Dmci Holdings Inc. · PSE:DMC
Dmci — FY2016 Earnings Presentation
23 slides from Dmci's earnings presentation, Mar 16, 2017
Slide 1: Analyst Briefing FY 2016 Earnings Call
ANALYST'BRIEFING' FY'2016'Earnings'Call' Thursday,'16'March'2017' 3:00pm'DMCI'Annex'
Slide 2: Agenda
Agenda • DMCI Holdings Inc.: Net Income (segment breakdown) • Business Segment FY 2016 Results: Coal & On-Grid Power (Semirara) Real Estate Development (DMCI Homes) Construction (DMCI) Nickel (DMCI Mining) Off-Grid Power (DMCI Power) Water Concession (Maynilad)* • Parent Balance Sheet as of 31 Decem
Slide 3: Holdings' Net Income Breakdown
Holdings’ Net Income Breakdown • 2016"Core"net"income"flat"due"mainly"to:"understatement"of"Real"Estate"profits"due"to" accounCng"method,"naConwide"suspensions"resulCng"in"losses"for"nickel"mining" business,"and"expiry"of"Maynilad’s"Income"Tax"Holiday"(ITH)" • 05%"Decline"in"Reported"Net"Income"due"in
Slide 4: Semirara Consolidated
Semirara Consolidated • Due"to"higher"coal"prices,"Semirara"Sales"and"EBITDA"grew"+48%"and"+41%" respecCvely" • One-5me,"non0cash!provisioning"impacted"4Q16"bodom"line;"4Q16/FY16"cash"flow"as" proxy"for"normalized"earnings" (In Million Php) FY 2016 FY 2015 % Revenues "36,584"" "24,680"" 48%" COS & Op
Slide 5: Semirara Coal
Semirara Coal • Coal"division"driven"by"+52%"increase"in"volumes"(FY16)"and"+46%"increase"in"coal" prices"(4Q16);"though"ASP’s"for"FY16"dropped"3%" • ResulCng"in"+90%"increase"in"EBITDA"and"a"+83%"increase"in"earnings" • 2017"outlook"for"coal"price"remains"posiCve"with"mining"capacity"increase"by"17
Slide 6: Semirara Power (SCPC & SLPGC)
Semirara Power (SCPC & SLPGC) • Power"revenues"(all"power"plants)"driven"by"higher"volumes"sold"at"higher"prices" • Decrease"in"SCPC"capacity"factor"was"compensated"for"by"reliable"performance"of"new$ SLPGC"plants"–"resulCng"in"+22%"increase"in"Net"Income"in"2016" (In Million Php) FY2016 FY 2015 % P
Slide 7: Semirara Power (SCPC)
Semirara Power (SCPC) • Revenues"impacted"by"rehabilitaCon"which"had"the"plants"offline"but"2017"should"see" uClizaCon"improve"meaningfully"along"with"higher"profitability" (In Million Php) FY 2016 FY 2015 % Capacity(Factor((Unit(1+2) Power Revenues "10,984"" "12,797"" 014%" 2016 55% 027%" COS & Operat
Slide 8: Semirara Power (SLPGC)
Semirara Power (SLPGC) • Higher"uClizaCons,"volumes"sold"+"average"price"sold"helped"to"drive"solid"growth" • Note"the"significantly!higher!EBITDA!margins!at!76%"that"SLPGC"generates"due"to" Semirara’s"strategy"of"using"low"cost"waste"coal"(vs."50%"at"SCPC)" • SLPGC"generated"more"profits"than"SCPC"de
Slide 9: Real Estate Development
Real Estate Development • Though"2016"reported"net"income"declined"on!a!completed!contract!basis"–"Sales!&! Reserva5ons!jumped!by!+65%"indicaCng"strong"market"demand" • DMCI"Homes"will!transi5on!in!2018!to!percentage!of!comple5on!method!to"be"in"line" with"the"industry"which"will"also"result"in"2017
Slide 10: Real Estate Development
Real Estate Development • Sales"&"ReservaCons"jumped"by"+65%"while"default"rates"conCnued"to"decline" • Launches"also"increased"by"270%"due"to"conCnued"high"demand"for"DMCI"Homes" " Sales&&&Reservations&(in&BNs&of&PHP) Default(Rate 40.0 15% 31.2% 12% 30.0 9% 10% 17.3% 18.5% 19.0% 18.8% 20.0 6% 5% 4%
Slide 11: Real Estate Development
Real Estate Development • Number"of"DMCI"Homes"units"sold"increased"by"+55%"compared"to"2015" • Unit"pricing"also"increased"by"+7.5%"due"to"the"launch"of"higher"end"products"which" have"also"seen"very"strong"demand" Php!(in!millions)! Dec!2016! Dec!2015! %!Change! Units" PHP"28,236" 16,978" +66%" Pa
Slide 12: 2017 Launch Calendar
2017 Launch Calendar • DMCI"Homes"will"launch"a"combinaCon"of"mid"and"high"rise"buildings"in"2017" • DMCI"Homes"will"also"launch"its"first"mixed0use"project"(ForCs)" " Month! Project! No.!of!Bldgs.! /!Type! 3"HRB" Jan! PRISMA!RESIDENCES!Pasig"Blvd,"Pasig"City" (42F)" 8"MRB" Mar! MULBERRY!PLACE!Acacia
Slide 13: Construction
Construction • Sales"grew"by"+4%"and"core"income"grew"+49%"in"2016" • EBITDA"margins"expanded"to"15.4%"from"13.5%"resulCng"in"+19%"EBITDA"growth" • FY"2016"shows"the"full"recovery"of"our"construcCon"business" (In Million Php) FY 2016 FY 2015 % Construction Revenues "13,817"" "13,249"" 4%" COS and Op
Slide 14: Construction
Construction • ConstrucCon"backlog"grew"by"PHP"9.5BN"in"2017"(YTD)" • Infrastructure"book"should"see"strong"growth"due"to"government0led"push"for"more" highways"and"bridges"" Newly Booked Product Line Contract Dec ‘15 Dec '16 % of Total Awarded Revenue Buildings 33,727 5,272 6,224 3,295 8,362 42% In
Slide 15: Skyway Stage 3, Section 2
Skyway Stage 3, Section 2 • Segment"in"blue,"to"be"retained"on"DMCI’s"orderbook" • Segment"in"green,"which"borders"proposed"San"Juan"River"alignment"(in"yellow)," METRO MANILA SKYWAY STAGE 3 PROJECT- SECTION 2 requires"re0designing"(recogniCon"of"PHP"5BN"on"DMCI’s"orderbook"to"be"deferred)" PIER NO.
Slide 16: Nickel Mining
Nickel Mining • Closure"of"ZDMC"and"suspension"of"BNC"(ISO:14001)"pending"DENR’s"resoluCon"on" moCons"filed"for"reconsideraCon" • Our"nickel"mines"hold"meaningful"reserves"with"significant"market"share"in"shipments;" cash"costs"ca."20"USD"per"ton" • DMCI"Nickel"Mining"cut"62%"of"employees"(as"of"Septe
Slide 17: Off-Grid Power
Off-Grid Power • DMCI"Power"CorporaCon"conCnues"to"grow"and"DMCI"Holdings"expects"it"to" become"a"meaningful"part"of"total"earnings"in"a"few"years" (In Million Php) FY 2016 FY 2015 % Power Revenues "2,302"" 2,169" 6%" COS and Operating Expenses "(1,714)" (1,658)" 3%" EBITDA !588!! 511! 15%! Deprecia
Slide 18: Off-Grid Power
Off-Grid Power • Off0grid"power"had"strong"growth"in"2016"across"all"power"plants" Capacity!(MW)! GWH!Sales! 120! 300! 100! 4! 250! 16! 2! 80! 200! 52! 16! 46! 60! 150! 38! 48! 14%! 78! 91! 14%! 40! 100! 20! 30! 50! 86! 95! 27! 0! 0! 2015! 2016! 2015! 2016! Masbate" Palawan" Mindoro"" Sultan"Kudarat"
Slide 19: Water Concession (Maynilad)
Water Concession (Maynilad*) • Maynilad"earnings"should"conCnue"to"grow"in"2017" • ArbitraCon"ruling"expected"to"come"out"in"1H"2017" (In Million Php) FY 2016 FY 2015 % #"of"Customers"in"000s Revenues 20,224 19,098 6% COS & Operating Expenses (5,741) (4,951) 16% 2016 1,312% EBITDA 14,483 14,147 2% +
Slide 20: Holdings' Balance Sheet
Holdings’ Balance Sheet • Parent"Company"sCll"net"cash"posiCve"with"PHP"5.1BN" • Dividend"policy:"25%"of"previous"year’s"income,"but"averaging"ca."50%"over"last"5"years"" (In Million Php) FY 2016 FY 2015 % Cash & Cash Equivalents* 5,054 3,695 37% Receivables** 2,228 934 139% Investments in subsidiar
Slide 21: DMCI Holdings Remains Undervalued
DMCI Holdings Remains Undervalued DMCI%is%cheap%on%a%rela1ve%and%absolute%basis%in%terms%of%2017%P/E% While%earnings%growth%is%beDer%than%peers,%with%upside%risk%to% Ra1o% consensus%earnings…% Conglomerates:820178Consensus8 P/E Conglomerates:&Consenus&2016:2018&EPS&Growth 25.0x 21.6x 15.0% 13.7%& 12
Slide 22: DMCI Holdings Key Takeaways + Outlook
DMCI Holdings Key Takeaways + Outlook •"Overall"core"earnings"driven"by"+43%"and"+49%"increase"(respecCvely)"in"Semirara’s"and"ConstrucCon’s" DMCI!Holdings:! net"income" •"DMC’s"dividend"payout"raCo"for"the"year"will"be"at"least"25%,"in"line"with"Holdings’"dividend"policy" •"2016"performance"for"Sem
Slide 23: Disclaimer
Disclaimer The information contained in this document is strictly confidential. Neither DMCI Holdings, Inc. (DMCI), nor its advisors make any representation regarding, and assumes no responsibility or liability for, the accuracy or completeness of, or any errors or omissions in any information conta