Pinnacle West Capital Corporation · NYSE:PNW
Pinnacle West Capital — 2014 Citi Global Energy & Utilities Conference
35 slides from Pinnacle West Capital's conference presentation, May 12, 2014
Slide 1: Rate Design and Future of Distributed Generation
2014 CITI GLOBAL ENERGY & UTILITIES CONFERENCE MAY 13-14, 2014 RATE DESIGN AND FUTURE OF DISTRIBUTED GENERATION
Slide 2: Forward Looking Statements
FORWARD LOOKING STATEMENTS This presentation contains forward-looking statements based on current expectations, including statements regarding our earnings guidance and financial outlook and goals. These forward-looking statements are often identified by words such as “estimate,” “predict,” “may,” “
Slide 3: APS Is a Leader in Solar
APS IS A LEADER IN SOLAR We are committed to making Arizona the solar capital of America 3rd of all U.S. utilities for solar energy installed in 2013 (410 MW) 4th for new solar installed in 2013 (368 watts/customer) 4th for overall solar capacity (740 MW) 5th for overall solar capacity per customer
Slide 4: Emerging Technologies Rely on the Grid
EMERGING TECHNOLOGIES RELY ON THE GRID All of these technologies are dependent on the grid Electric Vehicles Battery Storage Fuel Cells Home Energy Management Microgrids Rooftop Solar GRID
Slide 5: Operational Challenges
OPERATIONAL CHALLENGES The grid provides real-time voltage and power needed to start air conditioners and other motors loads Steep ramp rate of backup generation Instant variability Voltage control at distribution level
Slide 6: Rate Design Changes Needed to Align Fixed Costs and Revenue
RATE DESIGN CHANGES NEEDED TO ALIGN FIXED COSTS AND REVENUE
Slide 7: APS Taking Steps to Lead Evolution of Grid and Rate Design
APS TAKING STEPS TO LEAD EVOLUTION OF GRID AND RATE DESIGN Traditional Utility Future Utility Resource Planning Centralized generation Diversified fuel mix Flexibility Renewables (Utility scale and Rooftop) Rate Design Based on KWh One size fits all Some decoupling Match fixed costs and revenues Cus
Slide 8: Arizona Rate Design: What's Next?
ARIZONA RATE DESIGN: WHAT’S NEXT? APS’ perspective Today’s rate designs are not compatible with the evolving energy landscape Rate redesign should be discussed in an open process including all stakeholders Because each utility is unique, final decisions on rate design must be determined in utility s
Slide 9: Appendix
APPENDIX OMe PINACLEWEST
Slide 10: 2014 Key Dates
2014 KEY DATES Docket # Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Key Regulatory Filings Lost Fixed Cost Recovery 11-0224 Jan 15 Transmission Cost Adjustor May 15 Renewable Energy Surcharge Jul 1 10-Year Transmission Plan (Annual) 13-0002 Jan 31 2014 Integrated Resource Plan (Biennial) 13-0070 Apr 1 Net Metering (Decision No. 74
Slide 11: Pinnacle West: Who We Are
PINNACLE WEST: WHO WE ARE We are a vertically integrated, regulated electric utility in the growing southwest U.S. NYSE Ticker PNW Market Cap* $6 Billion Enterprise Value* $9.5 Billion Dividend Yield* 4% Consolidated Assets Over $13 Billion Principal Subsidiary Arizona’s largest and longest-serving
Slide 12: Value Proposition
VALUE PROPOSITION + Maintaining focus on core electric utility business uC MEnet teas —° Delivering long-term value Team Driving Focused * Creating a sustainable energy future for Arizona and the communities we serve Strategy * Driving cost management discipline through increased transparency and ac
Slide 13: Operational Excellence
OPERATIONAL EXCELLENCE Palo Verde Palo Verde has exceeded 30 million megawatt-hours annual production 9 times – the only U.S. plant to ever do so. Safety 2013 lowest number of recordable injuries in company history. Customer Satisfaction Ranked 5th highest nationally among 54 large investor-owned el
Slide 14: Arizona Economic Indicators
ARIZONA ECONOMIC INDICATORS Nonresidential Building Vacancy – Metro Phoenix New Home Sales & Single Family Permits Home Prices – Metro Phoenix Value Relative to Jan ‘05 Vacancy Rate Office Retail Job Growth (Total Nonfarm) - Arizona YoY Change Forecast Q1 Q1 Feb
Slide 15: Customer Growth
CUSTOMER GROWTH Annual Growth Customer growth drives 85% of retail sales (excluding impacts of customer conservation, energy efficiency and distributed renewable generation initiatives) Retail customer growth to average about 2.5% annually 2014-2016
Slide 16: Retail Sales Growth (Weather-Normalized)
RETAIL SALES GROWTH (WEATHER-NORMALIZED) YoY Retail Sales Before Customer Programs Energy Efficiency & Customer Conservation Distributed Energy Weather-normalized retail sales growth about 1% for 2014-2016 after impacts of energy efficiency, customer conservation and distributed renewable generation
Slide 17: Arizona's Renewable Resource and Energy Efficiency Standards
Cumulative savings from energy efficiency programs must be equivalent to 22% of annual retail sales by 2020 Annual milestones in place to measure progress toward cumulative 2020 goal 9.5% by 2015 22% by 2020 ARIZONA’S RENEWABLE RESOURCE AND ENERGY EFFICIENCY STANDARDS Portion of retail sales to be s
Slide 18: Net Metering
Customers with rooftop solar systems do not pay for all of the electric services they use (i.e. rooftop customers still need support from the grid 24 hours a day) These unpaid costs are then paid, through higher rates, by non-rooftop solar customers The issue will get bigger over time as application
Slide 19: Resource Planning
RESOURCE PLANNING* Existing Owned Resources Existing Contracts Resource Planning Requirement Load Requirement Including Reserves MW Gas Coal Nuclear RE + DE EE Composition of Energy Mix by Resource Note: RE = Renewable Energy; DE = Distributed Energy; EE = Energy Efficiency *Data shown is based on 2
Slide 20: Capital Expenditures
CAPITAL EXPENDITURES 80% of capital expenditures are recovered through rate adjustors (40%) and depreciation cash flow (40%) ($ Millions) $973 $1,026 2014 – 2016 as disclosed in First Quarter 2014 Form 10-Q Other Distribution Transmission Renewable Generation Environmental Traditional Generation Pro
Slide 21: Four Corners Power Plant
On December 30, 2013, APS and Southern California Edison (“SCE”) completed previously announced transaction whereby APS agreed to purchase SCE’s 48% interest in Units 4 and 5 of Four Corners Final purchase price: $182 million Estimated environmental compliance: $350 million, primarily in 2016-2017 A
Slide 22: Ocotillo Power Plant (Tempe, AZ)
OCOTILLO POWER PLANT (TEMPE, AZ) Ocotillo modernization project will maintain valley grid reliability and increase APS’s generating capacity by 290 MW Maintains system reliability through retirement of aging steam units Replacement units meet need for increased portfolio responsiveness Aids integrat
Slide 23: Transmission
10-Year Transmission Plan filed January 2014 (115 kV and above) $496 million of transmission investment 275 miles of new lines Includes Hassayampa-North Gila (HANG2) ~110 miles; 500 kV Construction started March 2013 Estimated in-service mid 2015 Projects to deliver renewable energy approved by ACC
Slide 24: AZ Sun Program
Utility-scale photovoltaic solar plants to be owned by APS Constructive rate recovery through RES until included in base rates 118 MW in commercial operation to date; 150 MW by end of 2014 Commitments to date: 170 MW; $695 million estimated capital investment AZ SUN PROGRAM Owning solar resources ma
Slide 25: Rate Adjustment Mechanisms
Mechanism Adopted / Last Adjusted Description Power Supply Adjustor (“PSA”) April 2005 / February 2014 Recovers variance between actual fuel and purchased power costs and base fuel rate Includes forward-looking, historical and transition components Renewable Energy Surcharge (“RES”) May 2008 / Janua
Slide 26: Regulatory Mechanisms (TCA)
FERC Formula Rates adopted in 2008 Adjusted annually with 10.75% allowed ROE Based on FERC Form 1 and projected closings Update filed each April Annual rate true-up compares projected revenue requirement to actual, with variance incorporated into next annual update Retail portion flows through ACC T
Slide 27: Regulatory Mechanisms (TCA) Timeline
6/1 Rate Goes Into Effect REGULATORY MECHANISMS (TCA) We have achieved constructive transmission rate treatment with annual adjustments 2013 2014 JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC 6/1 Rate Goes Into Effect ~5/15 File/Post FERC Rate ~4/15
Slide 28: Regulatory Mechanisms (LFCR)
Lost Fixed Cost Recovery (LFCR) was implemented as part of the July 2012 settlement Estimated to offset 30-40% of revenues lost due to ACC-mandated energy efficiency (EE) and distributed renewable generation (DG) initiatives Annual filing by January 15th each year with new rates in effect March 1st,
Slide 29: Sustainable Cost Management Initiative
Motivation for Change SUSTAINABLE COST MANAGEMENT INITIATIVE (“SCMI”) Capitalize on changes driven by aging workforce Improve organizational efficiencies Strengthen governance and clarify accountability Refine understanding of cost structure to better identify opportunities Manage costs during regul
Slide 30: Operations & Maintenance
OPERATIONS & MAINTENANCE Our goal is to keep consolidated O&M growth at or below retail sales growth levels Note: Pinnacle West O&M for 2009-2014E: $10M, $9M, $8M, $11M, $27M and $10M, respectively. * 2013 includes $9M related to the closure of Four Corners Units 1, 2 and 3 deferred for regulatory r
Slide 31: Financing
FINANCING ($Millions) Debt Maturity Schedule 2014 Major Financing Activities $250 million 30-year 4.70% APS senior unsecured notes issued in January 2014 Currently expect about $550 million additional long-term debt issuance in 2014, including issuance to refinance $300 million of maturing debt In a
Slide 32: Credit Ratings
CREDIT RATINGS APS Parent Corporate Credit Ratings Moody’s A3 Baa1 S&P A- A- Fitch BBB+ BBB+ Senior Unsecured Moody’s A3 - S&P A- - Fitch A- - Outlook Moody’s Stable Stable S&P Stable Stable Fitch Stable Stable We are disclosing credit ratings to enhance understanding of our sources of liquidity and
Slide 33: Arizona Corporation Commission
ARIZONA CORPORATION COMMISSION Three seats of four-year terms through January 2017 were addressed in the November 2012 election Bob Stump (R)* Chairman Brenda Burns (R) Gary Pierce (R)* Terms To January 2015 Terms To January 2017 Susan Bitter Smith (R) Bob Burns (R) Incumbents New Commissioners * Te
Slide 34: Generation Portfolio
GENERATION PORTFOLIO* Fuel/Plant Location Units Dispatch COD Ownership Interest1 Net Capacity (MW) NUCLEAR 1,146 MW Palo Verde Wintersburg, AZ 1-3 Base 1986-1989 29.1% 1,146 COAL 1,932 MW Cholla Joseph City, AZ 1-3 Base 1962-1980 100 647 Four Corners Farmington, NM 4, 5 Base 1969-1970 63 970 Navajo
Slide 35: Purchased Power Contracts
PURCHASED POWER CONTRACTS* Fuel/Contract Location Owner/Developer Status1 PPA Signed COD Term (Years) Net Capacity (MW) SOLAR 310 MW Solana Gila Bend, AZ Abengoa IO Feb-2008 2013 30 250 RE Ajo Ajo, AZ Duke Energy Gen Svcs IO Jan-2010 2011 25 5 Sun E AZ 1 Prescott, AZ SunEdison IO Feb-2010 2011 30 10
Pinnacle West Capital — 2014 Citi Global Energy & Utilities Conference on 6ix