Ubs Group Ag · SIX:UBSG

Ubs — FY2017 Earnings Presentation

39 slides from Ubs's earnings presentation, Jan 22, 2018

  1. Slide 1: Full year and fourth quarter 2017 results

    Full year and fourth quarter 2017 results January 22, 2018

  2. Slide 2: Cautionary statement regarding forward-looking statements

    Cautionary statement regarding forward-looking statements This presentation contains statements that constitute “forward-looking statements,” including but not limited to management’s outlook for UBS’s financial performance and statements relating to the anticipated effect of transactions and strate

  3. Slide 3: 2017 reported PBT up 32% to 5.4 billion

    2017 reported PBT up 32% to 5.4 billion Strong pre-tax profit growth Strong performance +32% Reported PBT 5,409m, +32% YoY 5.4 Adjusted PBT 6,335m, +19% YoY +16% Strong capital position 3.6 CET1 capital ratio 13.8% WMA CET1 leverage ratio 3.7% (10)% Total loss-absorbing capacity 78bn +24% 1.6 +28% 1

  4. Slide 4: Delivered 2.1bn net cost reductions since 2013

    Delivered 2.1bn net cost reductions since 2013 3.9bn gross savings offset 1.8bn investments for growth and regulatory costs 3.9 Business 0.7 divisions Cost reduction examples: Non-core  Business divisions: WM simplification, WMA and Legacy 0.5 (2.1bn) recruitment strategy, IB delayering Portfolio 

  5. Slide 5: Delivering positive operating leverage

    Delivering positive operating leverage Net profit up 26% excluding net DTA write-down 2% lower operating expenses 3% higher 516 4921 operating income 56 747 2,865 4,030 3,204 1,165 Net profit Operating Operating Litigation Tax Net profit Net impact from Net profit 2016 income expenses excl. and NCI

  6. Slide 6: Global Wealth Management – excellent 2017 results

    Global Wealth Management – excellent 2017 results +14% Profit before tax bn 3.6 4.1 Profit growth driven by US, APAC and UHNW +12% 2.1 2.3 Invested assets Total and UHNW, 33% mandates1, up 160bps YoY end of period, trn 0.9 1.1 +5% Recurring revenues Recurring revenues increased on higher invested bn

  7. Slide 7: Global Wealth Management – geographic footprint

    Global Wealth Management – geographic footprint UBS is the only bank with leading positions across all regions Global1 Asia Pacific2 United States3 Western Europe4 Switzerland4 Emerging markets4,5 1 Scorpio Partnership Global Private Banking Benchmark 2017, by invested assets; 2 Asian Private Banker

  8. Slide 8: Management priorities – Group

    Management priorities – Group Drive profitable growth in Global Wealth Management Maintain focused leadership and grow profits in Asset Management, Investment Bank and Personal & Corporate Enhance diversification by capturing superior growth in APAC and the Americas, leverage our EMEA capabilities a

  9. Slide 9: Management priorities – business divisions

    Management priorities – business divisions  Unify UHNW to better deliver the firm to clients seeking a more global, sophisticated and institutional offering  Enhance delivery of banking products and services for HNW clients and utilization of global product suite Global Wealth  Leverage technolog

  10. Slide 10: Investing to win in the digital age

    Investing to win in the digital age Enhancing and differentiating our business while accelerating efficiency and effectiveness Strategic priorities Key investment areas Ultimate Client Experience • Enhancing advisor productivity by improving platforms GWM • Enabling premium digital client interactio

  11. Slide 11: RWA and LRD outlook

    RWA and LRD outlook We consider LRD to be our binding capital constraint until the end of 2020 2018-2020 Basel III finalization from 1.1.22 ~20 ~280 ~201,2 RWA trajectory (illustrative) 237  Based on the Basel III international standards bn published by the BCBS in December 2017, implementation of

  12. Slide 12: Our capital returns policy 2018-2020

    Our capital returns policy 2018-2020 Attractive and flexible capital returns policy Target to grow the dividend per share at mid-to-high single digit percent per annum Return excess capital after dividend accruals, likely in the form of buy-backs, after considering our outlook 11

  13. Slide 13: CHF 0.65 dividend per share proposed, up 8%

    CHF 0.65 dividend per share proposed, up 8% Initiating 3 year buy-back program of up to CHF 2bn, targeting up to CHF 550m in 2018 Ordinary dividend Share Special dividend 0.152 0.25 buy-back Share buy-back 0.25 0.651 Illustrative 0.60 0.60 0.50 0.25 0.15 0.10 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

  14. Slide 14: Performance targets and capital guidance 2018-2020

    Performance targets and capital guidance 2018-2020 Cost/income ratio1 Profitability & growth1 Capital & resource guidance Group <75% ~15% RoTE2 excl. DTAs ~13% fully applied CET1 capital ratio ~3.7% fully applied CET1 leverage ratio Global Wealth Management 65-75% 10-15% PBT growth3 2-4% NNM growth

  15. Slide 15: UBS Group AG results (consolidated)

    UBS Group AG results (consolidated) CHFm, except where indicated FY16 FY17 4Q16 1Q17 2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 Total operating income 28,320 29,067 7,055 7,532 7,269 7,145 7,122 Total operating expenses 24,230 23,658 6,308 5,842 5,767 5,924 6,125 Profit before tax as reported 4,090 5,409 746 1,690 1,502 1,221

  16. Slide 16: Global WM

    Global WM PBT up 18% on positive operating leverage, strong invested asset and loan growth 4% positive operating leverage m Operating income +6% 133 (1) 1,025 (68) 59 31 Costs +2% 871 4Q16 PBT Transaction- Net interest Recurring net Other income / Costs 4Q17 PBT based income income fee income CLE Ef

  17. Slide 17: Personal & Corporate Banking

    Personal & Corporate Banking Best fourth quarter PBT since the crisis; highest FY NNBV growth since FY03 Net interest 161 159 157 157 154 margin bps  PBT up 8%, concluding a strong year despite ongoing 395 437 436 428 headwinds from negative interest rates Profit 379 before tax m  Transaction-base

  18. Slide 18: Asset Management

    Asset Management Very strong net new money; invested assets up 18% YoY 156 153 123 133 116 Profit before tax  Net management fees down 6%, driven by the sale of fund m administration servicing units and a positive effect of fee true- 499 494 ups in 4Q16 450 479 469 31 26 36 38 27 Operating 468 443

  19. Slide 19: Investment Bank

    Investment Bank Full year PBT stable and RoAE 16% in a challenging environment 558 Profit 419  PBT reflected a challenging environment and higher CLE before 344 352 tax 168 m  CCS down 9%, ECM and DCM growth offset by lower 1,936 2,098 1,919 Advisory 1,800 1,697 708 718 732 ICS down 8% Operating 7

  20. Slide 20: Corporate Center

    Corporate Center Profit before tax 4Q16 1Q17 2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 (234) (269) (479) (515) (764) Corporate Center total (m) Corporate Center results by unit (m) Services Operating income (59) (18) (20) (70) (46) Operating expenses 216 189 117 322 (114) o/w before allocations 2,028 1,983 1,912 2,122 2,072 2

  21. Slide 21: Streamlining the Corporate Center

    Streamlining the Corporate Center Significant improvement in Corporate Center performance PBT excl. litigation1 Litigation expense1 (1,295) (1,515) (1,971) Corporate Center PBT m (2,865) (1,495) (2,101) (2,606) (2,933) 2014 2015 2016 2017 Numbers in CHFm and adjusted unless otherwise indicated; refe

  22. Slide 22: FY17 tax expense

    FY17 tax expense Net profit reflects the enactment of the US Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) 5,409 (1,575) 272 (2,865) 1,165 (76) Profit Tax expense related to Ordinary annual Net DTA write-down Non-controlling Net before tax FY17 taxable profits DTA revaluation related to TCJA interests profit  US fe

  23. Slide 23: Capital and leverage ratios (fully applied)

    Capital and leverage ratios (fully applied) FY17 CET1 capital accretion 2.1bn in addition to dividend accruals Loss-absorbing capacity Capital ratio1 Leverage ratio bn % % Total loss- 1.1.20 78.5 1.1.20 absorbing 33.0% Capital ratio Leverage ratio capacity (TLAC) requirements requirements 31.1% 69.2

  24. Slide 24: Summary

    Summary Strong FY17 profits and >2bn CET1 capital accretion in 2017, CHF 0.65 dividend per share, up 8% Initiating a 3 year share buy-back program of up to CHF 2bn, targeting up to CHF 550m in 2018 Attractive and flexible capital returns policy Strategically investing in technology Numbers in CHF un

  25. Slide 25: Appendix

    Appendix &%% UBS

  26. Slide 26: Global Wealth Management

    Global Wealth Management Strong PBT growth on 4% operating leverage 20 19 19 18 Net margin 17 bps  PBT up 18% as operating income increased by 6% and 1,050 1,013 1,041 1,025 expenses increased by 2% 871 Profit before tax m 3,847 3,979 3,959 3,967 4,068 720  Operating income up 6% on higher recurri

  27. Slide 27: Global WM – regional performance

    Global WM – regional performance Americas1 Asia Pacific Switzerland Europe Emerging markets 6,822 advisors 1,037 advisors 743 advisors 1,265 advisors 651 advisors 7% 166 51% 17% Invested 402 9% assets 1,195 31.12.17, 204 bn 16% 373 Profit contribution 33% 21% 16% 16% 14% FY2 37 36 38 38 41 35 36 36

  28. Slide 28: Wealth Management

    Wealth Management Solid end to a very strong year; 8% operating leverage 29 27 26 Net margin 21 23 bps  PBT up 25%, driven by strong revenue momentum and lower 727 691 701 Profit 5731 640 litigation expenses before 511 tax m 1,782 1,929 1,882 1,915 1,899  Operating income up 7%, with strong progre

  29. Slide 29: Wealth Management Americas (USD)

    Wealth Management Americas (USD) Record quarter to end a record year 13 12 11 12 13 Net margin bps  PBT up 9% on record revenues 358 351 390 324 330 Profit before tax m 2,200 2,049 2,053 2,132 2,126 372 396 390 348 383  Operating income up 7%, driven by recurring revenue lines Operating 429 4321 4

  30. Slide 30: Net tax expense and deferred tax assets (DTAs)

    Net tax expense and deferred tax assets (DTAs) Net tax expense Tax loss DTAs1,2 m bn, 31.12.17 4Q17 FY17 US UK CH Other Total Net deferred tax expense/(benefit) Recognized 5.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 5.7 5.7 (98) (272) with respect to net additional DTAs Unrecognized 7.9 2.3 0.0 1.2 11.2 11.1 of which: US (115)

  31. Slide 31: Net cost reduction

    Net cost reduction Cost base and net cost reductions bn 0.9bn1 1.2bn 1 23.9 1.1 22.5 0.7 0.9 0.3 5.8 6.3 3 0.8 0.2 0.1 (0.2) (0.1) (2.1) 10.3 9.1 1.5 2 0.2 0.7 0.6 16.3 15.0 15.0 8.6 7.8 FY13 FY15 FY15 FX Gross Increased Increased FY17 FX Incremental Dec-17 savings business permanent net cost annual

  32. Slide 32: Swiss SRB leverage ratio requirements

    Swiss SRB leverage ratio requirements UBS leverage ratio balance1 Requirements Meeting 1.1.20 requirements TLAC-eligible debt • 3.15% (27.9bn) existing UBS Group AG TLAC bonds2 2.0% • 14.6bn long-term debt maturing before 1.1.20 not counted in total loss absorbing capacity6 which may be replaced upo

  33. Slide 33: Net interest income

    Net interest income Continued upward trajectory for NII based on implied forwards Incremental NII based on 31.12.17 implied forwards1 LIBOR and EURIBOR implied forwards2 bn, assuming static balance sheet, constant FX rates and no management action As of 31.12.17, % 2018 2019 2020 2.5 vs. 2017 vs. 20

  34. Slide 34: CHF strengthening

    Earnings – illustration of FX translation impact Illustrative foreign currency translation impact on consensus Group PBT Group indicative currency distribution FX translation impact vs. FY18 consensus PBT of 7.5 billion2,3,4 as % of total for 20181 CHFbn, adjusted excluding litigation, change relati

  35. Slide 35: Share buy-back program

    Share buy-back program • Up to a maximum of CHF 2bn purchase value of UBS Group AG ordinary shares with up to CHF 550m Value in 2018¹ • We will publish a formal announcement and commence the buy-back program following approval by the Swiss Takeover Board • Commencement is expected around March 2018

  36. Slide 36: Regional performance – 4Q17

    Regional performance – 4Q17 bn Americas Asia Pacific EMEA Switzerland Global Total 4Q16 4Q17 4Q16 4Q17 4Q16 4Q17 4Q16 4Q17 4Q16 4Q17 4Q16 4Q17 WM 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.8 0.9 0.4 0.4 (0.0) 0.0 1.8 1.9 WMA 2.1 2.2 - - - - - - - - 2.1 2.2 P&C - - - - - - 0.9 1.0 - - 0.9 1.0 Operating AM 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

  37. Slide 37: Regional performance – FY17

    Regional performance – FY17 bn Americas Asia Pacific EMEA Switzerland Global Total 2016 2017 2016 2017 2016 2017 2016 2017 2016 2017 2016 2017 WM 0.4 0.3 2.0 2.2 3.4 3.5 1.5 1.6 (0.0) 0.0 7.3 7.6 WMA 7.8 8.3 - - - - - - - - 7.8 8.3 P&C - - - - - - 3.9 3.8 - - 3.9 3.8 Operating AM 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4

  38. Slide 38: Adjusted results

    Adjusted results Adjusting items FY16 FY17 4Q16 1Q17 2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 m Operating income as reported (Group) 28,320 29,067 7,055 7,532 7,269 7,145 7,122 of which: WM 21 WMA 10 10 Gains on sale of financial assets available for sale P&C 102 IB 78 136 78 107 29 WM (23) Gains/(losses) on sales of subsidi

  39. Slide 39: Important information related to this presentation

    Important information related to this presentation Use of adjusted numbers Unless otherwise indicated, “adjusted” figures exclude the adjustment items listed on the previous slide, to the extent applicable, on a Group and business division level. Adjusted results are a non-GAAP financial measure as

UBS Group — FY2017 Earnings Presentation on 6ix