Mercialys Sa · EURONEXT:MERY

Mercialys Sa — FY2007 Earnings Presentation

45 slides from Mercialys Sa's earnings presentation, Feb 21, 2008

  1. Slide 1: 2007 annual results

    2007 annual results February 21, 2008

  2. Slide 2: Speakers

    Speakers Jacques Ehrmann, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer Géry Robert-Ambroix, Chief Operating Officer Yves Cadelano, Executive Vice President 2007 annual results 2

  3. Slide 3: Contents

    Contents Page Overview of the year 4 Alcudia : projects now underway 10 2007 activity and results 17 Environment and outlook 35 2007 annual results 3

  4. Slide 4: Overview of the year

    Overview of the year

  5. Slide 5: 2007: an exceptional year in terms of growth

    2007: an exceptional year in terms of growth Total revenue exceeds Euro 100 million Rental revenues Recurring Cash flow* operating cash flow ** +20.9% 99.5 +13.3% +19.7% 86.6 83.8 82.3 In millions of euros 76.4 97.7 70.1 80.7 Guidance x2 2006 2007 2006 2007 2006 2007 Rental revenues + invoiced fees

  6. Slide 6: 2007: a major milestone in NAV growth

    2007: a major milestone in NAV growth Mercialys has doubled in size in 2½ years Portfolio appraisal value, Replacement net asset value including transfer taxes (in euros per share) (in millions of euros) x2 since the +42%* 1,913.8 IPO +28%* 25.70 1,613.3 Growth in rents on a like-for-like basis * 23

  7. Slide 7: A year of high yield external growth

    A year of high yield external growth The first ever investment outside mainland France 9 Effectiveness of business model confirmed: Euro 183.5 m of acquisitions average yield remains high at 7% Euro 198.0 m of > Acquisitions negotiated privately: 3 shopping investments centers in Corsica, 5 in La Ré

  8. Slide 8: Base strengthened in 2007 providing a springboard for 2008/2009

    Base strengthened in 2007 providing a springboard for 2008/2009 Strengths of shopping centers: Strengths of Mercialys buoyancy and resilience 9 Dynamic activity 9 Strong organic growth > A buoyant retail sector > High reversionary potential > Work on merchandising > Experienced lease renewal and rel

  9. Slide 9: Passing on our strong cash flow momentum to our shareholders

    Passing on our strong cash flow momentum to our shareholders Dividend up 14.1% 9 2007: not a typical year in certain respects … > Timing of 2006 and 2007 acquisitions particularly favorable, having a significant impact on growth in rental revenue > High indexation effect > Cash position still positi

  10. Slide 10: Alcudia program: first projects now launched

    Alcudia program: first projects now launched

  11. Slide 11: From strategic planning to rollout and implementation

    From strategic planning to rollout and implementation Projects are now being rolled out for implementation as soon as 2008 80* Ö 100** Value-creating projects identified Rollout/project start and validated transversally by 10 projects to start in 2008 Mercialys/Casino 5 new extensions due to open in

  12. Slide 12: L'Esprit Voisin

    An associated marketing approach: definition of a common theme From proximity to Neighborhood Spirit Our strengths Consumer expectations 9 Human-scale centers in mid-sized 9 Welcoming, user-friendly towns Ö Excellent positioning 9 Time saving, effectiveness 9 Commitments to consumers, a 9 Simplicity

  13. Slide 13: L'Esprit Voisin: living places with a strong personality

    « L’Esprit Voisin » : living places with a strong personnality

  14. Slide 14: Neighborhood Spirit

    Differentiation of centers, massification of portfolio Quality-based actions across the entire portfolio A visual identity Neighborhood Spirit Large open gateways Tree-lined walkways Reception halls Architectural vocabulary Human scale Openness and light Sustainable development Local roots Architect

  15. Slide 15: 2008: projects, administrative authorizations, theming

    2008: projects, administrative authorizations, theming 3 major areas of action in 2008 Apply for the most Complete extension and Renovate and theme possible number of redevelopment work 10 centers, which will administrative on 10 centers not be redeveloped authorizations after the until 2011-2012 mu

  16. Slide 16: 2008: towards operational rollout

    2008: towards operational rollout An example: Valence Sud 2007 annual results 16

  17. Slide 17: Activity and results for the year

    Activity and results for the year

  18. Slide 18: Shopping center performance is key to our growth

    Shopping center performance is key to our growth Our business: retail 9 Household spending on Trends in retail sales manufactured products Large centers - year-on-year at end remained buoyant over 12 November 2007 months (+3.0%*) +9.8% 9 Our centers achieve above average growth 9 Our pro-active appr

  19. Slide 19: Mission number 1 for the Shopping Center Manager

    Mission number 1 for the Shopping Center Manager… Adventure The city of science Minstrels and baladins

  20. Slide 20: Stimulate consumer traffic

    …« stimulate consumer traffic » Christmas tree in Nimes Formula 1 Professional training

  21. Slide 21: Organic growth fueled by our teams' dynamic approach

    Organic growth fueled by our teams’ dynamic approach Strong growth in rental revenues Rental revenues 9 Brisk activity during the year: 184 lease renewed or relet In millions of euros > Rents +39%* on lease renewals +20.9% 99.5 > Rents +115%* on relets Organic growth** (like-for-like) 82.3 +9.3 poin

  22. Slide 22: Growth also driven by acquisitions made in the year

    Growth also driven by acquisitions made in the year Average yield more than 400 bp higher than the deflated 10-year OAT* yield 5 shopping malls in La Réunion (St Marie, St Benoit, St Euro 73.8m Pierre, Le Port Sacré Cœur, Savanna St Paul) 3 shopping malls (Béziers, Bordeaux Villenave d'Ornon, Euro 2

  23. Slide 23: Acquisitions in La Réunion

    > Acquisitions in La Réunion

  24. Slide 24: Retail parc in Annecy Seynod

    > Retail parc in Annecy Seynod

  25. Slide 25: Sharp rise in various portfolio performance indicators

    Sharp rise in various portfolio performance indicators 9 Activity during the year had a positive impact on average indicators > Occupancy cost: 8.1%* 8.1% 7.3% 7.4% 7.1% Boosted by: 12/31/05 12/31/06 06/30/07 12/31/07 • indexation • growth in rents due to portfolio improvements > Average gross renta

  26. Slide 26: Strong revenue growth had a positive impact on the bottom line

    Strong revenue growth had a positive impact on the bottom line Operating income up 23% Net income, Recurring Cash flow* Group share operating cash flow** In millions of euros +13.3% +19.7% +18.3% 86.6 83.8 76.4 71.5 70.1 60.5 69.7 +22.7% 56.8 2006 2007 2006 2007 2006 2007 * Cash flow (net income bef

  27. Slide 27: Portfolio value has doubled since the IPO

    Portfolio value has doubled since the IPO… Portfolio value up 42% over 1 year Portfolio appraisal value, x2 1,913.8 including transfer taxes* 1,613.3 In millions of euros 1,346.9 1,120.0 1,027.0 957.0 06/30/2005 12/31/2005 06/30/06 12/31/06 06/30/07 12/31/07 Average 7.3% 7.0% 6.6% 6.3% 5.8% 5.5% app

  28. Slide 28: Transactions

    2007 retail deal rates underpins expert appraisals Yields still above those achieved in market deals including 2007 second half Examples of yields on 2007 retail deals Regional centers and large Large centers and Value leading centers neighborhood centers added/Opportunistic Transactions 3,7% - 4,5%

  29. Slide 29: 2007 transaction rates at a rational risk premium

    2007 transaction rates at a rational risk premium … … even if Mercialys criterias in terms of yields are more stringent 9 Yields still 100 - 400 bp higher on average than the deflated OAT yieldwhere the risk of the activity is moderate and organic growth is steady Average capitalisation rates on 200

  30. Slide 30: NAV up sharply

    NAV up sharply… 28% growth over the year Replacement net asset value Components of change in NAV (Euro per share) December 2007 vs December 2006 Euro +467m 25.70 2007 cash flow: Euro +87m 23.04 20.08 17.93 New acquisitions: Euro +202m 17.07 15.62 Compression of yields: Euro +230m IPO 12/31/05 06/30/

  31. Slide 31: Four drivers feeding future growth

    … but still a static figure which does not reflect growth factors specific to Mercialys Four drivers feeding future growth wth A track record building up o External gr Casino sourcing: a major acquisitions acquisitions e ur strength External u t F Acquisitions Partnership Agreement from Casino Size

  32. Slide 32: Development pipeline: strong competitive advantage for Mercialys

    Development pipeline: strong competitive advantage for Mercialys New assets + Alcudia extensions = over 140 projects 9 Completions spread over the next 5 years 9 New, high quality projects like Besançon Châteaufarine (2008-2009), Valence Sud (2008-2009), Toulouse Muret « Porte des Pyrénées » (2012),

  33. Slide 33: Partnership Agreement: 2008 yield set at 6.0% - 6.4%

    Partnership Agreement: 2008 yield set at 6.0% - 6.4% Favorable compared with the market 9 5-year Partnership Agreement with Casino: > acquisition at an "attractive" yield determined at each year end for the following year, keeping the margin over market rates set in 2005; > shared risks: Casino bear

  34. Slide 34: An increasingly selective approach to external acquisitions

    An increasingly selective approach to external acquisitions Benefit from the size of our new development pipeline 9 A large pipeline of investments which avoids us having to bid competitively in too stretch open market deals for the benefit of our shareholders 9 Acquisition criteria unchanged > Reta

  35. Slide 35: Environment and outlook

    Environment and outlook

  36. Slide 36: Some changes in the contractual or regulatory environment

    Some changes in the contractual or regulatory environment A definite change: A possible change: The ILC* Commission Attali / Commercial town planning 9 50% IPC**, 25% ICAV***, 25% ICC**** 9 More relaxation than abrogation of new > Historical proforma evolution over 5 space autorizations years: an av

  37. Slide 37: Mercialys business model and macroeconomic correlations

    Mercialys business model and macroeconomic correlations Fundamentals similar to commerce ones Low sensitivity Sensitive ƒ Short term cycles of growth ƒ Long term cycles of consumption (buoyant for the last 20 years) Portfolio ƒ Short term interest rates ƒ Long term interest rates (down for the last

  38. Slide 38: Mercialys: growth based on solid foundations

    Mercialys : growth based on solid foundations 9 Index linked rents: protected basis 9 A growing company gathering 9 A strong and transparent financial technical skills specialised in structure commercial centers in an environment driven by 9 A track record : consumption and commerce > 3 years of goo

  39. Slide 39: Which outlook for Mercialys?

    Which outlook for Mercialys? 9 For 2008, Mercialys set a growth target of approximately +12% for rental revenues and recurring operating cash flow 9 We maintain our double-digit growth target for rental revenues and recurring operating cash flow for 2009 9 2010 and following years will be impacted b

  40. Slide 40: Appendices

    Appendices

  41. Slide 41: Detailed income statement

    Detailed income statement In millions of euros 12/31/05 12/31/06 2007 Change pro forma 2007/2006 Invoiced rents 71.8 80.7 97.7 +21.1% Lease rights 0.8 1.6 1.8 Rental revenue 72.7 82.3 99.5 +20.9% Non-recovered property taxes -0.1 -0.1 -0.3 Non-recovered service charges -1.1 -1.4 -1.7 Property operat

  42. Slide 42: Condensed balance sheet

    Condensed balance sheet Assets In millions of euros 12/31/06 12/31/07 Investment property 989.3 1,165.2 Financial assets 10.3 11.0 Other assets 0.0 1.0 Total fixed assets 999.6 1,177.1 Cash and Casino current account 128.4 70.7 Trade and other receivables 28.7 12.5 Total assets 1,156.8 1,260.3 Equit

  43. Slide 43: Asset portfolio valued at Euro 1,914m including transfer taxes

    Asset portfolio valued at Euro 1,914m including transfer taxes Portfolio value up 42% over 1 year Real estate Number of Appraisal value incl. Gross leasable area at Appraised net rents asset class assets at TT at 12/31/07 12/31/07 12/31/07 Euro m % m² % Euro m % Large shopping centers 29 1,179 62 31

  44. Slide 44: Valuing the pipeline taking into account the stage of completion

    Valuing the pipeline taking into account the stage of completion of each project Each stage of completion is worth its probability 9 The development pipeline as it currently stands contains projects with widely varying stages of completion and chances of going ahead 9 In the past, we valued projects

  45. Slide 45: Casino pipeline of new developments and Alcudia extensions: more than 140 projects

    Casino pipeline of new developments and Alcudia extensions: more than 140 projects Consistency of a probabilistic approach Changes due to local elections In millions of euros* Fine-tuning of analysis Breakdown in several phases of big Alcudia projects 815 -21 Natural volatility of a probabilistic -3

Mercialys — FY2007 Earnings Presentation on 6ix