Absa Group Limited · JSE:ABG

Absa — FY2024 Earnings Presentation

35 slides from Absa's earnings presentation, Mar 11, 2025

  1. Slide 1: Absa Group FY24 financial results

    Absa Group FY24 financial results 11 March 2025

  2. Slide 2: Charles Russon, Interim Group Chief Executive

    Charles Russon Interim Group Chief Executive

  3. Slide 3: Difficult macro backdrop that remains highly uncertain

    Difficult macro backdrop that remains highly uncertain Global environment Sub-Saharan Africa South Africa • Global uncertainty rose sharply • Social tension in some markets • Two significant events: GNU with new US administration • Disinflation, policy rate cutting formed, reduced loadshedding • Inf

  4. Slide 4: FY24 saw some progress

    FY24 saw some progress Key performance metrics FY23 FY24 Change (%) Diluted HEPS (c) 2 415 2 658 10 Ordinary DPS (c) 1 370 1 460 7 RoE (%) 14.4 14.8 Net interest margin (bps) 468 463 Cost-to-income ratio (%) 53.2 53.2 Credit loss ratio (bps) 118 103 NAV per share (R) 174.40 193.10 11 CET1 ratio (%)

  5. Slide 5: We are in a recovery phase

    We are in a recovery phase Diluted HEPS (R) RoE (%) 27% 2% 14.30 (5%) 15.7 15.5 12.89 (1%) 12.28 14.0 11.26 13.2 1H23 2H23 1H24 2H24 1H23 2H23 1H24 2H24 5

  6. Slide 6: Making progress on strategic execution priorities

    Making progress on strategic execution priorities • From focus on market share growth to sustainable growth delivering the right returns • From a product focus to both product and client/customer franchise profitability o Creating a Retail SA franchise o Adopting a franchise approach to wholesale cl

  7. Slide 7: Franchise health improving

    Franchise health improving Customer Technology and digital Sustainability • Purpose aligned brand – • Stable technology • R49bn in sustainability-linked “Your story matters” • 99.98% availability financing in 2024 • Customer experience • Over 1000 days with no o Achieved 2025 R100bn improved by 5 po

  8. Slide 8: All businesses grew earnings

    All businesses grew earnings Headline earnings (Rbn) 6% 11.7 11.0 FY23 FY24 4% 18% 38% 4.1 4.3 4.0 12% 3.4 3.3 2.4 1.6 1.8 24% (2.4) (3.0) CIB Relationship Everyday Product ARO RBB Head Office, Banking Banking Solutions Treasury, other Pre-provision profit growth: 14% 4% 1% 1% 15% - RoRC: 22.5% 24.9

  9. Slide 9: CIB momentum and diversification benefits continued

    CIB momentum and diversification benefits continued Headline earnings (Rm) 6% FY23 FY24 11 740 11 025 11% 10% 7 314 6 603 6 877 6 270 2% 0% 4 755 4 863 4 422 4 426 Corporate Bank Investment Bank Total CIB South Africa ARO Pre-provision profit growth: 2% 23% 14% 14% 13% 9 Note: In constant currency t

  10. Slide 10: Relationship Banking growth has been muted

    Relationship Banking growth has been muted Revenue (Rbn) Headline earnings (Rm) 6% 5% (1%) 4% 16.1 15.2 4 201 4 145 4 292 14.4 FY22 FY23 FY24 FY22 FY23 FY24 10

  11. Slide 11: Card and Personal Loans drove EB earnings growth

    Card and Personal Loans drove EB earnings growth Headline earnings (Rm) FY23 FY24 18% (6%) 4 004 3 542 3 394 3 319 107% 297% 733 317 354 (161) 7% (341) (365) Card Personal Loans Transactions and Other Everyday Banking Deposits Pre-provision profit growth: 14% (6%) (7%) 1% 11

  12. Slide 12: Lending businesses underpinned PSC earnings rebound

    Lending businesses underpinned PSC earnings rebound Headline earnings (Rm) FY23 FY24 38% 3 276 31% 2 368 1 741 10% 1 329 215% 1 194 1 312 234 738 32% (389) (515) Home Loans Vehicle and Asset Insurance SA Other Product Solutions Finance Cluster Pre-provision profit growth: 0% 3% 8% 1% 12

  13. Slide 13: Solid ARO RBB earnings growth despite currency drag

    Solid ARO RBB earnings growth despite currency drag Headline earnings (Rm) Headline earnings growth (%) 12% Reported 18% 1 780 Constant currency 35 1 584 1 348 25 18 12 FY22 FY23 FY24 FY23 FY24 13

  14. Slide 14: Scope to improve divisional returns

    Scope to improve divisional returns Return on regulatory capital (%) 27.8 FY23 FY24 25.9 24.7 24.9 23.9 22.5 14.0 11.7 12.4 10.4 Everyday Banking Relationship Banking CIB Product Solutions Cluster ARO RBB 14

  15. Slide 15: Deon Raju, Group Financial Director

    Deon Raju Group Financial Director

  16. Slide 16: Pre-provision profit and lower CLR drove earnings growth

    Pre-provision profit and lower CLR drove earnings growth Headline earnings (Rbn) Pre-provision profit up 5% 6% 5% (8%) 13% 4% 2.3 1.2 (1.8) (2.8) 10% 3.1 22.1 20.1 Revenue up 5% FY23 Net interest Non-interest Operating Credit Other* FY24 income income expenses impairments 16 Note: * Includes other e

  17. Slide 17: Performance improved significantly in 2H24

    Performance improved significantly in 2H24 1H24 2H24 Income statement (Rbn) YoY change (%) YoY change (%) Net interest income 35.3 7 35.8 2 Non-interest income 18.4 (2) 20.4 15 Total income 53.7 3 56.2 7 Impairments 8.3 0 6.0 (17) Operating costs 28.3 8 30.2 2 Pre-provision profit 25.4 (1) 26.1 12 H

  18. Slide 18: Modest retail SA net interest income growth

    Modest retail SA net interest income growth Divisional net interest income (Rbn) FY23 FY24 8% 21.2 3% 19.5 15.9 16.4 7% 9% 3% 12.6 11.0 11.8 10.1 9.0 9.3 Product Solutions Everyday Banking Relationship Banking ARO RBB CIB Cluster 18

  19. Slide 19: Deposit margin compression reduced Group NIM

    Deposit margin compression reduced Group NIM Change in net interest margin* (basis points) 10 (2) (1) (5) 468 1 (2) (9) 1 0 7 463 456 Loans Deposits (3) (10) FY22 FY23 Pricing Mix Pricing Mix Endowment Capital ** Hedge *** Other FY24 19 Note: * average interest bearing assets; ** group equity endowm

  20. Slide 20: Broad-based deposit growth, strong CIB and ARO RBB

    Broad-based deposit growth, strong CIB and ARO RBB Customer deposits (Rbn) FY22 FY23 FY24 18% 7% 511 0% 435 8% 407 7% 4% 333 10% 309 15% 290 7% 255 231 22% 201 9% 10% 148 110 121 Everyday Banking Relationship Banking ARO RBB CIB 20

  21. Slide 21: Loan growth slowed across most divisions

    Loan growth slowed across most divisions … Net customer loans (Rbn) 8% FY22 FY23 FY24 12% 524 4% 3% 8% 484 9% 428 432 400 415 8% 6% 7% 146 155 16% 12% 7% 3% 135 13% 9% 78 91 67 72 74 72 Product Solutions Everyday Banking Relationship Banking ARO RBB CIB Cluster 21

  22. Slide 22: SA retail loans slowing across the board

    … with SA retail loans slowing across the board South Africa retail net customer loans (Rbn) 3% 3% 9% 302 310 293 FY22 FY23 FY24 6% 4% 9% 113 118 107 13% 8% 6% 44 47 50 10% 3% (4%) 20 21 20 Home Loans Vehicle and Asset Credit card Personal loans Finance 22

  23. Slide 23: Resilient broad-based non-interest income growth

    Resilient broad-based non-interest income growth Non-interest income (Rbn) Non-interest income by division (Rbn) 4% 4% 18% 25.9 12.7 25.0 12.2 12.1 FY23 FY24 FY23 FY24 10.2 10% (2%) 10% 11% 5.1 5.1 5.0 5.0 4.6 4.5 8.1 7.3 12% 12% 3.0 3.3 1.6 1.4 Net fee and Net trading Insurance Other Product Everyd

  24. Slide 24: Cost growth reflects continued investment

    Cost growth reflects continued investment FY24 Change Rm % Cost-to-income ratio (%) Staff 33 654 7 56.6 Property 1 969 3 Technology 6 848 13 53.2 53.2 Depreciation 3 124 0 52.1 Professional fees 3 127 11 Marketing 2 125 5 Communication * 1 544 (2) Cash transportation 1 242 7 Amortisation 2 729 (2) O

  25. Slide 25: Productivity gains funded investment spend

    Productivity gains funded investment spend Operating expenses growth (Rbn) Investment 5% 1.3 (1.4) 5% • Cloud 2.8 58.5 • Data 55.7 • Cyber • Front end digital Productivity programme • Process automation • Third party contract rationalisation • Channel optimisation FY23 Inflationary Investment Produc

  26. Slide 26: Head Office costs expected to decline materially

    Head Office costs expected to decline materially Group Head Office earnings (Rbn) FY22 FY23 FY24 Group Head Office outlook • Shareholder costs R1.5bn (remain) • Treasury/withholding tax R0.3bn (remain) • Separation R0.2bn (continue to decline) • Ghana hyperinflation R0.6bn (gone in 2026) (1.8) • Sta

  27. Slide 27: Lower retail SA and RB charges outweighed higher CIB

    Lower retail SA and RB charges outweighed higher CIB Credit impairment charge (Rm) 7 851 (11%) FY23 FY24 6 952 4 231 (24%) 3 216 9% 101% (8%) 1 540 1 680 1 535 822 760 764 Product Solutions Everyday Banking Relationship Banking ARO RBB CIB Cluster 27 Note: Excludes Head Office credit impairment char

  28. Slide 28: Credit loss ratio improved materially

    Credit loss ratio improved materially Group credit loss ratio (bps) Credit loss ratio (%) FY23 FY24 118 TTC range 75-100 Product Solutions Cluster 0.99 0.73 103 96 Home Loans 0.58 0.39 Vehicle and Asset Finance 2.08 1.62 Everyday Banking 8.35 7.20 Relationship Banking 0.56 0.48 ARO RBB 1.84 1.81 CIB

  29. Slide 29: NPL growth slowed, coverage levels remain strong

    NPL growth slowed, coverage levels remain strong Non-performing loans (%) NPL coverage (%) 46.1 45.0 47.4 6.05 6.14 6.12 5.82 5.29 FY22 FY23 FY24 Total loan coverage (%) 3.93 4.10 4.13 FY22 1H23 FY23 1H24 FY24 FY22 FY23 FY24 29

  30. Slide 30: RWA growth slightly ahead of customer loan growth

    RWA growth slightly ahead of customer loan growth Net customer loans (Rbn) Group risk-weighted assets (Rbn) 7% 8% 1 277 10% 1 197 5% 1 161 1 110 1 058 1 007 FY22 FY23 FY24 FY22 FY23 FY24 30

  31. Slide 31: CET1 ratio marginally above our Board target range

    CET1 ratio marginally above our Board target range Group common equity tier 1 ratio (%) 2.0 (1.1) 0.3 12.5 (1.1) 12.6 Board target range 11.0% - 12.5% FY23 RWA Profit Dividend Other FY24 31 Note: * Other consists of foreign currency translation reserve, other reserves and regulatory deductions.

  32. Slide 32: 2025 outlook

    2025 outlook Mid-single digit revenue growth with broadly similar growth in net interest income and non- Revenue interest revenue. Balance sheet Mid- to high single digit customer loan growth, low to mid-single digit customer deposit growth. Credit loss ratio expected to improve to top end of throug

  33. Slide 33: Pathway to our 2026 RoE target

    Pathway to our 2026 RoE target 2024 2025 to 2026 2026 Normalising credit impairments Productivity programme to finance RoE investment RoE 14.8% Non-interest income growth 16% Faster growth in Africa regions 33

  34. Slide 34: Disclaimer

    Disclaimer Certain statements (words such as ‘anticipates’, ‘estimates’, ‘expects’, ‘projects’, ‘believes’, ‘intends’, ‘plans’, ‘may’, ‘will’ and ‘should’ and similar expressions in this document are forward looking. These relate to, among other things, the plans, objectives, goals, strategies, futu

  35. Slide 35: Appendix: Substantial income statement items

    Appendix: Substantial income statement items Rm 1H23 2H23 1H24 2H24 Non-interest income impact Naira loss 0 718 401 0 Operating expenses impact Barclays separation 627 610 412 197 eKhaya BEE deal 0 241 290 366 Headline earnings impact Naira loss 0 524 293 0 Ghana hyperinflation accounting 0 403 253

Absa Group — FY2024 Earnings Presentation on 6ix