The Travelers Companies, Inc. · NYSE:TRV

The Travelers Companies — Q2 2016 Earnings Presentation

24 slides from The Travelers Companies's earnings presentation, Jul 21, 2016

  1. Slide 1: Second Quarter 2016 Results

    Second Quarter 2016 Results July 21, 2016 1

  2. Slide 2: Long-Term Financial Strategy

    Long-Term Financial Strategy Balanced Generation of approach to Meaningful and top tier earnings rightsizing capital sustainable and capital and competitive substantially in growing book advantages excess of growth value per share needs over time CREATE SHAREHOLDER VALUE Objective: Mid-Teens Operati

  3. Slide 3: Second Quarter 2016 Overview

    Second Quarter 2016 Overview Travelers Reports Second Quarter Net and Operating Income per Diluted Share of $2.24 and $2.20, Respectively Return on Equity and Operating Return on Equity of 10.9% and 11.6%, Respectively • Net and operating income of $664 million and $649 million, respectively, declin

  4. Slide 4: Analysis of 2Q 2016 Operating Results

    Analysis of 2Q 2016 Operating Results Versus 2Q 2015 ($ in millions, after-tax) Operating Income 2Q 2015 Actual $ 806 Higher PCS event losses defined by TRV as: Catastrophe losses $ (79) Non-catastrophe weather-related losses1 (56) Lower fixed-income net investment income (21) Other, net (1) 2Q 2016

  5. Slide 5: Consolidated Performance

    Consolidated Performance ($ in millions, except per share amounts and after-tax, except for premiums) Second Quarter Year-to-Date 2016 2015 Change 2016 2015 Change Operating income $ 649 $ 806 (19) % $ 1,347 $ 1,633 (18) % per diluted share $ 2.20 $ 2.52 (13) % $ 4.52 $ 5.05 (10) % Included the foll

  6. Slide 6: Very Strong Financial Position

    Very Strong Financial Position ($ and shares in millions, except per share amounts) Capital • At or above target levels for all rating agencies. June 30, December 31, 2016 2015 • Repurchased 4.9 million shares during the second quarter Debt $ 6,436 $ 6,344 2016 at a total cost of $550 million. 1 Com

  7. Slide 7: Combined Net Investment Income - After-tax

    Combined Net Investment Income - After-tax ($ in millions) Total Second Quarter 2016 Commentary: • Net investment income from the long-term fixed income $554 portfolio declined modestly from the prior year quarter $478 $503 $484 $476 $439 primarily due to lower reinvestment rates as expected $440 $4

  8. Slide 8: Components of Operating Return on Equity

    Components of Operating Return on Equity 14.1% 6.1% 11.0% 15.5% 15.5% 15.2% 14.3% 12.0% 9.4% 9.4% 0.7% 9.0% 1.3% 8.5% 1.3% 8.4% 0.4% 0.9% 0.1% 7.8% 1.2% 7.4% 7.5% 1.5% 7.1% 1.5% 6.8% 7.0% 1.0% 6.8% 0.7% 0.9% 0.5% 6.9% 0.1% 8.1% 7.3% 6.5% 6.2% 8.3% 6.5% 8.0% 5.2% 4.7% 1.6% 2005 (2.9%) through 2010 20

  9. Slide 9: Business and International Insurance Performance

    Business and International Insurance Performance ($ in millions) Second Quarter Year-to-Date 2016 2015 Change 2016 2015 Change Operating income $ 393 $ 543 (28) % $ 869 $ 1,058 (18) % Loss and loss adjustment ratio 64.2 % 60.6 % 63.3 % 60.9 % Underw riting expense ratio 33.3 32.6 32.9 32.4 Combined

  10. Slide 10: Domestic Business Insurance (Ex. National Accounts)

    Domestic Business Insurance (Ex. National Accounts) Illustrative Business Statistics 12% ▲ Renewal Premium Change1 %  Renewal Rate Change2 % Renewal Rate Change2 % ex. National Property • 10% Exposure/Other % 8% 6% 4% 2% 1.2% 0.9% - 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% -0.1% (2%) 1Q'15 2Q'15 3Q'15 4Q'15 1Q'16 2Q'16 ($ i

  11. Slide 11: Domestic Business Insurance: Select Accounts

    Domestic Business Insurance: Select Accounts Illustrative Business Statistics 12% ▲ Renewal Premium Change1 %  Renewal Rate Change2 % 10% • Exposure/Other % 8% 6% 4% 2% 2.8% 2.6% 2.4% 2.3% 1.3% 0.9% - (2%) 1Q'15 2Q'15 3Q'15 4Q'15 1Q'16 2Q'16 ($ in millions) Retention 81% 81% 81% 80% 82% 82% Renewal

  12. Slide 12: Domestic Business Insurance: Middle Market

    Domestic Business Insurance: Middle Market Illustrative Business Statistics 12% ▲ Renewal Premium Change1 %  Renewal Rate Change2 % 10% • Exposure/Other % 8% 6% 4% 2% 0.8% 1.1% 0.8% - 0.5% 0.0% -0.5% (2%) 1Q'15 2Q'15 3Q'15 4Q'15 1Q'16 2Q'16 ($ in millions) Retention 87% 86% 86% 87% 88% 87% Renewal

  13. Slide 13: Domestic Business Insurance: Other Business Insurance

    Domestic Business Insurance: Other Business Insurance1 Illustrative Business Statistics 12% ▲ Renewal Premium Change2 %  Renewal Rate Change3 % 10% Renewal Rate Change3 % ex. National Property • Exposure/Other % 8% 6% 4% 2% 0.4% - -1.2% -1.1% -0.2% -0.7% -0.9% (2%) 1Q'15 2Q'15 3Q'15 4Q'15 1Q'16 2Q'

  14. Slide 14: International Insurance

    International Insurance ($ in millions) Illustrative Business Statistics 2015 2016 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 1 International Retention 85% 82% 81% 79% 83% 79% Renewal premium change 2 (0.1%) (0.5%) (0.5%) (1.1%) (1.0%) (0.1%) New business $58 $64 $59 $79 $75 $107 1 Excludes the surety line of business as su

  15. Slide 15: Bond & Specialty Insurance Performance

    Bond & Specialty Insurance Performance ($ in millions) Second Quarter Year-to-Date 2016 2015 Change 2016 2015 Change Operating income $ 202 $ 151 34 % $ 346 $ 275 26 % Loss and loss adjustment ratio 15.0 % 36.3 % 23.4 % 36.9 % Underw riting expense ratio 37.4 37.4 37.4 38.0 Combined ratio 1 52.4 % 7

  16. Slide 16: Bond & Specialty Insurance

    Bond & Specialty Insurance ($ in millions) Illustrative Business Statistics 2015 2016 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 1 Management Liability Retention 85% 86% 87% 84% 86% 87% Renewal premium change 2 4.3% 3.6% 2.9% 2.3% 3.3% 4.0% New business $38 $41 $45 $41 $46 $48 1 Excludes the surety line of business as suret

  17. Slide 17: Personal Insurance Performance

    Personal Insurance Performance ($ in millions) Second Quarter Year-to-Date 2016 2015 Change 2016 2015 Change Operating income $ 116 $ 174 (33) % $ 255 $ 426 (40) % Loss and loss adjustment ratio 67.6 % 62.2 % 67.1 % 58.7 % Underw riting expense ratio 28.1 28.9 27.6 28.6 1 Combined ratio 95.7 % 91.1

  18. Slide 18: Personal Insurance Performance

    Personal Insurance Performance Second Quarter Year-to-Date 2016 2015 Change 2016 2015 Change Agency Automobile 1 Loss and loss adjustment ratio 75.9 % 70.4 % 73.2 % 67.4 % Underw riting expense ratio 25.4 26.1 25.1 26.0 Combined ratio 2 101.3 % 96.5 % (4.8) pts 98.3 % 93.4 % (4.9) pts Net favorable

  19. Slide 19: Personal Insurance

    Personal Insurance ($ in millions) Illustrative Business Statistics 2015 2016 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q Agency Automobile 1 Retention 2 83% 84% 85% 85% 85% 84% Renewal premium change 3 5.1% 4.7% 4.0% 4.3% 4.0% 4.3% Policies in force (in thousands) 2,021 2,057 2,106 2,157 2,212 2,275 • Sequential quarter gro

  20. Slide 20: Appendix

    Appendix Additional Information Additional Information 20

  21. Slide 21: 2016 Catastrophe Reinsurance

    2016 Catastrophe Reinsurance Catastrophe Bonds - Long Point Re III Ltd. • $300 million aggregate principal expired as scheduled May 2016 • $300 million aggregate principal remains in effect – will expire May 2018 ̵ The attachment point and maximum limit were reset as required annually to adjust the

  22. Slide 22: Explanatory Note

    Explanatory Note This presentation contains, and management may make, certain “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. All statements, other than statements of historical facts, may be forward-looking statements. Words such as “may,” “w

  23. Slide 23: Disclosure

    Disclosure In this presentation, we may refer to some non-GAAP financial measures. For a reconciliation of these measures to the most comparable GAAP measures and a glossary of financial measures, we refer you to the press release and financial supplement that we have made available in connection wi

  24. Slide 24: The Travelers Companies, Inc.

    The Travelers Companies, Inc. Additional Information Additional Information 24

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