Vodacom Group Limited · JSE:VOD

Vodacom — H1 2005 Earnings Presentation

45 slides from Vodacom's earnings presentation, Nov 15, 2004

  1. Slide 1: Vodacom Group (Pty) Limited Interim results

    Vodacom Group (Pty) Limited Interim results for the six months ended September 30, 2004 November 15, 2004

  2. Slide 2: Content

    Content Alan Knott-Craig Chief Executive Officer Operational highlights. Leon Crouse Chief Financial Officer Financial review

  3. Slide 3: Operational highlights

    = vodacom Operational highlights Alan Knott-Craig Chief Executive Officer

  4. Slide 4: Group highlights

    Group highlights nas a = Total customers Revenue 13.5 million R13.6 billion R4.2 billion 40.6% 20.3% = 13.4% = =) ¥ r= Operating cash flow Customers per Profit before tax employee R3.8 billion 2,751 R2.6 billion 28.7% - 28.7% - 18.7% -— Interim dividend of R1.6 billion declared -~ Signed Vodafone af

  5. Slide 5: Strategy unchanged

    Strategy unchanged Revenue growth Margin management e Contract market leadership e Leveraging our economies of * Better coverage scale * The continuous introduction * Closer to customers of new high-utility services e Optimising efficiencies e High speed mobile data « Synergy between operations e Ne

  6. Slide 6: Strategic issues

    Strategic issues e Deregulation and liberalisation — Threat and opportunity * Consolidation of service providers e ICT BEE Charter e 3G and data ~ Vodafone affiliate partner program e African strategy — continue with cautious approach — Nigeria still of interest — Evaluate other opportunities — Moza

  7. Slide 7: South Africa - still more market growth

    South Africa - still more market growth Customers (millions) 255 20 + 15 + 10 + Mar-01 Mar-02 Mar-03 Mar-04 Hi 2005 8 Other operators § Vodacom 8 Total

  8. Slide 8: Potential for further growth in South Africa

    Potential for further growth in South Africa chia. ~ com * Potential for further growth — Data focus: Vodafone Live! ~SA market estimated at 31 million e Vodacom is strategically placed for continued leadership — Extensive distribution — Strong recognisable brand — Strong, stable management v SA mar

  9. Slide 9: South Africa - market share 56%

    South Africa - market share 56% Population 47.4 million, penetration 43.1% vodacom % H1 2003 Hi 2004 change e Total customers 8.5 million 11.3 million 33.1% t _ + EBITDA R3,540 million 3,943 million 11.4% * Customers per employee 2,217 2,845 28.7% t as * Capex as a % of revenue 7.8% 8.9% lips a Mark

  10. Slide 10: SA six-monthly gross connections analysis

    SA six-monthly gross analysis connections 3,000 cee 2,681 2,500 2,000 | 8 I Pa & 1,500 + G : 1,273 174.5% © 4,000 | 500 267 110 89 110 87 so fo —o— o> 0 r r H1 2002 H2 2002 H1 2003 H2 2003 H1 2004 H2 2004 H1 2005 =—*= Contract = Prepaid =*SA overall (Incl. community services) 10

  11. Slide 11: Strong SA operational indicators

    Strong SA operational indicators a Beira vodacom e Gross contract connections Vodacom SA customers up 174.5% to a new high «Customers up 33.1% year on *79°° 11,346 year to 11.3 million iz 10,000- e Total traffic increased by 20.4% year on year to 8,000 7.0 billion minutes e Overall ARPU declined bec

  12. Slide 12: Very low contract churn

    Very low contract churn ® Contract churn at all-time SA churn history low of 8.6% 45 aia . 33 30.4 pee Be 30.4 = 219 e Prepaid churn decreased “20 prs ~ to 21.9% aS m= 11.8 404 —« = 8.6 ~Temporary decrease 0 ' poh, Expected 35% 2002 2003 2004 Hi 2005 ——Total churn —s— Contract —*— Prepaid SA inactiv

  13. Slide 13: Tanzania - market share 58%

    Tanzania -— market share 58% Population 36.6 million, penetration 4.0% % H1 2004 Hi2005 _— change _ « Total customers 541,000 952,000 76.0% & * EBITDA R122 million R1i52 million 24.6% t * Customers per employee 2,005 2,785 38.9% * Capex as a % of revenue 33.6% 17.6% 16.0 pts = -~ Market very competi

  14. Slide 14: DRC - market share 48%

    DRC — mele siete 48% (400%) H1 2004 H12005 change "Total customers 458,000 903,000 97.2% a * EBITDA R64 million R110 million 71.9% * Customers per employee 1,500 2,119 41.3% t * Capex as a % of revenue 71.1% 31.5% 39.6 pts pal -— Market position entrenched, now a subsidiary

  15. Slide 15: Lesotho - market share 80%

    Lesotho - market share 80% 7 > Population 1.9 million, penetration 7.2 % H1 2004 H12005 _— change - e Total customers 71,000 122,000 71.8% @ + EBITDA R12 million R21 million 75.0% * Customers per employee 1,007 1,971 95.7% t * Capex as a % of revenue 7.3% 3.1% 4.2 pts cal -— Significant turnaround d

  16. Slide 16: Mozambique - market share 24%

    Mozambique - fie ssee share 24% oo Population 18.8 million, penetration 3.8% vodacom Hi 2005 _ * Total customers 164,000 * EBITDA (R69 million) * Customers per employee 1,934 -— Operation still very young — Entrenched competitor

  17. Slide 17: Financial review

    a vodacom Financial review Leon Crouse Chief Financial Officer

  18. Slide 18: Group income statements

    Group income statements extracts for the six months ended September 30, vodacom % change Hi 2003 H1 2004; Hi 2005 05/04 Revenue 9,441 11,296 13,594 20.3 fcc ii excluding depreciation (6,414) (7,598) (9,402) 23.7 EBITDA 3,027 3,698 4,192 Depreciation and amortisation (1,189) (1,247) (1,418) Profit fr

  19. Slide 19: Mozambique impairment

    Mozambique impairment «IAS 36 — “Impairment of Assets” — Requires impairment testing for cash-generating units ~All African operations were tested — All intangible assets were also tested « Impair to the higher of — Value in use (NPV of expected future pre-tax cash flows) — Fair value less costs to

  20. Slide 20: SA YTD ARPU analysis

    SA YTD ARPU analysis 700 623 634 637 a al 600 | 560 493 500 | = E 400 = i 300 @ 208 200 —__™” 183 177 165 ———— ——— —$—— ay 98 93 90 90 73 100 F = ee = <- 2 — e 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 Hi 2005 =*=Contract =—*—=Prepaid =?=SA overall (incl, community services) 20

  21. Slide 21: Group revenue

    Group revenue R millions 2002 2003 2004 * 1st six months ® 2nd six months — Revenue seasonal, impacted by DRC consolidation 21

  22. Slide 22: Group revenue analysis

    Group revenue analysis By country ‘South Africa Tanzania 408 431 DRC (100%) 186 402 Mozambique - - Lesotho 46 55 Vodacom Group (adjusted) 9,532 11,493 Vodacom Group (statutory) 9,441 11,296 BM other African contribution 8.6% (H1 2004: 7.7%)

  23. Slide 23: Revenue mix

    H1 2004 H1 2005 62.9% 57.6% 24.9% 21.6% Airtime and access * Data revenue * Interconnect revenue = Equipment sales « International airtime = Other -" Interconnect contribution down, airtime up

  24. Slide 24: Data revenue

    Data revenue By country 500 - 462 400 = = 300 - x 200 27.1% 100 + | By 35 2 8 01 > H1 2004 H1 2005 ® South Africa = Tanzania ® Other African operations 24

  25. Slide 25: Increased earnings

    Increased earnings e Strong EBITDA performance —Increasing by 13.4% year on year e Excellent profit before tax 4,200 - performance — Increasing by 18.7% year on year 5,200 | 3,400 + * Impacted by very high contract _ 5 a9 | connections 5 ~ Higher incentive costs ; Saeaaaal t — Mozambique losses © 2.

  26. Slide 26: Group EBITDA analysis

    Group EBITDA analysis By country South Africa Tanzania DRC (100%) Mozambique Lesotho Holding companies Vodacom Group (adjusted) Vodacom Group (statutory) Adjusted EBITDA margin (9) Hi 2003 H 2,949 130 122 (109) 64 14 125 (10) (9) 2,974 3,729 3,027 3,698 31.2 32.4 (1.6) pts 26

  27. Slide 27: Adjusted EBITDA and margin analysis

    Adjusted EBITDA and margin analysis R million 31.2 2,974 H1 2003 35.1 3,683 —E e H2 2003 we Adjusted EBITDA 32.4 3,729 H1 2004 33.2 30.8 4,131 4,192 H2 2004 H1 2005 —®— Adjusted EBITDA margin 27

  28. Slide 28: Margin analysis

    Margin analysis 40% > 35% - 30% 4 25% 4 20% + 15% 5 10% 4 5% 4 0% Six-monthly margins (statutory) 36,5% 35.6% 32,1% 33,8% 32.7% 33,4% 30.8% H1 2002 H2 2002 H1 2003 H2 2003 H1 2004 H2 2004 H1 2005 —®- EBITDA margin —#®- Operating profit margin —?- Net profit margin “ Historically seasonal trend

  29. Slide 29: Equipment sales and net interconnect revenue

    e Gross SA contract customer connections of 302,000 * Incentives increased R523 million year on year « Net interconnect revenue continuing to decline - 20.8% decrease year on year e Growing low margin equipment sales « Full consolidation of Vodacom Congo * Competition in all markets Six-monthly equi

  30. Slide 30: Factors affecting the trends

    Factors affecting the trends e Change in SA traffic mix continuing « Total outgoing on-net traffic increased from 52.3% to 55.4% of the total e Total mobile-mobile traffic increased by 29.9% e Total mobile-fixed traffic decreased by 0.8% «Incoming voice traffic from Telkom declined by 0.4% year on y

  31. Slide 31: Group operating expenses

    Group operating expenses R milion 12,000 10,000 2002 Six-monthly operating expenditure Le 19.8% 16.3% 11,066 iL 2003 2004 2005 ® ist six months ® 2nd six months Mozambique impairment, DRC consolidation, SA contract gross connections, new subsidiaries consolidated 31

  32. Slide 32: Group operating expenses

    Group operating expenses H1 2004 H1 2005 15.6% 16,3% 54,9% Depreciation and amortisation " Payments to other network operators * Other direct network operating costs " Staff expenses * Marketing and advertising expenses « General administrative expenses 32

  33. Slide 33: Group operating profit analysis

    Group operating profit analysis QR, niry Dy country South Africa Tanzania DRC (100%) Lesotho Holding companies Adjusted operating profit before Mozambique Mozambique Vodacom Group (adjusted) Vodacom Group (statutory) Adjusted operating profit margin (%) % change Hi 2004; H1 2005 0s/04 Hi 2003 1,965

  34. Slide 34: Strong cash generation

    Strong cash generation Cash generated from operations 5,000 28.7% 4,606 ] 4,000 + 3,849 3,549 3,172 2,991 3,000 + 2,000 + 1,000 - 0 : - H1 2003 H2 2003 H1 2004 H2 2004 H1 2005 34

  35. Slide 35: Group cash flow statements

    Group cash flow statements extracts for the six months ended September 30, Hi Operating profit 1,838 ‘Bad debts, amortisation and disposals 123 Depreciation 1,085 Impairment of Mozambique assets = Working capital changes 126 Cash generated from operations 3,172 Net finance costs (paid) / received (2

  36. Slide 36: Group cash flow statements

    Group cash flow statements extracts for the six months ended September 30, Additions to property, plant and equipment (2,081) (1,001) (1,542) Other investing activities (334) (253) (99). Net cash flows from investing activities (2,415) (1,254) (1,641) Shareholder loans repaid = (920) = Net debt incu

  37. Slide 37: Group balance sheets

    Group balance sheets extracts as at ASSETS Norn-current assets Current assets Total assets EQUITY AND LIABILITIES Capital and reserves Minority interest Non-current liabilities Current labilities Total equity and liabilities Net debt : equity ratio (before dividends) Net debt ; equity ratio (after d

  38. Slide 38: Net debt maturity profile

    Net debt maturity profile SA finance leases 38 64 95 134 168 376 875 Vodacom Tanzania 82 96 120 28 = 82 (ieee) Vodacom Congo (100%) 854 545 - - - ™ 1,399 Vodacom Lesotho 4 - - - - - 8 att Debt excluding bank re a a 978 705 215 162 168 458 2,686 Less; net bank and cash bo bee eee balances 5 (754) Net

  39. Slide 39: Debt composition

    Debt composition Gross debt including bank overdrafts R4,499 million 31.7% 39.7% + Foreign denominated, ring-fenced © Foreign denominated, not ring-fenced = ZAR denominated, finance leases * ZAR denominated, other ~ Positive cash balances R2,567 million 39

  40. Slide 40: Shareholder distributions

    Shareholder distributions Dividends and interest on shareholders’ loans 2,500 5 2,000 = 1,500 - g E = 4,000 500 4 0+ - ; 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 H1 2005 ® Interest ® Dividends »~ Strong and steady increase in dividends 40

  41. Slide 41: Improved efficiencies

    Improved efficiencies 3,000 + 2,845 South Africa Customers per employee 2,785 Tanzania DRC Lesotho Mozambique = 2003 = 2004 = H1 2005 41

  42. Slide 42: Improved efficiencies

    Improved efficiencies 30.0 » 25.0 + 20.0 10.0 - 5.0 Capex as % of revenue (statutory) 10.4 ” 3 oH = N i por N | ~ ha | ni hod 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 Hi 2005 42

  43. Slide 43: Questions?

    = vodacom Questions?

  44. Slide 44: Disclaimer

    Disclaimer * This presentation has been prepared and published by Vodacom Group (Pty) Limited. * Vodacom Group (Pty) Limited is a private comeany and as such is not required by the Companies Act 61 of 1973, as amended, to publish its results. * Vodacom Group (Pty) Limited makes no guarantee, assuran

  45. Slide 45: www.vodacom.co.za

    www.vodacom.co.za & q@ i oan |

Vodacom Group (Pty) — H1 2005 Earnings Presentation on 6ix