Advantage Energy Ltd · TSX:AAV

Advantage Energy — Q4 2025 Earnings Presentation

45 slides from Advantage Energy's earnings presentation, Mar 6, 2026

  1. Slide 1: A Progressive Montney Producer for the New Energy Market

    A Progressive Montney Producer for the New Energy Market Investor Presentation March 2026

  2. Slide 2: Cautionary Statements / Advisory

    Cautionary Statements / Advisory This presentation contains forward-looking information and specified financial measures such as non-GAAP financial measures, non-GAAP ratios, capital management measures and supplementary financial measures. Readers are advised to read this presentation in conjunctio

  3. Slide 3: Financial Foundations

    Financial Foundations 6% Market Overview: Capital Structure Market Value of Equity 17% Capital Market Capitalization: $1.8bn Bank Debt + Working Capital Structure Net Debt(1): $0.6bn Convertible Debentures 77% Enterprise Value: $2.4bn Equity: AAV (TSX Listed) Shares Outstanding: 166.9 mm Total share

  4. Slide 4: Advantage Energy First Principles

    Advantage Energy First Principles Convert Energy to Shareholder Wealth by Delivering Exceptional Performance Concentrated High-Quality Assets Exceptional Operational Performance Prudent Financial and Risk Management Carbon Capture and Storage Leaders 4

  5. Slide 5: World-Class Resource Base: the Foundation of our Business

    World-Class Resource Base: the Foundation of our Business GORDONDALE CONROY PROGRESS GLACIER ATTACHIE VALHALLA WEMBLEY 316 Sections of Montney Rights Advantage Operated Facility 251 Sections of Charlie Lake Rights Notes 5 • Sections refers to net sections being the sections Advantage has an interest

  6. Slide 6: Advantage is in the Heart of the Montney Fairway

    Advantage is in the Conroy Heart of the Montney Fairway Montney Rights Advantage ARC AB Attachie Birchcliff Canadian Natural ConocoPhillips Glacier Murphy Progress Ovintiv Pacific Canbriam Valhalla PETRONAS Shell Wembley Tourmaline Whitecap All Others Premium Land Base Supports High-Quality Developm

  7. Slide 7: Dominant Infrastructure Position

    Dominant Infrastructure Position GORDONDALE Strategic Assets Valued at Over $1 billion* Progress Gas Plant: On-stream in 2Q26 Further major infrastructure spending not required in 3-year plan PROGRESS Raw Gas Processing Capacity (mmcf/d) GLACIER Major Pipelines 600 KAPS TC Energy 550 Pembina 500 All

  8. Slide 8: 2026 Guidance

    2026 Guidance (2) Cash Used in Investing Activities ($ Millions) $280 to $310 (Reduced on February 12, 2026 – Original Guidance was $300 Million to $330 Million) Total Production (boe/d) 81,000 to 85,000 Natural Gas (%) 84% to 86% Crude Oil and Condensate (%) 10% to 12% NGLs (%) ~4% (1) Expenses Roy

  9. Slide 9: Maximize AFF Per Share Growth Without Compromising Our Balance Sheet

    CORPORATE STRATEGY Maximize AFF Per Share(1) Growth Without Compromising Our Balance Sheet Annual Organic Exceptional Production Growth Operational Capped at 10% Performance Share Buyback Relentless Cost to Compound Focus Per-Share Growth 9

  10. Slide 10: Risk-Adjusted AFF Per Share Growth

    CORPORATE STRATEGY Maximizing AFF Per Share(1) Growth: Advantage Capital Allocation Framework LOW Growth (<5%) OPTIMIZED Growth (5-10%) HIGH Growth (>10%) (1) Similar FCF in first year, Fully funded at bottom- Funding shortfall at bottom-decile pricing but less in mid and long term decile pricing St

  11. Slide 11: Capital Allocation: High Graded for FCF Growth

    Capital Allocation: AECO Forwards - CAD/GJ (3) High Graded for FCF Growth (2)(3) $5.00 Future capital program under continuous review $4.00 Internal Rate of Return (%) $3.00 $2.00 $1.00 $0.00 (3) WTI Crude Oil Futures – USD/bbl $20mm capital reduction $65.00 will target lowest IRR wells in 2H26 – to

  12. Slide 12: Economics Sensitivities

    Advantage Tier 1 Half-Cycle Generic Type Wells Glacier - Dry Gas Glacier - Dry Gas Glacier - Dry Gas Valhalla – Rich Gas Wembley - Oil Charlie Lake - Oil Upper Montney D4 Montney D1 Montney D4 Montney D3 Montney Braeburn Generic Generic Generic Type Well IP365 Liquids Type Curve IRR3 Payout4 Type We

  13. Slide 13: Converting Energy to Shareholder Wealth

    Converting Energy to Shareholder Wealth NPV per Share (BT10%) Reserves per Share Growth 350 PDP Reserves Per Share: $25 PDP 10-year CAGR of 14% 300 PDP (Peer Average) Index (2016 = 100) $20 Proved 250 $15 Proved + Probable Share Price 200 $10 150 Peers include: ARC, $5 100 Birchcliff, Kelt, Nuvista,

  14. Slide 14: Three-Year Strategic Plan: Implementing our Corporate Strategy

    Three-Year Strategic Plan: Implementing our Corporate Strategy (1)(2) (2) Net Capital Expenditures ($MM) Production Range (boe/d) 350 95,000 Expected Production Range +/- $25mm +/- $15mm 300 90,000 250 200 85,000 150 80,000 100 75,000 50 0 70,000 2025 2026 2027 2025 2026 2027 2026 Net Capital Expend

  15. Slide 15: Commodity Price Sensitivity: Fully Funded at Very Low Prices

    Commodity Price Sensitivity: Fully Funded at Very Low Prices (1)(2) (1)(2) 2026 AFF - Factor Sensitivities 2026 AFF - Scenario Analysis $90 Natural Gas Price +/- $0.50/mcf $85 $80 Gas Prod +/- 10% $75 WTI ( US$/bbl) $70 March 4 WTI +/- $10/bbl $65 Strip $60 $55 2026E Liquids Prod +/- 10% Budget $50

  16. Slide 16: Share Buybacks: Continued Commitment to Compounding

    CORPORATE STRATEGY $MM MM Shares Cumulative Share Buybacks 400 60 Dollars Share Buybacks: Continued 300 Shares 45 Commitment to Compounding 200 30 100 15 - - ► Advantage Allocated $387mm to Share 2022 to 2025 Jan-22 Apr-22 Jan-23 Apr-23 Jan-24 Apr-24 Jan-25 Apr-25 Oct-22 Jul-24 Jul-22 Jul-23 Oct-23

  17. Slide 17: Asset Portfolio Spanning the Development Life Cycle

    Chart Title Chart ChartTitle Chart Title Title Asset Portfolio 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 Spanning the Development Life Cycle 1.2 1 Chart Title 111 1 1.2 Wembley 0.8 0.8 0.8 1 0.8 0.8 Quality/Availability Data Confidence Glacier 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 Charlie Lake 0.6 Conroy 0.6 Valhalla 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 Progr

  18. Slide 18: Exceptional Operational Performance: Industry-Leading Productivity

    Exceptional Operational Performance: Industry-Leading Productivity Advantage Delivered the Top 9 AB Montney Gas Superior Productivity in the Montney Gas Window* Wells in 2025 Despite Voluntary Production Curtailments * Includes all wells drilled in the Montney gas window (BC + AB) since January 1, 2

  19. Slide 19: Glacier – World Class Asset, Raising the Bar Again

    Glacier – World Class Asset, Raising the Bar Again Net Capital Expenditures & FCF Sales Volumes (mBOE/d) 12-03: 3 well pad D4: 21.7 mmcf/d IP60 Net Operating Income [MM$]1,2,7 Planned Turnaround (21 days) D1: 16.1 mmcf/d IP60 Net Capital Expenditures [MM$]1,2,6 80 Upper: 15.9 mmcf/d IP60 Cumulative

  20. Slide 20: Valhalla & Progress – Return to Development with 4-21 Facility

    Valhalla & Progress – Return to Development with 4-21 Facility Net Capital Expenditures & FCF Combined Sales Volumes (mBOE/d) Net Operating Income [MM$]1,2,7 12 Legend Net Capital Expenditures [MM$]1,2,6 AAV Pipelines Cumulative Free Cash Flow [MM$]1,2,7 10 2024 2026 Locations 100 8 Montney D4 2025

  21. Slide 21: Charlie Lake – Highly Accretive, Top-Quartile Addition to the Portfolio

    Charlie Lake – Highly Accretive, Top-Quartile Addition to the Portfolio Net Capital Expenditures & FCF Sales Volumes (mBOE/d) Net Operating Income [MM$]1,2,7 20 Legend Net Capital Expenditures [MM$]1,2 AAV Pipelines Cumulative Free Cash Flow [MM$]1,2,7 2024 Well Locations 15 150 2026 Program 2025 20

  22. Slide 22: Wembley – Cash Flow Engine With Low Maintenance Capital

    Wembley – Cash Flow Engine With Low Maintenance Capital Net Capital Expenditures & FCF Sales Volumes (mBOE/d) Net Operating Income [MM$]1,2,7 10 Legend Net Capital Expenditures [MM$]1,2 Cumulative Free Cash Flow [MM$]1,2,7 2024 AAV Pipelines 8 Locations 50 2025 Program 6 2025 4 2026 $mm - 2 2027 -50

  23. Slide 23: Northeast BC – Positioned for Future Development

    Northeast BC – Positioned for Future Development Caribou Gas Plant Montney Rights Advantage CONROY ARC AB Canadian Natural ConocoPhillips Pacific Canbriam AAV Caribou Gas Plant PETRONAS Tourmaline All Others Highlights ► Existing 100 mmcf/d Caribou gas plant and upstream Alliance Pipeline gas gather

  24. Slide 24: Over 2,400 Future Drilling Locations Across Commodities

    BC Montney Inventory: 350 Wells Over 2,400 Future 2026 Net Drills: 0 Drilling Locations Across Commodities Charlie Lake Inventory: 265 Wells 2026 Net Drills: 6* *Includes 1 Non-Op Well Glacier Inventory: 795 Wells >20 Years of Montney 2026 Net Drills: 15 Tier 1 Inventory ✓ Two miles from existing Ti

  25. Slide 25: Exceptional Execution Driving Higher Tier 1 Inventory

    Exceptional Execution Driving Higher Tier 1 Inventory Glacier Tier 1 Inventory Valhalla Tier 1 Inventory Wembley Tier 1 Inventory + 85% + 26% + 69% 2020 Tier 1 Wells Tier 1 2025 Total 2020 Tier 1 Wells Tier 1 2025 Total 2020 Tier 1 Wells Tier 1 2025 Total Inventory Drilled Promotions Inventory Inven

  26. Slide 26: Market Diversification Snapshot: Empress Provides Optionality

    (2) Natural Gas Price Exposures Market Diversification Snapshot: Empress Provides Optionality 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 6% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% Power 2% 9% 6% 3% Generation 7% 9% 27 mmcf/d to 8% 8% 16% Emerson 6% 7% 12% 6% U.S. Midwest 6% 22% 19% 21% 19% 12% Dawn 26% 21% 13% 16% Emerson 20% 25% 31% Empress Ven

  27. Slide 27: Three-Year Plan Enhanced by Natural Gas Hedging

    250 50% Gas Hedged (CAD/mcf) Three-Year Plan Enhanced by Natural Gas Hedging 200 % of production 40% Improving Fundamentals 150 30% mmcf/d $3.93 100 20% $3.53 $3.52 WCSB Gas Market Moving From Oversupplied to Undersupplied $3.50 $3.61 $2.88 $2.88 50 10% $2.98 Alberta Storage (bcf) (2) 0 0% 600 500 6

  28. Slide 28: Environmental, Safety, and Stewardship

    Environmental, Safety, and Stewardship 29,795 tCO2e carbon captured and Over $1 million donated to charities and 0.26 TRIF and 0.00 LTIF in 2025 sequestered in 2025 programs since inception 92% AB Certificate of Recognition Audit $5 million spent on abandonment and reclamation in Awarded 30 scholars

  29. Slide 29: Commercial Carbon Capture and Storage

    Ownership Structure Commercial Proprietary CCS Technology Carbon Capture Advantage 46% and Storage Implied net valuation >$300m(9) Today Exclusive ownership of world- leading solvent with innovative Upon $500m deployment ($300m deployed to-date), process enhancement technologies Advantage expects to

  30. Slide 30: Glacier 2: World's First Commercial Post-Combustion CCS

    GLACIER 2: WORLD’S FIRST COMMERCIAL POST-COMBUSTION CCS1 Introducing Entropy’s first investment into the clean power generation market PROJECT SCOPE PHASE 2 PROJECT HIGHLIGHTS 1. Install post-combustion carbon capture on remaining Capture capacity: 160 ktpa compressors (9) at the Glacier Gas Process

  31. Slide 31: Glacier Phase 2: Onstream Q2 2026

    GLACIER PHASE 2: ONSTREAM Q2 2026 Implementing the world’s first decarbonized base-load power (Onstream 2026) Phase 1A & 1B Absorber Towers Phase 2 Compressors Phase 2 Absorber Tower Coolers Phase 2 Absorber Skid Phase 2 Phase 1 & 2 T130 Turbine Phase 2 Disposal Blower Compressor Phase 2 Regeneratio

  32. Slide 32: Global Scale Projects – Advancing

    GLOBAL SCALE PROJECTS – ADVANCING Jurisdictions Industries Gas processing, steel, methanol, ethanol, power, data centers Applications iCCS Recip iCCS Thermal iCCS Turbine Project Pipeline Global-Scale Projects Advancing 2000 Key Projects Announced Project KTPA Glacier Phase 2 Methanex ` 1000 Alberta

  33. Slide 33: Entropy's Structural Advantage in Canada

    ENTROPY’S STRUCTURAL ADVANTAGE IN CANADA Global first carbon credit offtake agreement – strategic investment capital The 15-year Carbon Credit Offtake (CCO) – up to 1,000,000 tpa – commitment represents a global first in compliance markets. The agreement helps to de-risk and accelerate CCS investmen

  34. Slide 34: Footnotes

    Footnotes 1. Specified financial measure which is not a standardized measure under International Financial Reporting Standards (“IFRS”) and may not be comparable to similar specified financial measures used by other entities. Please see "Specified Financial Measures" for the composition of such spec

  35. Slide 35: Advisories

    Advisories Forward-Looking Information and Statements The information in this presentation contains certain forward-looking information and forward-looking statements (collectively, "forward-looking statements") within the meaning of applicable securities laws relating to the Corporation's plans and

  36. Slide 36: Advisories (continued)

    Advisories (continued) This presentation contains forward-looking statements which are estimates of Advantage's three-year plan (2025 to 2027 as originally press released December 10, 2024), including average annual production range (corporately and by location), net capital expenditures (corporatel

  37. Slide 37: Advisories (continued)

    Advisories (continued) The future acquisition by the Corporation of the Corporation's shares pursuant to a share buyback program, if any, and the level thereof is uncertain. Any decision to implement a share buyback program or acquire shares of the Corporation will be subject to the discretion of th

  38. Slide 38: Advisories (continued)

    Advisories (continued) Oil and Gas Metrics This presentation contains a number of oil and gas and finance metrics, including "F&D cost", "recycle ratio", "payout", "internal rate of return (IRR)", "IP30", "IP90“, "IP180" and "IP365" which do not have standardized meanings or standard methods of calc

  39. Slide 39: Advisories (continued)

    Advisories (continued) Net Capital Expenditures Net capital expenditures include total capital expenditures related to property, plant and equipment, exploration and evaluation assets and intangible assets. Management considers this measure reflective of actual capital activity for the period as it

  40. Slide 40: Advisories (continued)

    Advisories (continued) Reinvestment Ratio Reinvestment ratio is calculated by dividing net capital expenditures by adjusted funds flow. Advantage uses reinvestment ratio as an indicator of the efficiency and liquidity of Advantage's business by measuring its cash available after net capital expendit

  41. Slide 41: Advisories (continued)

    Advisories (continued) Capital Management Measures Net Debt Net debt is a capital management measure that provides Management and users with a measure to assess the Corporation's liquidity. Net debt is not a standardized measure and therefore may not be comparable with the calculation of similar mea

  42. Slide 42: Advisories (continued)

    Advisories (continued) Oil and Gas Information Barrels of oil equivalent ("boe") and thousand cubic feet of natural gas equivalent ("mcfe") may be misleading, particularly if used in isolation. Boe and mcfe conversion ratios have been calculated using a conversion rate of six thousand cubic feet of

  43. Slide 43: Advisories (continued)

    Advisories (continued) Advantage has presented certain type curves and well economics for its Glacier, Valhalla, Wembley and Charlie Lake areas. The type curves presented with respect to Glacier, Vahalla and Wembley are Management estimates based on Advantage's historical production, and with respec

  44. Slide 44: Abbreviations

    Abbreviations The following abbreviations used in this presentation have the meanings set forth below. AECO A notational market point on TransCanada Pipeline Limited's NGTL system where the purchase and sale of natural gas is transacted b or bn billion bbl barrel bbl/d or bbls/d barrel(s) per day bb

  45. Slide 45: Head Office, Investor Relations, Security Information

    Michael Belenkie Craig Blackwood Neil Bokenfohr Darren Tisdale Geoff Keyser John Quaife Brian Bagnell President and Chief Chief Financial Senior Vice President VP, Geosciences VP, Development VP, Finance VP, Commodities Executive Officer Officer and Capital Markets Investor Relations Head Office 1-8

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