Avalonbay Communities, Inc. · NYSE:AVB

Avalonbay Communities — Q4 2025 Earnings Presentation

29 slides from Avalonbay Communities's earnings presentation, Feb 5, 2026

  1. Slide 1: Investor Teleconference Presentation Fourth Quarter 2025

    [FAVORABLE SUPPLY BACKDROP FOR ESTABLISHED REGIONS PERSISTS, WHILE THE SUNBELT CONTINUES TO DIGEST STANDING INVENTORY] [SUBURBAN COASTAL PORTFOLIO POSITIONED TO OUTPERFORM] INVESTOR TELECONFERENCE PRESENTATION FOURTH QUARTER 2025 FEBRUARY 5, 2026 Avalon Ocean Avenue San Francisco, CA

  2. Slide 2: [FAVORABLE SUPPLY BACKDROP FOR ESTABLISHED REGIONS PERSISTS, WHILE THE SUNBELT CONTINUES TO DIGEST STANDING

    [FAVORABLE SUPPLY BACKDROP FOR ESTABLISHED REGIONS PERSISTS, WHILE THE SUNBELT CONTINUES TO DIGEST STANDING INVENTORY] [SUBURBAN COASTAL PORTFOLIO POSITIONED TO OUTPERFORM] See Appendix for information about forward- looking statements and definitions and reconciliations of non-GAAP financial measur

  3. Slide 3: Participants

    [FAVORABLE SUPPLY BACKDROP FOR ESTABLISHED REGIONS PERSISTS, PARTICIPANTS WHILE THE SUNBELT CONTINUES TO DIGEST STANDING INVENTORY] [SUBURBAN COASTAL PORTFOLIO POSITIONED TO OUTPERFORM] BEN SCHALL Chief Executive Officer & President KEVIN O’SHEA Chief Financial Officer MATT BIRENBAUM Chief Investmen

  4. Slide 4: Review of 4Q and Full-Year 2025 Results

    [FAVORABLE SUPPLY REVIEW OF 4Q ANDBACKDROP FULL-YEARFOR ESTABLISHED 2025 RESULTS REGIONS PERSISTS, WHILE THE SUNBELT CONTINUES TO DIGEST STANDING INVENTORY] [SUBURBAN COASTAL PORTFOLIO POSITIONED TO OUTPERFORM] 4Q | FULL-YEAR RESULTS AND ACTIVITY 4Q FULL-YEAR CORE FFO PER SHARE GROWTH YEAR-OVER-YEAR

  5. Slide 5: Looking Ahead

    [FAVORABLE SUPPLY BACKDROP FOR ESTABLISHED REGIONS PERSISTS, LOOKING WHILE THEAHEAD SUNBELT CONTINUES TO DIGEST STANDING INVENTORY] [SUBURBAN COASTAL PORTFOLIO POSITIONED TO OUTPERFORM] • 2026 Same Store Residential revenue growth projected at 1.4%, with fundamentals expected to improve as 2026 prog

  6. Slide 6: Supply Reflects Jobs Forecast

    JOBS FORECAST [FAVORABLE SUPPLYREFLECTS CONTINUATION BACKDROP FOR ESTABLISHED OF RECENT REGIONS TRENDS, PERSISTS, WHILE THE SUNBELTSTRONGER WITH EXPECTED CONTINUES TO DIGEST 2H26 STANDING GROWTH ININVENTORY] KEY CUSTOMER INDUSTRIES [SUBURBAN COASTAL PORTFOLIO POSITIONED TO OUTPERFORM] U.S. Annual No

  7. Slide 7: Improving Rental Affordability Backdrop

    IMPROVINGSUPPLY [FAVORABLE RENTAL AFFORDABILITY BACKDROP AND EXPENSIVE FOR ESTABLISHED FOR-SALE HOUSING REGIONS PERSISTS, WHILE THE SUNBELT ALTERNATIVES CONTINUES SUPPORT TO DIGEST STANDING ESTABLISHED REGIONINVENTORY] FUNDAMENTALS [SUBURBAN COASTAL PORTFOLIO POSITIONED TO OUTPERFORM] INDEXED RENT-T

  8. Slide 8: Projected Deliveries Down ~40% Y/Y in AVB Markets

    PROJECTED DELIVERIES DOWN ~40% Y/Y IN AVB MARKETS; FAVORABLE BACKDROP FOR ESTABLISHED REGIONS TO LIKELY PERSIST Projected 2026 New Market Rate Projected 2026 New Market Rate Apartment Apartment Deliveries Deliveries in Established Regions As a % of Existing Inventory As a % of Existing Inventory Sup

  9. Slide 9: Full-Year 2026 Outlook Summary

    [FAVORABLE SUPPLY FULL-YEAR 2026 BACKDROP OUTLOOK FOR ESTABLISHED REGIONS PERSISTS, SUMMARY WHILE THE SUNBELT CONTINUES TO DIGEST STANDING INVENTORY] [SUBURBAN COASTAL PORTFOLIO POSITIONED TO OUTPERFORM] ‘26 OUTLOOK(1) FULL-YEAR PROJECTED CORE FFO PER SHARE GROWTH 0.1% MIDPOINT OF OUTLOOK RANGE SAME

  10. Slide 10: Development & Capital Activity Outlook Summary

    [FAVORABLE DEVELOPMENTSUPPLY BACKDROP & CAPITAL FOR ESTABLISHED ACTIVITY REGIONS PERSISTS, OUTLOOK SUMMARY WHILE THE SUNBELT CONTINUES TO DIGEST STANDING INVENTORY] [SUBURBAN COASTAL PORTFOLIO POSITIONED TO OUTPERFORM] ‘26 OUTLOOK(1) FULL-YEAR DEVELOPMENT ACTIVITY TOTAL CAPITAL COST FOR 2026 DEVELOP

  11. Slide 11: Higher Lease Rates, Other Rental Revenue and Bad Debt Driving Revenue Growth

    HIGHER LEASE RATES, GROWTH IN OTHER RENTAL REVENUE AND IMPROVEMENT IN BAD DEBT DRIVING REVENUE GROWTH Components of 2026 Full Year Projected Same Store Residential Revenue Growth Based on the midpoint of outlook range Same Store Outlook 2% 2026 Assumptions • Projected Like-Term Effective Rent Change

  12. Slide 12: Projected 2026 Same Store Residential Revenue Growth by Region

    NORTHERNSUPPLY [FAVORABLE CALIFORNIA LEADING BACKDROP ’26 SAMEREGIONS FOR ESTABLISHED STORE REVENUE PERSISTS, GROWTH, WHILE THE SUNBELT WITH METRO NY/NJCONTINUES LEADING TOON DIGEST THESTANDING INVENTORY] EAST COAST [SUBURBAN COASTAL PORTFOLIO POSITIONED TO OUTPERFORM] PROJECTED 2026 FULL YEAR SAME

  13. Slide 13: Operating Expense Growth Impacted by Select Property Tax Items

    OPERATING EXPENSE GROWTH IMPACTED BY SELECT PROPERTY TAX ITEMS; ORGANIC EXPENSE GROWTH LOWER THAN LAST YEAR Select Components of Projected 2026 Full-year Same Store Residential Operating Expense Growth Same Store Outlook FY 2026 ORGANIC SS RESIDENTIAL OPERATING EXPENSE GROWTH 2.5% Residential Operat

  14. Slide 14: Development Contribution to Earnings in '26

    DEVELOPMENT [FAVORABLE CONTRIBUTION SUPPLY BACKDROP FOR OF +10¢/SHR ESTABLISHED TO EARNINGS REGIONS PERSISTS,IN ‘26 WHILE OFFSETTHEBY SUNBELT CONTINUES REFINANCING TO DIGEST AND STANDING ACTIVITY TRANSACTION INVENTORY] [SUBURBAN COASTAL PORTFOLIO POSITIONED TO OUTPERFORM] Components of 2026 Full-Yea

  15. Slide 15: Current Earnings Reflects the Funding of Future Accretive Growth

    CURRENT EARNINGS [FAVORABLE CONTRIBUTION SUPPLY BACKDROP FORFROM DEVELOPMENT ESTABLISHED REGIONS PERSISTS, REFLECTS WHILE THE THE FUNDING SUNBELT OF FUTURE CONTINUES ACCRETIVE TO DIGEST GROWTH STANDING INVENTORY] [SUBURBAN COASTAL PORTFOLIO POSITIONED TO OUTPERFORM] 2026 Projected Development NOI Av

  16. Slide 16: Accretive Development Starts Driving Acceleration in Occupancies and NOI

    ACCRETIVESUPPLY [FAVORABLE DEVELOPMENT BACKDROP STARTS IN LAST REGIONS FOR ESTABLISHED TWO YEARS DRIVING PERSISTS, WHILE THE SUNBELT ACCELERATION INCONTINUES TO DIGEST OCCUPANCIES ANDSTANDING INVENTORY] DEVELOPMENT NOI INTO ‘27 [SUBURBAN COASTAL PORTFOLIO POSITIONED TO OUTPERFORM] Development Starts

  17. Slide 17: 2026 Projected Lease-Up Activity Concentrated in Suburban Submarkets

    2026 PROJECTED LEASE-UP ACTIVITY CONCENTRATED IN SUBURBAN SUBMARKETS IN ESTABLISHED REGIONS WITH LESS COMPETITION Key Metrics Development Occupancies by Region 2026 Projected Occupancies 2026 Lease-ups 100% Development METRO NY/NJ NORTH CAROLINA Over 90% of Projected 2026 Suburban 17% 44% Developmen

  18. Slide 18: [FAVORABLE SUPPLY BACKDROP FOR ESTABLISHED REGIONS PERSISTS, WHILE THE SUNBELT CONTINUES TO DIGEST STANDING

    [FAVORABLE SUPPLY BACKDROP FOR ESTABLISHED REGIONS PERSISTS, WHILE THE SUNBELT CONTINUES TO DIGEST STANDING INVENTORY] [SUBURBAN COASTAL PORTFOLIO POSITIONED TO OUTPERFORM] 18

  19. Slide 19: Forward-Looking Statements

    FORWARD-LOOKING [FAVORABLE STATEMENTS SUPPLY BACKDROP FOR ESTABLISHED REGIONS PERSISTS, WHILE THE SUNBELT CONTINUES TO DIGEST STANDING INVENTORY] [SUBURBAN COASTAL PORTFOLIO POSITIONED TO OUTPERFORM] This presentation dated February 5, 2026 is provided in connection with AvalonBay’s fourth quarter 2

  20. Slide 20: Definitions and Reconciliations of Non-GAAP Financial Measures

    DEFINITIONSSUPPLY [FAVORABLE AND RECONCILIATIONS OF NON-GAAP BACKDROP FOR ESTABLISHED FINANCIAL REGIONS MEASURES AND PERSISTS, WHILE OTHERTHE SUNBELT CONTINUES TO DIGEST STANDING INVENTORY] TERMS [SUBURBAN COASTAL PORTFOLIO POSITIONED TO OUTPERFORM] Asset Preservation Capex represents capital expend

  21. Slide 21: Definitions and Reconciliations of Non-GAAP Financial Measures

    DEFINITIONSSUPPLY [FAVORABLE AND RECONCILIATIONS OF NON-GAAP BACKDROP FOR ESTABLISHED FINANCIAL REGIONS MEASURES AND PERSISTS, WHILE OTHERTHE SUNBELT CONTINUES TO DIGEST STANDING INVENTORY] TERMS [SUBURBAN COASTAL PORTFOLIO POSITIONED TO OUTPERFORM] FFO and Core FFO are generally considered by manag

  22. Slide 22: Definitions and Reconciliations of Non-GAAP Financial Measures

    DEFINITIONSSUPPLY [FAVORABLE AND RECONCILIATIONS OF NON-GAAP BACKDROP FOR ESTABLISHED FINANCIAL REGIONS MEASURES AND PERSISTS, WHILE OTHERTHE SUNBELT CONTINUES TO DIGEST STANDING INVENTORY] TERMS [SUBURBAN COASTAL PORTFOLIO POSITIONED TO OUTPERFORM] 22

  23. Slide 23: Definitions and Reconciliations of Non-GAAP Financial Measures

    DEFINITIONSSUPPLY [FAVORABLE AND RECONCILIATIONS OF NON-GAAP BACKDROP FOR ESTABLISHED FINANCIAL REGIONS MEASURES AND PERSISTS, WHILE OTHERTHE SUNBELT CONTINUES TO DIGEST STANDING INVENTORY] TERMS [SUBURBAN COASTAL PORTFOLIO POSITIONED TO OUTPERFORM] (1) Amounts consist primarily of net unrealized lo

  24. Slide 24: Definitions and Reconciliations of Non-GAAP Financial Measures

    DEFINITIONSSUPPLY [FAVORABLE AND RECONCILIATIONS OF NON-GAAP BACKDROP FOR ESTABLISHED FINANCIAL REGIONS MEASURES AND PERSISTS, WHILE OTHERTHE SUNBELT CONTINUES TO DIGEST STANDING INVENTORY] TERMS [SUBURBAN COASTAL PORTFOLIO POSITIONED TO OUTPERFORM] Net Development Earnings is calculated as: (a) cal

  25. Slide 25: Definitions and Reconciliations of Non-GAAP Financial Measures

    DEFINITIONSSUPPLY [FAVORABLE AND RECONCILIATIONS OF NON-GAAP BACKDROP FOR ESTABLISHED FINANCIAL REGIONS MEASURES AND PERSISTS, WHILE OTHERTHE SUNBELT CONTINUES TO DIGEST STANDING INVENTORY] TERMS [SUBURBAN COASTAL PORTFOLIO POSITIONED TO OUTPERFORM] Match-Funded (Development Underway) is calculated

  26. Slide 26: Definitions and Reconciliations of Non-GAAP Financial Measures

    DEFINITIONSSUPPLY [FAVORABLE AND RECONCILIATIONS OF NON-GAAP BACKDROP FOR ESTABLISHED FINANCIAL REGIONS MEASURES AND PERSISTS, WHILE OTHERTHE SUNBELT CONTINUES TO DIGEST STANDING INVENTORY] TERMS [SUBURBAN COASTAL PORTFOLIO POSITIONED TO OUTPERFORM] Projected FFO and Projected Core FFO, as provided

  27. Slide 27: Definitions and Reconciliations of Non-GAAP Financial Measures

    DEFINITIONSSUPPLY [FAVORABLE AND RECONCILIATIONS OF NON-GAAP BACKDROP FOR ESTABLISHED FINANCIAL REGIONS MEASURES AND PERSISTS, WHILE OTHERTHE SUNBELT CONTINUES TO DIGEST STANDING INVENTORY] TERMS [SUBURBAN COASTAL PORTFOLIO POSITIONED TO OUTPERFORM] Projected NOI, as used within this presentation fo

  28. Slide 28: Definitions and Reconciliations of Non-GAAP Financial Measures

    DEFINITIONSSUPPLY [FAVORABLE AND RECONCILIATIONS OF NON-GAAP BACKDROP FOR ESTABLISHED FINANCIAL REGIONS MEASURES AND PERSISTS, WHILE OTHERTHE SUNBELT CONTINUES TO DIGEST STANDING INVENTORY] TERMS [SUBURBAN COASTAL PORTFOLIO POSITIONED TO OUTPERFORM] Same Store is composed of consolidated communities

  29. Slide 29: [FAVORABLE SUPPLY BACKDROP FOR ESTABLISHED REGIONS PERSISTS, WHILE THE SUNBELT CONTINUES TO DIGEST STANDING

    [FAVORABLE SUPPLY BACKDROP FOR ESTABLISHED REGIONS PERSISTS, WHILE THE SUNBELT CONTINUES TO DIGEST STANDING INVENTORY] [SUBURBAN COASTAL PORTFOLIO POSITIONED TO OUTPERFORM] 29

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