Knorr-bremse Ag · XETR:KBX

Knorr-bremse — Q3 2018 Earnings Presentation

30 slides from Knorr-bremse's earnings presentation, Nov 28, 2018

  1. Slide 1: Interim Report Q3 2018

    Interim Report Q3 2018 Klaus Deller, CEO I Ralph Heuwing, CFO Munich, 28 November 2018 Knorr-Bremse Group

  2. Slide 2: Disclaimer

    Disclaimer IMPORTANT NOTICE This presentation has been prepared for information and background purposes only. It does not constitute or form part of, and should not be construed as, an offer of, a solicitation of an offer to buy, or an invitation to subscribe for, underwrite or otherwise acquire, an

  3. Slide 3: 9M 2018 highlights

    9M 2018 highlights Knorr-Bremse continues dynamic revenue growth in 3rd quarter ➢ Successful IPO and listing on the Frankfurt stock exchange on October 12th 2018 ➢ Innovation: Successful tradeshows Innotrans, IAA and Automechanika setting new standards ➢ Strong growth: Group revenue 4,994 mEUR (+9.5

  4. Slide 4: Successful IPO on 12 October 2018

    Successful IPO on 12 October 2018 3.85bn EUR 2nd largest ➢ Investor base (% of free float): ~30% free total issue IPO 2018 in • >80% institutional long only float investors volume GER • 15% hedge funds • Remainder SWF and retail ➢ Geographical split: • 11% from Germany, • 45% from UK • 19% from the

  5. Slide 5: Successful tradeshows setting new standards in our industries

    Successful tradeshows setting new standards in our industries Innotrans – Systems. People. xConnected. IAA – Shaping tomorrow‘s transportation. Together Knorr-Bremse Group 5

  6. Slide 6: Strong 9M and Q3 2018 key figures

    Strong 9M and Q3 2018 key figures mEUR H1 2018 9M 2018 9M 2017 ∆ Q3 2018 Q3 2017 ∆ Revenue 3,322 4,994 4,563 9.5% 1,672 1,587 5.4% EBITDA 582 876 778 12.6% 294 260 13.1% EBITDA margin 17.5% 17.5% 17.1% 40 bps 17.6% 16.4% 120 bps Order book 3,514 4,449 3,977 11,9% ▪ Continued growth in both divisions

  7. Slide 7: All regions contributed to strong revenue growth

    All regions contributed to strong revenue growth Revenue Europe APAC mEUR North America South America x.x% y-o-y growth ▪ Revenue +432 mEUR (+9.5%) vs. PY ▪ Further increase of order intake +8.2% vs. PY in 6.154 9,5% both segments 93 1.294 ▪ Order book +11.9% vs. PY 4.994 4.563 80 11,5% ▪ Book-to-bi

  8. Slide 8: Growth and margin expansion led to increase in EBITDA

    Growth and margin expansion led to increase in EBITDA EBITDA mEUR ▪ EBITDA +98 mEUR (+12.6%) vs. PY EBITDA Margin ▪ EBITDA margin +40bps 18.1% 17.5% ▪ Increase volume & margin related; 17.1% both segments contributed 1,116 ▪ Material expenses at 50.5% of sales 12.6% (+140bps vs. PY) 876 ▪ Personnel

  9. Slide 9: EBIT margin improved by 90 bps vs. PY

    EBIT margin improved by 90 bps vs. PY EBIT mEUR ▪ EBIT +102 mEUR (+16.5%) vs. PY EBIT Margin ▪ EBIT margin +90bps 14.7% 14.4% ▪ RVS: Impairment of assets held for sale of rail vehicle maintenance business in UK (“Blueprint 13.5% West”) in 2017 904 16.5% ▪ CVS: EBIT 2017 predominantly impacted by 718

  10. Slide 10: Net income grew by 28% vs. PY

    Net income grew by 28% vs. PY Net income mEUR ▪ Net income +108 mEUR (+27.6%) vs. PY Net Income Margin 10.0% ▪ Net income margin +150bps, reaching 10.0% 9.5% ▪ Moderately lower financial result 8.5% ▪ Improved tax rate at 26.0% for 9M 2018 due to 587 27.6% tax refund in North America and improved ta

  11. Slide 11: Capex & NWC grew in line with expectations – somewhat ahead of 9M 2017

    Capex & NWC grew in line with expectations – somewhat ahead of 9M 2017 Investments1 Net Working Capital2 mEUR 4.6% mEUR % of sales Net working capital days 3.8% 58 55 3.2% 63 mEUR 46 55.3% from Federal 16.4% Mogul deal 235 230 1,078 927 148 782 FY 2017 9M 2017 9M 2018 FY 2017 9M 2017 9M 2018 ▪ Inves

  12. Slide 12: Strong ROCE, temporarily weaker cashflow

    Strong ROCE, temporarily weaker cashflow ROCE (annualised)1 Operating/Free cash flow2 mEUR OCF 680 FCF 37.1% 32.2% 34.3% 450 -1,8% 330 324 190 137 FY 2017 9M 2017 9M 2018 FY 2017 9M 2017 9M 2018 ▪ Annualised 9M 2018 ROCE at an attractive level, ▪ Growth related NWC increase 210 bps above 9M 2017 ▪ G

  13. Slide 13: Healthy balance sheet metrics

    Healthy balance sheet metrics Assets & Equity Net financial debt / cash mEUR mEUR Total assets Equity Equity ratio Net financial status 35% 32% 836 24% 22% 502 5,727 5,673 6,065 6,124 1,996 1,829 1,465 1,308 -19 -4 FY 2017 9M 2017 1HJ 2018 9M 2018 FY 2017 9M 2017 1HJ 2018 9M 2018 ▪ Strong equity bas

  14. Slide 14: RVS: Increasing sales due to robust order situation and mix-effects

    RVS: Increasing sales due to robust order situation and mix-effects Revenue & EBITDA margin mEUR EBITDA Margin ▪ Revenue increase +220 mEUR (+9.1%) vs. PY 19.6% 19.0% 18.2% ▪ EBITDA margin +80bps ▪ Europe: General brake business growth in OE & AM 3,260 9.1% ▪ China: Positive development in mass tran

  15. Slide 15: RVS: Good order book and order intake

    RVS: Good order book and order intake Order book & order intake mEUR Order intake ▪ Order intake increase +287 mEUR (+11.2%) vs. Order book PY ▪ Growth drivers: 12.4% ➢ Asia: India, China, Australia 11.2% 3,021 3,099 2,855 ➢ Europe: Brakes & Kiepe 2,756 2,568 ▪ Order book increase +343 mEUR (+12.4%)

  16. Slide 16: CVS: Increasing global truck production rate driving OE revenue growth

    CVS: Increasing global truck production rate driving OE revenue growth Revenue & EBITDA margin mEUR ▪ Sales growth +211 mEUR (+9.8%) vs. PY EBITDA Margin ▪ EBITDA margin +10bps 17.4% 16.3% 16.4% ▪ Especially higher truck production in North America responsible for sales growth ▪ Moderate truck produ

  17. Slide 17: CVS: Growing truck production rate leads to order intake & order book increase

    CVS: Growing truck production rate leads to order intake & order book increase Order book & order intake mEUR ▪ Order intake increase +114 mEUR (+5,0%) vs. Order intake PY Order book ▪ Truck production rate growth by 1.0%; therefore 10.9% outperformance relatively to market, mainly due 5.0% to marke

  18. Slide 18: Strong OE sales in both divisions led to smaller aftermarket share

    Strong OE sales in both divisions led to smaller aftermarket share Aftermarket (German GAAP) RVS Aftermarket ▪ Stronger OE growth continues to dilute aftermarket contribution AM AM ▪ Aftermarket continues to grow 42% 40% 58% OE 60% • RVS: +3% vs. PY – impacted by shrinking OE revenues of disposed en

  19. Slide 19: 2018 guidance

    2018 guidance 2018 guidance ▪ 6,600 – 6,700 mEUR Revenue ▪ Assuming constant currencies, organic growth only P&L EBITDA ▪ 17.5 – 18.5% Margin ▪ Assuming no structural changes ▪ Capex ratio in line with 2014–2017 average Capex ➢ RVS: c. 4% of revenue Cash flow ➢ CVS: c. 4% of revenue Working ▪ DWC re

  20. Slide 20: Medium-term guidance unchanged

    Medium-term guidance unchanged Medium-term guidance ▪ Group organic CAGR of c. 4.5%–5.5% ➢ RVS c. 5–6% Revenue ➢ CVS c. 4–5% P&L ▪ Assuming constant currencies ▪ Margin expansion c. 150 bps compared to 2017 EBITDA ➢ Driven by both divisions Margin ➢ RVS division slightly ahead vis-à-vis CVS division

  21. Slide 21: Summary: 9M 2018 highlights

    Summary: 9M 2018 highlights Knorr-Bremse continues dynamic revenue growth in 3rd quarter ➢ Successful IPO on October 12th 2018 ➢ Innovation: Successful tradeshows Innotrans, IAA and Automechanika setting new standards ➢ Strong growth: Group revenue 4,994 mEUR (+9.5% vs. PY) fuelled by both divisions

  22. Slide 22: Q&A

    C’CQ]) | Knorr-Bremse Group y

  23. Slide 23: Financial calendar

    Financial calendar Upcoming investor relations events Event Date [mm/dd/yyyy] Location Investor Roadshow 11/29/2018 London Berenberg – Pennyhill Park 12/05/2018 European Conference (near London) Commerzbank – German Investment 01/14-16/2019 New York Seminar Kepler Cheuvreux – German Corporate 01/21/

  24. Slide 24: Contact

    Contact Investor relations contact persons Harald Kinzler Phone: +49 89 3547 1498 Email: investor.relations@knorr-bremse.com Justinian Späth Phone: +49 89 3547 181085 Email: investor.relations@knorr-bremse.com Knorr-Bremse Group 24

  25. Slide 25: Appendix

    Appendix Knorr-Bremse Group 25

  26. Slide 26: Group income statement

    Group income statement Consolidated statem ent of profit or loss Nine Months 3rd quarter 2018 2017 2018 2017 TEUR TEUR TEUR TEUR Revenues 4.994.045 4.562.514 1.671.805 1.586.521 Changes in inventories of unfinished/finished products 29.098 46.516 (177) (12.610) Other ow n w ork capitalized 40.851 23

  27. Slide 27: Group balance sheet (1/2)

    Group balance sheet (1/2) Consolidated statem ent of financial position 30.09.2018 31.12.2017 TEUR TEUR Assets Intangible assets and goodw ill 610.190 540.495 Property, plant and equipment 1.101.799 1.116.398 Investments accounted for using the equity method 1.703 1.950 Other assets 80.742 93.102 Co

  28. Slide 28: Group balance sheet (2/2)

    Group balance sheet (2/2) Consolidated statem ent of financial position 30.09.2018 31.12.2017 TEUR TEUR Equity Subscribed capital 161.200 67.600 Capital reserves 12.252 1.310 Retained earnings 20.724 106.956 Other components of equity -185.885 -166.407 Profit carried forw ard 888.498 1.302.834 Profi

  29. Slide 29: Group cashflow statement

    Group cashflow statement Working Capital 9 Months 30.09.2018 30.09.2017 31.12.2017 TEUR TEUR TEUR Inventory 850.788 785.716 748.823 Trade accounts receivables 1.416.996 1.284.560 1.147.879 Contract Assets 125.296 Receivables from construction contracts 133.735 116.171 Trade accounts payable -1.013.9

  30. Slide 30: P&L per Division

    P&L per Division Consolidatet statem ent of profit or loss Septem ber 2018 YTD June 2018 YTD July - Septem ber 2018 RAIL TRUCK RAIL TRUCK RAIL TRUCK TEUR TEUR TEUR TEUR TEUR TEUR Revenue 2.632.769 2.362.167 1.744.226 1.577.288 888.542 784.879 Changes in inventories of unfinished /finished products 3

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