Agnc Investment Corp. · NASDAQ:AGNC

Agnc Investment — Q1 2025 Earnings Presentation

29 slides from Agnc Investment's earnings presentation, Apr 22, 2025

  1. Slide 1: Q1 Stockholder Presentation

    02 Q1 STOCKHOLDER PRESENTATION APRIL 22, 2025 THE PREMIER AGENCY RESIDENTIAL MORTGAGE REIT © 2025 AGNC Investment Corp. All Rights Reserved.

  2. Slide 2: Important Notices

    IMPORTANT NOTICES Safe harbor statement under the private securities litigation reform act of 1995 This presentation contains statements that, to the extent they are not recitations of historical fact, constitute "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Re

  3. Slide 3: Capital Structure Highlights

    CAPITAL STRUCTURE HIGHLIGHTS AGNC Common Stock THE OBJECTIVE Favorable long-term stockholder returns with a Ticker Nasdaq: AGNC substantial dividend yield component IPO Date May 2008 THE OPPORTUNITY Market Capitalization $9.1 B Agency-guaranteed residential MBS investments paired with highly attract

  4. Slide 4: Q1 2025 Highlights

    Q1 2025 HIGHLIGHTS Key Metrics $8.25 $0.12 $0.44 Tangible Net Book Comprehensive Net Spread and Dollar Roll Value Per Share1 Income Per Share Income Per Share2 Performance 2.4% $0.36 $(0.16) Economic Dividends Declared Change in Tangible Return3 Per Share Net Book Value Per Share Capital Highlights

  5. Slide 5: Q1 2025 Other Highlights

    Q1 2025 OTHER HIGHLIGHTS Portfolio1 Average Asset Yield2 $78.9 B 4.80% 4.87% $73.3 B Assets 8.3% 7.0% Avg. Projected Actual Q1 Portfolio Life CPR Portfolio CPR 12/31/24 3/31/25 4Q24 1Q25 Leverage3 Average Repo Cost4 Average Cost of Funds5 2.89% Funding and 7.2x 7.5x 4.86% 4.45% 2.75% Leverage 12/31/

  6. Slide 6: Market Highlights

    MARKET HIGHLIGHTS1 Asset Yields: Current Coupon (CC) Agency MBS Spreads: CC Agency MBS Spread to UST and Swaps 7.0% (bps) Q1 Change: 30 year CC Yield -32bps Q1 Change: UST Spread +8 bps 225 Q1 Change: 15 year CC Yield -35 bps Q1 Change: Swap Spread +4 bps 6.5% 30 Year CC Yield Spread to 5/10 Yr Swap

  7. Slide 7: Market Update

    MARKET UPDATE Q1 2025 x Q1 2025 2 Security 3/31/24 6/30/24 9/30/24 12/31/24 3/31/25 ∆ Rate % / Price x Security 3/31/24 6/30/24 9/30/24 12/31/24 3/31/25 ∆ Rate % / Price2 SOFR Swap Rates1 x Treasury Rates1 2 Yr Swap 4.55% 4.61% 3.44% 4.08% 3.72% -0.36% / +0.69 x 2 Yr UST 4.62% 4.76% 3.64% 4.24% 3.89

  8. Slide 8: Agency Portfolio Update

    AGENCY PORTFOLIO UPDATE As of 3/31/25 As of 12/31/24 $77.9 B Portfolio $72.3 B Portfolio AGNC Actual CPR1 30 Yr Fixed ≤ 15 Yr Fixed 30 Yr Fixed ≤ 15 Yr Fixed 14% 20 Yr Fixed Agency CMO, ARM & Other 20 Yr Fixed Agency CMO, ARM & Other 12.2% 12% $0.5 B, 0.6% $2.0 B, 2.6% $0.5 B, 0.7% $1.4 B, 2.0% $0.1

  9. Slide 9: Credit Portfolio Update

    CREDIT PORTFOLIO UPDATE1 Credit Portfolio GSE CRT Portfolio $0.9 B as of Mar 31, 2025 by Issuance Year Historical Credit Portfolio CRT CMBS RMBS 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 CRT CMBS RMBS ($ in B) $1.5 2% 5% 1% $1.3 14% 12% 24% $1.0 $1.0 $1.0 $1.0 $1.0 $0.9 $0.9 $0.9 $0.9 $0.5 24% 74% 44% $0.0 3 3

  10. Slide 10: Financing Summary

    FINANCING SUMMARY Our average repo cost was 4.45% for the first quarter, compared to 4.86% for the fourth quarter1 Investment Securities Repurchase Agreements1 As of Mar 31, 2025 Investment Securities Repo ▪ As of Mar 31, 2025, our repo cost was 4.47%, Maturity Amount Interest Days to (Months) % ($

  11. Slide 11: Hedging Portfolio

    HEDGING PORTFOLIO Our hedge portfolio totaled $64.1 B and covered 91% of our funding liabilities (Investment Securities Repo, other debt and net TBA position) as of Mar 31, 2025, unchanged from Dec 31, 2024 Hedge Portfolio Summary As of Mar 31, 2025 Interest Rate Swaps ▪ $47.8 B net pay fixed swaps

  12. Slide 12: Duration Risk

    DURATION RISK Duration is a model estimate of interest rate sensitivity measured in years as of a point in time Duration Gap Sensitivity1,2 As of Mar 31, 2025 Rates Duration Rates - 100 bps 3/31/2025 + 100 bps Mortgage Assets: 3 30-Year MBS 2.9 4.7 5.8 15-Year MBS and Other Securities 3.8 4.0 4.2 To

  13. Slide 13: Financial Results

    FINANCIAL RESULTS

  14. Slide 14: Balance Sheets

    BALANCE SHEETS ($ in millions, except per share data, unaudited except 12/31/24) 3/31/25 12/31/24 9/30/24 6/30/24 3/31/24 Agency Securities, at Fair Value $70,363 $65,367 $67,938 $59,586 $53,615 Agency Securities Transferred to Consolidated Variable Interest Entities, at Fair Value 95 97 106 106 114

  15. Slide 15: Income Statements

    INCOME STATEMENTS ($ in millions, except per share data) (Unaudited) Q1 2025 Q4 2024 Q3 2024 Q2 2024 Q1 2024 Interest Income $846 $856 $756 $695 $642 Interest Expense (687) (741) (820) (698) (672) Net Interest Income (Expense) 159 115 (64) (3) (30) Realized (Loss) Gain on Sale of Investment Securiti

  16. Slide 16: Reconciliation of GAAP Comprehensive Income to Net Spread and Dollar Roll Income

    RECONCILIATION OF GAAP COMPREHENSIVE INCOME (LOSS) TO NET SPREAD AND DOLLAR ROLL INCOME (A NON-GAAP MEASURE) ($ in millions, except per share data) (Unaudited) Q1 2025 Q4 2024 Q3 2024 Q2 2024 Q1 2024 Comprehensive Income (Loss) Available (Attributable) to Common Stockholders $108 $(93) $513 $(98) $3

  17. Slide 17: Net Interest Spread Components by Funding Source

    NET INTEREST SPREAD COMPONENTS BY FUNDING SOURCE $ in millions (Unaudited) Q1 2025 Q4 2024 Q3 2024 Q2 2024 Q1 2024 Adjusted Net Interest and Dollar Roll Income: Economic Interest Income: x x x x x Investment Securities - GAAP Interest Income $846 $856 $756 $695 $642 Estimated "Catch-Up" Premium Amor

  18. Slide 18: Supplemental Slides

    SUPPLEMENTAL SLIDES

  19. Slide 19: AGNC Historical Overview

    AGNC HISTORICAL OVERVIEW Asset Composition ($ B)1 Tangible Net Book Value "At Risk" Leverage2 MBS TBA 78.9 80 73.1 73.3 7.9x $7.5 8.0x 66.0 $4.1 $6.9 63.3 7.5x 58.0 59.3 60.2 7.4x 56.8 $5.3 60 $2.4 $8.4 7.2x 7.2x 7.2x 7.2x $5.4 7.1x 7.0x $10.4 $10.2 7.0x 40 $69.0 $71.4 $66.4 $57.0 $60.7 $54.9 $54.8

  20. Slide 20: AGNC Historical Overview (Continued)

    AGNC HISTORICAL OVERVIEW (CONTINUED) Comprehensive Income (Loss) per Common Share Dividends per Common Share 2.00 0.50 $1.00 0.40 1.00 $0.36 $0.36 $0.36 $0.36 $0.36 $0.36 $0.36 $0.36 $0.36 $0.63 $0.48 $0.32 $0.12 0.30 0.00 $(0.07) $(0.13) $(0.11) 0.20 (1.00) $(1.02) 0.10 (2.00) 0.00 Q1-23 Q2-23 Q3-2

  21. Slide 21: AGNC Historical Overview (Continued)

    AGNC HISTORICAL OVERVIEW (CONTINUED) Average Asset Yield1 Average Cost of Funds2 5.5% 3.5% 4.80% 4.87% 5.0% 4.69% 4.73% 2.89% 4.56% 3.0% 2.75% 4.47% 4.5% 4.20% 2.52% 3.90% 3.89% 2.5% 4.0% 2.00% 3.5% 2.0% 1.58% 3.0% 1.5% 1.39% 1.17% 2.5% 1.02% 1.0% 2.0% 0.63% 0.5% 1.5% 1.0% 0.0% Q1-23 Q2-23 Q3-23 Q4-

  22. Slide 22: Fixed Rate Agency Securities – MBS and Net TBA Position

    FIXED RATE AGENCY SECURITIES – MBS AND NET TBA POSITION $ in millions – as of Mar 31, 2025 Weighted MBS MBS MBS Duration MBS Coupon Par Value1 Market Value1 Specified Pools2 Average Amortized Cost WALA Actual 1 Month (Years)1,6 Coupon1 Basis3 (Months)3,4 CPR3,5 ≤15 Year Mortgage Securities 2.0% $33

  23. Slide 23: U.S. Treasury Hedges

    U.S. TREASURY HEDGES U.S. Treasury Position Net Long / (Short) As of Mar 31, 2025 ($ MM) U.S. Treasury Position as of Mar 31, 2025 Years to Maturity Face Amount Market Value ▪ $13.9 B short U.S. Treasury securities, net ≤5 $(1,056) $(1,058) >5 to ≤7 (3) 236 ▪ $1.8 B short U.S. Treasury futures, net

  24. Slide 24: NAV Sensitivity to Rates and MBS Spreads

    NAV SENSITIVITY TO RATES AND MBS SPREADS Changes in interest rates and MBS spreads relative to our hedges can impact the market value of our portfolio and tangible common equity Interest Rate Sensitivity MBS Spread Sensitivity (“Basis Risk”) ▪ The estimated sensitivity of our assets, net of hedges,

  25. Slide 25: Endnotes

    ENDNOTES Slide 3 Slide 5 1. As of Apr 15, 2025. 1. Portfolio includes net long position in forward purchases and sales of Agency MBS in the “to- 2. Total stock return includes common stock price appreciation and dividend reinvestment. be-announced” (“TBA”) market as of quarter-end. Dividends assumed

  26. Slide 26: Endnotes (Continued)

    ENDNOTES (CONTINUED) Slide 8 Slide 14 1. Weighted average actual 1 month annualized CPR released at the beginning of each month 1. Net Long TBA and Forward Settling Securities are reported in derivative assets/liabilities at net based on securities held as of the preceding month-end, excludes net TB

  27. Slide 27: Endnotes (Continued)

    ENDNOTES (CONTINUED) Slide 19 Slide 23 1. MBS includes CRT securities and other credit investments; TBA includes forward settling non- 1. The average U.S. Treasury securities and futures positions represent their average cost basis, Agency securities. weighted by the number of days outstanding durin

  28. Slide 28: Use of Non-GAAP Financial Information

    USE OF NON-GAAP FINANCIAL INFORMATION In addition to the results presented in accordance with GAAP, the Company's results of operations discussed in this presentation include certain non-GAAP financial information, including "net spread and dollar roll income"; "economic interest income" and "econom

  29. Slide 29: Contact Us

    Contact Us 7373 Wisconsin Avenue (301) 968-9315 www.AGNC.com 22nd Floor IR@AGNC.com Nasdaq: AGNC Bethesda, MD 20814 Media@AGNC.com Connect With Us

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