Aercap Holdings N.v. · NYSE:AER
Aercap — Baird Global Industrial Conference 2024
23 slides from Aercap's conference presentation, November 2024
Slide 1: Baird Industrial Conference 2024
BAIRD INDUSTRIAL CONFERENCE 2024 PETER JUHAS CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER
Slide 2: Forward Looking Statements and Non-GAAP Financial Information
FORWARD LOOKING STATEMENTS AND NON-GAAP FINANCIAL INFORMATION This presentation contains certain statements, estimates and forecasts with respect to future As a result, we cannot assure you that the forward-looking statements included in this presentation performance and events. These statements, es
Slide 3: Today's Key Messages
TODAY’S KEY MESSAGES Supply and Demand Environment Expected to Remain Favorable for Years AerCap’s Industrial Platform Creates Significant Value Through the Asset’s Life Capital Allocation Strategy Maximizes Shareholder Value Through the Cycle These Factors Combine to Create Consistent Profitability
Slide 4: Supply Chain Issues Compounding
SUPPLY CHAIN ISSUES COMPOUNDING Several supply chain issues have resulted in significant delays to both turnaround times for used assets and new deliveries 1 2 MRO capacity was significantly OEMs remain >3,000 aircraft reduced during Covid-19, resulting in behind production schedules MRO substantial
Slide 5: Aircraft Supply Issues Will Persist for Many Years
AIRCRAFT SUPPLY ISSUES WILL PERSIST FOR MANY YEARS Manufacturing delays, coupled with engine maturation challenges, continue to delay the delivery of new technology aircraft 2024 Narrowbody Deliveries Likely to Remain Below 2017 2024 Widebody Deliveries Likely to Remain Below 2012 1,400 500 >2,100 N
Slide 6: Aircraft Demand Remains Strong
AIRCRAFT DEMAND REMAINS STRONG Widespread aircraft shortages are leading to higher extension rates and higher aircraft sale prices AerCap’s Aircraft Extension Rates AerCap’s Gain-on-Sale Margin 100% 30% 27% 25% 90% 25% 24% 21% 80% 20% 20% 18% 18% 70% 15% 14% 60% 10% 50% 5% 40% 30% - 1Q21 2Q21 3Q21 4
Slide 7: Increasing Demand for Operating Leases
INCREASING DEMAND FOR OPERATING LEASES Over the past 20 years the world fleet has DOUBLED while the operating lease fleet size has TRIPLED Proportion of Global Fleet on Operating Lease Proportion of Major Airlines’ Leased Fleets 23,973 OWNED FLEET 21,775 Virgin Atlantic 80% LEASED FLEET Iberia 79% 1
Slide 8: Aircraft Leasing Competitive Landscape
AIRCRAFT LEASING COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE AerCap is the largest lessor with total lease assets of ~$61 billion 25% 16% 22% This is only a selected group of lessors LEASING MARKET SHARE OF GLOBAL LEASED FLEET 37% See Supplemental Information – Endnotes. © AerCap 8
Slide 9: AerCap Combines the Industry's Pioneers
AERCAP COMBINES THE INDUSTRY’S PIONEERS AerCap has grown through a combination of organic growth and large-scale M&A 1980s 1990s 2000s 2010s 2020s ESTABLISHED AERCAP IS THE LEADER IN AVIATION LEASING EMERGENCE OF OWNERSHIP CHANGES FORMATION OF TRANSFORMATION AERCAP COMPLETES INDUSTRY LEADERSHIP & IN
Slide 10: The AerCap Advantage
THE AERCAP ADVANTAGE AerCap’s platform is the competitive advantage for achieving superior returns throughout the lifecycle of assets 1st Financing Strong Balance Sheet 7th 2nd Trading & End-of-Life Purchasing Active Trader / Buy at the AerCap Materials Right Time 6th ADVANTAGE 3rd Transitions Speci
Slide 11: 3Q YTD 2024 Highlights
3Q YTD 2024 HIGHLIGHTS AerCap’s performance for the first 3 quarters of 2024 has been strong ~$ 1.7 ~$ 4.2 ~$ 2.2 2.4x $ 1.3 BILLION BILLION BILLION TIMES BILLION ADJUSTED NET OPERATING SALES ADJUSTED DEBT / CAPITAL INCOME CASH FLOW VOLUME EQUITY RATIO RETURNED TO SHAREHOLDERS See Supplemental Infor
Slide 12: Raised Full Year 2024 Guidance
RAISED FULL YEAR 2024 GUIDANCE Recently increased full-year 2024 adjusted EPS guidance to ~$10.70, not including any 4Q 2024 gains on sale 2024 Adjusted Earnings Per Share Guidance Key drivers of outperformance ~$10.70 include: $11.00 ~$10.25 $10.00 ~$1.70 9M’24 9M 2024 gains on sale of $391 ~$9.20
Slide 13: Track Record of Strategic Capital Allocation
TRACK RECORD OF STRATEGIC CAPITAL ALLOCATION Dynamic capital allocation policy enables deployment of capital towards its most productive uses DE-LEVERING ORGANIC GROWTH M&A RETURN OF CAPITAL • Strong Balance Sheet • Direct OEM Orders • Counter-cyclical M&A • Share Repurchases • Prudent Leverage & •
Slide 14: Best-in-Class Operating Cash Flow
BEST-IN-CLASS OPERATING CASH FLOW AerCap is outperforming other aircraft lessors by a wide margin Last 12 Months Operating Cash Flow / Average Total Assets 9% 8% AerCap 7.7% 7% 6% Other Aircraft 5% Lessors 4% 3% 2% 1% 0% 1Q 2020 3Q 2020 1Q 2021 3Q 2021 1Q 2022 3Q 2022 1Q 2023 3Q 2023 1Q 2024 3Q 2024
Slide 15: Steady Growth in Book Value Per Share
STEADY GROWTH IN BOOK VALUE PER SHARE AerCap’s book value per share has grown by a CAGR of ~18% over the last two years $100 $90.66 $90 $80 $64.59 $70 $60 $50 3Q22 4Q22 1Q23 2Q23 3Q23 4Q23 1Q24 2Q24 3Q24 AerCap BVPS See Supplemental Information – Endnotes. © AerCap 15
Slide 16: Sources of Additional Value
SOURCES OF ADDITIONAL VALUE There are a number of strong tailwinds not included in AerCap’s book value today Book Value Per Share POTENTIAL INSURANCE RECOVERIES ASSET GECAS INFLATION DISCOUNT $90.66 BVPS TODAY © AerCap 16
Slide 17: Supplemental Information
SUPPLEMENTAL INFORMATION © AerCap
Slide 18: 9M 2024 Adjusted Net Income Reconciliation
9M 2024 ADJUSTED NET INCOME RECONCILIATION ($ billion) Net Income Net Income $1.4 Amortization of Maintenance Rights and Lease Premium Assets Recognized 0.4 under Purchase Accounting Net Recoveries Related to Ukraine Conflict (0.0) Income Tax Effect (0.1) Adjusted Net Income $1.7 See Supplemental In
Slide 19: Full Year 2024 Adjusted EPS Guidance
FULL YEAR 2024 ADJUSTED EPS GUIDANCE Projected FY 2024 ($ billion, except per share amounts) Net Income / EPS Net Income $1.7 Amortization of Maintenance Rights and Lease Premium Assets Recognized under Purchase 0.5 Accounting Net Recoveries Related to Ukraine Conflict 0.0 Income Tax Effect (0.1) Ad
Slide 20: Book Value Per Share
BOOK VALUE PER SHARE Book value per share of $90.66 as of September 30, 2024 (billions, except per share data) Sept. 30, 2024 Total Shareholders’ Equity $16.8 Ordinary Shares Outstanding 189.7 Unvested Restricted Stock (4.9) Ordinary Shares Outstanding (excl. Unvested Restricted Stock) 184.8 Book Va
Slide 21: Capital Structure
CAPITAL STRUCTURE Adjusted Debt/Equity Calculation ($ billion) Sept. 30, 2024 Debt $48.4 Adjusted for: Unrestricted cash & cash equivalents (3.8) 50% equity credit for long-term subordinated debt (1.1) Adjusted Debt 43.5 Equity 16.8 Adjusted for: 50% equity credit for long-term subordinated debt 1.1
Slide 22: Endnotes
ENDNOTES Unless otherwise stated, data as of September 30, 2024. SLIDE 5: Aircraft Supply Issues Will Persist for Many Years SLIDE 18: 9M 2024 Adjusted Net Income Reconciliation 1. OEM Deliveries: Airbus and Boeing Annual Commercial Aircraft Deliveries for 2014-2023 and Amortization of maintenance r
Slide 23: Never Stand Still
NEVER STAND STILL PROPERTY OF AERCAP © 2024
AerCap Holdings — Baird Global Industrial Conference 2024 on 6ix