Ellington Financial Inc. · NYSE:EFC

Ellington Financial — Q2 2020 Earnings Presentation

35 slides from Ellington Financial's earnings presentation, Aug 7, 2020

  1. Slide 1: Second Quarter 2020 Earnings Conference Call

    Second Quarter 2020 Earnings Conference Call August 7, 2020

  2. Slide 2: Important Notice

    Important Notice Forward-Looking Statements This presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements involve numerous risks and uncertainties. Our actual results may diff

  3. Slide 3: Second Quarter Market Update

    Second Quarter Market Update Quarter Ended: 6/30/2020 3/31/2020 Q/Q 12/31/2019 Q/Q 9/30/2019 Q/Q 6/30/2019 Q/Q 3/31/2019 Q/Q UST (%)(1) 3M UST 0.13 0.06 +0.07 1.54 -1.48 1.81 -0.26 2.09 -0.28 2.38 -0.29 2Y UST 0.15 0.25 -0.10 1.57 -1.32 1.62 -0.05 1.75 -0.13 2.26 -0.51 5Y UST 0.29 0.38 -0.09 1.69 -1

  4. Slide 4: Second Quarter Highlights

    Second Quarter Highlights(1)  Our risk and liquidity management enabled us to avoid distressed asset sales during the market turmoil of March and early April, and so we were well positioned to benefit from the rebound in many credit-sensitive Market Volatility fixed income sectors that occurred in

  5. Slide 5: Portfolio Summary as of June 30, 2020

    Portfolio Summary as of June 30, 2020(1) Diversified sources of return to perform over market cycles Average Allocated Fair Value Price WAVG WAVG Equity and Asset Allocation by (2)(6) (4)(6) Strategy Equity ($ in $1,000s) (%) Life Mkt Yield (5)(6) Strategy CREDIT 6% CMBS and Commercial Mortgage Loan

  6. Slide 6: Condensed Consolidated Statement of Operations (Unaudited)

    Condensed Consolidated Statement of Operations (Unaudited) Six-Month Three-Month Period Ended Period Ended (In thousands, except per share data) June 30, 2020 March 31, 2020 June 30, 2020 Net Interest Income Interest income $ 39,281 $ 52,108 $ 91,389 Interest expense (14,686) (22,090) (36,776) Total

  7. Slide 7: Operating Results by Strategy

    Operating Results by Strategy Three-Month Three-Month Period Ended Six-Month Period Ended Per March 31, Per Period Ended Per (In thousands, except per share amounts) June 30, 2020 Share 2020(1) Share(1) June 30, 2020 Share Credit: Interest income and other income (2) $ 36,573 $ 0.82 $ 41,841 $ 0.97

  8. Slide 8: Long Credit Portfolio

    Long Credit Portfolio† 6/30/2020 (1 ) 3/31/2020 (1 ) Equity Cor por ate Debt Equity Cor por ate Debt Investment in & Equity & Investment in & Equity & Loan Or igination Cor por ate Loans Loan Or igination Cor por ate Loans Entities 1% Entities 1% 4% 3% CLO (2) CLO (2) 12% Residential 12% Loans & REO

  9. Slide 9: Long Agency Portfolio

    Long Agency Portfolio Agency Long Portfolio Agency Long Portfolio As of 6/30/2020: $913MM (1) As of 3/31/2020: $1.02BN (1) ARMs Fixed IOs ARMs Fixed IOs < 1% <1% 4% 5% RM Fixed RM Fixed 13% 15% 15-Year Fixed 30-Year 15-Year Fixed Fixed 30-Year Fixed 8% 6% 74% 73% 20-Year Fixed 20-Year < 1% Fixed < 1

  10. Slide 10: Summary of Borrowings

    Summary of Borrowings ($ in thousands) As of 6/30/2020 Three-Month Period Ended 6/30/2020 Weighted Outstanding Average Average Average Collateral Type Borrowings Borrowing Rate Borrowings Cost of Funds (1) (1) (1) (1) Credit $1,341,712 3.12% $1,377,059 3.23% Agency RMBS $851,614 0.40% $907,444 1.02%

  11. Slide 11: Diversified Credit Portfolio

    Diversified Credit Portfolio Other 13% 13% Residential Mortgages - Non-QM Loans - Residential Transition Loans - NPL / RPL 35% 35% - Non-Agency / Non-Conforming - Reverse Mortgages Commercial Mortgages - NPLs - REO 35% - Bridge Loans - CMBS B-Pieces & Credit Bonds 35% - REO 17% 16% Consumer Loans -

  12. Slide 12: Small Balance Commercial Mortgage Loan Portfolio – Detail

    Small Balance Commercial Mortgage Loan Portfolio – Detail(1)(2) Property Type Geography Other, Other, 12% 12% Other, 17% NY, 22% Office, 3% Office, 3% Multifamily, Multifamily 29% Retail, , 29% MO, 5% 11% Retail, 11% UT, 5% Industrial, NJ, 6% FL, 20% 14% Industrial, Hotel, 16% Hotel, 16% 14% Multifa

  13. Slide 13: Stable Economic Return

    Stable Economic Return Standard Deviation of Quarterly Economic Returns of Hybrid REITs Standard Deviation of Q1-2011 – Q1-2020(1)(2) Quarterly Economic 16.0% Returns of Hybrid REITs Q1-2011 – Q1-2020 EFC 3.7% 14.0% Hybrid REIT #02 4.7% Hybrid REIT #03 4.8% 12.0% Hybrid REIT #04 6.0% Hybrid REIT #05

  14. Slide 14: Interest Rate Sensitivity Analysis

    Interest Rate Sensitivity Analysis(1) Estimated Change in Fair Value ($ in thousands) 50 Basis Point Decline in Interest Rates 50 Basis Point Increase in Interest Rates Δ Fair Value % of Total Equity Δ Fair Value % of Total Equity Agency RMBS - ARM Pools $ 689 0.08% $ (401) -0.05% Agency RMBS - Fixe

  15. Slide 15: Commitment to ESG

    Commitment to ESG Ellington is committed to corporate responsibility. We recognize the importance of environmental, social and governance (―ESG‖) factors, and believe that the implementation of ESG policies will benefit our employees, support long-term shareholder performance, and make a positive im

  16. Slide 16: Supplemental Slides

    Ellington Financial Supplemental Slides

  17. Slide 17: Derivatives Summary as of June 30, 2020

    Derivatives Summary as of June 30, 2020(1) Long Short Net ($ in thousands) Notional Notional Notional Fair Value Mortgage-Related Derivatives: CDS on MBS and MBS Indices $ 969 $ (27,859) $ (26,890) $ 7,991 Total Net Mortgage-Related Derivatives 7,991 Corporate-Related Derivatives: CDS on Corporate B

  18. Slide 18: Credit Hedging Portfolio

    Credit Hedging Portfolio(1)(2) Corporate CDS Indices / Tranches / Options / Single Names Single Name ABS CDS and ABX Indices European Sovereign Debt CMBX (3)(4) (4) Units HY CDX OTR Bond Equivalent Value Bond Equivalent Value (4) Market Value Bond Equivalent Value - (10.0) (20.0) (In $Millions) (30.

  19. Slide 19: Agency Interest Rate Hedging Portfolio

    Agency Interest Rate Hedging Portfolio(1) We deploy a dynamic and adaptive hedging strategy to preserve book value As of 6/30/2020 As of 3/31/2020 Short $193.7MM 10-yr equivalents(1) Short $243.5MM 10-yr equivalents(1) TBAs, 6.7% 2-5 Yr Interest TBAs, 19.9% Rate Swaps, <2 Yr Interest 5.0% Rate Swaps

  20. Slide 20: Agency Interest Rate Hedging Portfolio (continued)

    Agency Interest Rate Hedging Portfolio (continued) Exposure to Agency Pools Based on Net Fair Value As of 6/30/2020 As of 3/31/2020 $1,200 $1,200 $1,000 $1,000 $800 $800 Long Agency Long Agency RMBS RMBS $974 $600 $864 $600 ($ in millions) ($ in millions) $400 Net Long $400 Exposure to Net Long Agen

  21. Slide 21: CPR Breakout of Agency Fixed Long Portfolio

    CPR Breakout of Agency Fixed Long Portfolio Agency Fixed Long Portfolio Agency Fixed Long Portfolio Collateral Characteristics and Historical 3-Mo CPR: Collateral Characteristics and Historical 3-Mo CPR: Average for Quarter Ended 6/30/2020 (1) Average for Quarter Ended 3/31/2020 (1) Jumbo Other Loan

  22. Slide 22: Repo Borrowings

    Repo Borrowings(1) ($ in tho usands) Repo Borrowings as of June 30, 2020 Borrowings by Days to Maturity % of Total Remaining Days to Maturity Credit Agency U.S. Treasury Total Borrowings 3% 15% 19% 30 Days or Less $47,042 $194,313 — $241,355 18.7% 4% 31-90 Days 193,090 567,251 — 760,341 58.8% 91-180

  23. Slide 23: Gross Profit and Loss

    Gross Profit and Loss(1) Resilient profit generation over market cycles Six-Month Period Years Ended Ended June 30 ($ In thousands) 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 Long: Credit $ (79,233) -10.6% $ 73,919 11.6% $ 61,201 10.0% $ 61,136 9.6% $ 36,203 5.3% $ 46,892 6.1% $ 77,636 11.4% Credit Hedge an

  24. Slide 24: Diluted Book Value per Share

    Total Return Since Inception EFC has successfully preserved book value over market cycles, while producing strong results for investors  EFC life-to-date diluted net asset value-based total return from inception in August 2007 through Q2 2020 is approximately 184%, or 8.4% annualized(1) $45.00 DBVP

  25. Slide 25: Capital, Leverage & Portfolio Composition

    Capital, Leverage & Portfolio Composition Capital Usage Across Entire Portfolio(1) Leverage by Strategy (Debt-to-Equity)(1) 10.0 10.1 9.8 10.2 5.0 6/30/2020 9.0 8.0 4.5 7.0 4.0 3/31/2020 4.0 3.8 6.5 3.5 3.5 12/31/2019 3.0 2.7 2.5 9/30/2019 2.3 2.3 2.2 2.0 2.1 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 1

  26. Slide 26: Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheet (Unaudited)

    Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheet (Unaudited) June 30, March 31, (In thousands, except share amounts) 2020 2020 ASSETS Cash and cash equivalents $ 146,531 $ 136,740 Restricted cash 175 175 Securities, at fair value 1,396,008 1,481,395 Loans, at fair value 1,416,851 1,443,589 Investments in uncons

  27. Slide 27: Condensed Consolidated Statement of Operations (Unaudited)

    Condensed Consolidated Statement of Operations (Unaudited) Six-Month Three-Month Period Ended Period Ended (In thousands, except per share data) June 30, 2020 March 31, 2020 June 30, 2020 Net Interest Income Interest income $ 39,281 $ 52,108 $ 91,389 Interest expense (14,686) (22,090) (36,776) Total

  28. Slide 28: Reconciliation of Net Income (Loss) to Core Earnings

    Reconciliation of Net Income (Loss) to Core Earnings(1) Six-Month Three-Month Period Ended Period Ended (In thousands, except per share amounts) June 30, 2020 March 31, 2020 June 30, 2020 Net income (loss) $ 40,439 $ (128,342) $ (87,903) Income tax expense (benefit) 1,542 (547) 995 Net income (loss)

  29. Slide 29: About Ellington Management Group

    About Ellington Management Group Ellington Profile As of 6/30/2020 Founded: 1994 $10.6 14 22 Years of average 8% Billion in Employee-partners industry Management’s Employees: >150 assets under own the firm(2) experience of ownership of EFC, management as of representing Investment Professionals: 61

  30. Slide 30: Investment Highlights of EFC

    Investment Highlights of EFC  Diversified investment portfolio across residential mortgage, commercial mortgage, consumer loan, and corporate loan sectors • Diverse range of strategies designed to generate a high-quality earnings stream • Ability to shift capital allocation across asset classes as

  31. Slide 31: Endnotes

    Endnotes Slide 3 – Second Quarter Market Update (1) Source: Bloomberg (2) Source: Mortgage Bankers Association via Bloomberg (3) LIBOR-based OAS measures the additional yield spread over LIBOR that an asset provides at its current market price after taking into account any interest rate options embe

  32. Slide 32: Endnotes

    Endnotes Slide 7 – Operating Results by Strategy (1) Conformed to current period presentation. (2) Other income primarily consists of rental income on real estate owned and loan origination fees. (3) Includes U.S. Treasury securities, if applicable. (4) Other activities include certain equity and ot

  33. Slide 33: Endnotes

    Endnotes Slide 15 – Commitment to ESG (1) See endnote (9) on slide 4. Slide 17 – Derivatives Summary (1) In the table, fair value of certain derivative transactions are shown on a net basis. The accompanying financial statements separate derivative transactions as either assets or liabilities. As of

  34. Slide 34: Endnotes

    Endnotes Slide 23 – Gross Profit and Loss (1) Gross profit excludes expenses other than interest expense and other investment related expenses. Figures in ―%‖ columns are as a percentage of average equity for the period. Slide 24 – Total Return Since Inception (1) Total return is based on $18.61 net

  35. Slide 35: Investor Relations Contact

    Investors: Investor Relations Ellington Financial LLC (203) 409-3575 Info@ellingtonfinancial.com Media: Amanda Klein or Kevin FitzGerald Gasthalter & Co. for Ellington Financial LLC (212) 257-4170 Ellington@gasthalter.com Ellington Financial LLC 53 Forest Ave Old Greenwich, CT 06870 www.ellingtonfin

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