Altagas Ltd. · TSX:ALA

Altagas — Investor Presentation (September 2024)

51 slides from Altagas's investor presentation, September 2024

  1. Slide 1: Fundamentally Focused: Corporate Investor Presentation

    Fundamentally Focused Corporate Investor Presentation

  2. Slide 2: Forward-Looking Information

    Forward-Looking Information This presentation contains forward-looking information (forward-looking statements). Words such as "may", "can", "would", "could", "should", "likely", "will", "intend", "contemplate", "plan", "anticipate", "believe", "aim", "seek", "future", "commit", "propose", "contempl

  3. Slide 3: Two Core Businesses, One Strong Platform

    Two Core Businesses, One Strong Platform Gas Gathering NGL Extraction Transportation, Global Wellhead & Processing & Fractionation Storage & Rail Logistics Export Markets A leading energy infrastructure platform that Midstream GAS NGLs C3 & C4 C3 & C4 C3 & C4 invests in and operates long-life infras

  4. Slide 4: AltaGas Value Proposition

    AltaGas Value Proposition Diversified, Low-Risk Business Model with Visible Growth and Disciplined Capital Allocation Low Risk Energy Infrastructure Visible, Industry- Disciplined Capital 1 Platform Providing Stable and 2 3 Leading Growth Allocation Growing Earnings / Cash Flows Robust energy fundam

  5. Slide 5: Our Focus Areas

    Our Focus Areas Focus on growing, de-risking, and strengthening the enterprise. 1 2 3 4 5 Equity Self-funding Commercial Continued Optimize Capital Model De-risking De-leveraging Returns Allocation  Utilize an equity  Increase take-or-pay  Achieve 4.5x net  Optimize assets for  Maintain prudent

  6. Slide 6: A Track Record of Compounding Long-term Value

    A Track Record of Compounding Long-term Value Normalized Earnings Normalized Net Debt2 / Stock Per Share1 EBITDA1 Normalized EBITDA Performance 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024E 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024E ALA-CA Midstream Index 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024E LDC Index Blended Index 11.5% 6% 4.

  7. Slide 7: Our Financial Roadmap

    Our Financial Roadmap 1 2 3 4 Leverage and Strengthen Allocate optimize Equity self- balance capital to the existing assets funding model sheet best projects  Grow normalized EBITDA1  Drive towards 4.5x or  Non-core asset  Sufficient internal with no- to- low-capex lower net debt/ monetizations

  8. Slide 8: Low-Risk Energy Infrastructure

    Low-Risk Energy Infrastructure Steady and Reliable Growth Low Risk Energy Investment Grade Credit Rating Strong Commercial Constructs Infrastructure Platform Commercial Contract Type2 Credit Ratings 4% Long-life infrastructure S&P Fitch Moody’s 15% Utilities assets that provide durable BBB- BBB Take

  9. Slide 9: Compounding Long-term Dividends at 5-7% CAGR

    Compounding Long-term Dividends at 5-7% CAGR  Plan to return capital through sustainable dividend $1.19/Share DIVIDEND increases 2024 Dividend PHILOSOPHY  Industry leading normalized EPS and FFO growth Represents a 6% increase provides the opportunity to grow DPS at the same rate or a $0.07/share

  10. Slide 10: Capital Allocation Framework

    Capital Allocation Framework Disciplined capital allocation within an equity self-funding model delivers shareholder value. Financial Strength Self-funded and Flexibility Organic Growth  Strong balance sheet (4.5x) 1 2  Focus on risk adjusted  Reasonable dividend payout per share growth  Excess

  11. Slide 11: Balance Sheet is Structured to Weather the Current Environment

    Balance Sheet is Structured to Weather the Current Environment Floating Rate Exposure Minimized Properly Tenured Maturity Ladder Optimized Preferred Redemptions Interest rate exposure well-hedged with Minimal near-term maturities with debt Redemption of prefs with hybrid issuances has >90% of borrow

  12. Slide 12: Driving Towards Our Targeted Capital Structure

    Driving Towards Our Targeted Capital Structure Canadian Midstream – 2024E U.S. Gas LDCs – 2024E Net Net Debt/ Normalized EBITDA Debt/ Normalized EBITDA  Sale of MVP is the quickest path to accelerate deleveraging: ~4.5x net debt / normalized EBITDA 8.0x 7.0x  Additional financial flexibility also

  13. Slide 13: Commercial De-risking will Drive Long-term Value

    Commercial De-risking will Drive Long-term Value  Medium-term Global Exports tolling target of 60%+  Active and systematic hedging for residual commodity exposure  Focus on take-or-pay and fee-for-service contracting  Customer and resource play diversification  Long-term cost contracting (Five-

  14. Slide 14: Delivering on Core Objectives

    Delivering on Core Objectives  Taking Active Steps to Drive an Appropriate Premium Valuation  Delivering on these variables is key for long-term energy infrastructure investor demands  ~3-4%  Regular smaller Dividend Yield brownfield expansion  50-60% Earnings Steady Key Visible optimization wi

  15. Slide 15: Macro Set Up

    Macro Set Up Macro Data Points Interest Rates Inflation FX (USD/CAD) 2022 2024 2024 2022 2024 2022 Utility Key Macroeconomic Data Points nil 4x Low High Below Avg Above Avg Low High Cost of Gas Substitution Population Growth Regulatory Jurisdictions Investment Opportunities Midstream Key Macroeconom

  16. Slide 16: Fundamentals for Natural Gas and NGLs are Robust

    Fundamentals for Natural Gas and NGLs are Robust Natural Gas and NGL Adoption is Strong Across Emerging Markets, Driving Structural Tailwind Global Natural Gas Demand (1990-2040) Global NGL Demand (1990-2040) 90 18.0 Asia-Pacific Africa 80 16.0 Middle East FSU 70 14.0 Europe Latin America (MMboe/d)

  17. Slide 17: Data Centers Usage Will Alter Use and Cost of Power

    Data Centers Usage Will Alter Use and Cost of Power Northern Virginia is the Epicenter for AI and Global Data Centers U.S. Electricity Demand Gas-fired Power Demand & Load Growth Largest Global Data Center Markets 4.50 45.0 GWH per year (millions) Data Center demand 9.0 Operational Load Under Constr

  18. Slide 18: DMV Population and Demographics Provide Strong Tailwind

    DMV Population and Demographics Provide Strong Tailwind Population Growth Across WGL Service Territories1 Cumulative Customer Additions Across WGL2 (2012 - 2023) (2012 - 2023) 200,000 16% WGL service territories 180,000 WGL has added new are growing 14% customers at 12% 50% 160,000 ~1% faster than t

  19. Slide 19: Canadian Midstream Set-up is Compelling

    Canadian Midstream Set-up is Compelling Rising WCSB Production and Global Connectivity Underpin Strong Multi-year Growth Trajectory WCSB NGL Supply Growth (2020-2030) Asian LPG Demand (2015-2050) 2,000 7.0 China India 6.0 Japan 1,500 South Korea 5.0 Indonesia Other Asia 4.0 (MMBbl/d) (MBbl/d) 1,000

  20. Slide 20: Asian LPG Import Demands to Grow ~45% by 2040

    Asian LPG Import Demands to Grow ~45% by 2040 Propane and Butane Imports to Grow from 2.5 MMBbl/d to 4.0 MMBbl/d Asian Propane Import Demand (2022  2040) Asian Butane Import Demand (2022  2040) (Domestic Demand – Domestic Supply = Import Requirements) (Domestic Demand – Domestic Supply = Import Re

  21. Slide 21: Canada: Natural Gas and NGL Outlook is Robust

    Canada: Natural Gas and NGL Outlook is Robust Canadian Natural Gas Production (2020-2030) WCSB NGL Outlook, by Product (2020-2030) WCSB NGL Outlook, by Play (2020-2030) 25 2,000 2,000 Cardium Deep Basin Duvernay Cardium Deep Basin Duvernay Ethane Propane Alberta Montney BC Montney Other 1,800 Butane

  22. Slide 22: Alberta: Marked Montney Liquids-rich Growth on Horizon

    Alberta: Marked Montney Liquids-rich Growth on Horizon Alberta Montney NGL Outlook (2020-2030) Deep Basin NGL Outlook (2020-2030) 800 250 700 200 600 500 150 MBbl/d MBbl/d 400 100 300 200 50 Pipestone Growth Area Harmattan Growth Area 100 0 0 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 20

  23. Slide 23: BC: Progressing Resource Stewardship Efforts Supports Development

    BC: Progressing Resource Stewardship Efforts Supports Development B.C. Well Permits (2018-2023 YTD) B.C. Montney NGL Supply, by Area (2020-2030) B.C. Montney NGL Supply, by Product (2020-2030) 500 500 1,000 Blueberry/Northern BC 450 Ethane Propane 900 450 Dawson Creek Butane Natural Gasoline 800 400

  24. Slide 24: Canadian LNG Developments Drive Adjacent Opportunities

    Canadian LNG Developments Drive Adjacent Opportunities Associated LPGs1 Project Summary Export Capacity (Propane / Butane) Phase 1 Liquids Per Phase $48B Phase 1 LNG export 14 mmtpa facility in Kitimat, BC with ~50 Mbbl/d an expected 2025 in- Phase 2: service date. +14 mmtpa 20-25 Mbbl/d $6.4B LNG e

  25. Slide 25: Excess Canadian LPGs Best Served in Premiere Asian Markets

    Excess Canadian LPGs Best Served in Premiere Asian Markets WCSB Propane Supply Available for Exports (2022-2040) 450 400 Traditional Regional Demand Eastern CAD Demand PDH Available to Export 350 WCSB LPG Available for Exports (2022-2040) 300 350 MBbl/d 250 200 300 Total LPG Propane Available Availa

  26. Slide 26: High Growth Rate Regulated Utilities Platform

    High Growth Rate Regulated Utilities Platform High Growth Utilities Platform 2024E Utility Revenues  ~1.6 million customers with population growing ~40% faster than the national average1  ~70% of revenue from residential customers 70% Residential  Limited weather/usage sensitivity across ~70% of

  27. Slide 27: Utilities Strategic Focus

    Utilities Strategic Focus 1 2 3 4 Growth Improve Invest in Core Opportunities Policy / Returns Platform related to Advocacy Climate Leadership Initiatives  Continue closing the  Modernize network  Focus on energy  Build alliances with ROE gap to enhance safety efficiency programs, multiple advoc

  28. Slide 28: Continuing to Improve Returns at WGL

    1 Continuing to Improve Returns at WGL ~$40MM of C Lever to help partially offset D potential annual net income value creation1 C E Allowed ROE B C ~$70MM of D annual net income value creation1 A B 20-40 bps Operational Excellence: Cost D 30-60 bps A ~120 bps and efficiency Regulatory Lag: +220 bps

  29. Slide 29: Address Aging Infrastructure

    Address Aging Infrastructure 2 Utilities Positioned for Large Ongoing Investment Opportunities (Miles) 2,000 Iron Plastic Protected Steel Others 1,500 D.C. 1,000 500 0 2,000 1,500 Maryland 1,000 500 0 2,000 1,500 Michigan 1,000 500 0 2,000 1,500 Virginia 1,000 500 0 Notes: *See "Forward- looking Inf

  30. Slide 30: Accelerated Replacement Programs

    Accelerated Replacement Programs 2 The Foundation for Improved Safety and Reliability with Better Outcomes for All Stakeholders Approximately US$1.4 billion of System Reinforcement Projects over next 5 years1 APRP Maturity (Year) 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 New STRIDE 3 Plan Maryland US$330MM US$3

  31. Slide 31: Invest in Core Platform

    2 Invest in Core Platform Investments in WGL since 2018 Material Decline in Leaks1 New Business WGL SEMCO System Betterment/Other C$4.0 billion 55% reduction in ARP investments invested leaks over the in WGL are paying ARP Programs off with material past five years reductions in leaks; which is driv

  32. Slide 32: Advance System Expansion and Reliability Projects

    2 Advance System Expansion and Reliability Projects Advance pragmatic extension to service territory to bring natural gas to currently unserved customers A and progress long-term projects focused on improving system reliability B for the long-term. 10% of homes within the states Washington Gas SEMCO

  33. Slide 33: RNG Advancements

    3 3 RNG Advancements  WGL is advancing several RNG opportunities across  Pursuing various RNG interconnect opportunities the DMV within Michigan  Currently, five to ten in-territory facilities are  Opportunities are focused on in-territory dairy potential sources of supply farms and landfills 

  34. Slide 34: Premiere, Globally Connected Midstream Platform

    Premiere, Globally Connected Midstream Platform Robust long-term fundamentals, supported by West Coast LNG Industry-leading Montney footprint – positioned to attract volumes and value chain opportunities Visible near and long-term growth De-risking commercial framework Strong counter-party credit: ~

  35. Slide 35: The AltaGas West Coast Advantage

    The AltaGas West Coast Advantage AltaGas’ West Coast Advantage results in significant increases in producers’ realized LPG prices and creates tailwinds for the broader energy industry. 10-11 days 25+ 18+ days 1 days North American West Coast LPG exports have a Panama canal 1 congestion can add 10+ d

  36. Slide 36: Battle of the Barrels Leaves Asian Tolling as Clear Winner

    Battle of the Barrels Leaves Asian Tolling as Clear Winner RIPET Tolling has Averaged ~US$4/Bbl Netback Premium Over Conway Over the Past Two Years Excess Canadian propane and butane that is available for exports at Fort Saskatchewan A has two options – going to Asia B via rail and AltaGas global ex

  37. Slide 37: North America Balancing the Global LPG Market

    North America Balancing the Global LPG Market Global LPG Exports, By Country (2014-2023 YTD) Japan Approximately 4.0 3.5 • Home heating; more 90% environmentally-friendly of global LPG export delivers volumes are 19% alternative to thermal coal. delivered to Japan 3.0 and South Korea. of Japan’s tot

  38. Slide 38: Midstream Strategic Focus

    Midstream Strategic Focus 1 2 3 4 Leverage and De-risk Strengthen Evaluate Optimize Existing Operations the Midstream Growth Assets Framework Value Chain Opportunities  Focus on growing  Increased take-  Strengthen  Allocate capital to EBITDA through no- to or-pay and tolling footprint across th

  39. Slide 39: Leverage and Optimize Existing Assets

    1 Leverage and Optimize Existing Assets Low-to-No- Capital-Intensive Projects Medium Capital-Intensive Projects Larger Capital-Intensive Projects <$25MM $25MM-$200MM >$200MM Capital Spend Capital Spend Capital Spend Townsend: Whitespace Optimization Global Exports Logistics Optimizations Pipestone I

  40. Slide 40: Commercial De-risking

    2 Commercial De-risking 2024E Normalized EBITDA1, By Contract Type2 A Minimize Commodity Exposure  Increase take-or-pay and fee-for-service contracting  Take-or-Pay &  Medium-term global exports tolling target of 60%+ Fee-for-Service  Active and systematic hedging for any residual commodity expo

  41. Slide 41: Global Exports Tolling

    Global Exports Tolling 2 Building the Long-term Commercial Stack  Strong fundamentals Global Export Tolling and structural pricing Agreement Commercial 2027+ advantage support tolling agreements as growing production increases the importance of LPG netbacks. Targeting  Interest across multiple ~10

  42. Slide 42: Strengthening the AltaGas Value Chain

    3 Strengthening the AltaGas Value Chain The Multifaceted Approach to Strengthening the Franchise Gas Gathering NGL Extraction, Transportation, Medium- to- & Processing Fractionation & Storage and Global Exports longer-term Liquids Handling Logistics Growth Potential4 Midstream 2-3% / year 2.1 Bcf/d1

  43. Slide 43: Midstream Growth Project Execution

    3 Midstream Growth Project Execution REEF In Service Date: Near 2026 Year-end Pipestone II In Service Date: 2025 Year-end Milestones Cleared To-Date Milestones Cleared To-Date Final Investment Decision FEED Final Investment Decision FEED Site Clearing Site Clearing Project Execution Project Executio

  44. Slide 44: Global Exports Optimization and Growth

    3 Global Exports Optimization and Growth 210,000 175+ MMBbls/d  Near, medium, and long-term optimization opportunities 180,000 RIPET Ferndale across platform. Will build on track record of growing from 150,000 ~35 MBbls/d in 2019 to 110+ MBbls/d currently. Bbl/d 120,000 90,000  Includes rail, logi

  45. Slide 45: REEF - A Multi-Phased Growth Project

    4 REEF - A Multi-Phased Growth Project Large-scale LPG and bulk liquids marine export terminal F Phased construction for a capital-efficient build-out E C B Phase 1: LPG and Dock A A Facility & balance of plant​ C Rail Offloading and Yard​​  ~55,000 Bbl/d of initial  10 x dual sided rail offloadin

  46. Slide 46: Ridley Island Energy Export Facility (REEF)

    4 Ridely Island Energy Export Facility (REEF) $1.35 Billion Gross Capex Project Execution Commercial Capital with Minimized Onsite Work of AltaGas’ global exports Reduces Capital Risk 56% larger field execution will operate under tolling arrangements starting in Q2/24 20% of equipment, packaging, ~9

  47. Slide 47: REEF - Logistical Advantages

    4 REEF - Logistical Advantages Marine  Deepest natural harbour in North America  Ice free port year-round  Easy VLGC access and movement  Long-term multi vessel loading capabilities  Shortest shipping distance to Japan and South Korea Rail  Comprehensive logistics network  10 dual sided rail

  48. Slide 48: 2024 Financial Guidance Highlights

    2024 Financial Guidance Highlights 6% $2.05-2.25 $1.675 -1.775B ~$1.3B Annual Dividend Increase Anticipated Normalized Anticipated Normalized Planned Capital Program EPS1 EBITDA1 13% Y/Y Growth 10% Y/Y Growth (2023 to 2024 Midpoint) (2023 to 2024 Midpoint) AltaGas is focused on building a low-risk e

  49. Slide 49: 2024 Guidance Puts and Takes

    2024 Guidance Puts and Takes Well-positioned to achieve our 2024 guidance figures of Normalized EPS1 of $2.05 - $2.25 and Normalized EBITDA1 2024 Guidance Intact of $1.675 billion to $1.775 billion. Changes Since Guidance was Set Normalized EBITDA1 Guidance ($ millions) Global Export Performance $1,

  50. Slide 50: 2024 Capital Spending Allocation

    6 2024 Capital Spending Allocation 2024 Capital Budget: $1.3 Billion Increasing Midstream Allocation Strong organic growth opportunities across both platforms – Largest 2024 capital outlays include Utilities ARP, System driving healthy competition for capital. Attractive Betterment, and the Pipeston

  51. Slide 51: 2024 Hedging

    2024 Hedging  Increase tolling and reduce commodity exposure to further stabilize Midstream cashflows Hedging Philosophy  Residual commodity exposures actively managed through hedging program NGL Extraction Transportation, Wellhead Gas Gathering & Fractionation Storage & Rail Global & Processing L

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