Shell PLC · LSE:SHEL
Shell — Conference Presentation (August 2011)
14 slides from Shell's conference presentation, Aug 24, 2011
Slide 1: Water, Energy and Food Security in the Urban Context – the Role of Business
Jeremy Bentham, Vice President Business Environment 24 August 2011 Water, Energy and Food Security in the Urban Context – the Role of Business
Slide 2: Cautionary Notes
CAUTIONARY NOTES The companies in which Royal Dutch Shell plc directly and indirectly owns investments are separate entities. In this publication “Shell”, “Shell group” and “Royal Dutch Shell” are sometimes used for convenience where references are made to Royal Dutch Shell plc and its subsidiaries
Slide 3: Signals & Signposts - A Snapshot
Signals & Signposts - A SNAPSHOT Intensified Heightened economic cycles political and an end to ‘The instability Great Moderation’ We have entered an ‘era of volatile transitions’ Significant New political Defined and demographic relationship challenging transition – building – a mini mini-- planeta
Slide 4: Hard Truths Continue to Frame Energy Outlook
HARD TRUTHS CONTINUE TO FRAME ENERGY OUTLOOK The 9 Billion Challenge ©University of Michigan Step change in energy use through global rise in population and prosperity Supply from conventional energy resources outstripped – leading to stresses Environmental stresses – CO2 and emerging tensions for w
Slide 5: Ordinary Demand Moderation
Ordinary Underlying Demand Demand Potential Moderation Ordinary Supply Energy supply/demand Development balance
Slide 6: The Water-Energy Challenge
THE WATER- WATER-ENERGY CHALLENGE 40% global shortfall in freshwater availability by 2030 (based on current trends)* Energy producers are the largest commercial consumers of water Energy production growth in the US alone expected to require 165% increase in water use by 2025* Water stress will creat
Slide 7: A Water-Energy-Food Nexus
A WATER- WATER-ENERGY- ENERGY-FOOD NEXUS 7
Slide 8: Many links in the Water-Energy-Food Nexus
Many links in the Water-Energy-Food Nexus … but some factors are more influential than others Center = influence more things Many Outgoing Links Few Outgoing Links Emissions Regulation & Weak Carbon Pricing Average Strong Smart/Sustainable Water Security Urban Design Food Security Neg Energy Securit
Slide 9: Particularly influential factors
… particularly influential factors … 1. Smart & Sustainable Design, e.g.: sustainable urban design and planning education and informed consumer choice food supply-chain efficiency sustainable agriculture and yield efficiency material use efficiency land use trade-offs 2. Technological Innovation, e.
Slide 10: Impacts of an Urban World
IMPACTS OF AN IMPACTS OFURBAN WORLD AN URBAN WORLD 75% of world’s population in cities by 2050 Urban development decisions lock in city energy profile in the early stages Urban planning decisions historically reflect energy prices at the time of development (urban sprawl in the US linked to long-ter
Slide 11: City growth – a virtuous cycle
City growth – a virtuous cycle Competitive commercial advantage Attract & build talent pool Invest CONFIDENTIAL March 2011 11 11
Slide 12: Cities in the Energy Web
CITIES IN THE ENERGY WEB Source inputs End outputs Nuclear: Distributed Electricity: Hydro: Electricity Sector: Electricity sector energy losses: Renewables End-user End- and Others: Energy Residential/ Losses: OPEC+FSU: Commercial: Natural Gas: RoW: Useful Coal: Industry: Energy: Non-Energy: OPEC+F
Slide 13: Closing Remarks
Closing Remarks The Stress Nexus will be a significant factor in the quality of life in the coming decades Investment & Knowledge Intensive Innovation will be key $300+ trillion investment required by 2040 to build new cities Need to get smart together across traditional boundaries – Public/private
Slide 14: www.shell.com/scenarios
www.shell.com/scenarios