Northwestern Energy Group, Inc. · NASDAQ:NWE

Northwestern Energy — Barclays 39th Annual Energy-Power Conference 2025

53 slides from Northwestern Energy's conference presentation, Sep 3, 2025

  1. Slide 1: Barclays 39th Annual Energy-Power Conference September 2025

    Barclays 39th Annual Energy-Power Conference September 2025 8-K Date: September 3, 2025

  2. Slide 2: Forward Looking Statements

    NorthWestern Energy 2 Forward Looking Statements During the course of this presentation, there will be forward-looking statements within the meaning of the “safe harbor” provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward- looking statements often address our expected future

  3. Slide 3: Overview

    Thank youOverview 3

  4. Slide 4: NWE – An Investment for the Long Term

    NWE – An Investment for the Long Term 4 • Recent and ongoing rate reviews in all jurisdictions aid earnings, cash flow, and balance sheet strength • NOLs and tax credits expected to mitigate future cash tax obligations • History of consistent annual dividend growth • 100% pure electric and natural g

  5. Slide 5: About NorthWestern

    About NorthWestern 5 Montana Operations Electric 413,400 customers 25,390 miles – transmission & distribution lines 1,065 MW maximum capacity owned power generation Natural Gas 214,500 customers 7,354 miles of transmission and distribution pipeline 17.85 Bcf of gas storage capacity Own 28.2 Bcf of p

  6. Slide 6: The NorthWestern Value Proposition

    9%-11% Total Return >11% Total Return Incremental Opportunities: > 6% EPS Growth ~5% Dividend Yield Base Capital Plan: 4%-6% EPS Growth ✓ Data centers & new large- load opportunities ✓ FERC Regional Transmission ✓ Incremental generating capacity (subject to successful resource procurement bids) $2.7

  7. Slide 7: A Diversified Electric and Gas Utility

    A Diversified Electric and Gas Utility 7 NorthWestern’s ‘80/20’ rules: Approximately 80% Electric and 80% Montana. Nearly $5.4 billion of rate base investment to serve our customers. Data as reported in our 2024 10-K

  8. Slide 8: Highly Carbon-Free Supply Portfolio

    NWE SD Highly Carbon-Free Supply Portfolio Based upon 2024 MWh’s of owned and long-term contracted resources. Approximately 58% of our total company owned and contracted supply is carbon-free – better than the national average of ~42% in 2024. (eia.gov table 7.2b) Contracted energy from Colstrip Ene

  9. Slide 9: Strong Utility Foundation

    Strong Utility Foundation 9 • Solid JD Power Overall Customer Satisfaction Scores • Solid electric system reliability • Residential rates below national average1 • Better than average natural gas leaks per mile 1) NWE rates are an average for 2024 - total residential revenues divided by total reside

  10. Slide 10: Solid Economic Indicators

    Solid Economic Indicators 10 • Customer growth rates historically exceed National Averages. • Projected population growth in our service territories better than the National Average. • Unemployment rates better than National Average Source: Company 10-K’s, 2022/2023 EEI Statistical Yearbook – Table

  11. Slide 11: NorthWestern's Combo Advantage

    • Investment in production*, transmission, & distribution • Extreme winters necessitate economical gas heating • Energy Choice (Ban the Ban) laws in MT, SD, & NE • Access to low & less volatile natural gas pricing • AECO & Henry Hub (Ventura) *Proven and producing reserves only (no exploration) Nort

  12. Slide 12: Natural Gas LDC – AECO Advantage to Customers

    Natural Gas LDC – AECO Advantage to Customers 12 Natural gas is one of the most affordable energy sources, and NWE has access to some of the lowest and most stable natural gas prices in the nation through the Alberta Energy Company (AECO) and Henry trading hubs. Source: S&P Global We have facilitate

  13. Slide 13: Best Practices Governance

    Best Practices Governance 13 America’s Most Responsible Companies Recognized by Newsweek as one of the most responsible companies in 2023. One of only eleven EEI member utilities selected. Board of Directors Executive Team 5th Best Score Among 50 Publicly Traded North American Utility and Power Comp

  14. Slide 14: Financial & Regulatory Update

    Thank youFinancial & Regulatory Update 14

  15. Slide 15: Credit, Cash Flow, and Financing Plans

    Credit, Cash Flow, and Financing Plans 15 S&P upgraded outlook to Positive1, Moody’s and Fitch remain Stable. No equity expected to fund the current $2.74 billion 5-year capital plan. Financing plans (targeting a FFO to Debt ratio > 14%) are expected to maintain our current credit ratings. We expect

  16. Slide 16: Montana Electric Rate Review

    16 Montana Electric Rate Review MPSC approval of the partial Joint Party Settlement, along with NorthWestern’s proposals for YCGS and PCCAM, would allow for recovery of increased operating costs and an opportunity to earn a fair return on the investment that funds the critical energy infrastructure

  17. Slide 17: Montana Natural Gas Rate Review

    Key Dates • 6/9/25 - 6/18/25: MPSC Public Hearings • 7/2/25: Interim rates remain in place as implemented Dec. 1, 2024 ($17.4 million subject to refund) • 7/21/25: NWE opening brief submitted • 8/11/25: Intervenor response briefs due • 8/26/25: NWE response submitted MPSC approval of the Joint Party

  18. Slide 18: Affirming 2025 Non-GAAP EPS Guidance

    18 Affirming 2025 Non-GAAP EPS Guidance1 of $3.53 - $3.65 per diluted share ✓ Affirming long-term growth rates from 2024 base2 • EPS growth of 4% to 6% • Rate base growth of 4% to 6% • Continued focus on closing the gap between earned & authorized returns ✓ No equity expected to fund the current 5-y

  19. Slide 19: 2025 Earnings Bridge

    19 2025 Earnings Bridge This guidance range is based upon, but not limited to, the following major assumptions: • Final approval of all material aspects of NorthWestern's settlement position in the currently pending Montana general rate review; • Normal weather in our service territories; • An effec

  20. Slide 20: Track Record of Growing Capital Investment

    Track Record of Growing Capital Investment 20 * Historical Capital Investment includes property, plant, and equipment additions and AFUDC Credit, both from our cash flow statement, and change in capital expenditures included in accounts payable. ** See “Regulated Utility Five-Year Capital Forecast”

  21. Slide 21: Solid Balance Sheet

    Solid Balance Sheet 21 Investment grade credit ratings, liquidity significantly greater than our $100 million target, debt to capitalization within our targeted 50%-55% range, and a manageable schedule of debt maturities. * Liquidity target was raised to $200 million during the height of the Covid p

  22. Slide 22: Disciplined Expense Program

    22 Disciplined Expense Program Per Customer… Per Employee… Per Rate Base… NorthWestern ranks favorably among our regional peers for electric expense efficiency. Source: FERC Form 1 Reports - 2024 expenses through S&P Capital IQ Pro, company 10-Ks, and company investor presentations. Non-Fuel O&M and

  23. Slide 23: Large Load Customers

    ✓ Montana ▪ Expected to be served by overall utility portfolio, which is projected to be long capacity beginning in 2026 ▪ Current generating portfolio over 60% carbon free ▪ If data center demand interest develops beyond existing capacity, we will work with the Montana Public Service Commission to

  24. Slide 24: NWE - BKH Merger & Other Updates

    Thank youNWE - BKH Merger & Other Updates 24

  25. Slide 25: Merger with Black Hills Benefits Stakeholders

    25 Merger with Black Hills Benefits Stakeholders Strategic combination represents a highly attractive value creation opportunity for both companies. Increases Scale Position and Growth Increases the combined company target EPS growth rate to 5-7%, supported by the doubling of each company’s rate bas

  26. Slide 26: Montana Wildfire Bill

    26 Montana Wildfire Bill No Strict Liability: • Confirms strict liability cannot be applied to utility operations related to wildfire Legal Protections for Providers: • Negligence standard based on Montana specific circumstances • Rebuttable presumption utility acted reasonably if it substantially f

  27. Slide 27: Transmission Bill

    27 Transmission Bill Allows Certificate of Public Convenience & Necessity (CPCN) for electric transmission to be issued by the Montana Public Service Commission (MPSC) • Greater confidence of fair and equitable return Bill allows greater confidence for investors providing the critical capital necess

  28. Slide 28: Data Center Process (Montana & South Dakota)

    28 Data Center Process (Montana & South Dakota) Data Center Request • Load & Location • Supply Potential • Customer/Developer Required Timing High-Level Assessment • Viability Assessment • SPP Screening • High Level $ Estimate • Development Costs Letter of Intent (LOI) • Supply Development Estimates

  29. Slide 29: Regional Transmission Opportunities

    29 Regional Transmission Opportunities Colstrip Transmission System North Plains Connector (NPC) Consortium Project • $3.6 billion, 415-mile, high-voltage direct-current transmission line connecting to Montana's Colstrip substation, bridging the eastern and western U.S. energy grids • Project awarde

  30. Slide 30: Colstrip Transaction Overview

    Colstrip Transaction Overview 30 NorthWestern Energy entered into agreements to acquire Avista and Puget Sound Energy’s ownership interests in Colstrip Units 3 and 4. The acquisitions are subject to customary conditions and approvals, including approval from the FERC. NorthWestern will have the righ

  31. Slide 31: Incremental Colstrip Capacity

    31 Incremental Colstrip Capacity NorthWestern’s planned no cost acquisition of 592 MW of additional Colstrip capacity supports the integration of large-load customers, delivering substantial benefits to our customers, communities, and investors. ✓ No cost acquisition of incremental Colstrip ownershi

  32. Slide 32: Colstrip Facility Ownership Overview

    Colstrip Facility Ownership Overview 32 In January 2026, we will own 55% of Colstrip Units 3 & 4. This allows us to guide investments in operation and maintenance in providing on- demand, 24/7 cost-effective generation for our Montana customers until a viable equivalent, carbon-free energy resource

  33. Slide 33: Montana Wildfire Mitigation Plan

    Montana Wildfire Mitigation Plan 33 Reduction of Ignition Potential System and Environmental Monitoring Enhanced Vegetation Maintenance Enriched Public Communication and Outreach ✓ Comprehensive summary of robust wildfire mitigation activities ✓ New plan to be filed every three years (last filed in

  34. Slide 34: Montana Public Safety Power Shutoff Plan

    Montana Public Safety Power Shutoff Plan Communication to Stakeholders at each Situation Weather / Environment + System Performance +Customer / Community Impact = Determines PSPS Event PSPS Decision Process 34 PSPS Guiding Principles: • Uphold our commitment to sustainable, affordable, and reliable

  35. Slide 35: Conclusion

    Conclusion Pure Electric & Gas Utility Solid Utility Foundation Best Practices Corporate Governance Attractive Future Growth Prospects Strong Earnings & Cash Flows 35

  36. Slide 36: Appendix

    Thank youAppendix 36

  37. Slide 37: Corporate Sustainability

    Corporate Sustainability 37 Environmental Social Governance These eight publications provide valuable insight into NorthWestern Energy’s Sustainability practices. The Sustainability Report includes Sustainability Accounting Standards Board (SASB) and Task Force on Climate-Related Financial Disclosur

  38. Slide 38: Regulated Utility Five-Year Capital Forecast

    $2.74 billion of highly-executable and low-risk critical capital investment Regulated Utility Five-Year Capital Forecast (millions) 38 Appendix

  39. Slide 39: Rate case and rate base summary

    (1) The revenue requirement associated with the FERC regulated portion of Montana electric transmission and ancillary services are included as revenue credits to our MPSC jurisdictional customers. Therefore, we do not separately reflect FERC authorized rate base or authorized returns. (2) The Montan

  40. Slide 40: 2024 System Statistics

    2024 System Statistics 40 Note: Statistics above are as of 12/31/2024 (1) Nebraska is a natural gas only jurisdiction (2) Dave Gates Generating Station (DGGS) in Montana is a 150 MW nameplate facility but consider it a 105 MW (60 MW FERC & 45MW MPSC jurisdictions) peaker Appendix

  41. Slide 41: Our Net-Zero Vision

    Our Net-Zero Vision Over the past 100 years, NorthWestern Energy has maintained our commitment to provide customers with reliable and affordable electric and natural gas service while also being good stewards of the environment. We have responded to climate change, its implications and risks, by inc

  42. Slide 42: Timeline of Montana Generation Portfolio

    Timeline of Montana Generation Portfolio Since 2011, we have added approximately 1,129 MW, both owned and long-term contracted, to our generation portfolio, of which 954 MW (~84%) is from carbon-free resources. Appendix 42

  43. Slide 43: Comparison of Installed Capacity

    Comparison of Installed Capacity 43 California is dealing with significant capacity issues DESPITE having a greater amount of dispatchable generation and fewer renewables than NorthWestern Energy in Montana (as a percentage of the total). Source: EIA.gov – 2023 Form EIA-860 Data - Schedule 3 for cal

  44. Slide 44: EPS & Dividend History

    EPS & Dividend History 44 2010-2024 CAGR’s: GAAP EPS: 3.9% Non-GAAP EPS: 3.6% Dividend: 4.7% See appendix for “Non- GAAP Financial Measures” Appendix

  45. Slide 45: Wildfire Risk Assessment

    • Hardening as needed • Normal assessments • Lower environmental monitoring • All hardening strategies • Maximum assessments • Highest environmental monitoring Wildfire Risk Assessment Distribution Transmission Based on 2024 data. *Percentages shown in quadrants are by system segments. Appendix 45 3

  46. Slide 46: Electric Wallet Share

    Electric Wallet Share Appendix 46

  47. Slide 47: Natural Gas Wallet Share

    Natural Gas Wallet Share Appendix 47 Note: Montana typical bill is based on 65 therms which translates to ~0.50% lower wallet share than pictured. For consistency with South Dakota and Nebraska, 100 therms is used for Montana in this illustration. Oct. - Sept. Fiscal Year

  48. Slide 48: Experienced and Engaged Board of Directors

    Experienced and Engaged Board of Directors 48 Linda Sullivan Board Chair Dave Goodin Director Sherina Maye Edwards Director Brian Bird Director, President & Chief Executive Officer Britt Ide Director Kent Larson Director Mahvash Yazdi Director Jeffrey Yingling Director Human Resources (Chair), Opera

  49. Slide 49: Strong Executive Team

    Strong Executive Team 49 Crystal Lail VP & Chief Financial Officer Michael Cashell VP - Transmission Shannon Heim General Counsel & VP – Federal Government Affairs Brian Bird President & Chief Executive Officer Bleau LaFave VP – Asset Management & Business Development Jason Merkel VP - Distribution

  50. Slide 50: Our Commissioners

    Our Commissioners 50 Appendix Montana – two new commissioners elected, one re-elected. Brad Molnar (R) elected as District 2 commissioner and MPSC President. Molnar previously served on the MPSC from 2004- 2012. Jeff Welborn (R) elected as District 3 commissioner. Welborn served in the MT legislatur

  51. Slide 51: Non-GAAP Financial Measures

    Non-GAAP Financial Measures 51 Appendix Pre-Tax Adjustments ($ Millions) 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 Reported GAAP Pre-Tax Income 181.2$ 156.5$ 176.1$ 178.3$ 182.2$ 144.2$ 190.2$ 182.4$ 201.6$ 214.7$ Non-GAAP Adjustments to Pre-Tax Income: Weather 13.2 15.2 (3.4) (1.3) (7.3) 9.

  52. Slide 52: Non-GAAP Financial Measures

    Non-GAAP Financial Measures This presentation includes financial information prepared in accordance with GAAP, as well as other financial measures, such as Utility Margin, Adjusted Non-GAAP pretax income, Adjusted Non-GAAP net income and Adjusted Non-GAAP Diluted EPS that are considered “non-GAAP fi

  53. Slide 53: Thank you

    Thank youDelivering a bright future 53

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