Niq Global Intelligence Plc · NYSE:NIQ
Niq Global Intelligence — NielsenIQ — Q1 2026 Earnings Presentation
24 slides from Niq Global Intelligence's earnings presentation, March 2026
Slide 1: Quarterly Snapshot India FMCG: Navigating High Base & Channel Shift
Quarterly Snapshot INDIA FMCG Navigating High Base & Channel Shift Jan-Feb-Mar 2026 India RMS © 202 6 Nielsen Con sumer LL C. All Rights Reserved. Confidential and prop rietary
Slide 2: FMCG Key Highlights: High base impacts TT while MT leads Urban growth
Macro Indicators Macro Indicators FMCG Overview Channel & Market Dynamics E-comm Overview Category Dynamics GST 2.0 Key Takeaways FMCG KEY HIGHLIGHTS High base impacts TT while MT leads Urban growth Jan-Feb-Mar 26 Growth% JFM’26 Vs YA Pop Strata Value Volume Price Value Volume Price 3.2% 2.2% 1.0% 2
Slide 3: Macroeconomics
Macroeconomics © 2026 Nielse n Consumer LLC. A ll Rights Reserved. 3 © 2026 Nielse n Consumer LLC. A ll Rights Reserved.
Slide 4: Macro Environment: Stable Base, Emerging Caution
Macro Environment: Stable Base, Emerging Caution • Macro fundamentals remain stable, but consumer confidence softens, indicating near-term caution • IIP moderation (~4.1%) is largely transient (GST normalization, base effects) • Inflation re-emerging (CPI ~3.4%, WPI ~3.9%) with risk of cost pass-thr
Slide 5: FMCG Trends
FMCG Trends © 2026 Nielse n Consumer LLC. A ll Rights Reserved. © 2026 Nielse n Consumer LLC. A ll Rights Reserved.
Slide 6: Pricing Moderates While Larger Packs Support Value Growth
Macro Indicators Macro Indicators FMCG Overview Channel & Market Dynamics E-comm Overview Category Dynamics GST 2.0 Key Takeaways Pricing Moderates While Larger Packs Support Value Growth Slower price growth, along with a shift towards larger pack sizes, helps FMCG values remain resilient despite mo
Slide 7: Growth Momentum Shifts Further Toward Urban Markets
Macro Indicators Macro Indicators FMCG Overview Channel & Market Dynamics E-comm Overview Category Dynamics GST 2.0 Key Takeaways Growth Momentum Shifts Further Toward Urban Markets Urban India increasingly drives FMCG growth while rural consumption remains muted versus last year’s high base Urban |
Slide 8: Non-Metro MT grows 1.5x faster than Metro MT led by store expansion
Macro Indicators Macro Indicators FMCG Overview Channel & Market Dynamics E-comm Overview Category Dynamics GST 2.0 Key Takeaways Non-Metro MT grows 1.5x faster than Metro MT led by store expansion (indexed to AMJ’23) Store increase, low base & GST 2.0 smoother transition fuels MT growth overall MT
Slide 9: Lower town class driving growth for Urban
Macro Indicators Macro Indicators FMCG Overview Channel & Market Dynamics E-comm Overview Category Dynamics GST 2.0 Key Takeaways Lower town class driving growth for Urban Metro observed consumption led growth after 4 quarters. Omnichannel Metro surpass Rural & TC1 volume growth Metro | 26% Town Cla
Slide 10: FMCG: Moderation with Structural Shifts
FMCG: Moderation with Structural Shifts FMCG growth is showing signs of moderation despite easing price inflation and GST rationalization, with rural demand softness becoming more pronounced. This trend is driven by: • High base effects weighing on incremental growth • Pressure on key price points (
Slide 11: E-commerce: Reshaping channel dynamics
E-commerce Reshaping channel dynamics © 2026 Nielse n Consumer LLC. A ll Rights Reserved. 11 © 2026 Nielse n Consumer LLC. A ll Rights Reserved.
Slide 12: E-comm momentum continues: 7% in Urban India; 19% in Metros
Macro Indicators Macro Indicators FMCG Overview Channel & Market Dynamics E-comm Overview Category Dynamics GST 2.0 Key Takeaways E-comm momentum continues: 7% in Urban India; 19% in 8 Metros (JFM’26) All India All India Key Metros shift Urban* Metro 8 Metros North & East Metros – Delhi E-comm + NCR
Slide 13: E-comm delivers organic growth through Q1'26, holding firm against Q-comm high base
Macro Indicators Macro Indicators FMCG Overview Channel & Market Dynamics E-comm Overview Category Dynamics GST 2.0 Key Takeaways E-comm delivers organic growth through Q1’26, holding firm against Q-comm high base Omni Metros* | 100% TT Metros | 62% MT Metros | 24% E-comm Metros | 15% 56.9 51.2 41.3
Slide 14: E-commerce Reshapes the FMCG Growth Playbook
E-commerce Reshapes the FMCG Growth Playbook E-commerce continues to demonstrate structural, outsized expansion, now accounting for: • ~7% of urban FMCG sales • ~19% share in top metros, with consistent ~1% quarterly gains Growth is regionally skewed, with strong acceleration in South and West metro
Slide 15: Category Dynamics
Category Dynamics 15 © 2026 Nielse n Consumer LLC. A ll Rights Reserved. © 2026 Nielse n Consumer LLC. A ll Rights Reserved.
Slide 16: FMCG Consumption led by Food Portfolio; HPC remains muted
Macro Indicators Macro Indicators FMCG Overview Channel & Market Dynamics E-comm Overview Category Dynamics GST 2.0 Key Takeaways FMCG Consumption led by Food Portfolio; HPC remains muted FMCG Food | 61% HPC | 32% OTC | 7% 16.1 15.4 15.0 13.9 14.2 13.8 13.1 9.7 12.3 5.5 3.0 3.4 5.0 6.0 8.4 10.8 5.5
Slide 17: Inflation Is Breaking the Magic Price Point Model in Rural
Macro Indicators Macro Indicators FMCG Overview Channel & Market Dynamics E-comm Overview Category Dynamics GST 2.0 Key Takeaways Inflation Is Breaking the Magic Price Point Model in Rural Rural India High reliance on ₹5 & ₹10 SKUs amplifies volume decline under inflationary & GST 2.0 transition Con
Slide 18: Rising Costs Begin to Reshape What and How India Buys
Rising Costs Begin to Reshape What and How India Buys FMCG underperformance is increasingly concentrated in key, high-weight categories such as biscuits, laundry, oils, and soaps—highlighting stress limited to core consumption. This is driven by commodity volatility, import disruptions, and pricing
Slide 19: Rising Costs Begin to Reshape What and How India Buys
Rising Costs Begin to Reshape What and How India Buys Growth moderation is visible across all manufacturer segments, but uneven: • Small & mid players: • Stronger slowdown • Higher dependence on rural and traditional trade • Large & giant players: • Better positioned • Benefit from metro recovery an
Slide 20: GST 2.0: Learning the impacts
GST 2.0 Learning the impacts 20 © 2026 Nielse n Consumer LLC. A ll Rights Reserved. © 2026 Nielse n Consumer LLC. A ll Rights Reserved.
Slide 21: TT stabilizes in Feb, while MT continues to grow fast
Macro Indicators Macro Indicators FMCG Overview Channel & Market Dynamics E-comm Overview Category Dynamics GST 2.0 Key Takeaways TT stabilizes in Feb, while MT continues to grow fast Modern Trade tackles disruption with faster price execution GST 2.0 FMCG Performance Channel Performance Baskets Per
Slide 22: Stable-GST Categories Show Minimal Volume Disruption
Macro Indicators Macro Indicators FMCG Overview Channel & Market Dynamics E-comm Overview Category Dynamics GST 2.0 Key Takeaways Stable-GST Categories Show Minimal Volume Disruption In Q1’26, ASP growth continues to decline paired with increased average pack size Average Price Growth vs YA – Pre &
Slide 23: Quarterly Snapshot: FMCG Growth Normalization Key Takeaways
Macro Indicators Macro Indicators FMCG Overview Channel & Market Dynamics E-comm Overview Category Dynamics GST 2.0 Key Takeaways Quarterly Snapshot FMCG Growth Normalization (Jan – Feb – Mar’26) Value growth remains positive in Q1’26, supported by pricing and mix, while volume growth moderates vers
Slide 24: Coming into view
Coming into view © 2026 Nielse n Consumer LLC. A ll Rights Reserved. © 2026 Nielse n Consumer LLC. A ll Rights Reserved.