Two Harbors Investment Corp · NYSE:TWO

Two Harbors Investment — Q1 2016 Earnings Presentation

28 slides from Two Harbors Investment's earnings presentation, May 4, 2016

  1. Slide 1: First Quarter 2016 Earnings Call

    May 5 , 2016 First Quarter 2016 Earnings Call

  2. Slide 2: Safe Harbor Statement

    Safe Harbor Statement F O R W A R D - L O O K I N G S T A T E M EN T S This presentation includes “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the safe harbor provisions of the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Actual results may differ from expectations, estimate

  3. Slide 3: Financial Summary

    Financial Summary(1) QUARTERLY F INANCIAL RESULTS • Core Earnings(2) of $71.8 million, or $0.21 per share • Comprehensive Loss of $67.6 million, or $0.19 per share • Total return on book value of (1.8%)(3) – Cash dividend of $0.23 per share • Repurchased 8.0 million shares of common stock – Average

  4. Slide 4: Business Overview

    Business Overview COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE • Closed on three assets with an aggregate carrying value of $98.3 million • Opportunity attractive MORTGAGE SERVIC ING RIGHTS • Portfolio of $55.3 billion in unpaid principal balance (UPB) • Added four MSR flow sellers • Closed bulk MSR acquisition MORTGAGE

  5. Slide 5: Market and Policy Update

    Market and Policy Update MACRO CONSIDERATIONS • Interest rates fell as Fed commentary expressed caution • Home price appreciation continued – CoreLogic Home Price Index up 6.7% on rolling 12-month basis(1) • Stable employment data – Unemployment rate remained low; 5.0% in March 2016(2) – Labor force

  6. Slide 6: Book Value

    (Dollars in millions, except per share data) Q4-2015 Book Value Q4-2015 Book Value per share Q1-2016 Book Value Q1-2016 Book Value per share Beginning stockholders’ equity $3,772.7 $10.30 $3,576.6 $10.11 GAAP Net Income: Core Earnings, net of tax 72.1 71.8 Realized gains, net of tax 15.1 25.5 Unreal

  7. Slide 7: Core Earnings Summary

    (Dollars in millions) Q4-2015 Q1-2016 Variance ($) Variance (%) Interest income $133.6 $130.8 ($2.8) (2.1%) Interest expense $36.6 $41.4 ($4.8) (13.1%) Net interest income $97.0 $89.4 ($7.6) (7.9%) Loss on swaps and swaptions ($12.6) ($6.2) $6.4 50.7% Gain on other derivatives $6.0 $5.4 ($0.6) (10.9

  8. Slide 8: Financing Profile

    Financing Profile 8 FINANCING FOR COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE ASSETS • Increased financing capabilities and flexibility • Two $250 million financing facilities currently in place; one facility added in the first quarter • Debt-to-equity of 1.3x(1) FEDERAL HOME LOAN BANK OF DES MOINES • Outstanding secure

  9. Slide 9: Portfolio Performance and Hedging

    Portfolio Performance and Hedging 9 Q1-2016 PERFORMANCE HIGHLIGHTS (1) “Legacy” non-Agency RMBS includes non-Agency bonds issued up to and including 2009. “New issue” non-Agency RMBS includes bonds issued after 2009. (2) Cost of funds includes interest spread expense associated with the portfolio's

  10. Slide 10: Portfolio Composition

    HISTORICAL CAPITAL ALLOCATION PORTFOLIO COMPOSITION (1) Portfolio Composition 10 $12.2 BILLION PORTFOLIO AS OF MARCH 31, 2016 (1) For additional detail on the portfolio, see Appendix slides 18-24. (2) Commercial consists of senior and mezzanine commercial real estate debt and related instruments. (3

  11. Slide 11: Commercial Real Estate Update

    • Aggregate portfolio carrying value of $744.3 million at March 31, 2016 ― Fourteen senior and six mezzanine assets • Weighted average initial loan-to-value (LTV) of 72.9%; weighted average spread of LIBOR plus 496 basis points • Anticipate capital allocation in 2016 to exceed initial target of $500

  12. Slide 12: MSR and Conduit Update

    MSR and Conduit Update(1) 12 (1) Data for the three months ended March 31, 2016, except where noted. (2) Gross yield includes servicing income, net of sub-servicing expense and amortization. (3) Total investors considers only new issue buyers. MORTGAGE SERVICING RIGHTS • 10 active flow sale relation

  13. Slide 13: Appendix

    Appendix

  14. Slide 14: Return on Book Value

    Return on Book Value 14 (1) Return on book value for three-month period ended March 31, 2016 is defined as the decrease in book value from December 31, 2015 to March 31, 2016 of $0.41 per share, plus dividends declared of $0.23 per share, divided by December 31, 2015 book value of $10.11 per share.

  15. Slide 15: Financial Performance

    $88.9 $2.7 ($92.8) ($3.2) ($67.6) 8.7% 0.3% (9.4%) (0.3%) (7.8%) -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% ($150) ($100) ($50) $0 $50 $100 $150 Q1-2015 Q2-2015 Q3-2015 Q4-2015 Q1-2016 Comp. Income ($M) Comp. Income ROAE (%) $11.08 $10.81 $10.30 $10.11 $9.70 $0.26 $0.26 $0.26 $0.26 $0.23 $6.00 $9.00 $12.00 Q1-2015 Q2-2

  16. Slide 16: Operating Performance

    Operating Performance (In millions, except for per share data) Core Earnings(1) Realized Gains Unrealized MTM Q4-2015 Financials Core Earnings(1) Realized Gains Unrealized MTM Q1-2016 Financials Interest income $133.6 $ - $ - $133.6 $130.8 $- $- $130.8 Interest expense 36.6 - - 36.6 41.4 - - 41.4 Ne

  17. Slide 17: GAAP to Core Earnings Reconciliation

    GAAP to Core Earnings Reconciliation (1) Reconciliation of GAAP to non-GAAP Information (In thousands, except for per share data) Three Months Ended December 31, 2015 Three Months Ended March 31, 2016 Reconciliation of net income (loss) to Core Earnings: Net income (loss) $210,706 ($88,930) Adjustme

  18. Slide 18: Rates: Agency RMBS Metrics

    30-Year Fixed 3-3.5% 32.4% 30-Year Fixed 5% & above 7.5% IO & Inverse IO 4.6% Other 3.3% Hybrid ARMs 0.5% Rates: Agency RMBS Metrics 18 AGENCY RMBS CPR(1) AGENCY PORTFOLIO YIELDS AND METRICS (1) Agency weighted average 3-month Constant Prepayment Rate (CPR) includes IIOs (or Agency Derivatives). (2)

  19. Slide 19: Rates: Agency RMBS

    Rates: Agency RMBS 19 As of Mar. 31, 2016 Par Value ($M) Market Value ($M) % Lower Balance/HARP(1) Amortized Cost Basis ($M) Weighted Average Coupon Weighted Average Age (Months) 30-Year fixed 3.0-3.5% $2,529 $2,650 -% $2,639 3.5% 2 4.0-4.5% 3,863 4,220 81.2% 4,157 4.2% 32 ≥ 5.0% 538 610 73.7% 581 5

  20. Slide 20: Rates: Mortgage Servicing Rights

    Rates: Mortgage Servicing Rights 20 As of Dec. 31, 2015 As of Mar. 31, 2016 Fair value ($M) $493.7 $446.2 Unpaid principal balance ($M) $51,386.1 $55,344.3 Weighted average coupon 3.9% 3.9% Original FICO score 751 751 Original LTV 73% 70% 60+ day delinquencies 1.1% 0.9% Net servicing spread 27.4 bas

  21. Slide 21: Credit: Non-Agency RMBS Metrics

    Credit: Non-Agency RMBS Metrics 21 NON-AGENCY PORTFOLIO COMPOSITION NON-AGENCY PORTFOLIO YIELDS AND METRICS (1) Weighted average cost basis includes RMBS principal and interest securities only. Average purchase price utilized carrying value for weighting purposes. If current face were utilized for w

  22. Slide 22: Credit: Non-Agency RMBS

    Credit: Non-Agency RMBS 22 As of March 31, 2016 Senior Bonds Mezzanine Bonds Total P&I Portfolio characteristics: Carrying value ($M) $1,172.3 $397.5 $1,569.8 % of non-agency portfolio 74.7% 25.3% 100.0% Average purchase price(1) $54.21 $69.98 $58.20 Average coupon 3.1% 2.4% 2.9% Weighted average ma

  23. Slide 23: Commercial Real Estate Assets

    Commercial Real Estate Assets (1) Cash coupon does not include origination or exit fees. (2) Yield includes net origination fees and exit fees, but does not include future fundings. (3) Initial LTV considers the original appraisal at the time of origination. (4) Stabilized LTV considers the prospect

  24. Slide 24: Commercial Real Estate Assets (Continued)

    Commercial Real Estate Assets (Continued) (1) Cash coupon does not include origination or exit fees. (2) Yield includes net origination fees and exit fees, but does not include future fundings. (3) Initial LTV considers the original appraisal at the time of origination. (4) Stabilized LTV considers

  25. Slide 25: Repo and FHLB Financing

    Repo and FHLB Financing(1) 25 (1) As of March 31, 2016. (2) Excludes FHLB membership and activity stock totaling $167.9 million. (3) Weighted average of 35 days to maturity. (4) Includes advances of $2.5 billion with original maturities of 20 years. Repo and FHLB Collateral(2) Repo FHLB Total ($M) A

  26. Slide 26: Interest Rate Swaps

    Maturities Notional Amounts ($B) Average Fixed Pay Rate Average Receive Rate Average Maturity (Years) Payers Hedging Repo and FHLB Advances 2016 $1.7 0.462% 0.624% 0.5 2017 2.4 0.765% 0.620% 1.3 2018 0.3 0.984% 0.617% 1.8 2019 0.3 1.283% 0.623% 3.2 2020 and after 1.8 1.797% 0.622% 7.5 $6.5 1.013% 0.

  27. Slide 27: Interest Rate Swaptions

    Interest Rate Swaptions(1) 27 (1) As of March 31, 2016. Option Underlying Swap Swaption Expiration Cost ($M) Fair Value ($M) Average Months to Expiration Notional Amount ($M) Average Pay Rate Average Receive Rate Average Term (Years) Purchase Contracts: Payer <6 Months $12.0 $3.7 3.7 $1,500 3.25% 3M

  28. Slide 28: Two Harbors Investment Corp.

    TWO HARBORS Investment Corp.

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