UBS Group AG · SIX:UBSG

UBS — Morgan Stanley conference 2016

19 slides from UBS's conference presentation, Mar 16, 2016

  1. Slide 1: Morgan Stanley conference

    Morgan Stanley conference Sergio P. Ermotti Group Chief Executive Officer March 16, 2016

  2. Slide 2: Cautionary statement regarding forward-looking statements

    Cautionary statement regarding forward-looking statements This presentation contains statements that constitute “forward-looking statements,” including but not limited to management’s outlook for UBS’s financial performance and statements relating to the anticipated effect of transactions and strate

  3. Slide 3: We have successfully changed our model

    We have successfully changed our model Achieved strategic targets announced in 2011/2012 Reduced Achieved our Transformed our risk-weighted assets capital targets Investment Bank Basel III RWA (fully applied), CHF billion Basel III CET1 ratio (fully applied) Investment Bank pre-tax RoAE1 (45%) +780

  4. Slide 4: Balanced businesses and global diversification

    Balanced businesses and global diversification Leading wealth management businesses and Swiss universal bank PBT by business division PBT by region FY15 PBT, excluding Corporate Center, CHF billion FY15 PBT, excluding items managed globally, CHF billion Investment Wealth Bank management 2.3 business

  5. Slide 5: Strong capital generation throughout our transformation

    Strong capital generation throughout our transformation CHF 20 billion capital generation FY12-15 pre dividend payments and litigation expenses1 FY12-15 cumulative 8 litigation expenses1 FY12-15 cumulative 7 dividend payments + CHF 5 billion CET1 capital 29 29 30 CET1 capital Fully applied, 25 FY12-

  6. Slide 6: Challenging conditions have continued into 2016

    Challenging conditions have continued into 2016 Divergence between expected and realized rates have reduced our earnings capacity Expected rates Realized rates 3M interbank rates, implied forwards as of October 2012 3M interbank rates 1.5% 1.5% EUR 1.0% USD 1.0% USD 0.5% 0.5% CHF 0.0% 0.0% EUR (0.5%

  7. Slide 7: WM and WMA invested assets composition

    WM and WMA invested assets composition Client activity affected by market volatility and invested assets by lower market levels Wealth Management Wealth Management Americas % of CHF 947 billion total IA, 31.12.15 % of USD 1,033 billion total IA, 31.12.15 100% 100% 100% Other1,2 9% Other1 14% 17% Oth

  8. Slide 8: World's leading wealth management franchise

    World's leading wealth management franchise Low revenue volatility with profit growth and NNM inflows Revenues1 WM + WMA 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.8 3.9 3.9 3.8 3.8 3.8 Ø 3.6 CHF billion 3.3 3.3 3.5 3.4 3.5 3.2 3.2 Total Ø 2.7 • Low revenue volatility Recurring of which: 2.9 3.0 2.9 3.0 3.1 3.0 recurring 2.2 2.

  9. Slide 9: Personal & Corporate Banking

    Personal & Corporate Banking Continued success in Switzerland's leading bank Leading coverage High-quality selective loan growth Net new business volume growth for personal banking, % with ~300 branches UBS branch locations Target range 2.3% 2.4% 1.9% 1-4% Improving net interest margin Net interest

  10. Slide 10: Investment Bank

    Investment Bank Strategic re-alignment completed – focused on excelling in targeted segments • One of the world's leading equities franchises Investor Client Return on average attributed equity Services – • Top tier Cash and Derivatives franchises, with one of the most Excluding charges for provisio

  11. Slide 11: Investments in technology

    Investments in technology We invested ~CHF 2 billion in technology FY151 to improve effectiveness and efficiency, provide the best offerings to our clients and to safeguard our security Investment projects Infrastructure Complexity Business Innovation Challenges modernization reduction enablement 1

  12. Slide 12: Corporate center cost reductions

    Corporate center cost reductions We have reduced expenses by CHF 1.9 billion1 since FY11 and are executing further reductions Corporate Center operating expenses Corporate Center – Services adjusted operating expenses before allocations to business divisions and Corporate Center – Non-core and Legac

  13. Slide 13: Draft proposal for revised Swiss SRB capital requirements

    Draft proposal for revised Swiss SRB capital requirements We are well positioned to meet the proposed requirements 2.0% 2.0%1 concern • Bail-in bonds: We expect to replace maturing UBS AG Gone 3.8% Public debt issued out of UBS AG public debt with TLAC-eligible bonds from UBS Group AG 3.0% • AT1: We

  14. Slide 14: Delivering attractive capital returns to our shareholders

    Delivering attractive capital returns to our shareholders Dividend per share to be proposed for FY15: CHF 0.60 ordinary and CHF 0.25 special dividend Total capital return per share CHF per share Special 0.25 dividend 0.251 Ordinary 0.50 0.60 • We are committed to a total dividend 0.25 pay-out ratio

  15. Slide 15: Continued focus on execution …

    Continued focus on execution … What we have delivered Management priorities ✓ Successfully executed the transformation of UBS Demonstrate sustainability of our business model Made substantial progress ✓ in reducing costs and achieving operational efficiency Complete on-going cost reduction programs

  16. Slide 16: Appendix

    Appendix

  17. Slide 17: Group and business division targets and expectations

    Group and business division targets and expectations Ranges for sustainable performance over the cycle1 Net new money growth rate 3-5% Wealth Management Adjusted cost/income ratio 55-65% 10-15% annual adjusted pre-tax profit growth for combined businesses through the cycle Wealth Management Net new

  18. Slide 18: Oil and gas exposures

    Oil and gas exposures As of 31 December 2015 our total net banking products exposure to the oil and gas sector, mainly in North America, was CHF 6.1 billion, including both funded and unfunded exposures, of which CHF 5.9 billion was recorded within the Investment Bank and the remaining exposure with

  19. Slide 19: Important information related to this presentation

    Important information related to this presentation Use of adjusted numbers Adjusted results are a non-GAAP financial measure as defined by SEC regulations. Refer to page 6 of the 4Q15 earnings release which is available in the section "Quarterly reporting" at www.ubs.com/investors for an overview of

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