Duke Energy Corporation (holding Company) · NYSE:DUK

Duke Energy Corporation (holding Company) — Q2 2019 Earnings Presentation

42 slides from Duke Energy Corporation (holding Company)'s earnings presentation, Aug 6, 2019

  1. Slide 1: Duke Energy Earnings Review & Business Update

    August 6, 2019 SECOND QUARTER 2019 Duke Energy Earnings Review & Business Update Lynn Good Chairman, President & CEO Steve Young Executive Vice President & CFO

  2. Slide 2: Safe Harbor statement

    Safe Harbor statement This presentation includes forward-looking statements within the meaning of the federal securities laws. Actual results could differ materially from such forward- looking statements. The factors that could cause actual results to differ are discussed in the Appendix herein and

  3. Slide 3: Topics for today's call

    Topics for today’s call BUSINESS UPDATE Lynn Good, Chairman, President & CEO ▪ Second quarter 2019 update ▪ Progress on strategic initiatives ▪ North Carolina update FINANCIAL UPDATE Steve Young, Executive VP & CFO ▪ Second quarter 2019 earnings drivers ▪ Economic conditions and load growth trends ▪

  4. Slide 4: Second quarter 2019 update

    Second quarter 2019 update FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS ▪ EPS growth of 6% through the first half of the year $1.12 2Q 2019 REPORTED/ADJUSTED DILUTED EPS ▪ Strong growth in the quarter in all three operating COMPARED TO $0.71/$0.93 IN 2Q 2018 segments driven by ongoing investments and constructive regulator

  5. Slide 5: Generating cleaner energy

    Generating cleaner energy ELECTRIC UTILITIES AND INFRASTRUCTURE ▪ $1.1 billion WCMP combined cycle (DEP) on target for late- 2019 completion ▪ Filed Indiana IRP July 1; includes accelerated coal plant retirements and additional renewables ▪ Solar and battery investments advancing in FL under settlem

  6. Slide 6: Expanding natural gas infrastructure

    Expanding natural gas infrastructure Phase 1 ATLANTIC COAST PIPELINE ▪ Filed petition June 25th seeking SCOTUS review of the Appalachian Trail decision; DOJ and Solicitor General joined the appeal ▪ Expect SCOTUS to decide this fall whether it will agree to hear the appeal Phase 2 ▪ Received order f

  7. Slide 7: North Carolina developments

    North Carolina developments NORTH CAROLINA LEGISLATION NCDEQ COAL ASH ORDER ▪ SB559 would enable the NCUC to consider: ▪ NCDEQ issued order April 1 requiring low-priority ▪ Storm cost securitization sites be fully excavated ▪ Multi-year rate plans and/or ROE bands ▪ Company appealed the decision to

  8. Slide 8: 2Q 2019 adjusted diluted EPS summary and primary drivers

    2Q 2019 adjusted diluted EPS summary and primary drivers SEGMENT RESULTS VS. PRIOR YEAR QUARTER(1) ADJUSTED DILUTED EARNINGS PER SHARE Electric Utilities & Infrastructure, +$98 M (+$0.13 per share(2)) ▲ Contribution from base rate changes $2.22 $2.36 ▲ Favorable timing of O&M expenses ▲ Higher rider

  9. Slide 9: Customer growth and weather-normal electric volume trends

    Customer growth and weather-normal electric volume trends ROLLING 12-MONTH RETAIL RESIDENTIAL ELECTRIC VOLUME GROWTH ▪ Increase in average number of customers in our attractive 0.7% service territories drives volume growth for electric and 0.6% gas utilities 0.5% ▪ Nearly 25% of all jobs created in

  10. Slide 10: Other regulatory activity

    Other regulatory activity ▪ Filed July 2; first rate case in 16 years and includes modernized regulatory mechanisms ▪ Requested 10.4% ROE and 53% equity cap. structure(1) DUKE ENERGY INDIANA BASE RATE CASE ▪ Based on Indiana rate base of $10.2 billion as of year-end 2018 and adjusted for projected c

  11. Slide 11: Financing plan update

    Financing plan update KEY MESSAGES ▪ S&P affirmed Duke Energy Corp. rating of BBB+, and INCREASED QUARTERLY revised the rating outlook to negative from stable DIVIDEND PAYMENT FOR THE ▪ Commercial Renewables minority stake sale closing on 13TH CONSECUTIVE YEAR track for fall 2019 ▪ ~$415 million pre

  12. Slide 12: Our investor value proposition

    Our investor value proposition A SOLID LONG-TERM HOLDING 4.3% ~8-10% 4 -6% DIVIDEND YIELD(1) zzz ATTRACTIVE HIGHLY WITH DIVIDEND RISK-ADJUSTED ACHIEVABLE GROWTH TOTAL SHAREHOLDER EPS GROWTH COMMITMENT(2) RETURN(3) THROUGH 2023(4) CONSTRUCTIVE JURISDICTIONS, LOW-RISK REGULATED INVESTMENTS AND BALANCE

  13. Slide 13: Appendix

    Appendix ITEM SLIDES Financial supplement 14-22 Sustainability / ESG 23-26 Other supplemental information 27-30 Upcoming events & other 31-35 SECOND QUARTER 2019 EARNINGS REVIEW AND BUSINESS UPDATE // 13

  14. Slide 14: Financial supplement

    Financial supplement SECOND QUARTER 2019 EARNINGS REVIEW AND BUSINESS UPDATE // 14

  15. Slide 15: Key 2019 adjusted earnings guidance assumptions

    Key 2019 adjusted earnings guidance assumptions ($ in millions) Original 2019 2019 YTD Assumptions (1) (thru 6/30/2019) Adjusted segment income/(expense)(2): Electric Utilities & Infrastructure $3,480 $1,559 Gas Utilities & Infrastructure $375 $266 Commercial Renewables $230 $99 Other ($440) ($204)

  16. Slide 16: 2019 EPS Guidance and balance of the year considerations

    2019 EPS Guidance and balance of the year considerations ADJUSTED DILUTED KEY CONSIDERATIONS(1) EARNINGS PER SHARE 3Q 2019 4Q 2019 O&M: • Potential reversal of 2019 YTD $4.80 - $5.20 favorable timing ($0.07) • 2018 favorable settlement on certain transmission costs ($0.03) • Return to normal storms

  17. Slide 17: Key 2019 earnings sensitivities

    Key 2019 earnings sensitivities Driver EPS Impact 1% change in earned return on equity +/- $0.49 Electric Utilities & $1 billion change in rate base +/- $0.07 Infrastructure 1% change in volumes +/- $0.13 1% change in earned return on equity +/- $0.06 Gas Utilities & $200 million change in rate base

  18. Slide 18: Electric utilities quarterly weather impacts

    Electric utilities quarterly weather impacts Weather segment 2019 2018 income to normal: Pretax impact Weighted avg. EPS impact Pretax impact Weighted avg. EPS impact diluted shares favorable / shares favorable / (unfavorable) (unfavorable) First Quarter ($55) 727 ($0.06) $10 701 $0.01 Second Quarte

  19. Slide 19: Weather normalized volume trends, by electric jurisdiction

    Weather normalized volume trends, by electric jurisdiction Rolling Twelve Months, as of June 30, 2019 Duke Energy Duke Energy Duke Energy Duke Energy Duke Energy Electric Carolinas Progress Florida Indiana Ohio/Kentucky Utilities 2.4% 1.7% 1.9% 1.1% 1.0% 0.9% 0.6% 0.8% 0.7% 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.3% 0.5%

  20. Slide 20: 2019 financing plan as of June 30, 2019

    2019 financing plan as of June 30, 2019 (1) ($ in millions) $2,000 Priced Equity Forward Equity issuance YTD Forward? Settled $1,750 ATM $340 M Yes Q4 $1,500 DRIP $80 M No n/a Total Common $420 M $1,250 $1,000 $750 $500 $250 $- Holding Duke Duke Duke Duke Duke Duke Piedmont Renewables Company Energy

  21. Slide 21: 2019 long-term debt and preferred stock financing activity

    2019 long-term debt and preferred stock financing activity as of June 30, 2019 Credit Ratings Amount Entity Date Issued (M/S&P/F, unless Term Type Rate ($ in millions) otherwise noted) $400 DE Ohio January 2019 A2/A 10-Year First Mortgage Bond Fixed – 3.65% $400 DE Ohio January 2019 A2/A 30-Year Fir

  22. Slide 22: Liquidity summary as of June 30, 2019

    Liquidity summary as of June 30, 2019 Duke Duke Duke Duke Duke Duke Piedmont ($ in millions) Duke Energy Energy Energy Energy Energy Energy Natural Energy Carolinas Progress Florida Indiana Ohio Kentucky Gas Total Master Credit Facility (1) $ 2,650 $ 1,750 $ 1,250 $ 800 $ 600 $ 300 $ 150 $ 500 $ 8,0

  23. Slide 23: Sustainability / Environmental Social and Governance (ESG)

    Sustainability / Environmental Social and Governance (ESG) SECOND QUARTER 2019 EARNINGS REVIEW AND BUSINESS UPDATE // 23

  24. Slide 24: Sustainability / ESG: Carbon and other reductions

    Sustainability / Environmental Social and Governance (ESG) ▪ Targeting 40% reduction in carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions by 2030(1) ▪ Since 2005, decreased CO2 emissions by 31%, sulfur dioxide emissions CARBON AND OTHER by 96% and nitrogen oxides emissions by 74% REDUCTIONS ▪ 49 coal units retired (~6

  25. Slide 25: Sustainability / ESG: Safety, employees and governance

    Sustainability / Environmental Social and Governance (ESG) SAFETY – OUR NUMBER ONE PRIORITY ▪ Total Incident Case Rate (TICR) of 0.43 in 2018; one of the industry CARBON AND OTHER leaders for 4th year in a row REDUCTIONS EMPLOYEES ▪ Targeting a companywide engagement score of 76% by 2022 ▪ Named one

  26. Slide 26: Sustainability / ESG: Disclosure and recognition

    Sustainability / Environmental Social and Governance (ESG) ▪ Dow Jones Sustainability Index for 13 years in a row ▪ Over a decade of annual Sustainability reports CARBON AND OTHER ▪ Climate Report issued in 2018 analyzes 2-degree scenario REDUCTIONS ▪ Our 40% CO2 reduction goal is consistent with a

  27. Slide 27: Other supplemental information

    Other supplemental information SECOND QUARTER 2019 EARNINGS REVIEW AND BUSINESS UPDATE // 27

  28. Slide 28: Advancing our strategic vision

    Advancing our strategic vision TRANSFORM THE CUSTOMER EXPERIENCE MODERNIZE THE GENERATE EXPAND NATURAL GAS ENERGY GRID CLEANER ENERGY INFRASTRUCTURE STAKEHOLDER ENGAGEMENT EMPLOYEE ENGAGEMENT AND OPERATIONAL EXCELLENCE ARE FOUNDATIONAL TO OUR SUCCESS SECOND QUARTER 2019 EARNINGS REVIEW AND BUSINESS

  29. Slide 29: Renewables projects detail

    Renewables projects detail Megawatts Site Solar Wind Fuel Cell Total COD Location Regulated: Lake Placid 45 - - 45 Q4 2019 FL Trenton 74.9 - - 74.9 Q4 2019 FL DeBary 74.5 - - 74.5 Q1 2020 FL Catawba County(1) 69 - - 69 2020 NC (DEC) Gaston County(1) 25 - - 25 2020 NC (DEC) PPA projects(1)(2) 362 - -

  30. Slide 30: North Carolina coal ash detail

    North Carolina coal ash detail Site Ranking Tons of Ash State Actual/ Expected NCDEQ COAL ASH ORDER Remaining(1) Compliance Date Closure Date(5) Riverbend High - August 2019 March 2019 ▪ NC DEQ issued order April 1 requiring low Dan River High - August 2019 May 2019 priority sites be fully excavated

  31. Slide 31: Upcoming events & other

    Upcoming events & other SECOND QUARTER 2019 EARNINGS REVIEW AND BUSINESS UPDATE // 31

  32. Slide 32: Upcoming events

    Upcoming events Event Date 3Q 2019 earnings call (tentative) November 8, 2019 EEI Financial Conference November 10-12, 2019 SECOND QUARTER 2019 EARNINGS REVIEW AND BUSINESS UPDATE // 32

  33. Slide 33: Investor relations contact information

    Investor relations contact information MIKE CALLAHAN, VICE PRESIDENT INVESTOR RELATIONS ▪ Michael.Callahan@duke-energy.com ▪ (704) 382-0459 CINDY LEE, DIRECTOR INVESTOR RELATIONS ▪ Cynthia.Lee@duke-energy.com ▪ (980) 373-4077 ABBY MOTSINGER, MANAGER INVESTOR RELATIONS ▪ Abby.Motsinger@duke-energy.co

  34. Slide 34: Safe harbor statement

    Safe harbor statement This document includes forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933 and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. Forward-looking statements are based on management’s beliefs and assumptions and can often be identified by

  35. Slide 35: For additional information on Duke Energy, please visit duke-energy.com/investors

    For additional information on Duke Energy, please visit: duke-energy.com/investors

  36. Slide 36: Duke Energy Corporation Non-GAAP Reconciliations

    'XNH(QHUJ\&RUSRUDWLRQ 1RQ*$$35HFRQFLOLDWLRQV 6HFRQG4XDUWHU(DUQLQJV5HYLHZ %XVLQHVV8SGDWH $XJXVW $GMXVWHG'LOXWHG(DUQLQJVSHU6KDUH (36 7KHPDWHULDOVIRU'XNH(QHUJ\&RUSRUDWLRQ¶V 'XNH(QHUJ\ 6HFRQG4XDUWHU(DUQLQJV5HYLHZDQG%XVLQHVV 8SGDWHRQ$XJXVWLQFOXGHDGLVFXVVLRQRIDGMXVWHGGLOXWHG(36IRUWKHTXDUWHUDQG\HDUWRGDWHSH

  37. Slide 37: Adjusted Segment Income and Adjusted Other Net Loss

    $GMXVWHG6HJPHQW,QFRPHDQG$GMXVWHG2WKHU1HW/RVV 7KHPDWHULDOVIRU'XNH(QHUJ\¶V6HFRQG4XDUWHU(DUQLQJV5HYLHZDQG%XVLQHVV8SGDWHRQ$XJXVW LQFOXGHDGLVFXVVLRQRIDGMXVWHGVHJPHQWLQFRPHDQGDGMXVWHGRWKHUQHWORVVIRUWKHTXDUWHUDQG\HDUWRGDWH SHULRGVHQGHG-XQHDQGDGLVFXVVLRQRIIRUHFDVWHGDGMXVWHGVHJPHQWLQFRPHDQGIRUHFDVWHG DGMXVWH

  38. Slide 38: Effective Tax Rate Including Noncontrolling Interests and Preferred Dividends

    (IIHFWLYH7D[5DWH,QFOXGLQJ,PSDFWVRI1RQFRQWUROOLQJ,QWHUHVWVDQG3UHIHUUHG'LYLGHQGVDQG ([FOXGLQJ6SHFLDO,WHPV 7KHPDWHULDOVIRU'XNH(QHUJ\¶V6HFRQG4XDUWHU(DUQLQJV5HYLHZDQG%XVLQHVV8SGDWHRQ$XJXVW LQFOXGH D GLVFXVVLRQ RI WKH HIIHFWLYH WD[ UDWH LQFOXGLQJ LPSDFWV RI QRQFRQWUROOLQJ LQWHUHVWV DQG SUHIHUUHG GLYLGHQGV

  39. Slide 39: Reported to Adjusted Earnings Reconciliation, Three Months Ended June

    %6,&&/&3(:$03103"5*0/ 3&1035&%50"%+645&%&"3/*/(43&$0/$*-*"5*0/ 5ISFF.POUIT&OEFE+VOF %PMMBSTJONJMMJPOT FYDFQUQFSTIBSFBNPVOUT 4QFDJBM*UFNT $PTUTUP 3FHVMBUPSZ "DIJFWF BOE 3FQPSUFE 1JFENPOU -FHJTMBUJWF %JTDPOUJOVFE 5PUBM "EKVTUFE &BSOJOHT .FSHFS *NQBDUT 0QFSBUJPOT "EKVTUNFOUT &BSOJOHT 4&(.&/5*/$0.& &MFD

  40. Slide 40: Reported to Adjusted Earnings Reconciliation, Six Months Ended June

    %6,&&/&3(:$03103"5*0/ 3&1035&%50"%+645&%&"3/*/(43&$0/$*-*"5*0/ 4JY.POUIT&OEFE+VOF %PMMBSTJONJMMJPOT FYDFQUQFSTIBSFBNPVOUT 4QFDJBM*UFNT $PTUTUP 3FHVMBUPSZ *NQBJSNFOU "DIJFWF BOE 4BMFPG PG&RVJUZ *NQBDUT 3FQPSUFE 1JFENPOU -FHJTMBUJWF 3FUJSFE .FUIPE PGUIF5BY %JTDPOUJOVFE 5PUBM "EKVTUFE &BSOJOHT .FSHFS *

  41. Slide 41: Effective Tax Reconciliation

    %6,&&/&3(:$03103"5*0/ &''&$5*7&5"93&$0/$*-*"5*0/ +VOF %PMMBSTJONJMMJPOT 5ISFF.POUIT&OEFE 4JY.POUIT&OEFE +VOF +VOF #BMBODF &GGFDUJWF5BY3BUF #BMBODF &GGFDUJWF5BY3BUF 3FQPSUFE*ODPNF'SPN$POUJOVJOH0QFSBUJPOT#FGPSF*ODPNF5BYFT /PODPOUSPMMJOH*OUFSFTUT 1SFGFSSFE%JWJEFOET 1SFUBY*ODPNFJODMVEJOHOPODPOUSPMMJOHJO

  42. Slide 42: Duke Energy Corporation Available Liquidity Reconciliation

    'XNH(QHUJ\&RUSRUDWLRQ $YDLODEOH/LTXLGLW\5HFRQFLOLDWLRQ $VRI-XQH ,QPLOOLRQV &DVKDQG&DVK(TXLYDOHQWV /HVV&HUWDLQ$PRXQWV+HOGLQ)RUHLJQ-XULVGLFWLRQV /HVV8QDYDLODEOH'RPHVWLF&DVK 3OXV5HPDLQLQJ$YDLODELOLW\XQGHU0DVWHU&UHGLW)DFLOLWLHVDQGRWKHUIDFLOLWLHV 7RWDO$YDLODEOH/LTXLGLW\ D DSSUR[LPDWHO\ELOOLRQ D 7KHDYDLOD

Duke Energy — Q2 2019 Earnings Presentation on 6ix