Alimentation Couche-tard Inc. · TSX:ATD

Alimentation Couche-tard — Investor Presentation (October 2019)

43 slides from Alimentation Couche-tard's investor presentation, October 2019

  1. Slide 1: Investor Presentation

    INVESTOR PRESENTATION Alimentation Couche-Tard October 2019

  2. Slide 2: Forward-Looking Statements

    FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS This presentation and the accompanying oral presentation contain forward-looking statements within the meaning of applicable securities legislation. Forward-looking statements are typically identified by words such as “projected”, “estimate”, “may”, “anticipate”, “believe”

  3. Slide 3: Investment Highlights

    INVESTMENT HIGHLIGHTS • Global rebrand initiative permits better leverage of broad scale. Size and Scale • More flexibility to compete compared to small-size operators. • Decentralized model drives accountability and entrepreneurship. Strong Culture • Cost discipline and lean operations are a major

  4. Slide 4: Content

    CONTENT 1 Company Highlights 2 U.S. Industry Overview 3 Competitive Advantages Increasing 4 Our Ambition 5 Shareholder Value 4

  5. Slide 5: Company Highlights

    COMPANY HIGHLIGHTS Ticker Symbol TSX: ATD.A | ATD.B • Coast-to-coast presence in Canada and located in 48 of 50 U.S. states. • Leading market share across many markets in Europe. • EBITDA CAGR of ~22% since 2011 and profitable since IPO in 1986. • Track record of generating shareholder value with av

  6. Slide 6: Global Leader in Fuel & Convenience Retail

    GLOBAL LEADER IN FUEL & CONVENIENCE RETAIL Store Count Our People Countries / Territories 16,066 ~133,000 27 incl. CAPL sites globally incl. int’l licensees Fuel Gallons Sold Customers Served Cups of Coffee Sold ~43 million ~9 million ~750,000 per day (excl. CAPL) per day per day Hot Dogs Sold Polar

  7. Slide 7: Revenue and Gross Profit Mix

    REVENUE AND GROSS PROFIT MIX Gross Profit 12% 3% Revenue Geographic Mix Product Mix 12% 2% 25% 19% 19% 43% 54% 69% 73% 69% United States Europe Canada Merchandise and Service Fuel Other ~65% of transactions are convenience only, while 25% are fuel only, and 10% are a mix of both. Note: All figures b

  8. Slide 8: Snapshot of Key Business Metrics

    SNAPSHOT OF KEY BUSINESS METRICS Merch. SSS – US1 Merch. SSS - Europe Merch. SSS - Canada1 +2.5% +0.7% +0.3% SS Volume - US1 SS Volume - Europe SS Volume - Canada1 Q1 +0.6% -1.6% +0.4% Adj. EBITDA Growth Y/Y2 Adj. EPS Growth Y/Y2 Adj. Leverage Ratio +6% +11% 2.03 Merch. & Service Sales4 Fuel Gallons

  9. Slide 9: Our Vision and Mission

    OUR VISION AND MISSION To become the world’s preferred destination Our Vision for fuel and convenience. To make our customers’ lives a little easier Our Mission every day. 9

  10. Slide 10: Content

    CONTENT 1 Company Highlights 2 U.S. Industry Overview 3 Competitive Advantages Increasing 4 Our Ambition 5 Shareholder Value 10

  11. Slide 11: Snapshot of U.S. Fuel & Convenience Industry

    SNAPSHOT OF U.S. FUEL & CONVENIENCE INDUSTRY Population of U.S. Convenience Stores Store Type Single Stores Chain Stores 2018 2006 153,237 Non-Fuel 20% 145,119 total total stores stores 175,000 Fuel 80% 150,000 57,315 57,031 56,836 56,476 57,792 56,226 55,401 54,917 54,526 125,000 55,611 55,162 54,4

  12. Slide 12: Attractive Channel Within Broader Retail

    12 2003 $116.2 2004 $132.1 (in billions) 2005 $151.1 2006 $163.6 2007 $168.5 2008 $173.9 2009 $182.4 2010 $190.4 2011 $195.0 2012 $199.3 CAGR 5.0% Industry Inside Sales 2013 $204.0 2014 $213.5 2015 $225.8 Source: NACS State of the Industry Report of 2018 Data. 2016 $233.0 2017 $237.0 2018 $242.2 200

  13. Slide 13: ... and Recession Resilient

    … AND RECESSION RESILIENT Industry Inside Sales (in billions) Dot-Com Bubble Great Recession $242.2 $237.0 $233.0 +5% +8% $225.8 $213.5 $204.0 $199.3 $195.0 $190.4 $182.4 $173.9 $168.5 $163.6 $151.1 $132.1 $116.2 $112.0 $109.3 $104.1 $99.8 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

  14. Slide 14: Expert in Sale of Age-Restricted Products

    EXPERT IN SALE OF AGE-RESTRICTED PRODUCTS Product Category Share by Channel 100% 90% Convenience store channel is the clear 95% 89% 80% leader in sales of age-restricted products 70% 60% 58% 50% 56% 49% 40% 44% 38% 30% 37% 36% 18% 33% 20% 9% 6% 10% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 3% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% Convenience Foo

  15. Slide 15: U.S. National Fuel Margin Trending Higher

    U.S. NATIONAL FUEL MARGIN TRENDING HIGHER Industry breakeven increased ~10% y/y in 2018. More importantly, the bottom 50% operators would 2014 - 2018 average: 21.7 cpg be losing money below a margin of ~16 cpg and the bottom 25% would be at a loss below ~21.5 cpg. 24.0 2009 - 2013 average: 17.1 cpg

  16. Slide 16: Cost Headwinds Favour Larger Chains

    COST HEADWINDS FAVOUR LARGER CHAINS Card Costs to Industry Average Associate Wage (in billions) (in dollars per hour) $10.74 $11.4 $11.2 $11.2 $11.1 $11.1 $10.1 $10.0 $10.19 $9.5 $9.99 $9.0 $8.4 $7.6 $7.4 $9.44 $6.6 $9.02 $5.4 $8.76 $8.56 $8.51 $8.46 $3.8 $8.37 $8.27 $3.2 $7.95 2003 2004 2005 2006 2

  17. Slide 17: Content

    CONTENT 1 Company Highlights 2 U.S. Industry Overview 3 Competitive Advantages Increasing 4 Our Ambition 5 Shareholder Value 17

  18. Slide 18: Competitive Advantages

    COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGES • Significant scale and buying power through broad footprint and global brand. • Strong leadership team and decentralized business model. • Long-standing cost discipline embedded in our company culture and DNA. • Proven ability to integrate acquisitions. • Well positioned with

  19. Slide 19: Global Footprint with Lots of White Space

    GLOBAL FOOTPRINT WITH LOTS OF WHITE SPACE Canada Europe2 2,150 2,706 stores stores United States1 Int’l 8,962 2,248 stores stores Core network International licensees Note: Store count as at July 21, 2019. 1 U.S. store count includes 1,320 CAPL sites across 32 states. 2 Europe store count includes 9

  20. Slide 20: Going Global with Circle K Brand

    GOING GLOBAL WITH CIRCLE K BRAND Higher brand awareness and loyalty Unified corporate culture Greater purchasing power Rollout of national promotions Exclusive product launches Private label and product innovation ~75% of stores in the U.S. are operating under the Circle K banner, 81% in Canada, and

  21. Slide 21: Highly Experienced Executive Team

    HIGHLY EXPERIENCED EXECUTIVE TEAM Brian Hannasch Claude Tessier President & Chief Executive Chief Financial Officer Officer • 18 yrs with ACT • 3 years with ACT • 30 yrs in Oil & Gas / Retail • 27 yrs in Retail Deborah Hall Lefevre Kevin A. Lewis Ina Strand Technology Marketing Human Resources • 2 y

  22. Slide 22: Long-Standing Cost Discipline

    LONG-STANDING COST DISCIPLINE Lean corporate structure Adj. SG&A Expense Growth Y/Y 3.7% Decentralized business units 2.3% 1.9% 2.1% Procurement efficiency 1.7% 1.5% 2.0% 0.2% 1.4% average Continuous benchmarking 0.8% -0.9% Cost efficient systems LTM 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Q1'2

  23. Slide 23: Proven Ability to Integrate Acquisitions

    PROVEN ABILITY TO INTEGRATE ACQUISITIONS Garvin Revenues Oil Compac Food Stores Winners Sterling Stores Pump N Shop 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Deals 2 3 4 8 1 4 5 2 7 7 4 3 4 3 3 Stores 1,706 45 75 421 46 107 70 47 326 2,506 166 1,660 515 442 2,055 Sin

  24. Slide 24: Norway Laboratory Is a Significant Advantage

    NORWAY LABORATORY IS A SIGNIFICANT ADVANTAGE E-mob platform and internal 360+ fast chargers now installed in Home and workplace charging capabilities established Norway, rollout according to plan launched in Norway 500 +133 262 129 • Full time dedicated team. FY18 FY19 FY20 Circle K Grønn Kontakt Te

  25. Slide 25: Solid Balance Sheet and Capacity to Invest

    SOLID BALANCE SHEET AND CAPACITY TO INVEST Circle K No transformational acquisition Statoil Fuel & Retail, Topaz, IOL, CST, Cracker Barrel, Holiday, Jet Pep Investment Grade The Pantry Credit Rating Rapid deleveraging after SFR acquisition leverage 2,666 stores acquired transformational acquisition

  26. Slide 26: Impressive EBITDA-to-FCF Conversion

    IMPRESSIVE EBITDA-TO-FCF CONVERSION 30% 38% 39% 32% 34% 39% 41% 39% 32% New to Industry 1/3 Aiming to deploy 35% to 40% of 3,583 of total capex EBITDA towards capital expenditures 1,844 in US$ millions 2,980 1,269 Commercial Programs 2,396 2,331 889 984 1/3 1,876 884 673 1,640 809 of total capex 866

  27. Slide 27: Efficient Structure Below EBITDA Line

    EFFICIENT STRUCTURE BELOW EBITDA LINE EBITDAR 112% Rent 12% EBITDA 100% D&A 30% Net financial expenses 9% Income taxes 10% Net earnings 51% Low cost of debt and global corporate structure permits higher conversion of EBITDA to net earnings. Note: All figures based on results for fiscal year ended Ap

  28. Slide 28: Meaningful Control Over Operating Assets

    MEANINGFUL CONTROL OVER OPERATING ASSETS Total Network 2,300 2,300 4,353 5,723 Control over our real Substantial intrinsic estate provides us with value embedded in our the flexibility needed to real estate portfolio 6,087 operate efficiently 4,717 Land Buildings Owned Leased Third-Party Control ~82

  29. Slide 29: Content

    CONTENT 1 Company Highlights 2 U.S. Industry Overview 3 Competitive Advantages Increasing 4 Our Ambition 5 Shareholder Value 29

  30. Slide 30: Our Ambition: Double Again

    OUR AMBITION DOUBLE AGAIN by making our customers’ lives a little easier every day! Double the business again, driven by our value creation equation and a focus on organic growth. 30

  31. Slide 31: Principles for Profitable Growth

    PRINCIPLES FOR PROFITABLE GROWTH Aim to deliver an EBIT-based return on capital ROCE employed of more than 15%. Aim to keep our adjusted net debt-to-EBITDAR Leverage Ratio ratio below 2.25, allowing for flexibility following significant acquisitions. Capital Aim to maintain a level of capex spending

  32. Slide 32: More Balanced Growth Going Forward

    MORE BALANCED GROWTH GOING FORWARD Historical Projected Organic 30% M&A Organic 50% 50% Acquisitions 70% Greater focus on the offering and customer journey is expected to drive higher share of organic growth. 32

  33. Slide 33: Key Focus Areas

    KEY FOCUS AREAS Customer Journey Offering Network • Be recognized by our customers • Succeed with food • Continue to grow market share in for a differentiated experience, in • Capture new opportunities the U.S. the way we deliver and • Further develop our retail • Expand to new growth markets. conti

  34. Slide 34: Core Initiatives

    CORE INITIATIVES Customer Journey Offering Network • Making Circle K the convenience • Food at scale • U.S. expansion brand of choice • Merchandise pricing, promotion, • Profitable ramp-up of new stores • Customer journey innovation and assortment • Profitable remodels • Customer loyalty • Age-restr

  35. Slide 35: Content

    CONTENT 1 Company Highlights 2 U.S. Industry Overview 3 Competitive Advantages Increasing 4 Our Ambition 5 Shareholder Value 35

  36. Slide 36: Increasing Shareholder Value

    INCREASING SHAREHOLDER VALUE • Long track record of delivering solid results. • Increasing free cash flow generation. • Rewarding shareholders through a steadily increasing dividend. • Strong focus on reinvesting profitably in our operations and improving the ROCE. 36

  37. Slide 37: Delivering Strong Results

    37 in millions of gallons in US$ millions 2011 4,195 2011 6,184 2012 4,613 2012 6,599 2013 6,945 2013 7,602 2014 7,626 2014 7,953 2015 8,135 2015 8,276 accounting standard in Q1 2020. CAGR 17.9% CAGR 11.2% 2016 10,502 2016 10,072 Fuel Volume Sold 2017 11,793 2017 10,724 2018 14,525 2018 12,976 2019

  38. Slide 38: ... and Rewarding Shareholders Accordingly

    … AND REWARDING SHAREHOLDERS ACCORDINGLY Dividend per Share CAGR 27.8% 23.75 in CAD cents per share 22.50 18.50 17.38 13.38 4.58 9.50 3.17 6.80 2013 5.00 LTM 2011 2012 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Increased quarterly dividend by 25% in Q3 2019 to an annualized payment of 25¢ per share. 38

  39. Slide 39: Strong Organic Growth Driving Returns

    STRONG ORGANIC GROWTH DRIVING RETURNS Return on Capital Employed IAS 17 IFRS 16 avg. 15.4% 19.2% 19.0% We have repeatedly 18.1% proven our ability to 16.2% 15.8% increase our ROCE 14.1% 13.3% 13.2% following the integration 12.6% 12.0% of large acquisitions 11.0% LTM 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 20

  40. Slide 40: Relative Stock Performance

    RELATIVE STOCK PERFORMANCE 5-Year Stock Performance vs. Key Indices Alimentation Couche-Tard S&P/TSX Composite S&P 500 160% 140% 126.8% 120% 100% 80% 60% 50.9% 40% 20% 11.4% 0% -20% Sep-14 Sep-15 Sep-16 Sep-17 Sep-18 Sep-19 Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17 Mar-18 Mar-19 Source: FactSet, based on the closing pri

  41. Slide 41: Financial Highlights

    FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS in US$ millions, unless otherwise noted 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 CAGR Total revenues 18,543 22,980 35,549 37,962 34,530 34,145 37,905 51,394 59,118 16% Gross profit 2,752 2,975 4,607 4,988 5,268 6,082 6,482 8,112 9,195 16% EBITDA 734 841 1,376 1,640 1,876 2,3

  42. Slide 42: Investment Highlights

    INVESTMENT HIGHLIGHTS • Global rebrand initiative permits better leverage of broad scale. Size and Scale • More flexibility to compete compared to small-size operators. • Decentralized model drives accountability and entrepreneurship. Strong Culture • Cost discipline and lean operations are a major

  43. Slide 43: Investor Relations Contacts

    INVESTOR RELATIONS CONTACTS Karinne Bouchard Senior Director, Investor Relations and Treasurer Karinne.Bouchard@couche-tard.com 450-662-6632 x. 4736 Jean Marc Ayas Manager, Investor Relations JeanMarc.Ayas@couche-tard.com 450-662-6632 x. 4619 43

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