Hindalco Industries Limited · NSE:HINDALCO
Hindalco Industries — Q2 FY14 Earnings Presentation
29 slides from Hindalco Industries's earnings presentation, Nov 12, 2013
Slide 1: Investor Presentation Q2 FY14
INVESTOR PRESENTATION Q2 FY14 November 12, 2013
Slide 2: Highlights and Financial Performance
HIGHLIGHTS AND FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE 2
Slide 3: Global Economy: Signs of recovery
Global Economy: Signs of recovery … USA Europe Emerging out Debt crisis postponed, of recession China economic data Growth moderately positive bottoming out India Growth weakness persists World economy appears to be healing, but financial markets remain vulnerable to shocks – especially QE tapering
Slide 4: Al LME has remained subdued
Al LME has remained subdued Aluminium LME ($/t) Production cuts by smelters have accelerated outside China (~1.3 2600 4-yr low of $1,779 mtpa in 2013, and ~2.4 mtpa 2400 in Q2 FY14 cumulatively) 2200 2013 market balance expected to 2000 be almost neutral 1800 LME warehousing rules aimed at 160
Slide 5: Strong consumption outlook for aluminium
Strong consumption outlook for aluminium Sustained robust demand for Aluminium over the next few years Projected primary aluminium consumption by region (in MT) 2012 Actual 2013 Forecast Rest of World 49.6 2014E Rest of World Russia 1% 2% 10% India Latin America 6% 3% 5% Russia 2012 Global Asia w/
Slide 6: Strong outlook for FRP
Strong outlook for FRP 2012-2020 CAGR 30 ~5% 28 25 Automotive ~30% 20 18 Specialties ~6% 15 10 Can ~4-5% 5 0 2012 2015 2020 Auto Specialties Can Foil & Other FRP Industry strong prospects
Slide 7: Highlights: Financial Highlights Q2 FY14
HIGHLIGHTS … Financial Highlights Q2 FY 14 (YOY)… EBIDTA 4.6% PBIDTA 26.5% Stable PAT despite sharp increase in interest and depreciation Robust Performance despite several headwinds 7
Slide 8: Highlights: Robust operational performance
HIGHLIGHTS … Robust operational Performance…. For Q2 FY 14… Aluminium EBIT at Rs 166 Cr (Rs 170 Cr Q2 FY 13) Strong Performance by Copper Business post planned shutdown Copper EBIT at Rs 239 Cr (Rs 209 Cr Q2 FY 13) 8
Slide 9: Highlights: Good progress on the projects
HIGHLIGHTS … Good Progress on the projects... Mahan & Utkal ramp up progressing as per plan In Q2 FY14… Mahan produced 7.4 KT metal Utkal produced 41 KT hydrate Aditya gearing for first metal production Aditya debt refinanced… Annual interest savings of Rs 100 Cr 9
Slide 10: Financial Performance
Financial Performance: Change Change ` Cr Q2 FY14 Q2 FY13 H1 FY14 H1 FY13 (%, YoY) (%, YoY) Net Sales 6,305 6,164 2.3 12,143 12,191 (0.4) EBITDA 540 515 4.6 1,018 978 4.0 Other 280 132 111.4 708 434 63.2 Income PBITDA 820 648 26.5 1,726 1,412 22.1 PBT 440 447 (1.6) 1015 960 5.7 PAT 357 359 (0.5) 831
Slide 11: Segmental Performance – Q2 FY14
Segmental Performance – Q2FY 14 Aluminium Greenfield Copper SALES 37% 63% EBIT 41% 59% C.E 19% 66% 14%
Slide 12: Performance Review: Aluminium
PERFORMANCE REVIEW: ALUMINIUM 12
Slide 13: Al: External factors.. A Mixed Bag
Al: External factors.. A Mixed Bag Q2 FY14 vs. Q 2FY13 Impact LME ($/t) Exch. Rate (`/$) Ingot Premium Rising Key Input Prices 13
Slide 14: Al: Production Performance
Al: Production Performance Q2 Q2 (Kt) Change (%) FY14 FY13 Alumina 334 328 2.0 Metal 133 128 3.9 FRP 61 55 10.2 Extrusions 10 9 6.4 Metal output excludes 7.4 kt trial production at Mahan FRP production includes 3.1 kt production at Hirakud 14
Slide 15: Al: Financial Performance
Al: Financial Performance Q2 Performance H1 Performance Net Sales (` Crore) Net Sales (` Cr) 2,343 2,211 H1 4167 2,105 FY13 H1 4554 FY14 Q2 FY13 Q1 FY14 Q2 FY14 EBIT (` Crore) EBIT (` Crore) H1 440 170 249 FY13 166 H1 415 FY14 Q2 FY13 Q1 FY14 Q2 FY14 15
Slide 16: Novelis Highlights: Q2 FY14
Novelis Highlights: Q2 FY14 Shipments Down 1% YoY to 713 Kilotonnes, Up 1% Sequentially Net Sales of $2.4 Billion Flat YoY and Sequentially Adjusted EBITDA Down 18% YoY to $228 Million, Up 12% Sequentially Net Income of $23 Million; Excluding Certain Items, Net Income $37 Million Free Cash
Slide 17: Novelis Highlights: Q2 FY14
Novelis Highlights: Q2 FY14 17
Slide 18: Performance Review: Copper
PERFORMANCE REVIEW: COPPER 18
Slide 19: Cu: External drivers… largely negative
Cu: External drivers… largely negative Q2 FY14 vs. Impact Q2 FY13 TCRC Slightly higher LME ($/t) Sharply lower Exch. Rate (`/$) Favourable Acid Price Significantly lower DAP Realization Weaker Sharp drop in co product realisations 19
Slide 20: Cu: Production Performance
Cu: Production Performance Cathode (kt) CCR (kt) DAP (kt) 11% 37 36 65 78 58 77 Q2 FY13 Q2 FY14 Q2 FY13 Q2 FY14 Q2 FY13 Q2 FY14 Overhaul of Copper-III in Q1 had a follow-through effect in July Copper-III has done well after the shutdown– achieving better feed rate, plant uptime and operating eff
Slide 21: Cu: Financial Performance
Cu: Financial Performance Q2 Performance H1 Performance Net Sales (` Crore) Net Sales (` Cr) 4,066 3,974 H1 8038 3,636 FY13 H1 7610 FY14 Q2 FY13 Q1 FY14 Q2 FY14 195% EBIT (` Cr) EBIT (` Crore) 13% 209 239 H1 284 81 FY13 H1 320 FY14 Q2 FY13 Q1 FY14 Q2 FY14 Q1 FY14 EBIT was affected due to planned shu
Slide 22: Greenfield Projects
ADITYA BIRLA GREENFIELD PROJECTS
Slide 23: Mahan: Ramp-up gathering steam
Mahan: Ramp-up gathering steam Gross Metal Production (tonnes) Casthouse Furnace 4500 4000 4,009 3500 3000 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 May-13 Jun-13 Jul-13 Aug-13 Sep-13 Oct-13 Pot addition has accelerated in last 2 months; 74 pots in line now vs. 32 in August Two CPP units synchronized; Unit no.
Slide 24: Utkal: Operations scaling up
Utkal: Operations scaling up … CPP in operation Refinery overview 77 kt hydrate produced so far Baphlimali mines: 5.9 lac MT of bauxite mined so far; overburden of 10.6 lac MT removed Two units of Co-gen power plant synchronized 24
Slide 25: Aditya Aluminium: Geared for start-up soon
Aditya Aluminium: Geared for start-up soon Smelter Overview CPP Control Room Pot tending machine shop ~ 7,500 people at site Equipment testing completed, gearing up for first metal 25
Slide 26: Key External Drivers - Outlook
KEY EXTERNAL DRIVERS - OUTLOOK Driver Current Assessment LME • Demand is supportive, but concerns galore.. Over capacity, declining premium… INR USD • Uncertainty over FII flows may keep rupee depressed….. Energy, • Upward pressure related to Energy costs Input prices TcRc • 2014 terms likely to be
Slide 27: Summing Up
Summing Up Long spell of subdued LME has affected Aluminium industry margins in general –Re Depreciation though has helped us Aluminium demand continues to be robust Our new facilities progressing well, though EBITDA streams will take time to scale up with delayed captive coal access Stable outlook
Slide 28: Thank you
ADITYA BIRLA HINDALCO Thank you
Slide 29: Forward Looking & Cautionary Statement
Forward Looking & Cautionary Statement Certain statements in this report may be “forward looking statements” within the meaning of applicable securities laws and regulations. Actual results could differ materially from those expressed or implied. Important factors that could make a difference to the