Nedbank Group · JSE:NED
Nedbank — UBS 9th SA Financial Services Conference October 2009
30 slides from Nedbank's conference presentation, October 2009
Slide 1: The quest for positive "jaws"
The quest for positive "jaws"
Slide 2: Agenda
Agenda Key goal in longterm value creation History of Nedbank Group “jaws” ratio “Fixit” phase “Consolidate” phase “Growit” phase In summary 2
Slide 3: Key long-term goal
Key longterm goal Maximise ROE less cost of equity in a sustainable way • Under Basel I return on risk weighted Maximise riskadjusted assets (RWA) a proxy for RAROC return on capital • Under Basel II measurement of (RAROC) minus cost of RAROC becomes more accurate equity • Economic capital measure
Slide 4: ROE drivers – du Pont type analysis
ROE drivers – du Pont type analysis % year / period ended 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 H1 06 NII / IEA 3,07 2,95 2,95 3,18 3,55 3,88 3,88 Impairments / IEA 0,99 0,53 0,89 0,54 0,49 0,62 NIR / IEA 3,87 2,78 2,83 3,61 3,58 3,54 3,54 Expenses / IEA 3,36 3,75 4,48 4,87 4,64 4,25 4,25 Efficiency ratio 48,4
Slide 5: ROE over cost of equity
ROE over cost of equity 30 25 ROE COE 20 15 10 5 0 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 H1 06 Nedbank NED underperformed the market share until ROE started exceeding COE price Banks index based to NED at 31 Dec 03 5
Slide 6: Profitability trend – other big banks
Profitability trend – other big 3 banks % 2001 2003 2005 Revenue / RWA 9,76 10,30 10,4 Expenses / RWA 5,73 6,01 5,92 “Jaws” 0,84 3,11 Impairments / RWA 1,04 0,79 0,52 Return on RWA 2,16 2,44 2,74 ROA 1,51 1,51 1,62 Gearing 14,58 15,69 16,61 ROE 21,9 23,5 26,7 6
Slide 7: Profitability trend – Nedbank Group
Profitability trend – Nedbank Group % 2001 2003 2005 H1 06 Revenue / RWA 8,03 6,33 7,82 8,35 Expenses / RWA 3,89 4,91 5,09 (4,79) “Jaws” (52,25) 20,56 13,61 Impairments / RWA 1,14 0,98 0,54 (0,70) Return on RWA 2,55 0,03 1,44 ROA 1,48 0,02 0,93 1,15 Gearing 15,69 22,21 16,66 15,88 ROE 23,1 0,4 15,5
Slide 8: "Jaws" ratio
“Jaws” ratio YoY income growth ahead / (behind) expense growth 20 10 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 -10 -20 -30 -40 Nedbank Other 3 NED before M&R costs 8
Slide 9: 2003 / 2004 problem definition
2003 / 2004 problem definition 2003: ROE 0,38% Set targets for 2007 Efficiency ratio 77,51% CAR 10,00% n ROE of 20% n Efficiency ratio of 55% Insufficient capital Clear accountability Complex structure “Jaws” ratio of 9% (with 2003 as a base) Interest rate & FX risk a
Slide 10: 2004 / 2005 – "FIX IT" phase
2004 / 2005 – “FIX IT” phase n Appointed new EXCO team n Raised new capital – created capital management unit n Staff retrenchments – primarily back office n Completed the merger n Operational reorganisation – moved staff out of T&O n Reduced brands & JVs n Sold noncore assets n Defined scope of AL
Slide 11: "FIX-IT" phase outcomes
“FIXIT” phase outcomes 2003 – basic earnings per share loss 2004 – cost initiatives Staff morale worsened Internal focus leading to Some client losses Slow asset growth Market share declines BUT Galvanised management & staff into action Brought group close together & reduced silo mentality Re
Slide 12: 2005 / 2006 – "CONSOLIDATE" phase
2005 / 2006 – “CONSOLIDATE” phase Streamlined processes Focused IT resources on client systems – not merger Aligned MIS to business processes to enhance accountability Refocused remuneration models (ROE based) Added client facing staff Adjusted pricing to improve competitiveness Earnings, public pro
Slide 13: 2006 onwards - "GROW IT" phase
2006 onwards “GROW IT” phase Primary focus on revenue growth initiatives With particular focus on staff morale, client systems & customer service But, continued focus on cost management While allowing investment & expending into identified longterm growth areas Leading to a positive “jaws” ratio
Slide 14: "GROW-IT" phase - integrated investment bank
“GROWIT” phase integrated investment bank An integrated investment banking business model ➭ providing comprehensive solutions to clients, leveraging marketleading service & research capabilities Execution Origination (Product Areas) Industry Relationships • Balance sheet Equity knowledge Economi
Slide 15: 2006 onwards – "GROW IT" phase strategies: Nedbank Capital
2006 onwards – “GROW IT” phase strategies Nedbank Capital n Improve trading n Public sector focus n Increase deal pipeline from the African continent n London trading initiative n Equity underwriting & placing n Leverage BEE deal n Forex pickup n Interest rate derivative sales 15
Slide 16: Nedbank Capital progress to date
Nedbank Capital progress to date H1 05 2005 H1 06 Efficiency ratio (%) 44,8 44,5 43,0 Headline earnings (Rm) 427 971 576 ROA (%) 1,2 1,2 1,1 ROE (%) 26,9 27,9 30,6 16 … continued strong ROE
Slide 17: 2006 onwards – "GROW IT" phase strategies: Nedbank Corporate
2006 onwards – “GROW IT” phase strategies Nedbank Corporate Business Banking n Performance focus improving service: n Brand awareness improving Decentralised accountability n Increased sales capacity Refined roles & n Corporate BEE scheme responsibilities n Effective expense control n Transactio
Slide 18: 2006 onwards – "GROW IT" phase strategies: Corporate Property Finance, Africa
2006 onwards – “GROW IT” phase strategies Nedbank Corporate Property Finance n Maintain strong market n Brand awareness improving position n Corporate BEE scheme n Developing midmarket n Client retention & crosssell n Rebuilding investment portfolio Africa n Building capacity n Growing existing bu
Slide 19: Nedbank Corporate progress to date
Nedbank Corporate progress to date H1 05 2005 H1 06 Efficiency ratio (%) 53,9 54,7 48,7 Headline earnings (Rm) 885 1 894 1 214 ROA (%) 1,4 1,5 1,8 ROE (%) 18,2 18,9 22,0 19 … ROE now over 20%
Slide 20: 2006 onwards – "GROW IT" phase strategies: Nedbank Retail
2006 onwards – “GROW IT” phase strategies Nedbank Retail n Home loan growth close to market levels n Card performing well Acquiring market share stable SAA cobrand tender won Targeting 25% asset growth n Segmentation approach overhauled n Bancassurance pleasing growth & group support n Buil
Slide 21: Nedbank Retail – investing for the future
Nedbank Retail – investing for the future n Pricing R100 m (annualised) invested in 2006 transactional price cuts More competitive fixed deposit & savings account pricing Risk based pricing refined – enabled average 20bps reduction in new home loan rates in May 2006 But pressure on fees li
Slide 22: Nedbank Retail progress to date
Nedbank Retail progress to date H1 05 2005 H1 06 Efficiency ratio (%) 71,0 71,7 65,0 Headline earnings (Rm) 419 896 711 ROA (%) 1,0 1,0 1,4 ROE (%) 17,5 17,6 24,2 22 … significant improvement in ROE
Slide 23: R1 billion in distribution
R1 billion in distribution n May refine as needs arise Includes: n Focus Retail & Corporate Certain system upgrades ATM / SST / POS upgrades n Approx 40% new & replacements n EPS no material impact Branches Personal loans branches n Self funding by 2009 OMB in OMSTA Nedbank in retail
Slide 24: "GROW-IT" phase - Barrett Survey results
“GROWIT” phase Barrett Survey results Survey results – top 10 values as perceived by staff 2005 2006 1. costconsciousness 1. costconsciousness 2. profit 2. accountability 3. accountability 3. clientdriven 4. community involvement 4. client satisfaction 5. clientdriven 5. results orientation 6
Slide 25: "GROW-IT" phase - IT resource allocation
“GROWIT” phase IT resource allocation September 2005 September 2006 Product Customer Product Customer innovation service innovation service 26% 13% 29% 22% 29% 13% 32% 36% Product Fix Product Fix enhancement enhancement 25
Slide 26: "GROW-IT" phase - Branding
“GROWIT” phase Branding Nedbank's "share of voice" for 2006 has remained at a steady 20% 26
Slide 27: In summary
In summary Financial performance remains on track Strong capital base with ongoing capital management Morale continues to improve Outwardly focused Investing for the future Continued improvement of ROE, RAROC & earnings growth 2007 targets Building for sustainable Efficiency ratio 55% growth ROE 20%
Slide 28: There is no miracle moment
“There is no miracle moment. Small incremental wins in one common direction will restore Nedbank Group to a highly rated & respected financial institution.”
Slide 29: Questions?
MAKE THI®)cs HAPPEN Questions?
Slide 30: Thank you
MAKE THI®)cs HAPPEN Thank you
Nedbank Group — UBS 9th SA Financial Services Conference October 2009 on 6ix