Methanex Corporation · TSX:MX
Methanex — Investor Presentation (November 2024)
37 slides from Methanex's investor presentation, November 2024
Slide 1: The Global Methanol Leader
The Global Methanol Leader CORPORATE PRESENTATION NOVEMBER 2024
Slide 2: Forward-looking statements and non-GAAP measures
Forward-looking statements and non-GAAP measures Information contained in these materials or presented orally, either in prepared remarks or in response to questions, may contain forward-looking statements. Actual results could differ materially from those contemplated by the forward-looking stateme
Slide 3: Methanex is one of the world's largest producers and suppliers of methanol globally
Methanex is one of the world’s largest producers and suppliers of methanol globally Strategy Competitive advantage Safety is the top priority We create value through our Safe, sustainable, and secure supply. We are committed to the leadership in the global Underpinned by our global integrated highes
Slide 4: Why Invest?
Why Invest? Leader in an industry Growing cash flow Sustainable Well-positioned in Disciplined with a positive capability competitive advantage the transition to a capital allocation long-term outlook from integrated global low-carbon economy strategy capabilities Leading market share in an Cash flo
Slide 5: Strategic Priorities for the Business
Strategic Priorities for the Business Focused on delivering value-generating initiatives in a safe and reliable way Safety + reliability Executing our Advancing Capital allocation feedstock strategy sustainability initiatives Continuous improvement Achieve economic gas Invest resources to Balanced a
Slide 6: Global production capacity across 6 production sites
Global production capacity across 6 production sites Operating Number Gas capacity of plants2 supply (mmt)1 Medicine Hat, Canada 0.60 1 Fixed price contract Medicine Hat Geismar, USA Vancouver Beijing Brussels Seoul Financial hedges, fixed price 4.0 3 Dallas Damietta contracts, and spot market Tokyo
Slide 7: Industry leadership is core to our strategy and strong performance
Industry leadership is core to our strategy and strong performance ~12% Methanex A leading global pure-play methanol producer Valenz (Proman) Sabic Scale and flexibility enables Methanex to be the supplier of choice and attract and Yankuang retain customers around the world Ability to optimize globa
Slide 8: Strong free cash flow conversion over a range of methanol prices
Strong free cash flow conversion over a range of methanol prices Adjusted EBITDA1 and Free cash flow2 capability to equity holders ($M) at average realized methanol prices ($/MT) Financial obligations to get to Adjusted EBITDA Free Cash Flow free cash flow: 67% • Debt service 62% $1,525 • Lease paym
Slide 9: Sustainable competitive advantage from integrated global capabilities
Sustainable competitive advantage from integrated global capabilities Investing in industry-leading, secure, reliable supply from a global network of plants is a fundamental driver of long-term success Responsible Care® Industry leading customers Network of production sites to supply customers globa
Slide 10: Geismar 3: Industry-leading plant with strong cash flow generation capability
Geismar 3: Industry-leading plant with strong cash flow generation capability Project highlights G3 Potential Adjusted EBITDA At various Methanol and gas prices Our new 1.8 mmt methanol plant is located adjacent to the existing G1 and G2 plants in Geismar, Louisiana. First methanol was successfully
Slide 11: Global methanol demand and supply dynamics
Global methanol demand and supply dynamics 2024E global methanol demand of ~94 mmt; demand expected to grow at ~3% CAGR or +16 mmt over next five years Europe (including Russia) China Production Demand Production Demand 7% 12% 46% 60% More than ~85% of 50% of production production from coal- from Ru
Slide 12: Methanol is difficult to substitute based on its unique chemistry, scale, ease of transport
Methanol is difficult to substitute based on its unique chemistry, Traditional chemical Essential building block used in formaldehyde scale, ease of transport and cost applications expected to grow with GDP and acetic acid to make raw materials for building and automotive parts, paints, paper, plast
Slide 13: Growing Markets for Methanol
Growing Markets for Methanol 2023 was the first year that orders for dual-fuel methanol ships outpaced orders for LNG-powered ships; based on the current order book by the Demand for conventional and end of 2029 there will be over 300 methanol ships on the water. Our low-carbon methanol continues ma
Slide 14: Momentum is growing for methanol as a marine fuel
Momentum is growing for methanol as a marine fuel Cleaner burning, proven technology, easily transportable with existing infrastructure, and cost competitive Methanol is a cleaner- Methanex and MOL Multiple fuels needed to burning fuel and can reduce completed the first-ever support the marine indus
Slide 15: Firm capacity additions unlikely to meet growing demand in the mid-term
Firm capacity additions unlikely to meet growing demand in the mid-term Estimated Methanol Industry Capacity Additions New capacity additions MMT 7.0 Besides G3, limited firm capacity addition expected in the Atlantic in the near term. Firm additions outside the Atlantic include a 1.8 6.0 mmt plant
Slide 16: Competitive position on attractive industry cost curve
Competitive position on attractive industry cost curve Illustrative methanol industry cost curve ($/tonne) Methanex assets competitive across a wide range of methanol prices due to position on cost curve Marginal producers on the high end of cost curve are high-cost coal producers and natural gas pr
Slide 17: Methanol demand growth expected to outpace capacity additions in the mid-term
Methanol demand growth expected to outpace capacity additions in the mid-term requiring operating rates to ~3% CAGR or +16 mmt demand growth over next five years (2024-2029) increase 140 78% 76% Structural operating rate limits impacting over 120 74% 50% of global capacity 100 72% China – impacted b
Slide 18: Methanol's role in the low-carbon economy
Methanol’s role in the low-carbon economy Conventional methanol reduces air pollution and GHG emissions; methanol from renewable sources can support long-term decarbonization Long-term solutions focused, with options today Pathways we are exploring METHANEX TODAY FEASIBILITY STUDY FEASIBILITY STUDY
Slide 19: Price response required to incentivize new low-carbon methanol production
Price response required Range of current capital and production to incentivize new costs for different forms of methanol USD $/tonne of methanol* low-carbon methanol $2,380 production We expect government policies and $1,620 regulations to lead to increased investment and demand for low and zero car
Slide 20: Embedding sustainability: from strategy to action
Embedding sustainability: from strategy to action1 Solutions focused and committed to continual improvement COMMITMENTS Advancing Reduce Scope 1 and Scope 2 GHG emission solutions for a intensity by 10%2 low-carbon Invest in low-carbon methanol solutions future COMMITMENTS Protecting Continuously im
Slide 21: Reducing emissions and exploring paths to low-carbon methanol
Reducing emissions and exploring paths to low-carbon methanol Providing solutions for the emerging low-carbon market supports our strategy of global methanol leadership Efficiency Reduced-intensity Low Carbon Renewable Natural E-methanol Projects Expansion Projects Projects Gas Production For the la
Slide 22: Focused cost discipline
Focused cost discipline Our flexible-cost structure enables us to provide secure supply to our customers and create value throughout the cycle Natural gas Logistics Natural gas Logistics ~50%1 ~ 25% Network of owned and Flexible cost structure as Fleet of 34 vessels approximately 60% of our natural
Slide 23: Consistent capital allocation priorities balancing growth and shareholder returns
Consistent capital allocation priorities balancing growth and shareholder returns Profitable growth Pursue value-accretive conventional and low-carbon Maintain our business growth opportunities which Maintain financial flexibility will enhance cash flow to operate assets reliably generation capabili
Slide 24: Strong financial position
Strong financial position Strong liquidity and well-balanced debt maturities Consistent track record of balanced capital investment and shareholder distributions Targeting investment grade leverage metrics Since 2013 we have returned ~$2.4B to shareholders and ~$4.1B spend on capital investments Nex
Slide 25: Why Invest?
Why Invest? Leader in an Growing cash flow Sustainable Well-positioned Disciplined industry with capability with competitive in the transition capital a positive the G3 plant and advantage from to a low-carbon allocation long-term the acquisition of integrated global economy strategy outlook the OCI
Slide 26: 2024 Modeling Information
2024 Modeling Information 20% Financial profile (Methanex share) Sales mix Europe ~$145M ~$395M 35% 25% Lease Payments Depreciation + Amortization Americas China ~$95M ~25% 20% Asia Pacific Debt Service Effective tax rate (ex. China) 2024 Capital expenditures ~$100M ~$150M ~$30M Gas cost structure C
Slide 27: Forward-looking statements
Forward-looking statements This presentation, our Second Quarter 2024 Management’s Discussion and Analysis ("MD&A") as well as comments made during the Second Quarter 2024 investor conference call contain forward-looking statements with respect to us and our industry. These statements relate to futu
Slide 28: Forward-looking statements (related to the acquisition of OCI Global's methanol business)
Forward-looking statements (related to the acquisition of OCI Global’s methanol business) The information in this presentation contains certain forward-looking statements, including within the meaning of applicable securities laws in Canada and the United States. These statements relate to future ev
Slide 29: Appendix
Appendix methans " the poner of agity 29
Slide 30: Methanol demand applications
Methanol demand applications Applications % of global demand1 End uses Traditional Used as wood adhesive for plywood, particleboard and other engineered wood products Formaldehyde ~26% chemical Also used as raw material for a variety of building and automotive products applications Used to produce a
Slide 31: Chemicals value chain
BUTADIENE AROMATICS Chemicals value chain OLEFINS PROPYLENE METHANOL ETHYLENE AMMONIA FEEDSTOCKS BASE CHEMICALS AND INTERMEDIATES PRODUCTS MARKETS/USES MDI/TDI POLYESTER CLOTHING, BOTTLES (PET), FABRIC TOLUENE PTA NYLON FABRIC, CARPET, AUTOMTIVE XYLENE CYCLOHEXANE PHENOL/ACETONE SOLVENTS, INTERMEDIA
Slide 32: Methanol-to-olefins (MTO) value chain
Methanol-to-olefins (MTO) value chain Food packaging, Polyethylene plastic bags Natural Gas or Coal Feedstock Pipes, window EDC PVC frames Ethylene Synthesis EO MEG PET Textile, bottles • MTO production Gas mostly integrated with downstream products Insulation cups, Ethyl benzene Styrene Polystyrene
Slide 33: Qualities that give methanol the competitive edge
Qualities that give methanol the competitive edge Methanol offers among the best volumetric energy densities of the mainstream alternatives. In addition, as methanol is biodegradable, it opens up more storage options in some vessel types (i.e. tank design, stored in ballast of Stena Germanica) reduc
Slide 34: Leading the shipping industry for over a decade
Leading the shipping industry for over a decade Methanex has been there from the beginning, developing methanol as a marine fuel, and is well-positioned to help transition the shipping industry to a low-carbon future. 2015 2017-18 Creole Sun 2019 Stena Line & World's first WFS 2nd gen WFS 3rd gen du
Slide 35: The first move advantage
The first move advantage When it comes to structural competitiveness versus alternative maritime fuels, methanol comes out on top for engine development, infrastructure, and regulations. Fuel storage Onboarding Onboard The Fuel Pathway Maturity Map presents Feedstock Fuel energy storage Vessel Regul
Slide 36: Illustrative Adjusted EBITDA and free cash flow capabilities assumptions (non-GAAP measures)
Illustrative Adjusted EBITDA and free cash flow capabilities assumptions APPENDIX (non-GAAP measures) – Methanex Run Rate 1 Note that Adjusted EBITDA and Free cash flow are forward-looking non-GAAP 2Free cash flow reflects Methanex’s proportionate ownership interest. Free measures that do not have a
Slide 37: Investor Relations
Investor Relations T: 604 661 2600 invest@methanex.com www.methanex.com linkedin.com/company/methanex-corporation @Methanex 37