Tribeca Global Natural Resources Ltd. · ASX:TGF

Tribeca Global Natural Resources — Investor Presentation (January 2026)

45 slides from Tribeca Global Natural Resources's investor presentation, Jan 27, 2026

  1. Slide 1: ASX announcement: Investor Update January 2026

    27 January 2026 ASX Market Announcements ASX Limited 20 Bridge Street Sydney NSW 2000 BY ELECTRONIC LODGEMENT For personal use only Investor Update – January 2026 Please find attached the Investor Update Presentation. The information contained in this document has been prepared for use in conjunctio

  2. Slide 2: Tribeca Global Natural Resources Ltd Investor Update January 2026

    For personal use only Tribeca Global Natural Resources Ltd (ASX:TGF) Ben Cleary, Portfolio Manager Todd Warren, Partner Investor Update January 2026 Private And Confidential. Not For Public Distribution. 1 January 2026

  3. Slide 3: Disclaimer

    Disclaimer This presentation has been prepared for Tribeca Global Natural Resources Limited (ABN 16 627 596 418) (“TGF”) by its investment manager, Tribeca Global Resources Pty Ltd (ABN 11 606 707 662) (“Tribeca”) under AFS License 239070 (Tribeca Investment Partners Pty Ltd). The information contai

  4. Slide 4: Executive Summary

    Executive Summary • Performance Update: The Company’s CY25 return of 60.3% significantly outperformed all major natural resources indices, For personal use only with the Bloomberg Energy Commodity Index, S&P GSCI, S&P Global Natural Resources Index and ASX Resources Index down 14%, flat, up 25% and

  5. Slide 5: Performance Update

    Performance Update Performance Attribution by Sector (2025 CYTD) • The Company delivered a return of 60.3% in CY25 For personal use only PRECIOUS METALS • Significantly outperformed all major natural resources indices BASE METALS o Bloomberg Energy Commodity Index down 14% URANIUM o S&P GSCI flat o

  6. Slide 6: Performance Update: monthly returns and NTA vs share price

    Performance Update FY Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun YTD 2018 - 2019 -0.07% -0.36% -0.71% 0.16% -0.44% -0.16% 0.25% -3.24% 0.78% -3.78% For personal use only 2019 - 2020 -0.52% -1.93% -0.54% 0.60% 0.79% 3.67% -7.68% -7.52% -9.48% 5.74% 0.47% -13.96% -27.95% 2020 - 2021 4.52% -0.19%

  7. Slide 7: Performance Update: Historical Exposures

    Performance Update Historical Exposures 180% For personal use only Long Exposure (%) Short Exposure (%) Gross Exposure (%) Net Exposure (%) 160% 140% 120% 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% -20% Jun-23 Oct-23 Apr-24 Jun-24 Oct-24 Apr-25 Jun-25 Oct-25 Jul-23 Aug-23 Feb-24 Jul-24 Aug-24 Feb-25 Jul-25 Aug-25 May-

  8. Slide 8: Tribeca Portfolio Provides Risk Controlled Exposure to Structural Themes

    Tribeca Portfolio Provides Risk Controlled Exposure to Structural Themes Tribeca portfolio provides investors with diversified & risk-controlled exposure to structural themes compared to indices and single sector names For personal use only S&P GSCI Index Percentage Sector Weights (2025) Energy ~20%

  9. Slide 9: Delivering Shareholder Returns Through Special Situations

    Delivering Shareholder Returns Through Special Situations Return of select equities since TGF deal participation TGF’s proprietary research and relationships ensures its regular participation in Share price performance (%, local currency) the sector’s highest quality equity capital markets deals For

  10. Slide 10: Delivering Shareholder Returns Through Active Engagement

    Delivering Shareholder Returns Through Active Engagement Tribeca Key Proposals Outcome $50 For personal use only Divest US onshore oil assets Sold for US$10.5bn $40 Return capital to shareholders Dividend raised $30 +130% New CEO, CFO and Chairman New CEO, CFO, Chair $20 Leave DLC structure intact E

  11. Slide 11: Delivering Shareholder Returns Through Narrowing Discount

    Delivering Shareholder Returns Through Narrowing Discount NTA continues to break out, which has seen the discount narrow from ~35% to ~20%, leaving a significant value creation opportunity For personal use only NTA (post-tax) Discount to NTA 0% • TGF’s discount to NTA has narrowed from ~35%, as of A

  12. Slide 12: Market Structure Remains Strong

    For personal use only Market Structure Remains Strong 11 January 2026

  13. Slide 13: Same Structural Drivers To Support Resources in 2026

    Same Structural Drivers To Support Resources in 2026 Resources equities rallied +25% last year… consensus is for +19% in 2026 S&P Global Natural Resources Index Price (USD) Commodities increasingly strategic For personal use only 2025 2026 Consensus Forecast • Heightened geopolitical tensions fuel s

  14. Slide 14: Commodities Increasingly Strategic

    For personal use only Commodities Increasingly Strategic 13 January 2026

  15. Slide 15: Copper Recognised as Pivotal to Energy Security

    Copper Recognised as Pivotal to Energy Security The US imports 91% of its refined copper demand … … And the importance of access to the red metal has been made clear US President Donald Trump with the CEO’s of Rio Tinto and BHP Official and unofficial presidential comments regarding copper For perso

  16. Slide 16: Nuclear Critical To the AI Race

    Nuclear Critical To the AI Race AI demand fuelling data centre growth, calling on nuclear power… … But uranium production, conversion, enrichment are key bottlenecks Data centre power demand capacity Global nuclear fuel supply chain control by country For personal use only Kazakhstan Canada Namibia

  17. Slide 17: Rare Earths Required to Build Out Defence

    Rare Earths Required to Build Out Defence China is punching well above its weight vs resource endowment … which poses a significant issue for the US defence sector Rare earths elements supply chain How rare earths are used in US defence For personal use only China US Australia Myanmar Others 100% F-

  18. Slide 18: Global Tensions Reaching Fever Pitch

    Global Tensions Reaching Fever Pitch For personal use only Sources: Tribeca Investment Partners, Financial Times, Reuters, Australian Financial Review, Bloomberg, BBC, Fortune. 17 January 2026

  19. Slide 19: Fundamentals Remain Attractive

    For personal use only Fundamentals Remain Attractive

  20. Slide 20: Structural Deficits for Key Commodities

    Structural Deficits for Key Commodities Mined Copper Supply and Demand Forecasts (incl. AI effects) Uranium Concentrate Supply and Demand Forecasts For personal use only 30,000 200,000 Demand UPPER Scenario incl. AI / Demand DCs 180,000 Existing Mines 28,000 Non-committed mine projects (@ 100%) Rest

  21. Slide 21: Global Power Consumption Increasing as a Result of Electrification

    Global Power Consumption Increasing as a Result of Electrification US Electricity Generation 5-year CAGR EU-27 Electricity Generation 5-year CAGR 5.0% 5.0% For personal use only 4.0% 4.0% 3.0% 3.0% 2.0% 2.0% 1.0% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% -1.0% -1.0% -2.0% -2.0% 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 2011 2014 201

  22. Slide 22: Supply Materially Constrained by Underinvestment, Lack of Discoveries

    Supply Materially Constrained by Underinvestment, Lack of Discoveries Copper Projects Sanctioned (Target Capacity ktpa) vs Price (Usc/lb) Major Copper Discoveries Over Time Expansion Extension Greenfield Restart Price (RHS) Mt US$bn For personal use only 2,500 500 180 5.0 160 4.5 450 2,000 4.0 140 C

  23. Slide 23: Existing And Future Supply Constantly Challenged

    Existing And Future Supply Constantly Challenged 2026 copper mine production guidance reduced by 917kt over 2025 2026 copper mine production guidance For personal use only 15 14.5 14 13.5 13 12.5 12 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2023 2024 2025 Sources: Tribeca Investment Partners, Visible Alph

  24. Slide 24: Mine Development A Key Constraint, Particularly for Base Metals

    Mine Development A Key Constraint, Particularly for Base Metals Average lead times of mines from discovery to production, 2002-2023 Copper and nickel mines take 6-24mths longer than the average to get from discovery to production For personal use only Discovery, exploration, studies Construction dec

  25. Slide 25: Durable Rotation Underway

    For personal use only Durable Rotation Underway 24 January 2026

  26. Slide 26: Just The Start of Real Asset / Real Economy Rotation

    Just The Start of Real Asset / Real Economy Rotation 1.1 Real Assets Relative To Financial Assets Since 1925 Rotation From Digital to Real Economy Underway S&P500 sector market cap, % of total 70 For personal use only 1 War on Inflation Real economy: industrials + financials + energy + materials 0.9

  27. Slide 27: Cyclicals Set to Outperform Defensives as Positioning Bottoms

    Cyclicals Set to Outperform Defensives as Positioning Bottoms LO funds’ exposure to cyclical vs defensive sectors is near all-time lows HFs’ exposure to cyclical vs. defensive sectors has been increasing LO fund relative positioning in cyclical vs defensive sectors (Nov 2025) HFs cyclical vs. defens

  28. Slide 28: Evolution of ESG policies by Big Asset Managers Will Drive Flow Back into Resources

    Evolution of “ESG” policies by BIG Asset Managers will drive flow BACK into Resources For personal use only The $12 trillion world’s largest asset manager has changed its tune on how it implements ESG policy. ESG 1.0 ESG 2.0 ESG 3.0 “move to divest thermal coal assets and put “foresighted companies

  29. Slide 29: The Woke Unwind Accelerated in 2025

    The “Woke Unwind” Accelerated in 2025 US investor flows in sustainable equity funds % vs prior period For personal use only Sustainable Funds All Funds ESG 4.0 0.40% US investor flows 0.20% into ETFs have been broadly Since December 2024, EIGHT of the world’s largest financial neutral in 2025 0.00%

  30. Slide 30: Materials Exposure Modest And Metals & Mining Remain Big Underweights

    Materials Exposure Modest And Metals & Mining Remain Big Underweights LO and HF exposure to materials is low relative to history … And fund managers are most underweight Metals & Mining Relative Weight of Materials in LO & HF holdings (as of Nov 2025) LO industry exposure (Nov 2025) For personal use

  31. Slide 31: Energy A Key Beneficiary With Positioning Scorched Earth

    Energy A Key Beneficiary With Positioning Scorched Earth Long Only exposure to Energy is low vs history … With fund managers are most underweight upstream players Funds’ relative weight in Energy vs S&P 500 index over time (Nov 2025) Industry exposure (Nov 2025) For personal use only LOs' Relative W

  32. Slide 32: Metal & Energy Producers Set to Benefit, Return to Long Term Average Multiples

    Metal & Energy Producers Set to Benefit, Return to Long Term Average Multiples The S&P Metals and Mining Index EV/EBITDA relative to the S&P Whereas The EBITDA multiple for the broader energy sector is 500 is now at its long-term average... trading near its record discount to the S&P 500 For persona

  33. Slide 33: Mark-To-Market Valuations Show Miners Remain Cheap

    Mark-To-Market Valuations Show Miners Remain Cheap Premium / (Discount) of Spot EV/EBITDA vs 5yr Average Diversified Miners Copper Miners Precious Metal Miners Aluminium Miners For personal use only 80% 60% 60% 40% 36% 31% 25% 18% 19% 20% 16% 0% -1% -4% -9% -8% -7% -12% -20% -20% -18% -18% -22% -21%

  34. Slide 34: Key Ideas

    For personal use only Key Ideas 33 January 2026

  35. Slide 35: Hemlo Mining Corporation (HMMC CN)

    Hemlo Mining Corporation (HMMC CN) Sector Precious Metals Hemlo is a long-lived asset in a tier one jurisdiction Position Type Special Situations Regional map of the Hemlo Gold Mine For personal use only Theme Catalyst Rich • A new Canadian-focused mid-tier gold producer. • Recently acquired an unlo

  36. Slide 36: Cyprium Metals (CYM AU)

    Cyprium Metals (CYM AU) Sector Base Metals Cyprium Metals’ infrastructure remains in good shape Position Type Special Situations Nifty Copper Project electrowinning circuit For personal use only Theme Critical Minerals • A severely mispriced, transformational copper story • The Nifty Copper Project

  37. Slide 37: 6K Additive (6KA AU)

    6K Additive (6KA AU) Sector Battery Metals Peers paint an attractive valuation picture Position Type Special Situations Company comparison For personal use only Theme Critical Minerals Market cap ~280 ~2,600 ~350 ~420 • US-based global leader in sustainable metal powders & alloys (A$m)1 • Produces t

  38. Slide 38: An Opportune Time To Be Adding Exposure

    An Opportune Time To Be Adding Exposure For personal use only • Market Structure Remains Strong: o The US push for energy and defence security is driving a critical minerals bull market that TGF is well positioned to capitalise on. Fundamentals remain attractive and investor positioning remains disl

  39. Slide 39: Appendix

    For personal use only Appendix 38 January 2026

  40. Slide 40: Appendix: Strategy Features

    Appendix: Strategy Features Actively Managed Constrained Leverage • Actively managed, specialized long short • Low gross positioning to achieve For personal use only strategy Variable Net <200% Gross superior risk adjusted returns with Exposure Exposure low correlation to major asset classes High Co

  41. Slide 41: Appendix: Investment Universe

    Appendix: Investment Universe A flexible approach enables allocation to sectors presenting the best risk-reward opportunities. Clean Energy & Transition Fuels Metals & Mining Soft Commodities For personal use only Oil & Gas Base Metals Crops Uranium Bulks Agriculture Hydrogen Specialty Metals Aquacu

  42. Slide 42: Appendix: Investment Process

    Appendix: Investment Process Investment Process Commodity Ranking Macro Overlay Fundamental Research Investment Idea Generation Implementation For personal use only • Global commodity demand and • Analysis of investor positioning • Sector and stock specific • Investments expressed based • High convi

  43. Slide 43: Appendix: Sources of Alpha

    Appendix: Sources of Alpha • Flexibility within the mandate to take advantage of different types of trades across the natural resources complex, depending on best risk- reward and market environment. For personal use only • Weighting of different types of trades will vary depending on prevailing mar

  44. Slide 44: Appendix: Key Personnel

    Appendix: Key Personnel Ben Cleary Investment Team Portfolio Manager Ben is the Portfolio For personal use only Manager for the Tribeca Global Natural Resources Fund. He is the Investment Manager of Todd Warren Guy Keller Jack Gallagher Ted Coupland Simon Brown ASX-listed Tribeca Global Partner Comm

  45. Slide 45: Investor Relations

    For personal use only Investor Relations Email: TGFinvestors@tribecaip.com.au Web: www.tribecaip.com/lic Sydney Tribeca Investment Partners Pty Ltd Level 23, 1 O’Connell Street Sydney NSW 2000 Tel: +61 2 9640 2600 Singapore Tribeca Investment Partners Pte Ltd Level 16, Singapore Land Tower 50 Raffle

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