THOR Industries, Inc. · NYSE:THO
THOR Industries — Investor Presentation (December 2006)
34 slides from THOR Industries's investor presentation, December 2006
Slide 1: Driving For Excellence
Driving For Excellence www.thorindustries.com 2006
Slide 2: Forward Looking Statements
FORWARD LOOKING STATEMENTS This presentation contains forwardlooking statements within the meaning of the private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Investors are cautioned that forwardlooking statements are inherently uncertain. A number of factors could cause actual results to differ mate
Slide 3: Driving For Excellence
Driving For Excellence • #1 in two markets, RVs and Buses. • Cash of $207 million on 10/31/06 and zero debt. • Generates substantial cash. • Profitable every year since inception; only company. • $3.066 billion sales in fiscal 2006. • Increased annual pershare dividend payout rate from $.02 to $.
Slide 4: Company History
Company History • Founded in 1980 • Built from scratch • IPO 1984, NYSE 1986 • Largest builder of RVs 29% of industry 90% of sales • Largest builder of midsize buses 38% of industry 10% of sales
Slide 5: Sales ($ millions)
Sales ($ millions) 4% $3,066 $3,000 $2,558 $2,500 Excluding $75 million of $2,188 extraordinary hurricane relief sales last year, sales were up $2,000 6% $1,571 $1,500 $1,245 $822 $761 $1,000 $728 $500 $0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 3 m o nths 3 m o nths 10/31/05 10/31/06 Years ended 7/31
Slide 6: Product Revenue Breakout
PRODUCT REVENUE BREAKOUT 10% 5% 14% Class Cs Class As BUS MOTORIZED 2% Park Models 5th Wheels Travel Trailers 35% TOWABLES Buses 71% fastest growing and most stable RV segment 34%
Slide 7: Net Income ($ millions)
Net Income ($ millions) $ 200 25% $172.5 $ 150 $121.8 $106.1 $ 100 $78.6 $51.2 $43.4 $ 50 $32.6 $26.7 $0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 3 mont hs 3 mont hs 10/ 31/ 05 10/ 31/ 06 Years ended 7/31
Slide 8: E.P.S.
E.P.S. 23% $3.05 $3.00 $2.15 $2.25 $1.85 $1.50 $1.38 $.94 $.77 $0.75 $.56 $.59 $0.00 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 3 mont hs 3 mont hs 2005 2006 Years ended 7/31
Slide 9: Backlog ($ millions)
BACKLOG ($ millions) (as of October 31) 2006 2005 % change RV Towables $120 $252 52% Motorized 68 81 16% Subtotal 188 333 43% Bus 218 140 +55% Total $406 $473 14%
Slide 10: RV Sales ($ millions)
RV Sales ($ millions) 29% Market Share $2,751 $2,800 7% $2,400 $2,308 TOWABLES $2,174 12% $1,973 TOWABLES $2,000 Market Share Excluding $75 million of $1,742 extraordinary hurricane related revenues, RV sales $1,600 $1,354 TOWABLES were up 5%. $1,434 $1,200 TOWABLES $973 $1,126 MOTORIZED MOTORIZED
Slide 11: RV Income Before Taxes ($ millions)
RV Income Before Taxes ($millions) $300 $270.3 TOWABLES $242.9 $225 $193.2 $173.0 TOWABLES $150 TOWABLES $144.9 $168.6 29% $122.7 TOWABLES $110.7 $77.5 $69.8 $75 $49.7 TOWABLES MOTORIZED MOTORIZED $61.4 TOWABLES $25.3 MOTORIZED $28.1 MOTORIZED $24.6 $27.4 $43.6 $12.0 MOTORIZED MOTORIZED $8.3 $6.1 $
Slide 12: Bus Sales ($ millions)
Bus Sales ($ millions) 38% Market Share 37% Market Share $316 $292 $300 $271 $250 $217 $215 +16% $200 $92 $100 $79 $0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 3 months 3 months 10/31/05 10/31/06 Years ended 7/31
Slide 13: Bus Income Before Taxes ($ millions)
Bus Income Before Taxes ($ millions) $30 $20.2 $20 $15.0 + 51% $12.3 $9.6 $9.4 $10 $7.5 $2.0 $3.0 $0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 3 months 3 months 2005 2006 Years ended 7/31
Slide 14: U.S. RV Industry Shipments
U.S. RV Industry Shipments • Industry shipments up 3.9% in 2005 to 384,400 units, a record. • Travel trailers and fifth wheels (93% of our RV unit sales) up 10.5% in 2005. • Motor homes down 14.5% in 2005. • Travel trailer and fifth wheels units +10.2% through 10/31/06. • Motor home units 10.5% thr
Slide 15: Favorable Demographic Trends
Favorable Demographic Trends • Baby Boomers (5564) are industry “sweet spot”. • 78 million with discretionary wealth and leisure time. • Want the freedom that RVing offers. • 27% of U.S. population is over 55. Controls 75% of U.S.financial wealth. • Growing by 350,000 monthly.
Slide 16: Baby Boomers
BABY BOOMERS • 5564 age group will grow 48% between now and 2010. That is 5 times the expected 9% growth of the total population. +48% 50% 40% 30% 20% +9% 10% 0% Total Population 5564 Age Group *U.S. Census Bureau, 2000
Slide 17: Thor - Taking Advantage of Positive RV Growth Factors
Thor Taking Advantage of Positive RV Growth Factors • Major upgrade and expansion of physical plant. – Added over 3.7 million sq. ft. of stateoftheart manufacturing space in last 5 years. • Spent $30 million in fiscal 2006 and $48 million in fiscal 2005 in capital projects. – Keystone plant of
Slide 18: Thor RV Innovation
Thor RV Innovation Keystone Montana Dutchmen Grand Junction Four Winds Mandalaydiesel motor home CrossRoads Zinger
Slide 19: Thor RV Innovation
Thor RV Innovation Airstream International Travel Trailer with high design interior appealing to younger buyers.
Slide 20: U.S. RV Industry
U.S. RV Industry Retail registrations (units) THOR’S PURCHASING LEVERAGE 9 months ended 9/30/06 SHARE TOTAL* 2006 2005 Thor 68,145 28.9% 27.4% Forest River 34,129 14.5% 14.0% Fleetwood 19,707 8.3% 10.3% Jayco 19,075 8.1% 7.7% Monaco 12,824 5.4% 6.3% Coachmen 7,836 3.3% 4.6% Winnebago 7,752 3.3% 3.3%
Slide 21: U.S. Mid-Size Bus Industry
U.S. MidSize Bus Industry • Midsize buses are the most cost effective, common sense mass transportation. – Vastly superior fuel economy. – Much lower up front and operating costs. • Up 11% in 2005 to 12,395 units versus 11,196 units in 2004 and is up 9.3% in the first 9 months of 2006. • Industry
Slide 22: Thor Bus Leads the Industry
Thor Bus Leads the Industry • #1 in $900+ million industry. • 38% market share. • Larger than next two competitors combined. • Leader in low cost, fuel efficient transit, alternative fuels. • Entered 40ft. low floor bus industry.
Slide 23: Thor Bus Leads the Industry
Thor Bus Leads the Industry • Profits are improving. • Best sales and service network. • 90% of our buses have certified 5year life. Must be replaced. October 31, 2006 backlog up 55%. • Sales in fiscal 2005 were up 16%. • Sales in fiscal 2006 were up 26%. • Sales in Q1 2007 were up 16%. • Certified
Slide 24: Thor Bus Innovation
Thor Bus Innovation 40 ft. lowfloor Axess Aero Elite 35 ft. lowfloor EZ Rider II Max Aerotech
Slide 25: Corporate Integrity
Corporate Integrity • No excessive compensation, stock options, or restricted stock for Chairman or Vice Chairman. • Compensation philosophy simple: – Pay key people primarily cash, without a cap, based on income before taxes. – Stock options, restricted stock, etc. minimal. About 1¢ per share. • No
Slide 26: Thor Highlights
Thor Highlights 3 Months Ended 10/31/06 SALES NET INCOME E.P.S. $1,000 $100 $1.00 $761 $.77 $728 $.59 $500 $50 $43.4 $.50 $32.6 $761 $728 $0 $0 $.00 2005 2006 2005 2006 2005 2006 4% 25% 23% $ millions, except E.P.S.
Slide 27: Major Goals
Major Goals • Expanding #1 position in our two industries, highly profitably. • Not satisfied. No complacency, raising the bar. • 20% net income growth per year. 15% sales growth. • Continued margin improvement. – Increased revenues. – Purchasing leverage. – Cost reductions. • Increase shareholder v
Slide 28: Stock Performance
Stock Performance As of December 7, 2006 5 year MARKET CAPITALIZATION Price (000) Growth** •THO +373% $ 2,470,000* •WGO + 106% $ 1,100,000 •COA + 2% $ 171,000 •MNC 30% $ 406,000 •FLE 21% $ 528,000 •NVH 57% $ 44,000 •S&P 500 + 21% N/A ** Adjusted for stock splits and dividends. * Thor market ca
Slide 29: Unsurpassed Growth Record
Unsurpassed Growth Record Over the past 5 years: • Sales have grown at an average compound rate of 31%. • Net income has grown at an average compound rate of 47%. • E.P.S. has grown at an average compound rate of 41%.
Slide 30: Late Breaking News
LATE BREAKING NEWS • Thor travel trailer and fifth wheel retail sales up 2.9% through September 2006. Industry down 1.1%. Market share is 32.1%, up from 31.0%. • Thor motor home retail sales down less than 1% through October 2006. Industry segment down 11.5%. Thor motorized market share 14.2% vs. 12
Slide 31: Class A Unit Retail Sales October
Class A Unit Retail Sales October Month YTD change 2006 2005 change 2006 2005 Thor Gas +15% 226 197 + 8% 2,521 2,337 Diesel + 9% 76 70 +12% 869 775 Total +13% 302 267 + 9% 3,390 3,112 Share up 13.4% 10.2% up 12.4% 9.6% Winnebago Gas 21% 235 297 24% 2,770 3,668 Diesel 23% 124 162 13% 1,410 1,629
Slide 32: More Late Breaking News
MORE LATE BREAKING NEWS • Gasoline prices down over 50¢ per gallon. • Difficult comparisons with last year for towables. • $114 million of hurricane related business in 6 months ended 1/31/06. $75 million in Q1 and $38 million in Q2. • Hurricane related sales last year increased EPS by 19¢. • Tighte
Slide 33: Continuing Strong, Profitable Growth
Continuing Strong, Profitable Growth • Way out performing competition in both segments of RV industry. • Market leader in our two industries. – RV in a growth phase and will continue to be a major cash generator. – Bus has turned the corner and is in an upward trend. • Unmatched RV purchasing power.
Slide 34: Driving For Excellence
Driving For Excellence www.thorindustries.com 2006
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