K+S Aktiengesellschaft — Non-Deal Roadshow (August 2022)
22 slides from K+S Aktiengesellschaft's roadshow presentation, Aug 16, 2022
Slide 1: Bank of America London Roadshow
16 August 2022 K+S Aktiengesellschaft Bank of America London Roadshow Dr. Burkhard Lohr Nathalie Frost CEO/CFO Investor Relations Manager
Slide 2: Disclaimer
Disclaimer No reliance may be placed for any purpose whatsoever on the information or opinions contained in the Presentation or on its completeness, accuracy of fairness. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made or given by or on behalf of the Company or any of its respective direc
Slide 3: Low stocks-to-use ratios keep agricultural commodity prices up and farmer profitability high
Low stocks-to-use ratios and unfavorable climate around the world keep agricultural commodity prices up and farmer profitability at high level Price development of important agricultural commodities US corn farmer profitability in USD/acre since 01/1996 since 01/2020 220 Corn 200 Soybeans 180 160 14
Slide 4: Strong increase of ASP in Agriculture customer segment
Strong increase of ASP in Agriculture customer segment Development of revenues, sales volumes, and average prices by region Q1/2021 Q2/2021 H1/2021 2021 Q1/2022 Q2/2022 H1/2022 Revenues € million 469.0 473.7 942.7 2,272.1 944.1 1,244.2 2,188.3 Europe € million 250.6 202.1 452.7 956.1 349.9 543.0 892
Slide 5: Q2/22 EBITDA saw six-fold increase YoY
Q2/22 EBITDA saw six-fold increase YoY Highlights Financials (continuing operations) Q2/22 EBITDA increased to €706m (Q2/21: €112m) € million Q2/2021 Q2/2022 % COVID-19: Minor efficiency losses on the previous year’s Q2 level Revenues 664 1,510 > +100 FCF at €+131m despite jump in WC tie-up (Q
Slide 6: FCF burdened by tie-up of working capital
FCF burdened by tie-up of working capital Working Capital development (in €m) During Q2/22, we saw a build-up of working capital of €418m to €1,349m (Q2/21: build-up of €109m) +702 During H1/22, we saw a build-up of working capital +418 of €702m to €1,349m, thereof €109m due to lower use of fact
Slide 7: Successful H1/2022 – Attractive prospects
Successful H1/2022 – Attractive prospects 7
Slide 8: World potash supply according to IFA: Geopolitical effects
World potash supply according to IFA: Geopolitical effects Russia exports about 2/3 to "friendly countries" K2O ~ 60% of t eff KCl More than 80% of the currently forecasted expansion of potash production comes from Russia Different assumptions for the recovery of the world's potash supply Pe
Slide 9: World potash production and sales by region
World potash production and sales by region in million tonnes 28 25 Russia and Belarus each account for 33 approx. 16% of global potash 6 12 production 7 7 16 Most of the capacity expansion 17 projects came from Russian potash producers 2 2 28% of global wheat exports come from Russia and Ukra
Slide 10: Increasing demand for potash
Increasing demand for potash New potash capacities needed to meet rising demand 1,000 tonnes 120,000 100,000 +3.0% (Upside Scenario) +1.6% (IFA Forecast) 80,000 Worldwide Sales Volume 60,000 Capacity Missing supply 40,000 Supply from Belarus/Russia 20,000 New capacities (mainly from ,0 Belarus/Russi
Slide 11: Assumptions on gas situation
Assumptions on gas situation Pricing Availability §26 EnSiG to be called Q4 scenario: 25% out as of October 1 lower gas availability Levy: 50€/MWh, at all German sites assuming this Certain will also be compensation applied on possibilities with contractually electricity or other fixed volum
Slide 12: 2022 EBITDA outlook remains at €2.3 to €2.6 billion
2022 EBITDA outlook remains at €2.3 to €2.6 billion – even with described gas scenario EBITDA in €m Even stronger increase in Agriculture ASP makes up for now assuming the described gas scenario for Q4 with + FX effects - Higher freight 25% less availability and §26 EnSiG costs - Higher energy 2,3
Slide 13: Guiding principles of strategy and management focus
Guiding principles of strategy and management focus Financial ambitions Earn cost of capital over a 5-year cycle At the same time, an EBITDA margin of > 20% is aimed for over this cycle From 2023, positive free cash flow even in the event of temporarily low potash prices 13
Slide 14: Optimize the existing
Optimize the existing 70 % Agriculture Industry+ Supply Chain Increase of marketing in Focus on potash Warehouse and network USA ex Bethune product groups for optimization for Increase of trading industrial product sales European salt logistics business in Middle Capacity expansion of Op
Slide 15: Clear focus of our sites
Clear focus of our sites 70 % Bethune Zielitz Werra Neuhof-Ellers Long-term ramp-up to Improvement of the Optimization of product Improvement of the up to four million cost position mix & production mineral content tonnes of capacity Optimization of volumes through AI Improvement of cost
Slide 16: Optimize the existing – site strategies
Optimize the existing – site strategies Werra Optimize production processes Reduce liquid residues Reduce solid residues Increase energy efficiency Reduce CO2 emissions Improve competitiveness 16
Slide 17: Planned use of additional liquidity
Planned use of additional liquidity Repayment of factoring (done in H1/22) Purchase of CO2 certificates for the rest of the trading period (done in H1/22) Dividend payment for the 2021 financial year (done in H1/22) Repayment of bond in June 2022 Repayment of bond in early 2023 Investmen
Slide 18: Debt significantly reduced
Debt significantly reduced Net financial liabilities / EBITDA (x times) 7.2 Net financial liabilities reduced from €3.2 billion end of 2020 to €520 million in Q1/2022 5.3 4.9 Target: Rating in investment grade range 0.6 0.4 2018 2019 2020 2021 Q1/2022 Years 2018 – 2020 including discontinued operati
Slide 19: Rating Upgrade
Rating Upgrade: Standard & Poor‘s upgraded K+S by two notches from B+ (stable) to BB (stable) 19
Slide 20: Site costs (at mine gate) in comparison
Site costs (at mine gate) in comparison Bethune's further ramp-up to 4 million USD/t tonnes will bring -30% Bethune to the first quintile Best-in-class * K+S Bethune K+S Bethune K+S Zielitz 1st Quintile of the production quantity (mid-term) (today) (MOP site) with the lowest cost * Column width = So
Slide 21: Housekeeping items / Financial calendar
Housekeeping items / Financial calendar Additional information on 2022 FY outlook – continuing operations Tax rate: 30% CapEx: a good €400m (2021: €334m) Cash interest: ~ €-50m (2021: €-126m) D&A: ~ €400m Financial calendar Commerzbank and ODDO BHF – Corporate Conference 2022, Frankfurt – IR
Slide 22: Investor Relations Contacts
Investor Relations Contacts Nathalie Frost Julia Bock, CFA Esther Beuermann Investor Relations Manager Head of Investor Relations Investor Relations Manager Phone: + 49 561 / 9301-1403 Phone: + 49 561 / 9301-1009 Phone: + 49 561 / 9301-1679 Fax: + 49 561 / 9301-2425 Fax: + 49 561 / 9301-2425 Fax: +
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