Ubs Group Ag · SIX:UBSG

Ubs — Q2 2024 Earnings Presentation

29 slides from Ubs's earnings presentation, Aug 14, 2024

  1. Slide 1: Second quarter 2024 Financial results

    Second quarter 2024 Financial results 14 August 2024

  2. Slide 2: Important information

    Important information Forward Looking Statements: This presentation contains statements that constitute “Forward looking statements,” including but not limited to management’s outlook for UBS’s financial performance, statements relating to the anticipated effect of transactions and strategic initiat

  3. Slide 3: Agenda

    Agenda Key Financial Q&A messages performance Sergio P. Ermotti, Group CEO Todd Tuckner, Group CFO 2

  4. Slide 4: We are positioning UBS for sustainable growth and long-term value creation

    We are positioning UBS for sustainable growth and long-term value creation We are delivering for our clients and stakeholders We are executing our integration plan at pace 5.9trn invested assets ✓ Enhancing client franchises, capabilities and scale ✓ Completed parent and Swiss banks mergers ✓ Suppor

  5. Slide 5: Financial performance

    Financial performance Todd Tuckner, Group CFO 4

  6. Slide 6: Sustained revenue momentum with steady progress on cost reduction

    Sustained revenue momentum with steady progress on cost reduction Underlying revenues Underlying costs Underlying PBT Key metrics bn bn bn +~10% (7%) Reported 2Q24 1H24 Net profit 1.1bn 2.9bn 12.0 (~10%) 11.1 ~10.0 (3%) EPS 0.34 0.86 ~10.1 9.2 9.0 RoCET1 5.9% 7.5% Cost / income 86.9% 83.6% 2.6 Under

  7. Slide 7: 1.1bn net profit with strong underlying profitability

    1.1bn net profit with strong underlying profitability Profits m ~0.6bn expected in 3Q241 Underlying 780 (557) 2,617 267 2,060 11 (836) 1,469 (7%) QoQ (1,372) (3%) QoQ 1,136 (2%) excl. NCL (3%) excl. variable, ~1.1bn expected (333) FA compensation in 3Q24 and litigation 1Q24 Revenues CLE Opex 2Q24 PP

  8. Slide 8: Ongoing progress on gross and net cost saves

    Ongoing progress on gross and net cost saves Cumulative annualized exit rate gross Cumulative integration-related Underlying operating expenses cost reductions1 expenses USDbn USD bn / % of expected cumulative total USD bn / % of expected cumulative total Core Non-core and Legacy (~10%) / (~4bn) ~13

  9. Slide 9: Maintaining a balance sheet for all seasons

    Maintaining a balance sheet for all seasons RWA LRD CET1 capital ratio Total loss absorbing capacity bn bn % bn (8%) (7%) 557 1,678 (2%) 14.9% 198 (3%) ~14% 1,600 526 1,564 511 HoldCo 106 AT1 16 CET1 76 2Q23 1Q24 2Q24 2Q23 1Q24 2Q24 Medium-term 2Q24 2Q24 guidance 8

  10. Slide 10: Strong capital position at group and parent bank level

    Strong capital position at group and parent bank level UBS Group AG consolidated UBS AG (parent bank) standalone 198bn 38.7% Gone concern: 106bn Gone concern: 20.7% 13.5% UBS AG standalone CET1 capital ratio, fully applied1 Already providing ~20bn2 of additional capital from: • Elimination of regula

  11. Slide 11: Global Wealth Management

    Global Wealth Management Underlying Reported Underlying 2Q24 vs. 1Q24 USD m, except where indicated 2Q24 1Q24 QoQ 2Q24 1Q24 QoQ 5,820 6,053 PBT 1,161m, (9%) Total revenues 5,909 (2%) 6,143 (1%) Net interest income 1,586 1,615 (2%) 1,825 1,873 (3%) Total revenues 5,820m, (2%) as higher recurring net

  12. Slide 12: Personal & Corporate Banking (CHF)

    Personal & Corporate Banking (CHF) Underlying Reported Underlying 2Q24 vs. 1Q24 CHF m, except where indicated 2Q24 1Q24 QoQ 2Q24 1Q24 QoQ Total revenues 1,838 1,913 (4%) 2,061 2,139 (4%) PBT 645m, (17%) driven by lower revenues and higher credit losses Net interest income 1,024 1,119 (8%) 1,225 1,33

  13. Slide 13: Asset Management

    Asset Management Underlying Reported Underlying 2Q24 vs. 1Q24 USD m, except where indicated 2Q24 1Q24 QoQ 2Q24 1Q24 QoQ PBT 228m, +26% on lower expenses partly offset by Total revenues 768 776 (1%) 768 776 (1%) lower revenues Net Management fees 711 745 (5%) 711 745 (5%) Performance fees 28 30 (6%)

  14. Slide 14: Investment Bank

    Investment Bank Underlying Reported USD m, except where indicated 2Q24 2Q23 YoY 2Q24 2Q23 YoY Underlying 2Q24 vs. 2Q23 Total revenues 2,493 1,981 +26% 2,803 2,036 +38% PBT 412m with revenues +26% Global Banking 668 430 +55% 974 485 +101% Global Banking revenues +55%, outperforming the relevant Advis

  15. Slide 15: Non-core and Legacy

    Non-core and Legacy Underlying Reported Underlying 2Q24 vs. 1Q24 PBT (80m) USD m, except where indicated 2Q24 1Q24 QoQ 2Q24 1Q24 QoQ Total revenues 401m driven by position exits Total revenues 401 1,001 (60%) 401 1,001 (60%) Credit loss expense (1m) Credit loss expense / (release) (1) 36 (1) 36 Oper

  16. Slide 16: Strong progress on cost and balance sheet reductions in Non-core and Legacy

    Strong progress on cost and balance sheet reductions in Non-core and Legacy Underlying operating expenses RWA Updated natural run-off profile4 bn bn % of Ambition to (17%) Group 15% 10% reduce further to ~6% underlying costs ~5% through excl. litigation, QoQ 86 active unwinds ~6.1 (2.4) Op. 30 5.0 R

  17. Slide 17: We are positioning UBS for sustainable growth and long-term value creation

    We are positioning UBS for sustainable growth and long-term value creation We are delivering for our clients and stakeholders We are executing our integration plan at pace 5.9trn invested assets ✓ Enhancing client franchises, capabilities and scale ✓ Completed parent and Swiss banks mergers ✓ Suppor

  18. Slide 18: Appendix

    Appendix 17

  19. Slide 19: Our financial targets and long-term ambitions

    Our financial targets and long-term ambitions Financial Capital Ambitions targets guidance long-term Underlying RoCET1 RoCET1, reported ~15% 2026 exit rate ~14% CET1 capital ratio ~18% by 2028 Underlying cost / income GWM invested assets <70% ratio 2026 exit rate >4.0% CET1 leverage ratio >5trn by 2

  20. Slide 20: High-level overview of the UBS Group structure as of July 2024

    High-level overview of the UBS Group structure as of 1 July 2024 Additional future legal entity changes: − US: Further legal entity simplification and rationalization − UK: Select asset transfer of Credit Suisse International and Credit Suisse (UK) Ltd. mostly to UBS AG (London branch) and wind-down

  21. Slide 21: UBS Group results

    UBS Group results USD m, except where indicated 2Q24 1Q24 4Q23 3Q23 2Q23 Total revenues 11,904 12,739 10,855 11,695 9,540 Negative goodwill 27,264 Credit loss expense / (release) 95 106 136 239 623 Operating expenses 10,340 10,257 11,470 11,640 8,486 Operating profit / (loss) before tax 1,469 2,376

  22. Slide 22: UBS Group 2Q24 underlying results

    UBS Group 2Q24 underlying results USD m, except where indicated UBS Group AG GWM P&C AM IB NCL Group Items Operating profit / (loss) before tax as reported 1,469 871 773 130 477 (405) (377) o/w: PPA effects and other integration items 780 233 246 310 (8) o/w: Integration-related expenses and PPA eff

  23. Slide 23: PPA pull to par overview and revenue recognition

    PPA pull to par overview and revenue recognition Accretion of PPA adjustments on financial instruments Recognized Estimated amortization profile4 Expected future P&L Opening balance Remaining balance USD bn 2023-2Q24 releases at 30.06.24 2H24 2025 2026 2027+ as of 12.6.23 (close)2 to be recognized3

  24. Slide 24: Significant progress in reducing financial resource consumption

    Significant progress in reducing financial resource consumption CET1 capital Risk weighted assets bn bn (2%) (3%) 1.5 526.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 511.4 (0.3) (13.2) (1.9) 77.71 (1.0) 76.1 o/w: (0.15bn) 2Q24 share repurchases and (0.85bn) (1.7) 1Q24 Credit and Non- Market Operational Currency 2Q24 capital rese

  25. Slide 25: Capital and leverage ratios

    Capital and leverage ratios 198bn 38.7% 12.6% Gone concern: 106bn Gone concern: 20.7% Gone concern: 6.8% Total loss-absorbing capacity : 8.75% Total loss-absorbing capacity: 25.5% Going concern: 92bn Going concern: 18.0% Going concern: 5.9% o/w CET1 o/w CET1 o/w CET1 Going concern: 14.8% Going conce

  26. Slide 26: Reconciliation of estimated underlying combined results for 2Q23

    Reconciliation of estimated underlying combined results for 2Q23 Credit loss expense / USD bn Revenues Operating expenses Profit before tax (release) UBS sub-group (IFRS)1 8.4 0.0 6.8 1.5 Credit Suisse sub-group (US GAAP)2,3 (0.7) 0.1 9.2 (10.0) UBS sub-group exclusions from underlying results4 (0.5

  27. Slide 27: FY22 combined cost baseline

    FY22 combined cost baseline FY22 USD bn Operating expenses UBS sub-group (IFRS)1 24.9 Credit Suisse sub-group (US GAAP)2,3 19.1 UBS sub-group exclusions4 (0.3) Credit Suisse sub-group exclusions3,5 (2.0) Commission expense reclassification3,6 (1.1) FY22 combined cost baseline 40.6 Of which: ~34.5bn

  28. Slide 28: Overview of purchase price allocation adjustments (PPA)

    Overview of purchase price allocation adjustments (PPA) PPA adjustments Measurement period adjustments2 bn − 1.1bn for additional provisions and contingent liabilities (litigation) (14.7) − 0.3bn additional fair value (24.8) adjustments on financial instruments (15.2) (4.5) − 0.3bn associated with R

  29. Slide 29: Cautionary statement regarding Forward looking statements

    Cautionary statement regarding Forward looking statements Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward looking Statements | This presentation contains statements that constitute “forward-looking statements,” including but not limited to management’s outlook for UBS’s financial performance, statements rela

UBS Group — Q2 2024 Earnings Presentation on 6ix