Burford Capital Limited · LSE:BUR

Burford Capital — FY2022 Earnings Presentation

49 slides from Burford Capital's earnings presentation, May 16, 2023

  1. Slide 1: Burford Capital Full-Year 2022 Results

    MAY 16, 2023 Burford Capital Full-Year 2022 Results This presentation is for the use of Burford’s public shareholders and is not an offering of any Burford private fund.

  2. Slide 2: Notice & disclaimer

    Notice & disclaimer This presentation (this “Presentation”) provides certain information to facilitate review and understanding of the business, results of operations and financial position of Burford Capital Limited and its subsidiaries (the “Company”, “Burford”, “we”, “our” or “us”) for the year e

  3. Slide 3: Continued positive momentum shown by strong 2022 financial results

    Continued positive momentum shown by strong 2022 financial results 1. Financial results for 2022 show meaningful improvement in business performance; expected to continue in 2023 • Net income attributable to shareholders per diluted share of $0.14, up from a loss of $(0.13) in 2021; increase primari

  4. Slide 4: Growth in Burford-only capital provision income drives significant earnings

    Growth in Burford-only Year ended December 31 capital provision income drives significant earnings Selected statement of operations data Burford-only 2022 2021 $ change improvement ($ in thousands, except per share data) (as restated) Capital provision income 202,878 156,043 46,835 • Revenue growth

  5. Slide 5: 2023 portfolio activity continues at a brisk pace

    2023 portfolio activity continues at a brisk pace1 • We continue to believe we could be at a turning point for the portfolio as the velocity of our portfolio appears to be accelerating • First quarter 2023 capital provision-direct portfolio activity was at the fastest pace Burford has experienced si

  6. Slide 6: YPF summary judgment ruling a complete win against Argentina with respect to liability

    YPF summary judgment ruling a complete win against Argentina with respect to liability1 • Awaiting court scheduling of evidentiary hearing and resolution of Argentina’s reconsideration motion • Release of decision on March 31, 2023 drove revaluation of YPF-related assets as of that date, from $823 m

  7. Slide 7: Burford is harnessing the power of AI

    Burford is harnessing the power of AI Burford has over time augmented its • Litigation historically has been labor-intensive, and many good lawyers do 1 lawyer-driven investment process with AI-powered enhancements, including in not have the human capital resources to manage large, complex cases our

  8. Slide 8: Revised fair value approach applied to current and historical periods

    Revised fair value approach applied to current and historical periods Engagement with the SEC - Constructive dialogue between Burford, the SEC staff and our external auditors resulted in a revised approach to fair value accounting for legal finance assets - We anticipate that this approach will beco

  9. Slide 9: Comparison of revised fair value accounting to historical methodology

    Comparison of revised fair Historical approach to fair value accounting for value accounting for capital capital provision assets provision assets to historical methodology • In this illustration: Unrealized Unrealized Realization - At t=0 and t=1, capital is gain as % of gain as % of deployed expec

  10. Slide 10: Entitlement calibration at capital provision asset inception

    Entitlement calibration at capital provision asset inception1 Expected outflows Expected inflows Discount rate and + expected duration 0 1 2 3 200 + 7% / 3 years 100 0 1 2 3 • Based on commitment amount and • Most likely expected entitlement • Rate adjusts each period based on expected timeline (upf

  11. Slide 11: Adjustments to fair value over time

    Adjustments to fair value over time1 Adjustments in subsequent periods • Litigation risk premium adjusted based on • Discount rate adjusted based on market observable case milestones observation PERIOD 1 – NO ACTIVITY PERIOD 2 – POSITIVE CASE MILESTONE OCCURS • No changes to cash flows or discount r

  12. Slide 12: Aggregate impact of changes in discount rates

    Aggregate impact of changes in discount rates • Composition of fair value will vary depending on changes in market observations for the discount rate - Fair value is also impacted by changes in the quantum and timing of expected cash flows and any market transactions • Rising discount rates over the

  13. Slide 13: Comparison of carrying value under historical and revised fair value methodologies

    Comparison of carrying value under historical and revised fair value methodologies • The revised fair value methodology has been applied to carrying values for all capital provision assets • Excluding the YPF-related assets, deployed cost still represents the majority of total carrying value • Compo

  14. Slide 14: Low leverage and laddered maturities

    Maturity of debt outstanding Low leverage and laddered ($ in millions) maturities WAL of debt: 4.9 years 400 WAL of capital provision-direct assets: 2.4 years 1 360 • Leverage remains well below covenant levels 211 - Consolidated net debt as a 180 percentage of consolidated tangible 120 assets of 25

  15. Slide 15: Liquidity remains robust

    Liquidity remains robust • Burford-only cash and cash equivalents and marketable securities of $210 million at December 31, 2023 and $183 million at March 31, 2023 - Marketable securities consist of short-duration and generally investment-grade fixed income assets • Liquidity position primarily refl

  16. Slide 16: Four pillars of Burford's value proposition

    Four pillars of Burford’s value proposition 1. Core portfolio 2. Origination platform • Burford-only capital provision-direct cumulative realizations • Clear market leader with significant scale and meaningfully larger since inception of more than $2 billion with an 88% ROIC and than any competitor1

  17. Slide 17: Financial results

    Financial results [Burford

  18. Slide 18: Statement of operations for the year ended December 31, 2022

    Statement of operations for the year ended December 31, 2022 Elimination of third-party interests Strategic Advantage ($ in thousands) Consolidated Value Fund BOF-C Colorado Fund Other Burford-only Revenues Capital provision income 319,108 3,709 (112,370) 661 (1,417) (6,813) 202,878 Asset management

  19. Slide 19: Statement of operations for the year ended December 31, 2021 (as restated)

    Statement of operations for the year ended December 31, 2021 (as restated) Elimination of third-party interests Strategic ($ in thousands) Consolidated Value Fund BOF-C Colorado Other Burford-only Revenues Capital provision income 194,554 (6,263) (26,125) 193 (6,316) 156,043 Asset management income

  20. Slide 20: Statement of operations for the year ended December 31, 2020 (as restated)

    Statement of operations for the year ended December 31, 2020 (as restated) Elimination of third-party interests Strategic ($ in thousands) Consolidated Value Fund BOF-C Colorado Other Burford-only Revenues Capital provision income 314,948 (4,665) (21,746) (5,169) (4,677) 278,691 Asset management inc

  21. Slide 21: Statement of operations for the year ended December 31, 2019 (as restated)

    Statement of operations for the year ended December 31, 2019 (as restated) Elimination of third-party interests Strategic ($ in thousands) Consolidated Value Fund BOF-C Colorado Other Burford-only Revenues Capital provision income 579,792 (16,036) (16,855) (71,951) (16,137) 458,813 Asset management

  22. Slide 22: Statement of financial position at December 31, 2022

    Statement of financial position at December 31, 2022 Elimination of third-party interests Strategic Advantage ($ in thousands) Consolidated Value Fund BOF-C Colorado Fund Other Burford-only Assets Cash and cash equivalents 107,658 (1,906) (7,003) (20) (23,635) (1,415) 73,679 Marketable securities 13

  23. Slide 23: Statement of financial position at December 31, 2021 (as restated)

    Statement of financial position at December 31, 2021 (as restated) Elimination of third-party interests Strategic ($ in thousands) Consolidated Value Fund BOF-C Colorado Other Burford-only Assets Cash and cash equivalents 180,255 (1,561) (38,983) - (33) 139,678 Marketable securities 175,336 - - - -

  24. Slide 24: Statement of financial position at December 31, 2020 (as restated)

    Statement of financial position at December 31, 2020 (as restated) Elimination of third-party interests Strategic ($ in thousands) Consolidated Value Fund BOF-C Colorado Other Burford-only Assets Cash and cash equivalents 322,085 (2,080) (1) - (418) 319,586 Marketable securities 16,594 - - - - 16,59

  25. Slide 25: Supplementary data

    Supplementary data [Burford

  26. Slide 26: Consolidated statement of operations for the years ended December 31

    Consolidated statement of operations for the years ended December 31 2021 2020 2019 Previously Previously Previously ($ in thousands, except share data) reported Restated reported Restated reported Restated Net income/(loss) 127,549 194,554 340,103 314,948 409,156 579,792 Gain/(loss) relating to thi

  27. Slide 27: Consolidated statement of financial position for the years ended December 31

    Consolidated statement of financial position for the years ended December 31 2021 2020 ($ in thousands, except share data) Previously reported Restated Previously reported Restated Capital provision assets 2,900,465 3,117,263 2,564,742 2,714,314 Total assets 3,524,706 3,741,504 3,118,013 3,267,585 O

  28. Slide 28: Consolidated statement of cash flows for the years ended December 31

    Consolidated statement of cash flows for the years ended December 31 2021 2020 2019 Previously Previously Previously ($ in thousands, except share data) reported Restated reported Restated reported Restated Cash flows from operating activities: Net (loss)/income (56,428) (6,938) 173,302 156,975 196,

  29. Slide 29: Financial impact of revised fair value methodology

    Financial impact of revised fair value methodology • The revised fair value methodology has been applied to fiscal years 2019 through 2022 • Changes in the carrying value of capital provision assets impact other balance sheet and income statement line items, including shareholders’ equity, capital p

  30. Slide 30: Continued total Group-wide portfolio growth

    Continued total Group-wide Group-wide total portfolio portfolio growth At period end ($ in millions) 6,147 889 • Group-wide total portfolio up 5,323 15% year-over-year in 2022 to 683 $6.1 billion 4,601 1,315 • Growth in Group-wide total 421 portfolio reflects increase in 1,200 new commitments and 1,

  31. Slide 31: Capital provision-direct new commitments

    Capital provision-direct new commitments • Record Burford-only capital provision-direct new commitments1, up 24% year-over-year, due to continued prioritization of balance sheet capital for potentially highest returning assets Group-wide capital provision-direct new commitments ($ in millions) Up 24

  32. Slide 32: Capital provision-direct deployments

    Capital provision-direct deployments • Largest ever Burford-only capital provision-direct deployments due to continued prioritization of balance sheet capital for potentially highest returning assets • Burford-only capital provision-direct deployments up 94% year-over-year excluding the global antit

  33. Slide 33: Capital provision-direct realizations

    Capital provision-direct realizations Group-wide capital provision-direct realizations ($ in millions) Up 33% year-over-year 608 591 6 66 265 175 381 354 337 60 21 19 105 54 337 350 321 264 228 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Burford-only Funds BOF-C Burford Capital 33

  34. Slide 34: Weighted average life (WAL) of concluded portfolio

    Weighted average life (WAL) of concluded portfolio Burford-only WAL of fully and partially concluded capital provision-direct portfolio From inception through period end ($ in millions, WAL in years) 2.4 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.1 2.1 1.9 1.9 1.7 1.7 2,211 1,861 1,597 1,260 1,081 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Cumul

  35. Slide 35: Strong asset management income and private funds capital raising

    Strong asset management Burford-only asset management income ($ in millions) 56 income and private funds capital raising 29 29 47 28 • Closed on two new private funds in 2022 9 12 12 1 - BAIF II ($350 million in 6 6 commitments) 18 2 - Advantage Fund ($360 million 11 11 7 in commitments1) 2019 2020

  36. Slide 36: Operating expenses continue to be moderate and decline relative to portfolio

    Operating expenses continue to be moderate and decline relative to portfolio • Total operating expenses on a Burford-only basis declined in 2022, primarily due to large legacy asset recovery incentive compensation expense in 2021 • Excluding legacy asset recovery incentive compensation expense, incr

  37. Slide 37: Reconciliations

    Reconciliations [Burford

  38. Slide 38: Cash receipts reconciliation

    Cash receipts reconciliation ($ in millions) For the year ended December 31, 2022 Consolidated proceeds from capital provision assets 388 Less: Elimination of third-party interests (82) Burford-only total proceeds from capital provision assets 306 Burford-only proceeds from capital provision-direct

  39. Slide 39: Book value and Tangible book value per ordinary share

    Book value and Tangible book value attributable to Burford Capital Limited per ordinary share reconciliations At December 31, ($ in thousands, except share data) 2022 2021 (as restated) Total Burford Capital Limited equity 1,742,584 1,695,872 Less: Goodwill (133,912) (134,019) Tangible book value at

  40. Slide 40: Capital provision-direct realizations

    Capital provision-direct realizations Reconciliation of consolidated to Group-wide Elimination of third-party interests to ($ in millions) Consolidated Burford only Burford-only Other funds BOF-C Group-wide At December 31, 2022 402 (52) 350 175 66 591 At December 31, 2021 374 (110) 264 54 19 337 At

  41. Slide 41: YPF realizations and carrying value

    YPF realizations and carrying value YPF cumulative realizations - reconciliation of consolidated to Burford-only Elimination of third-party Since deployment ($ millions) Consolidated interests Burford-only Realizations - 236 236 YPF carrying value - reconciliation of consolidated to Burford-only Eli

  42. Slide 42: Capital provision-direct asset carrying value

    Capital provision-direct asset carrying value Capital provision-direct asset carrying value- reconciliation of consolidated to Burford-only At December 31, 2022 Elimination of third-party ($ in thousands) Consolidated interests Burford-only Deployed cost (excluding YPF) 1,873,052 (441,527) 1,431,525

  43. Slide 43: Asset management income

    Asset management income (as restated) For the year ended December 31, 2022 For the year ended December 31, 2021 Elimination of Elimination of third-party third-party ($ in thousands) Consolidated interests Burford-only Consolidated interests Burford-only Management fee income 7,321 312 7,633 8,667 1

  44. Slide 44: Capital provision-direct deployments

    Capital provision-direct deployments Reconciliation of consolidated to Group-wide Elimination of third-party interests to ($ in millions) Consolidated Burford only Burford-only Other funds BOF-C Group-wide At December 31, 2022 605 (148) 457 31 148 636 At December 31, 2021 673 (226) 447 144 138 729 A

  45. Slide 45: Liquidity

    Liquidity Reconciliation of consolidated to Burford-only ($ in millions) Elimination of At December 31, 2022 Consolidated third-party interests Burford-only Cash and cash equivalents 108 (34) 74 Marketable securities 136 - 136 Total cash and cash equivalents and marketable securities 244 (34) 210 El

  46. Slide 46: Cumulative realizations from capital provision-direct assets since inception

    Cumulative realizations from concluded or partially concluded assets from capital provision-direct assets since inception Reconciliation of consolidated to Burford-only Elimination of third- ($ in millions) Consolidated party interests Burford-only At December 31, 2022 2,246 (35) 2,211 At December 3

  47. Slide 47: Due from settlement

    Due from settlement Reconciliation of consolidated to Burford-only Elimination of third- ($ in millions) Consolidated party interests Burford-only At December 31, 2022 117 (2) 115 At December 31, 2021 86 (23) 63 At December 31, 2020 31 - 31 At December 31, 2019 48 (29) 19 Burford Capital 47

  48. Slide 48: Covenant reconciliations at December 31, 2022

    Covenant reconciliations at December 31, 2022 $ '000s From the condensed consolidated statement of financial position and note 14, Debt issued Debt issued 1,271 less: Cash and cash equivalents 108 less: Marketable securities 136 Consolidated net debt 1,027 From the condensed consolidated statement o

  49. Slide 49: [Burford

    [Burford

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