Bombardier Inc. Class A · TSX:BBD.A
Bombardier Inc. Class A — Pre-Paris Media Presentation 2007
26 slides from Bombardier Inc. Class A's conference presentation, May 1, 2007
Slide 1: Bombardier Market Forecast: Pre-Paris Media Presentation
Bombardier Market Forecast Pre-Paris Media Presentation Michael R. McAdoo Vice President, Strategy & Business Development 1 May 2007
Slide 2: Forward-looking statements
Forward-looking statements This presentation includes forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements generally can be identified by the use of forward-looking terminology such as “may”, “will”, “expect”, “intend”, “anticipate”, “plan”, “foresee”, “believe” or “continue” or the negatives of t
Slide 3: Agenda
Agenda Introduction Business Aircraft • Market Forecast for 2007 - 2016 • Why Bombardier is Positioned for Success Commercial Aircraft • Market Forecast for 2007 - 2026 • Why Bombardier is Positioned for Success Summary 3
Slide 4: Overall, both business and commercial aircraft forecasts are improving over last year's forecasts
Overall, both business and commercial aircraft forecasts are improving over last year’s forecasts BUSINESS AIRCRAFT COMMERCIAL AIRCRAFT Market growth Market growth 2006 was a record year in terms of revenues, Airline capacity is expected to double over the deliveries, orders and current indu
Slide 5: Agenda
Agenda Introduction Business Aircraft • Market Forecast for 2007 - 2016 • Why Bombardier is Positioned for Success Commercial Aircraft • Market Forecast for 2007 - 2026 • Why Bombardier is Positioned for Success Summary 5
Slide 6: Strong orders have translated into record deliveries and revenues in 2006
The industry’s strong orders of past years have translated in record deliveries and revenues in 2006 BUSINESS JET DELIVERIES* BUSINESS JET REVENUES* Units, Calendar years 1997-2006 US$ Billion, Calendar years 1997-2006 900 18 2006: 798 units 2006: $16.1B 800 16 700 2000 peak: 695 units 14 2001 peak:
Slide 7: Business aircraft market forecast based on an analysis of market drivers
Business aircraft market forecast based on an analysis of market drivers PRIMARY MARKET DRIVERS OUTLOOK Driver, Market Direction and Justification OEM Backlogs in the segments in which Bombardier competes OEM Backlogs are on average 24 months. Somewhat lower economic growth expected in 2007 comp
Slide 8: Bombardier Forecast shows market has reached a new plateau
Bombardier Forecast shows market has reached a new plateau BUSINESS JET DELIVERY UNIT FORECAST BUSINESS JET MARKET REVENUE FORECAST Historic Deliveries & Demand Model, Calendar years Historic Revenues & Demand Model, Constant 2007 US$ Billion 2006 - 2016 Calendar Years 2006 - 2016 30 2000 1800 VLJ r
Slide 9: Agenda
Agenda Introduction Business Aircraft • Market Forecast for 2007 - 2016 • Why Bombardier is Positioned for Success Commercial Aircraft • Market Forecast for 2007 - 2026 • Why Bombardier is Positioned for Success Summary 9
Slide 10: Bombardier is well-positioned in the business aircraft market with product line covering 97%
Bombardier is well-positioned in the business aircraft market with product line covering 97% of the market Very Super Super Super Ultra Long Converted Light Midsize Large Light Light Midsize Large Range Airliners L40 XR L45 XR L60 / XR Ch-300 Ch-605 G5000 GEX-XRS Ch-850 Bombardier Ch-870 Ch-890 Must
Slide 11: Bombardier revenue/unit market shares have been stable over past three years
Bombardier revenue/unit market shares have been stable over past three years Others REVENUE/UNIT MARKET SHARES Bombardier Total Market, Delivery Revenues, $US million, Calendar years 2002 – 2006 Total Total Market $10.4 $8.7 $10.3 $13.2 $16.5 579 457 491 646 883 Market Revenue Units ($B) 73% 70% 71%
Slide 12: Agenda
Agenda Introduction Business Aircraft • Market Forecast for 2007 - 2016 • Why Bombardier is Positioned for Success Commercial Aircraft • Market Forecast for 2007 - 2026 • Why Bombardier is Positioned for Success Summary 12
Slide 13: Market is returning to pre-2001 order levels
Market is returning to pre-2001 order levels 20-149 SEAT COMMERCIAL AIRCRAFT NET ORDERS Net Orders, units, 20-149 seats segment, Calendar years 1997-2006 1,400 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 200 0 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 13 Sources: Back Aviation
Slide 14: The Commercial Aircraft market forecast is based on a top-down model
The Commercial Aircraft market forecast is based on a top-down model Overview Model Dynamics • Model segmented by Historical geographic region, seat Fleet, Delivery, category (>14 seats) and Retirement Data engine type x Seat Size Econometric • Primarily GDP driven Models • All Passenger Aircraft Fo
Slide 15: Bombardier's 20-year commercial aircraft forecast reflects shifting focus on larger aircraft
Bombardier’s 20-year commercial aircraft forecast reflects the shifting focus on larger capacity aircraft COMMERCIAL AIRCRAFT MARKET FORECAST Units deliveries, 20-149 aircraft, Calendar years 2007 – 2026 Seat Category 2007 – 2026 20-59 Seat 1,000 60-99 Seat 4,300 100-149 Seat 5,900 Total 11,200 Bomb
Slide 16: Worldwide 20-149 seat fleet units should grow from 10,600 to 16,300 by 2026
Worldwide 20-149 seat fleet units should grow from 10,600 to 16,300 by 2026 COMMERCIAL AIRCRAFT FLEET FORECAST Units, 20-149 seat aircraft, Calendar years 2007 – 2026 Seat Retired 2006 Fleet Deliveries 2026 Fleet Category Aircraft 20-59 3,500 1,000 1,600 2,900 Seats 60-99 1,700 4,300 1,000 5,000 Sea
Slide 17: About 40% of worldwide deliveries will go to emerging Markets
About 40% of worldwide deliveries will go to emerging Markets COMMERCIAL AIRCRAFT FORECAST REGIONAL BREAKDOWN Units, 20-149 aircraft, Calendar years 2007 – 2026 % of total (11,200 units) North America 4,480 40% Europe 2,090 19% China 1,660 15% Asia/Pacific 1,340 12% Our Our forecast forecast predict
Slide 18: Agenda
Agenda Introduction Business Aircraft • Market Forecast for 2007 - 2016 • Why Bombardier is Positioned for Success Commercial Aircraft • Market Forecast for 2007 - 2026 • Why Bombardier is Positioned for Success Summary 18
Slide 19: Bombardier has been an active player in the Regional Aircraft market
Bombardier has been an active player in the Regional Aircraft market WORLDWIDE REGIONAL FLEET In-service units, 20-99 aircraft, Calendar years 1980 – 2005 6000 5000 Large RJs Up to 99 Seats 4000 Small RJs Up to 59 seats 3000 Large Turboprops Up to 79 Seats 2000 Small Turboprops Up to 59 seats 1000 O
Slide 20: Recent years have seen significant growth for larger RJ segment
Recent year have seen significant growth for larger RJ segment U.S. MONTHLY SEATS AVAILABILITY US monthly seats available, 60-99 Jets, Calendar years 2001-2006 4,000,000 3,500,000 3,000,000 2,500,000 Driven Driven by by scope scope clause clause enlargement enlargement 2,000,000 and and the the avai
Slide 21: High fuel prices have played a role in the reinvigoration of the turboprop market
High fuel prices have played a role in the reinvigoration of the turboprop market FUEL PRICES AND TURBOPROP ORDERS Turboprop Units, Fuel Prices $US/Gallon, Calendar years 2001-2006 160 2.5 140 Net Orders for Turboprops 2 Fuel Prices ($US/USG) 120 100 1.5 80 1 60 40 0.5 20 0 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 200
Slide 22: Bombardier's product portfolio meets cost and capacity needs of the 20-to-149 seat market
Bombardier’s current and potential product portfolio meets cost and capacity needs of the 20-to-149 seat market CRJ1000 Q400 Q-Series C130 CRJ900 CRJ Series CSeries Q300 CRJ700 C110 Q200 CRJ200 Commuter Primarily Regional Primarily Mainline 37 76 50 99 100 149 # of Seats 22
Slide 23: Agenda
Agenda Introduction Business Aircraft • Market Forecast for 2007 - 2016 • Why Bombardier is Positioned for Success Commercial Aircraft • Market Forecast for 2007 - 2026 • Why Bombardier is Positioned for Success Summary 23
Slide 24: The outlook is positive for both commercial and business aircraft markets
The outlook is positive for both commercial and business aircraft markets and improving since last year forecast Business aircraft • An already strong market shows great potential to remain strong in the upcoming years • Bombardier’s industry leadership and comprehensive portfolio makes it well-po
Slide 25: Questions?
Questions? 25
Slide 26: Bombardier Market Forecast: Pre-Paris Media Presentation
Bombardier Market Forecast Pre-Paris Media Presentation Michael R. McAdoo Vice President, Strategy & Business Development 1 May 2007