Aeci Ltd · JSE:AFE

Aeci — FY2016 Earnings Presentation

60 slides from Aeci's earnings presentation, Feb 28, 2017

  1. Slide 1: Financial Results Presentation for the Year Ended 31 December 2016

    FINANCIAL RESULTS PRESENTATION FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2016 28 FEBRUARY AND 1 MARCH 2017

  2. Slide 2: Agenda

    1 PERFORMANCE SUMMARY 4 SEGMENTAL PERFORMANCE 2 BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT 5 STRATEGY 3 RESULTS ANALYSED 6 CONCLUSION

  3. Slide 3: Performance Summary

    1 PERFORMANCE SUMMARY

  4. Slide 4: Performance Summary

    FINAL ORDINARY CASH DIVIDEND OF 300cps DECLARED (+15%) Total cash dividend for the year = 435cps (+13%) A=Cr good chemistry HEPS -9% TO 818c UNDERLYING HEPS +29% TO 920c DISAPPOINTMENTS Limited revenue growth > +1% to R18 586m R82m impairments No acquisitions concluded

  5. Slide 5: Safety: World-Class Performance

    4 SAFETY: WORLD-CLASS PERFORMANCE NO FATALITIES IN ’16

  6. Slide 6: Business Environment

    2 BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT OA=CI good chemistry

  7. Slide 7: Business Environment

    6 BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT › Global » Growth subdued overall » Commodity prices under pressure for most of the year ~ Negative effect on mining sector performance › Overall volumes declined › Mining houses still cautious – pursuing cost savings and revising mining plans ~ Some price recovery in 4Q16, in

  8. Slide 8: Business Environment Cont.

    7 BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT CONT. › Rest of Africa » Mining remains a key activity » Political and socio-economic challenges » Hard currency constraints » Extreme weather events » Revival of regulatory consciousness › South Africa » GDP growth of 0,4% » CPI at 6,8% » Mining volumes declined significantly

  9. Slide 9: Historical Price Performance – Gold, Platinum and Copper

    8 BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT HISTORICAL PRICE PERFORMANCE – GOLD, PLATINUM AND COPPER Source: SNL

  10. Slide 10: Historical Price Performance – Coal and Iron Ore

    9 BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT HISTORICAL PRICE PERFORMANCE – COAL AND IRON ORE Source: SNL

  11. Slide 11: Brent Crude Oil

    10 BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT BRENT CRUDE OIL Source: INET Bridge

  12. Slide 12: Ammonia

    11 BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT AMMONIA

  13. Slide 13: ZAR/US$ Exchange Rate

    12 BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT ZAR/US$ EXCHANGE RATE Source: INET Bridge

  14. Slide 14: SA Mining Volumes

    13 BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT SA MINING VOLUMES Source: Stats SA

  15. Slide 15: SA Manufacturing Volumes

    14 BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT SA MANUFACTURING VOLUMES Source: Stats SA

  16. Slide 16: Results Analysed

    3 RESULTS ANALYSED

  17. Slide 17: Earnings Analysed

    16 EARNINGS ANALYSED › Profit from operations -22% to R1 335m › EBITDA -14% to R1 961m › HEPS -9% to 818c › Trading margin = 7,2% (’15: 9,2%) › Tax rate 29% (’15: 31%) » Foreign withholding tax › GCR rating of “A” with stable outlook UNDERLYING › Profit from operations +9% to R1 566m › EBITDA +8,4%

  18. Slide 18: Group Underlying Performance

    17 GROUP UNDERLYING PERFORMANCE

  19. Slide 19: Cash Generation and Utilisation

    18 CASH GENERATION AND UTILISATION › Cash of R1 918m generated › Capex controlled to below depreciation and amortisation » R502m incl. R183m for expansion projects › Trade WC to revenue of 12,7% (17,2% in ’15) › Net borrowings of R297m › R1,0bn repatriated via dividends › Gearing at 3% vs 17% in Jun

  20. Slide 20: Segmental Performance

    4 SEGMENTAL PERFORMANCE

  21. Slide 21: Profit from Operations by Segment (Rm)

    20 PROFIT FROM OPERATIONS BY SEGMENT (Rm)

  22. Slide 22: Analysis of Corporate Costs

    21 ANALYSIS OF CORPORATE COSTS

  23. Slide 23: Property

    22 PROPERTY › Benefits of lower cost base › Shanghai Zendai management contract extended, at Modderfontein › Good efficiencies in Umbogintwini services business › Loss of major site customer at Umbogintwini late in ’16 » Strategy in place to replace lost volumes

  24. Slide 24: Property: Umbogintwini

    23 PROPERTY: UMBOGINTWINI

  25. Slide 25: Specialty Chemicals Cluster

    24 SPECIALTY CHEMICALS CLUSTER

  26. Slide 26: Specialty Chemicals: Revenue by Market Sector (%)

    25 SPECIALTY CHEMICALS: R10 785m REVENUE BY MARKET SECTOR (%)

  27. Slide 27: Specialty Chemicals

    26 SPECIALTY CHEMICALS OA=CI PERFORMANCE Revenue R10 785m +9,1% Profit from operations R1 214m +8,3% Trading margin 11,3% (15: 11,396) Trade WE 15% (15: 17%) UNDERLYING PERFORMANCE December December 2016 2015 Profit from Profit from operations operations As reported R1 214m R1 121m Property sales -

  28. Slide 28: Specialty Chemicals

    27 SPECIALTY CHEMICALS › Very good performance in context of poor SA manufacturing and mining environment, drought, oil price, exchange rates » Robustness of portfolio diversity » Service-driven, value-add model remains relevant » Effective margin management » Benefits of acquisitions in ’15 » Addit

  29. Slide 29: Specialty Chemicals Cont.

    28 SPECIALTY CHEMICALS CONT. › Noteworthy results from Chemical Initiatives, ChemSystems, ImproChem, Nulandis, SANS and Senmin › Senmin » Volume growth (local and export) » 78% overall capacity utilised › ImproChem » Growth in Mining and Public Water businesses (SA and rest of Africa) » Cost savings

  30. Slide 30: Explosives

    A=Cr good chemistry

  31. Slide 31: Explosives

    30 OA=Cr EXPLOSIVES good chemistry PERFORMANCE Revenue -3,2% Profit from operations +7,4% Trading margin (15: 5.1%) Trade WE (15: 18%) UNDERLYING PERFORMANCE December December 2016 2015 Profit from Profit from operations operations As reported R449m R418m Impairments R54m R18m R503m R436m Trading ma

  32. Slide 32: Explosives

    31 EXPLOSIVES › Pleasing improvement in a difficult mining environment › Low ammonia price › Overall volumes flat › Good inventory management, especially in rest of Africa › Generation and repatriation of cash › 59% of revenue generated outside SA › Stronger rand in 2H16 › R54m impairment » Mainly a

  33. Slide 33: Explosives: South Africa

    32 EXPLOSIVES: SOUTH AFRICA › Explosives volumes +1,1% » Higher in 2H16 vs 1H16 » New contracts in iron ore and uranium mining sectors › Major customers have optimised mining plans › Initiating systems volumes -5% » Lower overall demand in narrow reef mining sector, mainly platinum ~ Industrial acti

  34. Slide 34: Explosives: Rest of Africa

    33 EXPLOSIVES: REST OF AFRICA › Overall volumes -2,9% › Central Africa » Unusually heavy rainfall early in the year » Copper production and prices remained low » Some mines remained on care and maintenance › West and East Africa » Benefited from favourable conditions in gold mining sector › North Af

  35. Slide 35: Explosives: Asia Pacific

    34 EXPLOSIVES: ASIA PACIFIC › Profitability of business in the region improved » Overall volumes +1,3% » Lagging price recovery › Indonesia » Costs well controlled » BBRI ANS plant ran well, albeit at 55% utilisation rate › Input VAT refunds » Explosives licensee applied for tax amnesty (to end-’15)

  36. Slide 36: Strategy

    J STRATEGY OA=CI’ good chemistry

  37. Slide 37: Revenue by Strategic Pillar

    36 REVENUE BY STRATEGIC PILLAR

  38. Slide 38: Mining Solutions

    37 MINING SOLUTIONS OA=Cr good chemistry AECI =XP=sas= SOLUTIONS

  39. Slide 39: Mining Indaba: Cape Town, February '17

    38 MINING INDABA: CAPE TOWN, FEBRUARY ’17

  40. Slide 40: Mining Indaba: Cape Town, February '17

    39 MINING INDABA: CAPE TOWN, FEBRUARY ’17

  41. Slide 41: Group Mining Revenue by Mineral Mined (%)

    40 GROUP MINING REVENUE BY MINERAL MINED (%)

  42. Slide 42: Current Pre-Operational African Mining Projects

    41 CURRENT PRE-OPERATIONAL AFRICAN MINING PROJECTS

  43. Slide 43: Mining Solutions: Explosives

    42 MINING SOLUTIONS: EXPLOSIVES › Mines in Central Africa expected to resume operations › Four new tenders gained in Africa – US$25m annualised revenue » Three in West Africa » One in East Africa » Investments meet AECI’s return hurdle rate › Large platinum mining contract rolled over for five years

  44. Slide 44: Intellishot: The Future of Electronic Initiating Systems

    43 INTELLISHOT THE FUTURE OF ELECTRONIC INITIATING SYSTEMS

  45. Slide 45: Mining Solutions: Chemicals

    44 MINING SOLUTIONS: CHEMICALS

  46. Slide 46: Water Solutions

    45 WATER SOLUTIONS AECI WATER SOLUTIONS OA=Cr good chemistry

  47. Slide 47: Water: Delivering Comprehensive Solutions

    46 WATER: DELIVERING COMPREHENSIVE SOLUTIONS

  48. Slide 48: Water Solutions

    47 WATER SOLUTIONS

  49. Slide 49: Agrochemicals

    48 AGROCHEMICALS

  50. Slide 50: Agrochemicals

    A=Cr good chemistry

  51. Slide 51: Food Additives and Ingredients

    50 FOOD ADDITIVES AND INGREDIENTS

  52. Slide 52: Food Additives and Ingredients

    51 FOOD ADDITIVES AND INGREDIENTS

  53. Slide 53: Specialty Chemicals

    52 SPECIALTY CHEMICALS OA=CI AECI PORTFOLIO OF SPECIALTY CHEMICALS

  54. Slide 54: Portfolio of Specialty Chemicals Businesses

    53 PORTFOLIO OF SPECIALTY CHEMICALS BUSINESSES

  55. Slide 55: Innovation Project

    54 INNOVATION PROJECT › Objective is to increase revenue and profitability of the Group » Target is 25% of total revenue from projects in next five years » Higher IRR and quality of earnings » Accelerate growth through diversification » Increased market penetration » Identified growth themes › Throu

  56. Slide 56: Conclusion

    6 CONCLUSION

  57. Slide 57: Outlook for '17

    A=Cr good chemistry Developing countries Sub-Saharan Africa SA

  58. Slide 58: Salient Dates

    ThE rca HALF-YEAR ENDS HALF-YEAR RESULTS RELEASE AND JHB PRESENTATION CT PRESENTATION 26 JULY 27 JULY

  59. Slide 59: Disclaimer

    58 DISCLAIMER This document has been prepared and issued by and is the sole responsibility of the management of AECI Ltd (the “Company”) and its subsidiaries. This document does not constitute or form part of any offer or invitation to sell or issue, or any solicitation of any offer to purchase or s

  60. Slide 60: Thank You

    THANK YOU

AECI — FY2016 Earnings Presentation on 6ix