Deutsche Telekom Ag · XETR:DTE

Deutsche Telekom — FY2019 Earnings Presentation

52 slides from Deutsche Telekom's earnings presentation, Feb 19, 2020

  1. Slide 1: Deutsche Telekom FY 2019 Results & CMD 2018 Progress Update

    DEUTSCHE TELEKOM Link to FY 2019 RESULTS & CMD 2018 Webcast PROGRESS UPDATE

  2. Slide 2: Disclaimer

    DISCLAIMER This presentation contains forward-looking statements that reflect the current views of Deutsche Telekom management with respect to future events. These forward-looking statements include statements with regard to the expected development of revenue, earnings, profits from operations, dep

  3. Slide 3: 2019 Results and CMD Update: We Are Delivering

    2019 RESULTS AND CMD UPDATE: WE ARE DELIVERING  US Deal: Positive ruling by New York District Court  Two major multi-year German investment programs completed (B2C All-IP, FTTC)  Accelerated 5G rollout in U.S. and Germany  Substantial progress with efficiency and digitization  Ongoing strong cu

  4. Slide 4: US Deal: Leading on Both Sides of the Atlantic

    US DEAL: LEADING ON BOTH SIDES OF THE ATLANTIC Creating value for customers & shareholders Strong presence in US and Europe  Sprint merger Next  Uncarrier 2.0 2013 -  Big investments New T-Mobile* DT ex US 2019  Big growth 140 mn 127.5 mn 54 2012 - Creation of Uncarrier 1.0 US$ 77 bn  98.0 2013

  5. Slide 5: 2019 Financials: Strong Growth Across the Board

    2019 FINANCIALS: STRONG GROWTH ACROSS THE BOARD Adj. EBITDA AL (organic growth) ADJ. EBITDA AL FY growth € mn TMUS Revenue +6.4% 4.7% Adj. EBITDA AL +7.2% GER Adj. EBITDA AL 2.4% +4.7% 8,720 (excl. US) 11,134 Adj. Net profit +8.9% EU 3.1% Net profit +78.5% GD 519 Adj. EPS (in €) +8.3% 4,005 10.9% 1,

  6. Slide 6: Investments: Big Milestones Achieved

    INVESTMENTS: BIG MILESTONES ACHIEVED Fiber coverage LTE outdoor pop coverage HH mn  GER: Committed FTTC %  GER: 1,400 additional sites +1.8m +2.8m build done +0.5pp +1.1pp  GER/EU: Network 35  GER: Supervectoring 28mn 98.1% 97.6% leadership in footprint 10 lines1 with up to 250Mbps  EU: Full fi

  7. Slide 7: Customers: Growth Remains Strong

    CUSTOMERS: GROWTH REMAINS STRONG Magenta EINS (GER + EU) Mobile customers (US)1 mn +2.0 mn +7.1 +6.4 +1.8 9.6 79.7 86.0 7.6 72.6 5.8 2017 2018 2019 2017 2018 2019 Fiber (GER) Mobile contract customers (GER + EU + NL)2 mn mn +2.2 +1.0 +2.4 +2.6 14.4 54.6 55.6 58.0 12.2 9.6 2017 2018 2019 2017 2018 20

  8. Slide 8: Indirect Costs: On Track for CMD Target

    INDIRECT COSTS: ON TRACK FOR CMD TARGET Organic savings ex US 2017 – 2019 Organic savings ex US 2017 – 2021 € bn € bn 0.8bn GER  4% of indirect costs saved GHS -0.8  Savings driven by greater agility and digitization TSI  Personnel -1.5bn productivity +6% EU 2017-19 2019-2021e CMD target GD By se

  9. Slide 9: Digital: Becoming Part of the DNA

    DIGITAL: BECOMING PART OF THE DNA Marketing & Sales Customer Service Network & IT Steering & Support Push online channels & Drive customer self-service Increase bang for the buck Push employee self-service DT personalized offerings to (app, chat) & 360° customer w/ value-based network and automate r

  10. Slide 10: Capital Utilization: Sharing, Smartly

    CAPITAL UTILIZATION: SHARING, SMARTLY Germany Europe  White spot sharing of all German  Long-standing network sharing in MNOs (c6,000 sites) most countries (e.g. CZ, PL, RO)  Grey spot sharing with Vodafone  Various tower sharing agreements Mobile (c4,000 sites) (e.g., Austria)  Extensive tower

  11. Slide 11: ESG: Being Sustainable

    ESG: BEING SUSTAINABLE Energy intensity1 DT’s climate strategy Share of renewable Energy kWh/TB  100% renewables from 2021 % 142 194 84 64  90% less CO2e2 by 2030 74 120 52 41  25% lower value chain emissions per customer by 2030 GER GROUP  Targets certified by SBTi3 GER GROUP  More efficient t

  12. Slide 12: CMD Targets: Financials Growing Faster

    CMD TARGETS: FINANCIALS GROWING FASTER Revenue Adj. EBITDA AL FCF AL Adj. EPS Dividend € bn € bn € bn €/share €/share CAGR CAGR +0.08 CAGR +3% +6% +17% 74.9 75.7 80.5 23.1 24.7 7.0 1.04 0.65 0.70 22.2 6.1 0.921 0.96 0.60 5.5 2017 2018 2019 2017 2018 2019 2017 2018 2019 2017 2018 2019 2017 2018 2019

  13. Slide 13: Ex US CMD Targets: All Segments Delivering

    EX US CMD TARGETS: ALL SEGMENTS DELIVERING Ex US adj. EBITDA AL Adj. EBITDA AL growth yoy € bn % CAGR CAGR +2-3% GER +2-2.5% EU +2.5% +1-2% CAGR +3% 3.1% +2.4% 2.4% 2.4% 1.8% +4% 13.6 +2% 12.9 13.0 GD CAGR +3-4% SYS +5% +6.1% CAGR +0.5% 10.9% 16.8% 1.5% 2017 2018 2019 2020e -13.5% All CAGRs are orga

  14. Slide 14: 2020 Guidance: Maintaining Momentum

    2020 GUIDANCE: MAINTAINING MOMENTUM Revenue ADJ. EBITDA AL Based on € 1 = € bn € bn Group Ex US US$ 1.12. Increase 80.5 +3% +2% TM US EBITDA at 24.7 25.5 13.6 13.9 midpoint of US$ US GAAP 2019 2020 guidance of 2019 2020 2019 2020 US$ 13.85bn Cash Capex FCF AL Including the US € bn € bn GAAP IFRS bri

  15. Slide 15: Germany: Growing Future Business

    GERMANY: GROWING FUTURE BUSINESS M1share (mobile)1 Contract net adds4 M1share (fixed)5 % HH 57 mn % HH 25 42 0.6 18 0.5 0.5  Ongoing progress  Ongoing progress Data usage2 TV subs GB 4.0 mn 3.1 3.6 1.7 Broadband net adds  3m Stream On subs mn  Accelerating momentum Mobile churn3 0.3 0.3 B2B reve

  16. Slide 16: Germany: Improved Agility as Enabler

    GERMANY: IMPROVED AGILITY AS ENABLER Flexible delivery IT time-to-market Reskilling % of software delivered in agile mode Months # of reskilled FTE x6  Big reduction in B2B 412 60 -50% tariff complexity 17  New FTTH OSS 8 developed in agile 10 mode in record time 0 2017 2019 2017 2019 2017 2019 

  17. Slide 17: Germany: Significant Process Improvements

    GERMANY: SIGNIFICANT PROCESS IMPROVEMENTS Waiting times Complaints  Improved customer satisfaction -43% -50%  Won all major service tests  Process redesign 2017 2019 2017 2019  Cost reduction Faults repairs First-time resolution Missed appointments -19% +30% -84% 2017 2019 2017 2019 2017 2019 17

  18. Slide 18: Germany: Resilient Mobile Network Leadership

    GERMANY: RESILIENT MOBILE NETWORK LEADERSHIP LTE coverage Average mobile data speed1 Spectrum  98% pop coverage Large cities  +110 MHz from 2019  88% area coverage +41Mbps +41Mbps +20Mbps auction (+20MHz in 91 68 2.1 GHz) 50 37 27 17 Fiber backhaul Site expansion  ~80% of sites  +1.4k new sites

  19. Slide 19: Germany: FTTC Already Providing Highspeed

    GERMANY: FTTC ALREADY PROVIDING HIGHSPEED German broadband coverage end 2019 Homes passed by fiber mn Bandwidth Cable area Non-cable area 33 35 >>1 Gbit/s 30 Cable & FTTC DT and White third party spots FTTH/B area FTTC FTTC/(Super-)Vectoring ≥ 50 MBit/s Supervectoring Cable with (up to 250Mbps) FTTH

  20. Slide 20: Germany: From FTTC to FTTH

    GERMANY: FROM FTTC TO FTTH FTTH factory Cash Capex Subsidized build  Cost per home passed € bn  Stuttgart area (partly) ~5.5 ~ 4.2 ~2  Successfully under way  c100K homes passed YE2020 € 1,000  E.g., Mecklenburg-Vorpommern  Successfully under way 2017 2020 GER TDG Fiber  40k homes passed by Y

  21. Slide 21: EU: Successful Strategy Implementation

    EU: SUCCESSFUL STRATEGY IMPLEMENTATION FMC penetration1 2019 achievements App penetration % HH 49% Net adds % 55% 30% (000) 25% 1,403 1,041 2017 2019 2017 2019 250 Mobile network leadership Customer experience  Leading mobile network in 9 out of Mobile Converged Broadband  Churn (e.g. Greece): ~8p

  22. Slide 22: GD/TMNL: Delivering Merger Benefits

    GD/TMNL: DELIVERING MERGER BENEFITS Mobile leadership 2019 achievements Merger synergies1 MSR growth € mn 150  Winner of P3/Umlaut test for 4th year in a row %  Highest score ever measured by Umlaut 3.3  Well on track  0.3m contract net adds 2.5 2.6 2.8 achieved Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Target2 Fixed line sc

  23. Slide 23: GD/Towers: Strong Growth with Infrastructure

    GD/TOWERS: STRONG GROWTH WITH INFRASTRUCTURE Sites 70 2019 achievements Collocation ratios GER 000 57 Organic revenues 2.3x EU 36 € mn 923 945 26 Third party 1.4x GD NL 3 3 1.0x Towers GER 28 31 DT Owned Sites in 2018 2019 Towers Rooftops Total sites operation Ongoing site expansion GER Efficiency 

  24. Slide 24: TSI: Turnaround on Track

    TSI: TURNAROUND ON TRACK Sales 2019 achievements Portfolio  Order Entry: Growth for two consecutive Revenue  New portfolio model: Fully operational years up, +40% vs 2017 € bn 6.9 6.9 6.8  TC: Move into Germany to create B2B TC  Clients: Better coverage with integrated powerhouse approach  Secu

  25. Slide 25: TMUS: Ongoing Momentum

    TMUS: ONGOING MOMENTUM Network expansion 2019 achievements Commercial focus Macro Net adds  Growth in B2B, 55+, military, new geos 66 +2k k sites  Best ever industry score in JD Power wireless Small 4,515 25 +4k 3,121 customer care survey, based on “Team of cells Experts” success  Number of citie

  26. Slide 26: Strategy: Working Towards Implementation

    STRATEGY: WORKING TOWARDS IMPLEMENTATION NW leadership in Strong customer DE: Growth in B2B footprint growth in all markets TSI: Strong orderbook US 1st nationwide 5G GROW LEADININCUSTOMER LEAD CUSTOMER LEAD IN BUSINESS TMUS: Team of EXPERIENCE LEAD IN TECHNOLOGY LEAD IN BIZ PRODUCTIVITY PRODUCTIVIT

  27. Slide 27: Agenda: We Won't Stop!

    AGENDA: WE WON‘T STOP! Drive innovation, diversity, and cultural change Crystallize tower value for shareholders Integrate TSI TC into Germany Maximize FTTH return-on-invest Monetize FTTC/supervectoring Further step-up digitization Improve customer satisfaction Continue to drive commercial momentum

  28. Slide 28: Review Q4/19

    REVIEW Q4/19

  29. Slide 29: Financials: Growth in All Metrics

    FINANCIALS: GROWTH IN ALL METRICS € mn Q4 FY 2018 2019 Change 2018 2019 Change Revenue 20,261 21,361 +5.4% 75,656 80,531 +6.4% Adj. EBITDA AL1 5,573 6,030 +8.2% 23,074 24,731 +7.2% Adj. EBITDA AL (excl. US)1 3,037 3,320 +9.3% 12,990 13,597 +4.7% Adj. Net profit 796 1,016 +27.6% 4,545 4,948 +8.9% Net

  30. Slide 30: Germany: Revenue and EBITDA Growing

    GERMANY: REVENUE AND EBITDA GROWING Revenues +1.0% Adj. EBITDA AL +2.4% € mn € mn 5,612 5,669 2,154 2,205 Q4/18 Q4/19 Q4/18 Q4/19 Total service revenue growth Adj. EBITDA AL growth (organic) %y/y 1.0% 1.0% %y/y 4.1% 0.6% 0.6% 2.4% 2.4% 2.4% 2.4% 0.2% Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 Q3/19 Q4/19 Q4/181 Q1/19 Q2/19

  31. Slide 31: Germany: Service Revenues Growing

    GERMANY: SERVICE REVENUES GROWING Mobile service revenue growth Fixed service revenue growth %y/y %y/y 2.8% 2.4% 2.0% 1.4% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5% 0.1% Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 Q3/19 Q4/19 -0.3% -0.7% Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 Q3/19 Q4/19  Q3 visitor phasing unwound in Q4  Broadband/wholesale strength offsets All-IP head

  32. Slide 32: Germany: Good Progress in Mobile

    GERMANY: GOOD PROGRESS IN MOBILE Magenta EINS share (mobile)1 Data usage3 % GB 57% 4.0 51% 2.6 +57% y/y Q4/18 Q4/19 Q4/18 Q4/19 Churn2 Branded contract net adds4 000 180 1.1% 1.0% 140 130 132 97 Q4/18 Q4/19 Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 Q3/19 Q4/19 1) As % of B2C T-branded contract customers 2) contract excl. L

  33. Slide 33: Germany: Steady Commercials in Fixed

    GERMANY: STEADY COMMERCIALS IN FIXED Broadband net adds TV net adds 000 000 67 74 57 62 66 58 47 47 47 28 Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 Q3/19 Q4/19 Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 Q3/19 Q4/19 Line losses Line losses org. Fiber net adds Retail 000 Line losses triggered by IP-migration 000 Wholesale 625 688 522 534 373 442 340

  34. Slide 34: Germany: Retail Fixed Almost Stable; Wholesale Growing

    GERMANY: RETAIL FIXED ALMOST STABLE; WHOLESALE GROWING Retail fixed revenues -0.5% Broadband revenue growth € mn %y/y 2,404 2,391 5.9%1 Broadband revenues +4.8% 4.8% 1,420 1,488 3.5% Single Play revenues 2.3% 2.3% -19.6% Other revenues 321 258 663 645 2.1% -2.7% Q4/18 Q4/19 Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 Q3/19 Q

  35. Slide 35: TMUS: Continued Industry-Leading Growth

    TMUS: CONTINUED INDUSTRY-LEADING GROWTH Revenues (IFRS) +4.6% Adj. EBITDA AL (IFRS) US $bn US $bn +3.7% 11.4 12.0 2.9 3.0 Service revenues 8.0 8.6 Q4/18 Q4/19 Q4/18 Q4/19 Service revenue growth (IFRS) Adj. EBITDA AL growth (IFRS) %y/y %y/y 23.3% 6.9% +7.0% 6.2% 6.0% 5.9% 6.1% 3.6% 3.1% 3.7% Q4/18 Q1

  36. Slide 36: TMUS: Executing on Key Drivers

    TMUS: EXECUTING ON KEY DRIVERS Postpaid phone churn ARPU % US $ Postpaid phone Prepaid phone 0.99% 1.01% 46.3 45.8 38.4 38.5 Q4/18 Q4/19 Q4/18 Q4/19 Q4/18 Q4/19 Network quality1 Net adds Postpaid phone Mbps mn 2.4 34.4 33.2 33.5 1.8 1.7 1.9 26.6 1.7 8.6 7.9 6.0 2.7 25.8 25.3 27.5 23.9 1.0 0.7 0.7 0.

  37. Slide 37: Europe: 8th Consecutive Quarter of EBITDA Growth

    EUROPE: 8TH CONSECUTIVE QUARTER OF EBITDA GROWTH Revenues 3.0% Adj. EBITDA AL € mn € mn 5.0% 3,132 3,225 935 982 Q4/18 Q4/19 Q4/18 Q4/19 Revenue growth (organic) Adj. EBITDA AL growth (organic) %y/y %y/y 5.7% 3.8% 3.3% 2.0% 2.0% 1.2% 1.5% 0.4% 0.4% 0.7% Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 Q3/19 Q4/19 Q4/181 Q1/19 Q2/

  38. Slide 38: Europe: Steady Customer Growth

    EUROPE: STEADY CUSTOMER GROWTH Mobile contract net adds Broadband net adds 000 000 300 288 94 264 257 73 196 55 63 59 Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 Q3/19 Q4/19 Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 Q3/191 Q4/19 FMC net adds TV net adds 000 000 406 445 53 330 329 299 26 5 9 1 Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 Q3/19 Q4/192 Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 Q3/19 Q

  39. Slide 39: TSI: Transformation Increasingly Visible

    TSI: TRANSFORMATION INCREASINGLY VISIBLE Order entry (LTM) Revenues Adj. EBITDA AL € bn € mn 0.2% € mn 35.7% +8.2% 1,842 1,845 7.3 156 6.8 115 Q4/18 Q4/19 Q4/18 Q4/19 Q4/18 Q4/19 Revenue growth (organic) Adj. EBITDA AL growth (organic) %y/y %y/y 1.4% 52.2% 34.8% Integration of TC into Germany planne

  40. Slide 40: Group Development: Growth Across the Board

    GROUP DEVELOPMENT: GROWTH ACROSS THE BOARD Revenues Adj. EBITDA AL € mn +26% € mn 19% 729 259 578 218 513 NL 102 130 NL 360 143 GD Towers 218 231 GD Towers 125 -15 -9 -14 Other Others Q4/18 Q4/19 Q4/18 Q4/19 Revenue growth (organic) Adj. EBITDA AL growth (organic) %y/y %y/y 14.9% 12.8% 9.7% 2.9% 2.7

  41. Slide 41: GD/TMNL: Strong Growth

    GD/TMNL: STRONG GROWTH Contract net adds Mobile service revenue growth (organic) 000 %y/y 77 80 83 3.3% 2.8% 71 2.5% 2.6% 37 -1.3% Q4/181 Q1/19 Q2/19 Q3/19 Q4/19 Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 Q3/19 Q4/19 Broadband net adds Adj. EBITDA AL growth (organic) 000 %y/y 25.8% 24.9% 21 23 14.9% 18 13.0% 14 10.6% 7 Q4/1

  42. Slide 42: GD Towers: Ongoing Expansion

    GD TOWERS: ONGOING EXPANSION Total sites Recurring rental revenues 000 34.3 € mn 29.4 3.1 NL towers +10% +2% organic +1.8k 194 213 31.2 organic Q4/18 Q4/19 Q4/18 Q4/19 Opex AL per site1 Adj. EBITDA 000 € € mn 3.5 194 3.1 136 EBITDA 125 143 EBITDA AL +7% organic Q4/18 Q4/19 Q4/18 Q4/19 42

  43. Slide 43: Financials: FCF, Net Debt, Adj. Net Income and EPS

    FINANCIALS: FCF, NET DEBT, ADJ. NET INCOME AND EPS Free Cash Flow AL1 Adj. net income € mn € mn +22.6% +27.6% -194 1,763 1,438 1,332 -741 4 -76 796 1,405 -960 -86 173 1,016 -90 -41 -1,046 -182 Q4/18 CF gen. Interest Lease Capex Others Q4/19 -9 from ops. adjustment (excl. Q4/18 Adj. D&A3 Financial Ta

  44. Slide 44: Financials: Debt Ratio Back in Comfort Zone

    FINANCIALS: DEBT RATIO BACK IN COMFORT ZONE €bn 31/12/2018 31/03/2019 30/06/2019 30/09/2019 31/12/2019 Balance sheet total1 145.4 165.5 164.2 174.3 170.7 Shareholders’ equity1 43.4 42.8 42.7 45.1 46.2 Net debt1 55.4 71.9 75.7 78.8 76.0 Net debt/adj. EBITDA2 2.4 2.65 2.74 2.80 2.65 Equity ratio 29.9%

  45. Slide 45: Appendix

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  46. Slide 46: Mid Term Ambition Level

    MID TERM AMBITION LEVEL Mid term ambition level1 Year Implications of US deal Group revenues CAGR +1 – 2% 2017 – 2021e Confirmed Group adj. EBITDA/EBITDA AL CAGR +2 – 4% 2017 – 2021e Confirmed Adj. EBITDA/EBITDA AL ex US CAGR +2 – 3% 2017 – 2021e Confirmed Group FCF/FCF AL CAGR ≈ +10% 2017 – 2021e S

  47. Slide 47: Outlook 2020/21 (1/2)

    OUTLOOK 2020/21 (1/2) € bn 2019 2020e 2021e 0, Revenue Group 80.5 Increase Slight increase Germany 21.9 Slight increase Slight increase US (in USD) 45.2 Increase Increase Europe 12.2 Slight increase Slight increase Systems Solutions 6.8 Stable Slight increase Group Development 2.8 Increase Increase

  48. Slide 48: Outlook 2020/21 (2/2)

    OUTLOOK 2020/21 (2/2) € bn 2019 2020e 2021e 0, Cash Capex Group 13.1 13.0 Germany 4.2 Slight decrease Stable US (in USD) 6.0 Stable Europe 1.7 Stable Slight decrease Systems Solutions 0.4 Stable Stable Group Development 0.5 Strong Increase Increase FCF AL Group 7.0 8.0 Increase Dividend per share (i

  49. Slide 49: Germany Mobile: Service Revenue

    GERMANY MOBILE: SERVICE REVENUE1 Reported mobile service revenue Impact of mobile regulation2 Impact of convergent offers3 Q4/18 2.0% 0.1% 0.8% Q1/19 2.8% 0.2% 0.6% Q2/19 2.4% 0.6% 0.7% Q3/19 0.7% 0.9% 0.6% Q4/19 1.4% 0.9% 0.5% Old medium term guidance (2014 – 2018 CAGR) ≈ +1% (without EU roaming im

  50. Slide 50: German Market Overview

    GERMAN MARKET OVERVIEW German mobile market service revenue1 German broadband market2 € mn mn 34.4 Telefonica 1.330 Cable 8.1 1.299 1.273 Telco Competitors 12.7 Vodafone Telekom 1.535 1.557 DT 13.6 13.7 Q4/18 Q4/19 Q4/18 Q4/19 1) On IFRS 15 basis 2) Based on management estimations 50

  51. Slide 51: Conference Call with Q&A Session

    CONFERENCE CALL WITH Q&A SESSION The conference call will be held on February 19 at 2:00 PM CET, 1:00 PM GMT, 8 AM ET. DT Participants: Tim Hoettges (CEO), Christian Illek (CFO), Hannes Wittig (Head of IR) Webcast Dial-in  The link to the webcast will be provided 20 minutes before the DE 0800 58891

  52. Slide 52: Further Questions Please Contact the IR Department

    FURTHER QUESTIONS PLEASE CONTACT THE IR DEPARTMENT Investor Relations Contact details Phone +49 228 181 – 8 88 80 E-Mail investor.relations@telekom.de Contact details for all IR representatives: www.telekom.com/ircontacts IR Webpage IR Twitter Account IR YouTube Channel www.telekom.com/investors www

Deutsche Telekom — FY2019 Earnings Presentation on 6ix