Coface Sa · EURONEXT:COFA

Coface Sa — FY2021 Earnings Presentation

40 slides from Coface Sa's earnings presentation, Feb 15, 2022

  1. Slide 1: FY-2021 Results: Presentation to Financial Analysts

    F Y- 2 0 2 1 R E S U LT S P R E S E N TAT I O N T O F I N A N C I A L A N A LY S T S 15 FEBRUARY 2022

  2. Slide 2: FY-2021 Results: Net Income at €223.8M – 100% Proposed Pay-out

    FY-2021 RESULTS: NET INCOME AT €223.8M – 100% PROPOSED PAY-OUT 01 02 03 04 05 FY- 2 0 2 1 FY- 2 0 2 1 C A P I TA L K E Y TA K E - APPENDICES HIGHLIGHTS R E S U LT S MANAGEMENT A W AY S & OUTLOOK 2 FY-2021 RESULTS | PRESENTATION TO FINANCIAL ANALYSTS | 15 FEBRUARY 2022

  3. Slide 3: Part 1: FY-2021 Highlights

    coface FOR TRADE PART 1 FY-2021 HIGHL

  4. Slide 4: Coface Reports €223.8M Net Income of Which €32.9M in Q4-2021

    COFACE REPORTS €223.8M NET INCOME OF WHICH €32.9M IN Q4-2021 Turnover reached €1,568m y-t-d, up by +8.3% at constant FX and perimeter › Trade Credit Insurance growing +9.7% driven by activity recovery and past repricing › Pricing impact is still positive on the year (+0.7%) but evolution has been ne

  5. Slide 5: Solvency Ratio at 196%; 100% Proposed Pay-out

    SOLVENCY RATIO AT 196%1 ; 100% PROPOSED PAY-OUT2 RoATE3 stands at 12.2% for the year Estimated solvency ratio at c. 196%1 (194%1 excluding government schemes) › Limited remaining impact from government schemes › Solvency above target range set at 155-175% › Stable retention with reinsurance cession

  6. Slide 6: Build to Lead – Objectives Remain Unchanged

    BUILD TO LEAD – OBJECTIVES REMAIN UNCHANGED BUILD TRADE CREDIT INSURANCE LEADERSHIP GROW SELECT SPECIALTIES SIMPLIFY AND DIGITIZE INFORMATION AND RISK SINGLE RISK INFORMATION PROFITABLE GROWTH FACTORING OPERATING MODEL CAPABILITIES AND BONDING AND SERVICES • Migrate to X-Liner • Continuing to develo

  7. Slide 7: Investing in Information, Leveraging Current Infrastructure and Synergies with TCI

    INVESTING IN INFORMATION, LEVERAGING CURRENT INFRASTRUCTURE AND SYNERGIES WITH TCI CONSOLIDATED TURNOVER(€M) +27% COFACE ASSETS MARKET TRENDS 35 42 +48% • Data assets and payment behaviour • Need for more “informed” decisions 29 31 • Underwriting expertise • High quality data and risk insights • Glo

  8. Slide 8: Build to Lead – On Track with Targets

    BUILD TO LEAD – ON TRACK WITH TARGETS COMBINED RATIO PAY-OUT RATIO <80% >80% Dividend 77.7% 79.8% 100% 100% SBB 64.6% 15% 2019 2020 2021 2019* 2020 2021 *In view of the scale of the health crisis and following the vote at the Combined General Shareholders’ Meeting BUILD TO LEAD of May 14, 2020, it w

  9. Slide 9: CSR: Embedding Strategy and Setting Targets

    CSR: EMBEDDING STRATEGY AND SETTING TARGETS RESPONSIBLE RESPONSIBLE RESPONSIBLE DRIVING THE INSURER EMPLOYER ENTERPRISE C U LT U R E › Improved ESG rating of › Diversity & Inclusion: › Launched full carbon footprint › Appointed Senior group CSR ACTIONS TAKEN investment portfolio from C- to C  84/10

  10. Slide 10: Part 2: FY-2021 Results

    coface FOR TRADE PART 2 FY-2021 RESULT,

  11. Slide 11: Turnover Growth at 8.3% Driven by TCI Premiums Up 9.7%

    TURNOVER GROWTH AT 8.3% DRIVEN BY TCI PREMIUMS UP 9.7% 8.1% 8.3% Total revenue up +8.3% vs FY-2020 at constant In €m 1,451 1,568 FX and perimeter › Trade Credit Insurance* increasing by +9.7% at constant FX and Gross Earned Premiums perimeter driven by positive client activity, high retention and pa

  12. Slide 12: Continued Economic Rebound Driving Revenue Growth

    CONTINUED ECONOMIC REBOUND DRIVING REVENUE GROWTH Western Europe Northern Europe Central Europe Mediterranean & Africa 8.5% 8.2% 11.4% 9.4% 9.2% 8.1% 8.7% 9.4% 429 395 317 332 292 298 143 156 FY-20 FY-21 FY-20 FY-21 FY-20 FY-21 FY-20 FY-21 Pricing, good retention and activity New business, activity

  13. Slide 13: Very Strong Activity and Confirmed Competitive Market

    VERY STRONG ACTIVITY AND CONFIRMED COMPETITIVE MARKET production* 133 138 129 116 New production at €129m, after a record high New level in FY-20. FY-18 FY-19 FY-20 FY-21 Retention 91.1% 91.6% 91.9% 91.7% rate* Retention rate close to record level in a more competitive market. FY-18 FY-19 FY-20 FY-2

  14. Slide 14: Gross Loss Ratio at 21.4% Record Low

    GROSS LOSS RATIO AT 21.4% RECORD LOW Loss ratio before reinsurance and including claims handling expenses, in % › FY-21 gross loss ratio improved by 30.4 points driven by: 62.8 55.2 54.8 ‒ Continued limited large loss activity 51.8 ‒ Low claims frequency across regions since Q3-2020 34.9 29.5 29.6 ‒

  15. Slide 15: Record Low Loss Ratio Across All Regions

    RECORD LOW LOSS RATIO ACROSS ALL REGIONS Loss ratio before reinsurance, including claims handling expenses – in % 9%* 5%* 8%* Group North America Latin America Asia Pacific 72.3**** 63.7 60.1*** 51.8 57.9** 48.6 44.2** 43.4*** 45.8 39.1 35.9 21.4 14.4 23.6 6.9 8.8 FY-18 FY-19 FY-20 FY-21 FY-18 FY-19

  16. Slide 16: Loss Ratio for the Quarter Further Down at 10.7%

    LOSS RATIO FOR THE QUARTER FURTHER DOWN AT 10.7% Loss ratio before reinsurance (by quarter), including claims handling expenses – in % 9%* 5%* 8%* Group North America Latin America Asia Pacific 34.9 35.6 41.4 29.5 29.6 31.8 27.3 22.3 22.2 21.0 24.8 16.9 10.5 2.6 1.3 1.3 8.5 1.6 -0.3 -15.7 Q4-20 Q1-2

  17. Slide 17: Positive Operating Leverage While Continuing to Invest

    POSITIVE OPERATING LEVERAGE WHILE CONTINUING TO INVEST 7.0% 7.1% 6.7% 4.7% 196 740 184 184 185 In €m 176 174 691 166 165 44 167 38 40 42 42 Cost ratio before reinsurance, in % External acquisition costs 155 36 39 40 (commissions) 36.0 33.7 34.1 33.2 31.2 573 138 144 142 143 153 536 126 128 135 Inter

  18. Slide 18: Reinsurance Results Reflects Low Loss Activity and Public Schemes

    REINSURANCE RESULTS REFLECTS LOW LOSS ACTIVITY AND PUBLIC SCHEMES 12M-20 12M-21 › Premium cession rate is down to 39.0% as public schemes have ended on Gross earned premiums 1,204.3 1,312.6 June 30th 2021. Net earned premiums 645.1 800.5 › Claims cession rate is down to 5.0% as reserve releases are

  19. Slide 19: Gov. Schemes' Impact: Already Recognized a Large Majority of Costs

    GOV. SCHEMES’ IMPACT: ALREADY RECOGNIZED A LARGE MAJORITY OF COSTS … ON COMBINED RATIO (%) 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% • Government schemes have lowered pretax profit by €166m Q1-20 Q2-20 Q3-20 Q4-20 Q1-21 Q2-21 Q3-21 Q4-21 Published w/o schemes since the beginning of the crisis (€6m in 2020, €

  20. Slide 20: Net Combined Ratio at 64.6% on Record Low Loss Ratio

    NET COMBINED RATIO AT 64.6% ON RECORD LOW LOSS RATIO (15.2) ppts › Net combined ratio improved to 64.6% (vs 79.8% in 2020) due to improved In % claims ratio Net combined ratio 79.8 › Net cost ratio improved by -0.8 ppt showing good cost discipline and 64.6 Net cost ratio 32.1 investments 31.3 › 2021

  21. Slide 21: Financial Portfolio: Stabilising Underlying Investment Income

    FINANCIAL PORTFOLIO: STABILISING UNDERLYING INVESTMENT INCOME Investment €m FY-20 FY-21 Real Estate 7% Income from investment portfolio without gains on sales** 32.9 33.1 Equities Gains on sales and impairement, net of hedging*** (1.7) 3.6 8% FX effect (3.5) 7.0 Other (0.8) (1.6) Loans, Deposit & To

  22. Slide 22: FY-2021 Net Income at €223.8M of Which €32.9M in Q4-2021

    FY-2021 NET INCOME AT €223.8M OF WHICH €32.9M IN Q4-2021 Income statement items - in €m 12M-20 12M-21 Current operating income 154.2 316.0 › Current operating income more than doubled at €316.0m Other operating income and expenses (13.8) (3.2) Operating income 140.4 312.9 Finance costs (21.8) (21.5)

  23. Slide 23: RoATE Stands at 12.2%, Up 7.4 ppts

    ROATE STANDS AT 12.2%, UP 7.4 PPTS 223.8 9.7 (7.9) 2,141.0 Change in equity 1,998.3 (83.0) In €m IFRS Equi ty Distribu tio n to Net income impact Revaluatuion reserve Treasury shar es, IFRS Equi ty attri butable to owner s shareh olders (financial instr uments currency translation attri butable to o

  24. Slide 24: Part 3: Capital Management

    coface FOR TRADE PART 3 CAPITAL MANAG

  25. Slide 25: Solid Balance Sheet

    SOLID BALANCE SHEET 2021 simplified balance sheet In €m IFRS 17 “Insurance contracts” › Project progressing as planned 8,039 8,039 Goodw ill 230 & intangible assets Shareholders’ 2,141 equity Financial strength 3,219 Insurance investments 391 Financing liabilities › Fitch: AA-, stable outlook (inclu

  26. Slide 26: Robust Solvency Over Time

    ROBUST SOLVENCY OVER TIME FY-2021 estimated Solvency ratio above target range Low sensitivity to market shocks market sensitivity tested through instantaneous shocks 39.0 ppts (17.7 ppts) 205%* 205% (24.6 ppts ) 31/12/2021 SCR cover (PIM) 196% 196%* 196% 191%* 191%* 191% 194% 191% (5.7 ppts ) 194% +

  27. Slide 27: Solvency Required Capital as at 31 December 2021

    SOLVENCY REQUIRED CAPITAL AS AT 31 DECEMBER 2021 196%1 2,472 PARTIAL INTERNAL MODEL 34 407 €m 1,379 (157) 40 1,264 120 (168) 209 Operational risk 1,055 209 2,032 Counterparty risk 388 Market risk Non-life underwriting risk 1,055 1,055 Tier 3 831 Tier 2 Tier 1 SCR components Diversification Tax adjus

  28. Slide 28: Part 4: Key Take-aways & Outlook

    PART 4 KEY TAKE-AWAYS & OUTLOOK

  29. Slide 29: Key Take-aways & Outlook

    KEY TAKE-AWAYS & OUTLOOK FY-2021 ended on record high profit, on the back of › Continued strong operating performance › Progressively normalizing operating environment since low point reached in July 2021 › High accounting impact of government schemes, reflecting record low loss environment Coface h

  30. Slide 30: Part 5: Appendices

    coface FOR TRADE PART 5 APPENDICES,»

  31. Slide 31: Key Figures (1/2)

    KEY FIGURES (1/2) QUARTERLY AND CUMULATED FIGURES % Income statement items in €m / Quarterly figures Q1-20 Q2-20 Q3-20 Q4-20 Q1-21 Q2-21 Q3-21 Q4-21 % ex. FX* Gross earned premiums 301.2 297.9 298.1 307.2 312.1 326.7 330.7 343.2 +11.7% +10.8% Services revenue 69.3 56.3 59.7 61.3 65.9 63.4 59.6 66.3

  32. Slide 32: Key Figures (2/2)

    KEY FIGURES (2/2) REVENUE BY REGION: QUARTERLY AND CUMULATED FIGURES Total revenue Q1-20 Q2-20 Q3-20 Q4-20 Q1-21 Q2-21 Q3-21 Q4-21 V% ex. FX* by quarter - in €m Northern Europe 81.5 65.5 74.1 76.6 82.2 84.7 83.5 81.1 +5.6% Western Europe 71.8 70.7 77.3 72.0 75.5 78.2 79.9 83.0 +14.8% Central Europe

  33. Slide 33: Exposure in Emerging Markets Maintained at a Stable Share

    EXPOSURE IN EMERGING MARKETS MAINTAINED AT A STABLE SHARE Evolution of TCI exposure1 per FY-2021 total TCI exposure1 – Top 10 Advanced vs Emerging markets (in €bn) countries vs. others (in %) Germany France Dec-18 79% 21% 510 12.9% USA Italy Dec-19 79% 21% 537 36.3% 10.1% Spain Dec-20 81% 19% 486 Un

  34. Slide 34: Government Scheme's Impact on Ratio

    GOVERNMENT SCHEME’S IMPACT ON RATIO GOVERNMENT SCHEMES’ IMPACT ON RATIO (%) FULL YEAR BY QUARTER +10.1 ppts (11.1) ppts (8.3) ppts (10.8) ppts. +9.0 ppts +40.3 ppts 83.0 69.4 In % 64.6 62.4 61.1 61.8 32.6 58.3 Net combined ratio 54.5 52.8 53.4 51.0 36.3 31.3 28.7 31.1 42.7 32.1 Net cost ratio 31.3 4

  35. Slide 35: Combined Ratio Calculation

    COMBINED RATIO CALCULATION In €k FY-2020 FY-2021 › Combined ratio before reinsurance Earned Premiums (B) (C) Gross earned premiums [A] 1,204,334 1,312,637 loss ratio before reinsurance + cost ratio before reinsurance (A) (A) Ceded premiums (559,203) (512,098) Net earned premiums [D] 645,131 800,539

  36. Slide 36: Q4-21 Results vs Consensus

    Q4-21 RESULTS VS CONSENSUS # of in M€ Consensus Q4-2021 Spread Comment replies Total revenue 5 396 409 +13 Continuing rebound in client activity Gross Earned Premiums 5 331 343 +12 Net Earned Premiums 5 226 252 +26 Government schemes unwind NEP/GEP 5 68.2% 73.5% +5.3 ppts Government schemes unwind N

  37. Slide 37: Management Team

    MANAGEMENT TEAM GROUP CENTRAL FUNCTIONS REGIONAL FUNCTIONS Xavier DURAND Bhupesh GUPTA Jaroslaw JAWORSKY Chief Executive Officer CEO Asia Pacific CEO Central & Eastern Europe › 30+ years of international experience in regulated financial services › 25 years of international › 25 years of experience

  38. Slide 38: Corporate Governance

    CORPORATE GOVERNANCE Board of directors AUDIT & ACOUNTS COMMITTEE Chairman Bernardo SANCHEZ INCERA Age: 61 › Board member › 3 members among which 2 independents › Independent chairman Independent Eric HÉMAR Isabelle LAFORGUE Age: 58 Age: 41 directors › Chairman & CEO › Dir. Digital, Transformation I

  39. Slide 39: Financial Calendar & Investor Relations Contacts

    FINANCIAL CALENDAR & INVESTOR RELATIONS CONTACTS Calendar Own shares transactions Next Event Date Own shares transactions Q1-2022 Results 28 April 2022 after market close Liquidity Buy-back Date LTIP TOTAL % Total of Voting Agreement (cancellation) 2021 Annual shareholders meeting 17 May 2022 (in sh

  40. Slide 40: Important Legal Information

    IMPORTANT LEGAL INFORMATION IMPORTANT NOTICE: Coface Group’s current beliefs, assumptions and expectations of its future performance, taking into account all information currently available. The Coface This presentation has been prepared exclusively for the purpose of the disclosure Group is under n

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