alliances/JVs 2015 target >
Slide 10: enhanced value creation opportunities from non-core listed assets
enhanced value creation opportunities from non-core listed assets Snam Galp Separation by September 2013 Non-core shareholding Process evaluated on 3 criteria: High potential business, with exciting positions in Brazil, Mozambique Benefits to eni shareholders Upside from market value recovery Pr
Slide 11: Exploration & Production
Exploration & Production Claudio Descalzi eni.com
Slide 12: E&P strategic goals and drivers
E&P strategic goals and drivers Strong focus on exploration strategy and execution Fast time-to-market of exploration discoveries Organic growth & Rapid and efficient development of project pipeline value creation Effective reservoir management and production optimization activities Leadin
Slide 13: HSE results
HSE results Lost time injury frequency rate* Drilled wells 0.77 437 0.73 0.66 327 250 0.41 0.42 0.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 Avg 2007-2010 2011 2005 2008 2011 Company Contractor Global Drilled wells per year Blow-out frequency (per thousand) * n. of LTI/Mln of worked hours 13
Slide 14: exploration objectives
exploration objectives Drivers Barents Sea (Norway) Large upside GoM (USA) Near field exploration Materiality and Pacific gas (Indonesia and Australia) High potential in profitable gas market cost-effectiveness Short time to market West Africa Focus on Transform margin play in Ghana, Tog
Slide 15: focus on exploration: Norway - Barents sea
focus on exploration: Norway - Barents sea Discoveries 500 Mbbl of recoverable oil in Skrugard and Havis Havis/Skrugard hub PL226 2012-2015 work program PL608 PL532 Skrugard/Havis Resources upside in the area: 500 PL533 mboe PL229 8 wells in the Barents Sea: €220m PL529 Goliat equity investmen
Slide 16: focus on exploration: Mozambique – Rovuma basin
focus on exploration: Mozambique – Rovuma basin Mamba discovery Area 4 Gas in place estimate at 30 Tcf High gas quality Expected rate in production configuration up to 140 mmsfcd Mamba North 1 per well Mamba Tertiary North East 1 proven 2012-2015 work program gas play Mamba South 1 Up to 8 e
Slide 17: focus on exploration: Pacific Area
focus on exploration: Pacific Area Discoveries ~700 Mboe already discovered in Australia and Indonesia 2012-2015 work program Resources upside: ~500 Mboe BUKAT/ BULUNGAN 24 wells: €300m equity investments North Ganal Arguni 1 JANGKRIK JANGKRIK NE Synergies NT/P68- Heron NT/48- Indonesia: Jan
Slide 18: exploration capex
exploration capex 2012-2015 bln € +~50% 5.5 By area By type 3.6 2011-14 2012-15 18
Slide 19: time to market: from resources to production…
time to market: from resources to production… 2009-2011 Total resources* discoveries bln boe 31.0 32.1 Mozambique 2P reserves Other reserves/ resources Brent 79 111 ($/boe) 90% with first oil in production in <8 years Life index 47 50 (years) * P1 + P2 + P3 + contingent resources + risked exploratio
Slide 20: … through identified and solid start-ups
… through identified and solid start-ups Main start-ups Samburskoye Goliat Yaro/Yakhinskoye Skrugard/Havis Urengoskoye Yevo Culzean Severo Kashagan EP Great Hadrian Jasmine area W.Franklin Ph.2 MLE Kashagan Ph.2 CAFC Karachaganak Ph.3 Hadrian El Merk South Wafa compression Sankofa Gye Nyame Perla FF
Slide 21: Yamal Nenets region: new gas giants
Yamal Nenets region: new gas giants Samburgskoye Production (kboed, equity) Samburgskoye Yaro-Yakhinskoye Severo- Chaselskoye Urengoskoye Samburgskoye and Urengoskoye sanctioned in 2011 GSA signed with Gazprom Samburgskoye start up confirmed 2012 21
Slide 22: Barents Sea: Goliat first oil development
Barents Sea: Goliat first oil development Goliat Production (kboed, equity) Barents Sea First oil development in the Barents Sea Subsea templates installation campaign completed in 2011 and ready for drilling FPSO delivery in 2013 22
Slide 23: Kazakhstan: near-term growth and significant long-term potential
Kazakhstan: near-term growth and significant long-term potential Kazakhstan Production (kboed, equity) Kashagan EP Karachaganak Construction completion and commissioning ongoing Kashagan Tranches 1&2 progress for KCP: 99%, in line with commercial production start up within 2012 Karachaganak
Slide 24: Venezuela: super giants with long-term plateau
Venezuela: super giants with long-term plateau Venezuela Production (kboed, equity) Perla Perla Junín-5 Gas Sales Agreement and FID for Phase 1 achieved in 2011 Phase 1: construction and installation of three offshore platforms, 60-km pipeline to shore, onshore processing facility Junìn EP
Slide 25: Sub-Saharan: legacy area with further growth prospects
Sub-Saharan: legacy area with further growth prospects Block 15/06 West Hub Production* (kboed, equity) Development of Sangos, Ngoma, Cinguvu fields (1,250-1,450m water depth) 16 wells (10 producers, 6 injectors) First drilling campaign: ongoing FPSO will be delivered in 1Q 2014 * exploratio
Slide 26: investment plan
investment plan Capex 2012-2015 bln € +14% 44.8 By area By type 1.7 39.1 5.5 1.8 3.6 Mozambique 3.1 33.7 37.6 N. Africa/M. East America Onshore Europe Asia Pacific Offshore Central Asia/Russia West Africa Deepwater Development Other Exploration 26
Slide 27: our commitment: production
our commitment: production Organic production growth CAGR ~3% >3% Strong production growth of over 3% a year to 2015 adjusted for Libya in 2011 Resilient to oil price increases: 2011-2015 CAGR at 100$/bbl ~3% Long-term growth target raised from ~2% to ~3% Libya force majeure New production 201
Slide 28: our commitment: value
our commitment: value Cash flow NPV 2P by areas CF/boe (%) 120 110 100 90 2010 2015 Sub-Saharan Africa North Africa Brent avg Europe & America Asia & Pacific 85 85 ($/boe) Solid cash generation 28
Slide 29: Gas & Power
Gas & Power Umberto Vergine eni.com
Slide 30: European gas market: a difficult short term environment…
European gas market: a difficult short term environment… Supply Demand Increasing capacity from Weak economic situation in Russia (North Stream) Europe impacting industrial clients Availability of lower-priced make up gas Increased competition in powergen from renewable No additional LNG c
Slide 31: ... gradually rebalancing in the medium term
... gradually rebalancing in the medium term Europe Demand recovery (+60bcm 2015 Americas vs. 2011) Pacific Basin Domestic production decline (-17 bcm) North American Demand escalation in Marginal shale gas contribution production continues to emerging markets (+89 expand Increased inter
Slide 32: eni strategy: building on a more competitive supply portfolio …
eni strategy: building on a more competitive supply portfolio … Market Price Flexibility reflectivity • Alignment • Improved and between eni faster Objective cost position responsiveness and average to market costs of supply changes in the market • Foundation for competitive positioning in • Negotia
Slide 33: … to grow sales to business customers…
… to grow sales to business customers… B2B volume increase • Dedicated and capillary direct sales (bcm/y) force to grow position in Italy and key +18% European countries 85 • Tailor made offers for different 72 segments • Energy intensive customers Multi-country approach Flexible contractual str
Slide 34: ... and increase exposure to the retail segment
... and increase exposure to the retail segment • Larger retail presence in Italy and Europe Retail customers (mln) Organic growth Selected M&A opportunities +28% 12 • Well-proven commercial mix Single brand identity 9.4 Distinctive product portfolio Customer driven innovation Competitiv
Slide 35: gradual recovery in profitability
gradual recovery in profitability Pro-forma adj. EBITDA Bln € Marketing Supply cost improvement Benefit from retroactive 2.6 renegotiations in 2012 Impact of retail tariff revision in Italy Development of integrated trading activities International transport Resilient profitability despite
Slide 36: Financial Outlook
Financial Outlook Alessandro Bernini, CFO eni.com
Slide 37: Snam deconsolidation: a resulting strong capital structure
Snam deconsolidation: a resulting strong capital structure Net debt Capital employed bln € bln € Snam 15.4 Mkt value of Snam eni’s stake 11.2 6.9 eni 9.9 eni Mkt value 65.3 of eni’s stake 6.9 eni D/E 0.46x eni ROACE 9.8% Snam deconsolidation 0.30x Snam deconsolidation 10.4% Including cash-in <0.20x
Slide 38: 2012-2015 capex: supporting stronger growth
2012-2015 capex: supporting stronger growth bln € Russia/ Snam Caspian 0.5 59.6 2.3 Sub 6.7 2.5 Europe/ 53.3 Sahara 1.4 2.8 North 2.4 -1.1 America 2.9 7.2 Snam Snam 7.5 Mozambique North OPL245 Africa/ME Jangkrik Far Latam East Skrugard/Havis 44.7 39.1 Uncom- mited 2011-14 Forex E&P Others 2012-15 Co
Slide 39: selective capex plan
selective capex plan G&P R&M Chemicals Total €7.2 bln Total €2.8 bln Total €1.6 bln International transport Marketing 0.1 0.9 Stay in Marketing business 0.9 New 0.4 initiatives Efficiency Snam Refining 0.8 0.2 6.2 1.9 Green chemical 0.2 Focus on projects for integration, efficiency and energy savi
Slide 40: efficiency programme
efficiency programme bln € E&P 11% 5.0 G&P 6% 1.6 Corporate R&M 11% & others 49% 3.1 Chemicals 0.3 20% E&C 2004-05 2006-11 2004-15 3% 2004-05 2006-11 2012-15 achievements achievements target Almost €600m of savings achieved in 2011 4-year target increased by €600m, mainly in R&M and Chemicals 40
Slide 41: increasing cash flow to support investments and reduce debt
increasing cash flow to support investments and reduce debt 2012-15 cash flow* bln € Organic cash-flow more than covers capex requirements Net debt to equity <40% within the plan period at constant perimeter Additional cash-inflows expected from disposals Impact of Snam deconsolidation on fr
Slide 42: a sustainable dividend policy
a sustainable dividend policy 2011: dividend +4% in line with our policy Dividend policy of growth in line with inflation sustainable throughout the four-year plan Confirmed dividend policy 42
Slide 43: Closing remarks
Closing remarks Paolo Scaroni, CEO eni.com
Slide 44: entering a new growth phase
entering a new growth phase A decade of faster, sustainable growth E&P • Raised production targets to 2015 and beyond • Increased exploration effort in highly promising basins Consolidation of leading position in Europe G&P • Improved competitiveness of supply • Medium-term recovery leveraging on se