Adairs Ltd. · ASX:ADH

Adairs — FY2016 Earnings Presentation

30 slides from Adairs's earnings presentation, Aug 26, 2016

  1. Slide 1: FY16 results presentation

    FY16 results presentation 26 August 2016

  2. Slide 2: FY16 pro forma results highlights

    FY16 pro forma results highlights Outperformed FY16 EBIT Prospectus forecast and our guidance LFL sales Sales Update photo $247.4m 11.7% up 17.3% Cycling +21.6% pcp Gross profit margin CODB 43.1% of sales 61.0% down from 44.1% Full Year EBIT NPAT Dividend $39.2m $26.1m 11.5cps Up 18.4% Up 18.9% full

  3. Slide 3: Agenda

    Agenda 1. Business Highlights - Continuing to deliver outstanding results 2. Financial Results - Outperformed FY16 EBIT Prospectus Forecast 3. Key growth drivers 4. Company Outlook

  4. Slide 4: Key business highlights – FY16

    Key business highlights – FY16 Outperformed FY16 EBIT guidance and Prospectus forecast  • 3rd consecutive year of >10% LFL sales growth Omni channel strategies delivering above market sales growth:  • LFL +11.7% • Online +63.8% (Now 7.9% of total sales) Increasing momentum from Australian store ro

  5. Slide 5: Strong LFL sales growth of +11.7%

    Strong LFL sales growth of +11.7%  Continuing to deliver LFL sales growth while Strong LFL sales growth cycling strong prior periods (FY15: +21.6% pcp)  Continuing to grow market share with a competitive market position  Sales growth largely driven by increased transaction numbers (i.e. larger cu

  6. Slide 6: Agenda

    Agenda 1. Business Highlights - Continuing to deliver outstanding results 2. Financial Results - Outperformed FY16 EBIT Prospectus Forecast 3. Key growth drivers 4. Company Outlook

  7. Slide 7: Outperformed Prospectus & guidance

    Outperformed Prospectus & guidance Statutory Pro-forma Pro-forma Pro-forma ($ million) FY16 vs FY15 FY16 Variance FY16 FY16 Act FY16 (52 Wks) FY15 Change to Prospectus (53 Wks) (52 Wks) Prospectus (52 Wks) Sales 253.2 247.4 231.1 210.9 17.3% 7.1% Gross Profit 154.3 151.0 142.1 130.7 15.5% 6.3% CODB

  8. Slide 8: Actively managing Gross Profit

    Actively managing Gross Profit  Achieved top end of guidance range for GP  Impact of stock turns (~3-4 mths) and the effect margin of our hedging program (~3-4 mths) results in a 6-8 month “lag” in the full financial impact of FX  FY16 GP margin reduced to 61% from 62% changes (holding all other

  9. Slide 9: Strong cash flows

    Strong cash flows • Underlying operating cash flow was Pro-forma Pro-forma strong, with some relatively minor timing Change $ $ million FY16 FY15 differences, and continued investment in key growth drivers EBITDA (52 Wks) 44.4 37.7 6.7 • Operating cash flow impacted by increased inventory to support

  10. Slide 10: Strong balance sheet to support growth

    Strong balance sheet to support growth $ million 3 July 2016 28 Jun 2015 Change $  Working Capital increased over the year Trade and Other 6.6 4.8 1.8 to support store expansion and +11.7% Receivables LFL sales growth: Inventories 26.3 23.2 3.1  Increase in inventory of ~$3m Trade Payables and (24

  11. Slide 11: Investing for growth (Capex)

    Investing for growth (Capex) Capital expenditure ($m)  13 new stores opened  9 stores fully refurbished  Continuing to see pleasing results from store refurbishments  $10.3m capex compared to $9.4m in Prospectus  Opened 2 more stores  Higher mix of homemaker format  Final phase of significant

  12. Slide 12: Agenda

    Agenda 1. Business Highlights - Continuing to deliver outstanding results 2. Financial Results - Outperformed FY16 EBIT Prospectus Forecast 3. Key growth drivers 4. Company Outlook

  13. Slide 13: Strategy: Key growth drivers

    Strategy: Key growth drivers Consistent with our long term strategic initiatives, revenue growth has 6 controllable key drivers supported by excellence in customer service, retail execution and scalable infrastructure. ‘Market growth’ now broadly in line with long term averages. 1. Differentiated an

  14. Slide 14: 1. Differentiated & innovating product range

    1. Differentiated & innovating product range Driving customer appeal by consistently delivering fashionability, value and quality  Invested heavily in building a highly capable in-house product design, development and sourcing team (key competitive advantage)  Innovative fabrications & bring new p

  15. Slide 15: 2. Building on category range extension

    2. Building on category range extension Adairs has expanded its product range materially over the last 5 years  This strategy is inextricably linked to the success of our Homemaker Decorative store format, and our strategy to Lighting Occasional increase the average size of our Furniture stores Can

  16. Slide 16: 3. Upsizing of our ‘Core’ store formats

    3. Upsizing of our ‘Core’ store formats A key enabler of our category range extension strategy  Opportunity to further improve profitability and Adairs ‘Regular’ drive further differentiation by selectively ‘upsizing’ existing Adairs ‘Regular’ and Adairs  A new ‘mini homemaker’ store format ‘Homem

  17. Slide 17: 4. Accelerating Australian multi store format roll out

    4. Accelerating Australian multi store format roll out  In FY16, Adairs rolled out 13 new stores in Australia, and successfully trialled 3 UHR concession stores in Myer  Looking forward, we expect to open (net) ~8-12 new stores per annum across ‘core’ and ‘emerging’ store formats with the potentia

  18. Slide 18: 5. Highly effective omni channel marketing & online store

    5. Highly effective omni channel marketing & online store Growing & investing in Online & Linen Lovers loyalty program  Linen Lovers is core to our operations and the centrepiece of our customer engagement ~40% activities CAGR  The program continues to grow strongly and members of Linen Lovers con

  19. Slide 19: 6. International omni store expansion (NZ)

    6. International omni store expansion (NZ)  First store in NZ to open in October 2017 (Sylvia Park – a Homemaker format store in a shopping centre)  Two additional sites secured to open 2H  Up to 5 stores planned to open by the end of FY17 focused solely on the ‘core’ Adairs store formats  If su

  20. Slide 20: 7. Positive market fundamentals

    7. Positive market fundamentals  We estimate our market has a long term growth rate of ~2% pa driven largely by volume (units) growth  The broader market growth rate reflects:  Consumer confidence & related factors (including interest rates, fuel prices, elections, employment certainty, housing p

  21. Slide 21: Growing shareholder value

    Growing shareholder value Continued delivery of a focused growth strategy  Outperformed FY16 EBIT guidance and Prospectus forecast  Continuing to grow market share  Committed to key strategic drivers to deliver ongoing growth  First year 11.5cps dividend fully franked – above Prospectus  Final

  22. Slide 22: Agenda

    Agenda 1. Business Highlights - Continuing to deliver outstanding results 2. Financial Results - Outperformed FY16 EBIT Prospectus Forecast 3. Key growth drivers 4. Company Outlook

  23. Slide 23: FY17 Outlook

    FY17 Outlook Adairs will continue to execute our proven strategies to drive sales and earnings growth. FY17 earnings growth will increasingly bias to an accelerated store roll out as LFL sales growth moderates to “mid single digit” growth. FY17 Forecast Earnings growth driven through: Sales ($ milli

  24. Slide 24: Questions?

    Questions? 23

  25. Slide 25: Appendix

    Appendix 24

  26. Slide 26: Store footprint

    Store footprint 1 87 - Adairs Stores (incl. Outlet) 15 8 2 43 - Homemaker Stores 10 6 11 - Adairs Kids Stores 6 - UHR Stores (inc. 3 Myer concessions) 5 1 DC and HQ 15 3 1 28 1 27 6 13 4 1 FY16 stores refurbished FY16 new stores Adairs – Pacific Fair, Werribee, Chadstone, Eastland Adairs – Orion, We

  27. Slide 27: Continued Growth in All Categories

    Continued Growth in All Categories Expansion vs Traditional sales mix % Fashion & Decorator vs Staples sales mix % Expansion vs Traditional YoY Growth % Fashion & Decorator vs Staples YoY Growth % Note: Expansion includes Cushions, floor rugs, throws, wall art, lighting, furniture, home décor & Adai

  28. Slide 28: Proforma Statutory Reconciliations

    Proforma Statutory Reconciliations Statutory Profit and Loss Bridge to Pro-Forma Statutory Profit and Loss Bridge to Pro-Forma $000 Notes Profit/(loss) after income tax 27,172 Transaction expenses 101 IPO transaction costs Pro forma tax has been applied 53 Week EBIT (1,571) at the corporate tax rate

  29. Slide 29: Proforma Statutory Reconciliations

    Proforma Statutory Reconciliations Statutory Cash Flow Bridge to Pro-Forma $ million FY16 Statutory net increases in cash and cash 5,239 equivalents Cash flow impact of week 53 (1,645) Dividends 8,294 Transaction costs on issue of shares 7,229 Pro Forma Operating Cash Flow 19,114 28

  30. Slide 30: Disclaimer

    Disclaimer Some of the information contained in this presentation contains “forward-looking statements” which may not directly or exclusively relate to historical facts. These forward-looking statements reflect Adairs Limited current intentions, plans, expectations, assumptions and beliefs about fut

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