Dow Inc. · NYSE:DOW

Dow — Q2 2023 Earnings Presentation

27 slides from Dow's earnings presentation, Jul 25, 2023

  1. Slide 1: 2Q 2023 Results

    2Q 2023 RESULTS July 25, 2023

  2. Slide 2: Agenda

    AGENDA 2Q 2023 • Quarterly Results • Operating Segment Performance R ES U LT S • Outlook • Advancing Long-Term Strategy while Navigating Short-Term Dynamics 2

  3. Slide 3: 2Q 2023 Performance Overview

    2Q 2023 PERFORMANCE OVERVIEW  Net sales were $11.4B reflecting lower demand and prices due to slower macroeconomic activity $11.4B Volume down 8% YoY, and up 1% QoQ on gains in APAC and LAA  NET SALES  Price declined 18% YoY and 5% QoQ due to lower demand and global energy and feedstock costs $1.

  4. Slide 4: 2Q 2023 Operating Segment Performance

    2Q 2023 OPERATING SEGMENT PERFORMANCE REVENUE ($MM) Sales ↓ 28%; Price ↓ 21%; Volume ↓ 7% Op. EBIT ($MM) & Op. EBIT Margin % Op. EBIT ↓ 36%; Margins ↓ 190 bps Specialty Plastics Y-o-Y Y-o-Y 9,0 00 Price declines driven by lower global energy 180 000% Results driven primarily by lower Packaging & 160

  5. Slide 5: Continued Challenging Market Conditions Entering 2H23

    CONTINUED CHALLENGING MARKET CONDITIONS ENTERING 2H23 U.S. – Industrial activity remains weak but consumers still spending Consumer confidence rose to 109.7 in June, the highest level since early 20222 Core consumer price inflation eased to 4.8% in June, yet remains high Rest of NAA LAA EMEAI China

  6. Slide 6: 3Q23 Modeling Guidance

    3Q23 MODELING GUIDANCE Continued Implementation of Cost Savings in Slower Macroeconomic Environment Net Sales ~$10.25 – $10.75B Depreciation & Amortization ~$675MM Quarterly Operational Tax Rate ~22 – 26% Net Interest Expense (Net of Int. Income) ~$150MM Net Income Attrib. to Non-Controlling Int. ~$

  7. Slide 7: Financial and Operational Discipline Enables Value Capture

    FINANCIAL AND OPERATIONAL DISCIPLINE ENABLES VALUE CAPTURE Extending our Low-Cost-to-Serve Advantages Further Enhancing our Financial Position 2Q23 Cash & Cash Revolver  Reduced net debt and pension liabilities by Equivalents >$10B since Spin 1Q23 ~$13B  No substantive debt maturities due until 20

  8. Slide 8: Sustainability Investments Unlock Long-Term Growth Opportunities

    SUSTAINABILITY INVESTMENTS UNLOCK LONG-TERM GROWTH OPPORTUNITIES Decarbonize & Grow: Expect to grow capacity and underlying earnings by >$3B/year, while reducing CO2 emissions by ~30%1 by 2030. Innovation, Renewable Energy Alberta Net-Zero Terneuzen 2030 & Efficiency Scope 1 & 2 CO2 Emissions Site R

  9. Slide 9: Advancing Progress on Alberta Path2Zero

    ADVANCING PROGRESS ON ALBERTA PATH2ZERO Alberta Net-Zero World’s First Cracker & Derivatives Complex with Net-Zero1 CO2 Emissions Scope 1 & 2 CO2 Emissions Site  Builds on TX-9 best-in-class capital intensity, conversion cost, and low-CO2 emissions intensity –  Achieved which has delivered >15% RO

  10. Slide 10: Advancing Long-Term Strategy while Navigating Short-Term Dynamics

    ADVANCING LONG-TERM STRATEGY WHILE NAVIGATING SHORT-TERM DYNAMICS Enhanced Financial Performance and Capital Structure Underlying Trends in Attractive Market Verticals Driving Addressable Market Growth to >$800B by Mid-Decade Key Metrics At Spin 2Q23 Operating EBITDA (3-Year Avg.)1 $8.2B $9.3B Packa

  11. Slide 11: Appendix

    APPENDIX

  12. Slide 12: 2Q 2023 Financial Highlights

    2Q 2023 FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS QoQ Operating EPS Reconciliation Key Drivers QoQ • Lower feedstock and input costs, particularly in the cost-advantaged Americas $0.75 $0.58 • Implementing cost savings actions in response to challenging 1Q23 Raw Material Cost Savings Volume Turnarounds Pricing 2Q23 macr

  13. Slide 13: Principal Joint Venture Detail

    PRINCIPAL JOINT VENTURE DETAIL Dow’s Proportional Share of Principal JV Financial Results Drivers of 2Q 2023 2Q 2022 1Q 2023 JV Performance $ millions (unaudited) Kuwait Thai Kuwait Thai Kuwait Thai  Sadara: Lower product pricing and Sadara JVs JVs Sadara JVs JVs Sadara JVs JVs impact of planned ma

  14. Slide 14: Operating Earnings Per Share (EPS) Reconciliation

    OPERATING EARNINGS PER SHARE (EPS) RECONCILIATION Significant Items Impacting Results for the Three Months Ended Jun 30, 2023 In millions, except per share amounts (Unaudited) Pretax 1 Net Income 2 EPS 3 Reported results $ 711 $ 485 $ 0.68 Less: Significant items Restructuring, implementation and ef

  15. Slide 15: Operating (EPS) Reconciliation (Continued)

    OPERATING (EPS) RECONCILIATION (CONTINUED) Significant Items Impacting Results for the Six Months Ended Jun 30, 2023 In millions, except per share amounts (Unaudited) Pretax 1 Net Income 2 EPS 3 Reported results $ 591 $ 392 $ 0.54 Less: Significant items Restructuring, implementation and efficiency

  16. Slide 16: Operating (EPS) Reconciliation (Continued)

    OPERATING (EPS) RECONCILIATION (CONTINUED) Significant Items Impacting Results for the Three Months Ended Mar 31, 2023 Pretax 1 Net Income 2 3 In millions, except per share amounts (Unaudited) EPS Reported results $ (120) $ (93) $ (0.13) Less: Significant items Restructuring, implementation and effi

  17. Slide 17: Reconciliation of Net Income (Loss) to Operating EBIT & EBITDA

    RECONCILIATION OF NET INCOME (LOSS) TO OPERATING EBIT & OPERATING EBITDA Reconciliation of "Net income (loss)" to "Operating EBIT" Three Months Ended Six Months Ended and "Operating EBITDA" In millions (Unaudited) Dec 31, 2020 Jun 30, 2021 Dec 31, 2021 Jun 30, 2022 Sep 30, 2022 Dec 31, 2022 Mar 31,

  18. Slide 18: Reconciliation of Income from Continuing Operations to Pro Forma Operating EBIT

    RECONCILIATION OF "INCOME (LOSS) FROM CONTINUING OPERATIONS, NET OF TAX" TO "PRO FORMA OPERATING EBIT" AND "PRO FORMA OPERATING EBITDA" Reconciliation of "Income (Loss) from Continuing Operations, net of Twelve Months Ended tax" to "Pro Forma Operating EBIT" and "Pro Forma Operating EBITDA" In milli

  19. Slide 19: Segment Information

    SEGMENT INFORMATION Net Sales by Segment Three Months Three Months Ended Six Months Ended Ended In millions (Unaudited) Mar 31, 2023 Jun 30, 2023 Jun 30, 2022 Jun 30, 2023 Jun 30, 2022 Packaging & Specialty Plastics $ 6,114 $ 5,940 $ 8,233 $ 12,054 $ 15,860 Industrial Intermediates & Infrastructure

  20. Slide 20: Segment Information (Continued)

    SEGMENT INFORMATION (CONTINUED) Adjusted Operating EBIT by Segment Three Months Three Months Ended Six Months Ended Ended In millions (Unaudited) Mar 31, 2023 Jun 30, 2023 Jun 30, 2022 Jun 30, 2023 Jun 30, 2022 Packaging & Specialty Plastics $ 621 $ 899 $ 1,298 $ 1,520 $ 2,422 Industrial Intermediat

  21. Slide 21: Cash Conversion and Free Cash Flow Reconciliation

    CASH CONVERSION AND FREE CASH FLOW RECONCILIATION Reconciliation of Cash Flow Conversion Three Months Ended In millions (Unaudited) Jun 30, 2022 Sep 30, 2022 Dec 31, 2022 Mar 31, 2023 Jun 30, 2023 Cash provided by operating activities - continuing operations (GAAP) $ 1,856 $ 1,940 $ 2,078 $ 531 $ 1,

  22. Slide 22: Free Cash Flow Reconciliation (Continued)

    FREE CASH FLOW RECONCILIATION (CONTINUED) Reconciliation of Free Cash Flow Twelve Months Ended In millions (Unaudited) Dec 31, 2017 Dec 31, 2018 Dec 31, 2019 Cash provided by (used for) operating activities - continuing operations (GAAP) $ (6,443) $ 3,096 $ 5,713 Impact of ASU 2016-15 and additional

  23. Slide 23: Reconciliation of Operating Return on Capital (ROC)

    RECONCILIATION OF OPERATING RETURN ON CAPITAL (ROC) Reconciliation of Operating Return on Capital (ROC) Three Months Ended In millions (Unaudited) Jun 30, 2023 Jun 30, 2022 Net income available for Dow Inc. common stockholders (GAAP) $ 485 $ 1,661 - Significant items, after tax (52) (37) Operating N

  24. Slide 24: Reconciliation of Net Debt

    RECONCILIATION OF NET DEBT Reconciliation of Net Debt In millions (Unaudited) Jun 30, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Mar 31, 2019 Notes payable $ 102 $ 362 $ 295 Long-term debt due within one year 107 362 2,367 Long-term debt 14,735 14,698 17,158 Gross debt (GAAP) $ 14,944 $ 15,422 $ 19,820 - Cash and cash equiv

  25. Slide 25: General Comments

    GENERAL COMMENTS Background On April 1, 2019, DowDuPont completed the separation of its materials science business and Dow Inc. became the direct parent company of TDCC, owning all of the outstanding common shares of TDCC. For filings related to the period commencing April 1, 2019 and thereafter, TD

  26. Slide 26: Safe Harbor

    SAFE HARBOR Cautionary Statement about Forward-Looking Statements Certain statements in this presentation are “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the federal securities laws, including Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Ac

  27. Slide 27: Non-GAAP & Definitions

    NON-GAAP & DEFINITIONS Non-GAAP Financial Measures This presentation includes information that does not conform to GAAP and are considered non-GAAP measures. Management uses these measures internally for planning, forecasting and evaluating the performance of the Company's segments, including alloca

Dow — Q2 2023 Earnings Presentation on 6ix